#1003676 - 1/08/2011 05:40
Annual Tropics Competition 2011/2012
|
Weatherzone Addict
Registered: 8/01/2008
Loc: Paradise - Mackay, Qld
|
Welcome to the 2011/2012 Annual Tropics Competition!Most of us are familiar with the concept after last years competition, but for anyone new reading this..... the Tropics Competition is an annual event where everyone can have a go at forecasting (guesstimating) a bunch of pre-determined questions associated with the upcoming North Australian Wet Season. Then as the season unfolds and results become known, contestants will be awarded points based on how accurate their forecast was. At the end of the Wet Season when results from all categories are known, points earned by each contestant from all categories will be combined to determine the overall ‘Tropics Competition’ winner. To enter the competition, all you have to do is post your list of answers for each of the following categories: 1. The date the first rainfall is recorded at Karratha 2. The date the first thunderstorm is recorded at Darwin 3. The date the temperature first reaches 40°C at Port Hedland 4. The date the first Australian named Tropical Cyclone forms 5. The region the first Australian named Tropical Cyclone forms in: • Eastern • Northern • Western • Far Western (Click Here for a Map Outlining Each Region) 6. The lowest pressure (hPa) attained by the first Australian named cyclone 7. The date Townsville records its first 50mm+ daily rainfall total 8. The date the Monsoon ‘arrives’ to the Australian mainland 9. The date the first land-falling Tropical Cyclone crosses the Australian mainland 10. The location the first land-falling Tropical Cyclone crosses the Australian mainland 11. The Severity Category (1-5) of the above cyclone as it makes landfall 12. The Southern Oscillation Index (S.O.I.) figure averaged over the 6 months of Spring & Summer 13. The highest maximum temperature recorded at Broome 14. The total number of Tropical Cyclones that occur within Australian waters this season 15. The total number of land-falling Tropical Cyclones this season 16. The name of the season’s most intense Australian named Tropical Cyclone (Click Here for List) 17. The total rainfall recorded in Cairns this Wet Season (Oct – Apr) 18. The number of 25mm+ daily rainfall totals recorded at Mackay 19. From the list below, select the location that will record the highest daily rainfall total: (Click Here for a Map of Locations) • Broome • Cairns • Darwin • Gove • Karratha • Kuri Bay • Mackay • Mornington Island • Port Hedland • Rockhampton • Townsville • Weipa 20. The highest daily rainfall total (mm) recorded at the location you selected. (Results of all above listed categories are based on events that take place between September 1st 2011 and April 30th 2012 unless stated otherwise).And if you need a few tips, here are the winning answers for the 2010/11 Competition: 1. Karratha Rainfall: September 9th 2. Darwin Storm: September 23rd 3. Port Hedland 40°C: October 3rd 4. First Cyclone: December 25th 5. Area Forms: Eastern Region 6. Lowest Pressure: 993hPa 7. Townsville 50mm: September 20th 8. Monsoon Arrival: December 11th 9. First Landfall: December 25th 10. Landfall Location: Fishery Falls, Qld (30km SSE of Cairns) 11. Category at Landfall: 1 12. Southern Oscillation Index: 21.5+ 13. Highest Broome Temperature: 40.5°C 14. Total Cyclones: 11 15. Cyclone Landfalls: 5 16. Most Intense Cyclone: Bianca 17. Cairns Rainfall: 2630.6mm 18. Mackay 25mm+: 40 19. Wettest Location: Mornington Island 20. Daily Rainfall: 477.2mm Absolutely everybody is welcome to take part in the competition no matter how little your weather knowledge is or how bad you think your forecasting may be – it’s all about having a go!! So grab a drink, have a think, jot down some answers and be part of the fun! Entries close at 11:59pm AEST on August 31st 2011.
_________________________
Aussie Aussie Aussie, Oi Oi Oi
Beaconsfield, Mackay:
MTD - 29.6mm (April Ave - 145mm)
YTD - 1444.8mm (Annual Ave - 1665mm)
2011 Total - 2141.1mm
|
|
Top
|
|
|
|
#1003677 - 1/08/2011 05:45
Re: Annual Tropics Competition 2011/2012
[Re: Wet Wet Wet]
|
Weatherzone Addict
Registered: 8/01/2008
Loc: Paradise - Mackay, Qld
|
And if you’ve got nothing better to do, click the below link to view the competition scoring system, rules and regulations: Scoring System for the 2011/2012 Tropics Competition:
As mentioned previously, as the result of each category becomes known, contestants will be awarded points based on their forecast performance. The exact number of points a contestant is allocated (if any) will depend by how close their forecast was to the correct answer. The closer to the correct answer, the more points the contestant is awarded. Note that the scoring intervals will vary between individual categories to provide a reasonable scoring range relevant to the likelihood of the corresponding category occurring. Also note that no points are deducted for an incorrect guess. The overall winner is the contestant that accumulates the highest score at the end of the competition.
1) First Karratha Rainfall:
10 Points – Exact Date
8 Points – Within 2 Days
7 Points – Within 4 Days
6 Points – Within 7 Days
5 Points – Within 10 Days
4 Points – Within 20 Days
3 Points – Within 30 Days
2 Points – Within 40 Days
1 Point – Within 50 Days
2) First Darwin Storm:
10 Points – Exact Date
8 Points – Within 1 Day
7 Points – Within 3 Days
6 Points – Within 5 Days
5 Points – Within 7 Days
4 Points – Within 10 Days
3 Points – Within 15 Days
2 Points – Within 20 Days
1 Point – Within 30 Days
3) First Port Hedland 40°C Temperature:
10 Points – Exact Date
8 Points – Within 1 Day
7 Points – Within 3 Days
6 Points – Within 5 Days
5 Points – Within 7 Days
4 Points – Within 10 Days
3 Points – Within 15 Days
2 Points – Within 20 Days
1 Point – Within 30 Days
4) Date First Australian Cyclone Forms:
10 Points – Exact Date
8 Points – Within 1 Day
7 Points – Within 3 Days
6 Points – Within 5 Days
5 Points – Within 10 Days
4 Points – Within 15 Days
3 Points – Within 20 Days
2 Points – Within 30 Days
1 Point – Within 40 Days
5) Region First Cyclone Forms In:
5 Points – Correct Answer
2 Points – Selecting the second different region a cyclone forms within
1 Point – Selecting the third different region a cyclone forms within
6) The Lowest Pressure of First Cyclone:
5 Points – Within 5 hPa
4 Points – Within 10 hPa
3 Points – Within 15 hPa
2 Points – Within 20 hPa
1 Point – Within 30 hPa
7) Townsville’s First 50mm Daily Rainfall Total:
10 Points – Exact Date
8 Points – Within 2 Days
7 Points – Within 4 Days
6 Points – Within 7 Days
5 Points – Within 10 Days
4 Points – Within 20 Days
3 Points – Within 30 Days
2 Points – Within 40 Days
1 Point – Within 50 Days OR correct year selected
8) Date the Monsoon Arrives:
10 Points – Exact Date
8 Points – Within 1 Day
7 Points – Within 2 Days
6 Points – Within 3 Days
5 Points – Within 5 Days
4 Points – Within 7 Days
3 Points – Within 10 Days
2 Points – Within 15 Days
1 Point – Within 20 Days
9) First Cyclone Landfall:
10 Points – Exact Date
8 Points – Within 1 Day
7 Points – Within 3 Days
6 Points – Within 5 Days
5 Points – Within 7 Days
4 Points – Within 10 Days
3 Points – Within 15 Days
2 Points – Within 20 Days
1 Point – Within 30 Days
10) Landfall Location:
10 Points – Within 100km
8 Points – Within 200km
7 Points – Within 300km
6 Points – Within 400km
5 Points – Within 600km
4 Points – Within 800km
3 Points – Within 1000km
2 Points – Within 1250km
1 Point – Within 1500km
11) Category at Landfall:
5 Points – Correct Answer
2 Points – Incorrect answer, however category forecasted correlates with cyclone being deemed severe or non severe
12)Southern Oscillation Index
10 Points – Within 0.5
8 Points – Within 1.0
7 Points – Within 2.0
6 Points – Within 3.0
5 Points – Within 4.0
4 Points – Within 5.0
3 Points – Within 6.0
2 Points – Within 8.0
1 Point – Within 10.0
13) Highest Broome Temperature:
10 Points – Exact Temperature
8 Points – Within 0.1 ºC
7 Points – Within 0.3 ºC
6 Points – Within 0.5 ºC
5 Points – Within 0.7 ºC
4 Points – Within 1.0 ºC
3 Points – Within 1.5 ºC
2 Points – Within 2.0 ºC
1 Point – Within 2.5 ºC
14) Number of Cyclones:
10 Points – Exact Number
6 Points – Within 1 Cyclone
4 Points – Within 2 Cyclones
2 Points – Within 3 Cyclones
1 Point – Within 4 Cyclones
15) Number of Landfalls:
10 Points – Exact Number
6 Points – Within 1 Landfall
4 Points – Within 2 Landfalls
2 Points – Within 3 Landfalls
1 Point – Within 4 Landfalls
16) Season’s Most Intense Cyclone:
Highest Category achieved by Cyclone selected by contestant:
5 Points – Category 5
4 Points – Category 4
3 Points – Category 3
2 Points – Category 2
Contestants will be awarded a further 2 points if the cyclone they selected is the season’s most intense. Additionally, contestants will also be awarded points if the cyclone they selected makes landfall;
Category at Landfall:
5 Points – Category 5
4 Points – Category 4
3 Points – Category 3
2 Points – Category 2
1 Point – Category 1
17) Cairns Wet Season Rainfall:
10 Points – Within 25mm
8 Points – Within 50mm
7 Points – Within 100mm
6 Points – Within 200mm
5 Points – Within 300mm
4 Points – Within 400mm
3 Points – Within 500mm
2 Points – Within 600mm
1 Point – Within 800mm
18) Mackay 25mm+ Days:
10 Points – Exact Number
8 Points – Within 1 Day
7 Points – Within 2 Days
6 Points – Within 3 Days
5 Points – Within 4 Days
4 Points – Within 6 Days
3 Points – Within 8 Days
2 Points – Within 10 Days
1 Point – Within 15 Days
19) Wettest Location:
10 Points – Correct Answer
6 Points – If location selected records second highest daily total
4 Points – If location selected records third highest daily total
2 Points – If location selected records forth highest daily total
1 Point – If location selected records fifth highest daily total
20) Daily Rainfall:
10 Points – Within 5mm
8 Points – Within 10mm
7 Points – Within 20mm
6 Points – Within 30mm
5 Points – Within 40mm
4 Points – Within 50mm
3 Points – Within 75mm
2 Points – Within 100mm
1 Point – Within 150mm
Error Points and Average Error Rate:
Throughout the competition, contestants will also accumulate ‘error points’. Error points will be allocated to a contestant for each incorrect answer. The amount of error points allocated to a contestant depends on the inaccuracy of the contestant’s forecast. The less accurate, the more error points will be allocated. If a contestant’s answer is correct, no error points are allocated for that particular category. At the end of the competition each contestant’s error points from all categories will be combined and then divided by the total number of categories they participated in to calculate their overall ‘Average Error Rate’. Note the sole purpose of the ‘Average Error Rate’ is to separate contestants on the leader board that have accumulated identical scores.
Below is the list that will be used to determine how many error points a contestant will be allocated for each incorrect answer:
1) Karratha Rainfall: Half (0.5) an error point will be allocated for each days inaccuracy.
2) Darwin Storm: 1 error point allocated for each days inaccuracy
3) Port Hedland 40°C: 1 error point allocated for each days inaccuracy
4) Date First Cyclone Forms: 1 error point allocated for each days inaccuracy
5) Area Cyclone Forms in:
• 0 error points allocated for selecting the correct region the first cyclone forms
• 10 error points allocated for selecting second different region a cyclone forms
• 20 error points allocated for selecting third different region a cyclone forms
• 30 error points allocated for selecting last region a cyclone forms or if region selected produces no cyclones throughout season
6) Lowest Pressure: 1 error point allocated for each hPa inaccuracy
7) Townsville 50mm: Half (0.5) an error point will be allocated for each days inaccuracy.
8) Monsoon Arrives: 1 error point allocated for each days inaccuracy
9) Date First Landfall: 1 error point allocated for each days inaccuracy
10) Landfall Location: The contestant’s miscalculation will be rounded to nearest 100km*, with 1 error point being allocated for every 100kms inaccuracy
11) Category at Landfall: 30 error points will be allocated for an incorrect forecast, however if a contestant’s incorrect forecast aligns with the cyclone being deemed severe or non severe, only 15 error points will be allocated
12) Spring/Summer S.O.I.: The contestant’s inaccuracy will be rounded to the nearest 0.2 figure, with 1 error point being allocated for every 0.2 increment
13) Broome Temperature: 1 error point will be allocated for each decimal degree inaccuracy
14) Number of Cyclones: 5 error points allocated for each cyclone inaccuracy
15) Cyclone Landfalls: 5 error points allocated for each landfall inaccuracy
16) Most Intense Cyclone:
• 30 error points allocated for cyclones that fail to attain severe status and fail to make landfall
• 20 error points allocated for cyclones that fail to attain severe status but make landfall
• 15 error points allocated for cyclones that fail to make landfall but attain severe status
• 10 error points allocated for cyclones that attain severe status and make landfall, but are not the season’s most intense cyclone
• 0 error points allocated for selecting the season’s most intense cyclone regardless of it making landfall or not
17) Cairns Rainfall: The contestant’s inaccuracy will be rounded to the nearest 25mm with 1 error point being allocated for each 25mm increment
18) Mackay 25mm+ Days: 3 error points allocated for each days inaccuracy
19) Wettest Location:
• 0 error points for selecting wettest location
• 5 error points for selecting second wettest location
• 10 error points for selecting third wettest location
• 15 error points for selecting fourth wettest location
• 20 error points for selecting fifth wettest location
• 30 error points for selecting all remaining locations
20) Daily Rainfall: The contestant’s inaccuracy will be rounded to the nearest 5mms, with 1 Error Point being allocated for every 5mm increment
* The distance of inaccuracy will be measured in a straight line (as the crow flies) from the location the centre of the cyclone made landfall to the location forecasted by the contestant. If the location submitted by the contestant is not specific enough, the measurement will be taken from a rough central point within the region the contestant has specified.
How The Answers Will Be Decided:
The correct answer for each category will be based on the following criteria (Number corresponds to Category):
1. Karratha Rainfall: The data the first rainfall (of 0.2mm or more) is recorded at the Karratha Aero AWS (Site #004083). As this is an automatic weather station, verification will also be obtained from other resources such as radar and satellite imagery to confirm the reading was indeed caused by rainfall.
2. Darwin Storm: The date that the first thunderstorm is recorded at the Darwin Airport*¹ (Site #014015). If further confirmation is required, verification will be sourced from “Thunderstruck” (Weatherzone member and Bureau of Meteorology Technical Observer based at the Darwin Airport).
3. Port Hedland 40ºC: The date the temperature first reaches or exceeds 40.0ºC at Port Hedland (Site # 004032). If the temperature fails to reach 40.0ºC throughout the entire season, the answer will be based on the date of the highest temperature recorded at the site between September 1st and April 30th.
4. First Australian Cyclone: The date that the first Australian named Tropical Cyclone forms within Australia’s ‘area of responsibility’ verified by the Bureau of Meteorology (BoM)*¹ If the first cyclone is later found to have never reached cyclone status as a result of a post analysis, it will not be eligible for this category. However, if a Tropical Low that was never named is deemed to have achieved cyclone status as a result of a post analysis, it will be eligible for this category. Tropical Cyclones named by international warning centres that travel into Australia’s ‘area of responsibility’ will not be eligible for this category.
5. Co-ordinates provided by the BoM will be used to determine which region the centre of the cyclone was located within when first deemed to have reached cyclone status.
6. Lowest Pressure: The lowest pressure achieved during the lifetime of the above mentioned cyclone as stated by the Australian Bureau of Meteorology (Please be aware this figure is generally the BoM’s best estimate).
7. Townsville 50mm: The date a daily rainfall total at the Townsville Airport (Site # 032040) is first recorded as reaching or exceeding 50.0mm*² (Bearing in mind that any rain that falls after 9am is always added to the next day’s total). In the unlikely occurrence whereby at the end of the season all daily totals failed to reach 50.0mm, not only will the Weatherzone members in Townsville be very disappointed, but the date selected for the answer will be based on the highest daily rainfall total recorded between September 1st and April 30th.
8. Monsoon Arrival: Verified by the first time the Bureau of Meteorology MSLP chart (Found Here) clearly displays a Monsoon Trough intersecting any part of the Australian mainland. The Monsoon trough must then remain (or already have remained) a feature on the charts for at least 24 hours (5 consecutive charts) for it to be recognised as being legitimate.
9. Date of First Landfall: The date the first land-falling tropical cyclone (regardless of Area of Formation) makes its initial landfall on the Australian mainland (islands not included) as verified by the BoM.*¹ The cyclone must also make landfall as a category 1 or higher system while crossing the coastline; i.e. cyclones that make landfall as a ‘Tropical Low’ are not included in this category. If a post analysis finds that a ‘Tropical Low’ which was never officially named had actually achieved Tropical Cyclone status while making landfall, it will be eligible for this category. If no cyclones make landfall during the season, the answer used will be the date a cyclone made the closest approach to the Australian mainland. Due to the format of the competition, it is possible (though unlikely) for the date of the first land-falling cyclone to be earlier than date the first Australian named cyclone forms.
10. Location of First Landfall: The location the eye/centre of the above mentioned cyclone first makes landfall on the Australian mainland as verified by the Bureau of Meteorology with the aid of satellite and radar imagery (if available) for precise crossing details. If no cyclones make landfall during the entire season, as well as us all feeling ripped off, the location selected will be an over-ocean position where the centre of the above mention cyclone was located while at its closest proximity to the Australian mainland.
11. Category at Landfall: The severity category (verified by the BoM) the first land-falling tropical cyclone is rated while making its initial landfall on Australian mainland.
12. 6 Month S.O.I.: This figure will be the average S.O.I. for the 6 months of Spring and Summer combined using data provided by the Bureau of Meteorology’s Southern Oscillation Index monthly summary table (Found Here) , which is based on means and standard deviations calculated over the period of 1933 to 1992.
13. Highest Broome Temperature: The highest temperature recorded at the Broome Airport (Site #003003) between September 1st and April 30th.
14. Total Number of Cyclones: The total number of Tropical Cyclones that both form within Australia’s ‘area of responsibility’, and those named by international warning centres that travel into Australia’s ‘area of responsibility’ between September 1st and April 30th.*¹ Cyclones later deemed to have never reached cyclone status during a post analysis will not be included in the overall total, however Tropical Lows later deemed cyclonic will. Cyclones that weaken into tropical lows and later redevelop into tropical cyclones will only account as 1 cyclone.
15. Total land-falling Cyclones: The total number of Tropical Cyclone mainland landfalls (islands not included) that take place between September 1st and April 30th*¹. For cyclones to be eligible for this category, they must make landfall as a category 1 or higher system i.e. Cyclones that make landfall as Tropical Lows are not included in the overall total, however if during a post analysis a Tropical Low is found to have made landfall as a Tropical Cyclone, it will be included in the overall total. Also, because a single cyclone is capable of making more than one landfall, if this occurs all landfalls will be added to the overall total. However, ‘dillydallying land-falling cyclones’ i.e. Cyclones that make several landfalls in a small area due to weak steering influences and cyclones that track parallel to the mainland whereby the eye ‘brushes’ jagged parts of coastline (rather than making a convincing landfall) will only account for 1 landfall unless there is sufficient evidence to suggest otherwise.
16. Most Intense Cyclone: Determined by the Australian named cyclone that achieves the strongest wind gusts (as stated by the Bureau of Meteorology) whilst within Australia’s ‘Area of Responsibility’ between September 1st and April 30th. If two cyclones are deemed to have equal highest intensities, the cyclone with the larger radius of maximum winds will rank highest. Internationally named cyclones are not eligible for this category. If an upcoming name is skipped during the season (reasons being because it was deemed inappropriate at the time or to avoid confusion will another cyclone that has a similar name), to be fair, contestants that had selected that name will be automatically allocated the very next name on the list. Information provided by the BoM will be used to determine a cyclone’s maximum severity category and the severity category at landfall (if applicable) when crossing the Australian mainland (islands not included). If a cyclone makes more than one landfall, points will be allocated for each occasion this takes place. (Example: Cyclone Monica in 2006 was the season’s most intense cyclone at category 5, which also happened to make landfall twice, once in Qld as a category 3 system, and also in the N.T. as a category 5. Therefore a contestant that had of selected this cyclone would have been awarded a total of 15 points….. 5 Points for it achieving category 5 severity, 2 points for it also being the season’s most intense cyclone, 3 points for making landfall as a category 3 system in Qld, and another 5 points for making landfall as a category 5 system in the N.T.)
17. Cairns Rainfall: Based on the total rainfall recorded in the manually read rain gauge located at the Cairns Meteorological Office (Cairns Airport Site #031011) during the wet season months (October to April).*²
18. Mackay 25mm+ Days: The total number of days the official manually recorded rain gauge at the Mackay Meteorological Office (Site # 33119) records totals above 25mm. *²
19. Location with Highest Daily Rainfall: Determined by the location that records the highest daily rainfall total between September 1st and April 30th *². Measurements for each location will be taken from the following Bureau of Meteorology sites: Karratha Aero (Site #004083), Port Hedland Airport (Site #004032), Broome Airport (Site #003003), Kuri Bay (Site #001009), Darwin Airport (Site #014015), Gove Airport (Site #014508), Mornington Island (Site #029039), Weipa Aero (Site #027045), Cairns Aero (Site #031011), Townsville Aero (Site #032040), Mackay M.O. (Site #033119), Rockhampton Aero (Site #039083).
20. Daily Rainfall Total: Based on the highest daily rainfall total recorded at the site that claims victory in the above listed category.*²
*¹ Due to some categories having the remote possibility of occurring near midnight where the potential situation arises that WA, the NT, or Qld are on separate dates as a result of time zones; the date selected for the answer will be based on Local Time relevant to the corresponding region the event took place.
*² The rainfall totals used to calculate competition results will be the official ‘quality controlled’ figures recorded in the site’s manually read rain gauge and not the sites automatic gauge (Karratha Aero and Mornington Island are the only exception to this rule as they have no manual gauge). Please be aware that the rainfall totals displayed on the BoM’s observation page are initially the amount recorded at the site’s automatic gauge before being updated with the official figures usually within 1 month (by a total that is often very similar).
Other Factors Influencing the Outcome of the Competition:
a) If a contestant provides more than one answer for any category, they must specify which answer is to be used for the competition, otherwise only the first answer provided will be used when tallying the results.
b) If a contestant wishes to alter their already submitted forecast, they may do so only up until the date entries close.
c) The outcome of all categories are based on occurrences between September 1st, and April 30th unless stated otherwise. Any occurrences relevant to a category that take place either before or after this period are excluded from the competition tally/results.
d) Because the results of some categories are subject to change with the receipt of later information, for competition purposes the final answers to all categories will be based on the latest information available in May 2012.
e) If for any reason data from a specified site is unavailable on a day that had the potential to influence the competition result, data for that day will be sourced from the next nearest official Bureau of Meteorology site.
f) Results to all categories will be decided based on the above mentioned criteria. Even after this process if any results are still dubious or disputed, the final ruling will be made by the competition judge (Wet Wet Wet).
_________________________
Aussie Aussie Aussie, Oi Oi Oi
Beaconsfield, Mackay:
MTD - 29.6mm (April Ave - 145mm)
YTD - 1444.8mm (Annual Ave - 1665mm)
2011 Total - 2141.1mm
|
|
Top
|
|
|
|
|
#1003681 - 1/08/2011 07:23
Re: Annual Tropics Competition 2011/2012
[Re: Wet Wet Wet]
|
Weatherzone Addict
Registered: 1/07/2007
Loc: Victoria Pt. SE Qld.
|
My final tips for comp. before moving to Big Smoke in Dec...
1. Sept 15th.,
2. Sept 18th.,
3. Sept 28th.,
4. Nov 30th.,
5. Far Western,
6. 983 hPa.,
7. Dec 28th.,
8. Dec 27th.,
9. Jan 15th.,
10. Mornington Is.,
11. Cat 2,
12. Zero,
13. 45degC.,
14. 8,
15. 5,
16. Iggy,
17. 1650mm,
18. 15 days,
19. Cairns,
20. 265mm......
Tips from Retired Weather Man 01/08/11..
( Since I came almost last the previous year, no need for anyone to copy my guesses )..
Edited by retired weather man (1/08/2011 07:31)
_________________________
Vict Pt.2012(mm)976.0(760),Jan-473(177),Feb-165(183),Mar-142(176),Apr-179(117),May-17.0(107),
|
|
Top
|
|
|
|
|
#1003683 - 1/08/2011 08:23
Re: Annual Tropics Competition 2011/2012
[Re: retired weather man]
|
Weather Freak
Registered: 5/05/2010
Loc: Crookhaven Heads N.S.W 14m AS...
|
1.Sept 19
2.Oct 9
3.Oct 12
4.Dec 19
5.Western
6.975hPa
7.Jan 4
8.Dec 18
9.Dec 23
10.Derby WA
11.Cat 2
12.+6.54
13.41.9c
14.12
15.6
16.Heidi
17.1923mms
18.19
19.Townsville
20.242mms
Edited by Crookhaven River (1/08/2011 08:24)
_________________________
Rainfall March 2012 289.5mms/ APRIL 2012 MTD 30.5mms/ April 2011 total 88mms/ Total YTD 514.5mms.
|
|
Top
|
|
|
|
|
#1003701 - 1/08/2011 09:42
Re: Annual Tropics Competition 2011/2012
[Re: Crookhaven River]
|
Weather Freak
Registered: 23/11/2006
Loc: Whitsunday
|
1. Oct. 10
2. Oct. 01
3. Nov. 29
4. Dec. 12
5. Northern
6. 966 Hpa
7. Oct. 19
8. Dec. 12
9. Dec. 21
10. Gove
11. Cat 2
12. +4.7
13. 43.4
14. 9
15. 4
16. Mitchell
17. 2000mm
18. 23
19. Weipa
20. 244
_________________________
Home - Dingo Beach
Work - Hamilton Island
|
|
Top
|
|
|
|
|
#1003704 - 1/08/2011 09:53
Re: Annual Tropics Competition 2011/2012
[Re: Crookhaven River]
|
Weather Freak
Registered: 17/01/2011
Loc: Cairns, Bayview
|
1. 20th September
2. 29th September
3. 1st October
4. 8th December
5. Western Region
6. 991 hpa
7. 13th December
8. 12th December
9. 9th December
10. Onslow, WA
11. Cat 1
12. + 6.34
13. 43 C
14. 7 cyclones
15. 3 cyclones
16. Iggy
17. 2158mm
18. 32 days
19. Cairns
20. 436mm
_________________________
rain, rain, come again?
|
|
Top
|
|
|
|
|
#1003720 - 1/08/2011 11:20
Re: Annual Tropics Competition 2011/2012
[Re: JoshweatherNOW.]
|
Weatherzone Addict
Registered: 17/03/2009
Loc: Whitsundays .
|
Tropics Comp as according to Beachcomber
1. sep 24th
2. Sep 30th
3.
4. Dec 31st
5. Eastern arear
6. 985hpa
7. December 24th
8. December 30th
9. January 3rd 2012
10 43 deg
11. cat 2
12. + 6.78
13. 39
14. 6 cyclones
15. 2 cyclones
16.
17. 2219mml
18. 23 days
19. Proserpine and the Whitsundays
20. 305mmls
_________________________
Going back to paradise.
|
|
Top
|
|
|
|
|
#1003728 - 1/08/2011 13:05
Re: Annual Tropics Competition 2011/2012
[Re: beachcomber]
|
Weather Freak
Registered: 23/01/2011
Loc: Whitsundays
|
1. Karratha Rainfall: Sept 20th
2. Darwin Storm: Oct 2nd
3. Port Hedland 40°C: Oct 13th
4. First Cyclone: Dec 18th
5. Area Forms: Eastern Region
6. Lowest Pressure: 989hPa
7. Townsville 50mm: Nov 22th
8. Monsoon Arrival: Dec 12th
9. First Landfall: Feb 11th
10. Landfall Location: Cook Town
11. Category at Landfall: 3
12. Southern Oscillation Index: 11+
13. Highest Broome Temperature: 43°C
14. Total Cyclones: 8
15. Cyclone Landfalls: 3
16. Most Intense Cyclone: Heidi
17. Cairns Rainfall: 1711mm
18. Mackay 25mm+: 27
19. Wettest Location: Mackay
20. Daily Rainfall: 211mm
_________________________
Link to my Davis Vantage Vue weather station at: Mount Julian
|
|
Top
|
|
|
|
|
#1003751 - 1/08/2011 15:52
Re: Annual Tropics Competition 2011/2012
[Re: Rainrunner]
|
Weather Freak
Registered: 26/12/2010
Loc: Slacks Creek QLD
|
1. First rainfall Karrachi: Nov 21 2. First Darwin storm: Oct 10 3. Port Hedland 40°C: Oct 6 4. First cyclone: Dec 11 5. Location: Far Western 6. Lowest pressure: 980hPa 7. Townsville 50mm+: Dec 24 8. Monsoon arrival: Dec 15 9. First landfall: Jan 1 10. Landfall location: Port Hedland 11. Category at landfall: 3 12. Mean soi: +6.0 13. Highest Broome temp: 41.0°C 14. No. of cyclones: 8 15. No. of landfalling cyclones: 4 16. Most intense cyclone: Koji 17. Cairns rainfall: 1605mm 18. Mackay 25mm+: 14 days 19. Highest daily rainfall: Gove 20. Amount fallen: 285mm
|
|
Top
|
|
|
|
|
#1003762 - 1/08/2011 17:03
Re: Annual Tropics Competition 2011/2012
[Re: KroneckerDelta]
|
Weatherzone Addict
Registered: 28/12/2010
Loc: Eton, West of Mackay.
|
1. Karratha Rainfall: 29th Sept
2. Darwin Storm: 28th Sept
3. Port Hedland 40°C: 8th Oct
4. First Cyclone: 18th Nov
5. Area Forms: Western
6. Lowest Pressure: 982hPa
7. Townsville 50mm: 24th Oct
8. Monsoon Arrival: 7th Dec
9. First Landfall: 22nd Nov
10. Landfall Location: Broome, WA
11. Category at Landfall: 3
12. Southern Oscillation Index: +11
13. Highest Broome Temperature: 41°C
14. Total Cyclones: 7
15. Cyclone Landfalls: 4
16. Most Intense Cyclone: Heidi
17. Cairns Rainfall: 2184mm
18. Mackay 25mm+: 38
19. Wettest Location: Mackay
20. Daily Rainfall: 318mm
|
|
Top
|
|
|
|
|
#1003771 - 1/08/2011 17:48
Re: Annual Tropics Competition 2011/2012
[Re: PV Weather]
|
Weather Freak
Registered: 30/12/2010
Loc: Mt Convenient - north of Sarin...
|
OK - here goes - a total novice guestimate for the Annual Tropics Comp.
1. September 29th
2. September 22nd
3. November 2nd
4. December 30th
5. Northern Region
6. 990Hpa
7. December 19th
8. December 12th
9. January 8th 2012
19. Cape Weymouth
11. Cat 1.
12. 20.5
13. 39.8
14. 7 all up
15. 4 making landfall
16. Heidi
17. 1823m
18. 6 days ( there'll be more at Sarina though)
19. Mackay
20. 82mm
Many thanks to WWW for running this comp. You're a champ!
19.
_________________________
When life hands you puddles...Splash in em!
MTD 4.0mm *~* YTD 1621.5mm
|
|
Top
|
|
|
|
|
#1003794 - 1/08/2011 19:57
Re: Annual Tropics Competition 2011/2012
[Re: Wet-Ish]
|
Weather Freak
Registered: 5/10/2010
Loc: Bently Park, Cairns
|
Ok here goes. (Basing my guesses on the probably fairly nuetral conditions leading into spring and summer).
1.Sep 14
2.Sep 27
3.Oct 10
4.Dec 21
5.Western
6.973
7.Nov 12
8.Dec 27
9.Jan 15
10.Bathurst Bay
11.Cat 2
12.+12.5
13.42.1
14.11
15.7
16.Jasmine
17.1.74m
18.31
19.Cairns
20.376mm
|
|
Top
|
|
|
|
|
#1003920 - 2/08/2011 19:39
Re: Annual Tropics Competition 2011/2012
[Re: Hinezy]
|
Weather Freak
Registered: 23/01/2011
Loc: Whitsundays
|
Good work Matthew, well presented, big thumbs-up for the music.
_________________________
Link to my Davis Vantage Vue weather station at: Mount Julian
|
|
Top
|
|
|
|
|
#1003922 - 2/08/2011 20:02
Re: Annual Tropics Competition 2011/2012
[Re: Hinezy]
|
WZ Moderator
Registered: 23/09/2001
Loc: Bellingen, NSW
|
OK, happy with last year...can I better it this... Thanks for putting this together WWW - love it  1:September 28th 2: October 3rd 3: 1st October 4: 18th December 5: Eastern 6: 984hpa 7: December 12th 8: December 16th 9: January 15th 10: Broome, WA 11: Cat 2 12: +13 13: 41.7C 14: 10 15: 6 16: Jasmine 17: 2105mm 18: 22 19: Mackay 20: 295mm Phew
|
|
Top
|
|
|
|
|
#1003927 - 2/08/2011 20:17
Re: Annual Tropics Competition 2011/2012
[Re: Rainrunner]
|
Weatherzone Addict
Registered: 29/11/2009
Loc: Wodonga, Vic
|
Lets see how hard I fail this year  1. Aug 27th 2. Sept 18th 3. Sept 23rd 4. December 5th 5. Northern 6. 977hPa 7. Sept 25th 8. Nov 29th 9. Dec 7th 10. Darwin 11. 2 12. +20.4 13. 40°C 14. 13 15. 7 16. Iggy 17. 2745mm 18. 34 19. Gove 20. 390mm
|
|
Top
|
|
|
|
|
#1003930 - 2/08/2011 20:34
Re: Annual Tropics Competition 2011/2012
[Re: Mathew]
|
Weather Freak
Registered: 23/01/2011
Loc: Whitsundays
|
Mathew, i reckon you got a %66 %33 chance of winning with those tips.
_________________________
Link to my Davis Vantage Vue weather station at: Mount Julian
|
|
Top
|
|
|
|
|
#1003932 - 2/08/2011 20:37
Re: Annual Tropics Competition 2011/2012
[Re: Rainrunner]
|
Meteorological Motor Mouth
Registered: 11/01/2006
Loc: Townsville, Queensland
|
Yep I think you are right there now all I got to do is see how the season go.
Edited by Mathew (2/08/2011 20:38)
_________________________
Winter rock in North Queensland.....
Yearly Total Rainfalls Total 2011-2012> 957.3mm
(Last hour 0.0mm (15.6mm)
Last 24 hour 15.6mm, Last week 15.6mm, last Month 15.6mm.
|
|
Top
|
|
|
|
|
26566 Members
31 Forums
21099 Topics
1137302 Posts
Max Online: 2925 @ 2/02/2011 22:23
|
|
|
Previous Topic
Index