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#1074585 - 11/02/2012 13:27 Re: Annual Tropics Competition 2011/2012 [Re: Mathew]
Mick10 Offline
Weatherzone Moderator

Registered: 2/11/2001
Loc: Vincent, Townsville - NQld.
what round are you talking about?
_________________________
Vincent, Townsville Nth Qld -
April 2012 - 15.6mm(62mm)
May 2012 - 0.4mm (17mm)
2012 Year to Date - 1337.0mm (1132mm)

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#1074594 - 11/02/2012 13:32 Re: Annual Tropics Competition 2011/2012 [Re: Mick10]
Mathew Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 11/01/2006
Loc: Townsville, Queensland
This Severe Tropical Cyclone Jasmine is all I want to know.
_________________________
Winter rock in North Queensland.....
Yearly Total Rainfalls Total 2011-2012> 957.3mm
(Last hour 0.0mm (15.6mm)
Last 24 hour 15.6mm, Last week 15.6mm, last Month 15.6mm.

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#1074746 - 11/02/2012 17:18 Re: Annual Tropics Competition 2011/2012 [Re: Mathew]
KroneckerDelta Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 26/12/2010
Loc: Slacks Creek QLD
Sorry Matty, but there's no question for TC Jazzy.

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#1074751 - 11/02/2012 17:20 Re: Annual Tropics Competition 2011/2012 [Re: KroneckerDelta]
Mathew Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 11/01/2006
Loc: Townsville, Queensland
All well I will just left it as that any way.
_________________________
Winter rock in North Queensland.....
Yearly Total Rainfalls Total 2011-2012> 957.3mm
(Last hour 0.0mm (15.6mm)
Last 24 hour 15.6mm, Last week 15.6mm, last Month 15.6mm.

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#1081206 - 26/02/2012 10:32 Re: Annual Tropics Competition 2011/2012 [Re: Mathew]
Popeye Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 30/12/2006
Loc: Cable Beach, Broome.
According to the rules from WWW question 16 strongest cyclone, Jasmine is in the running but it also states that wind gusts need to be achieved within Australia's Area Of Responsibilty. Jasmine really cranked once it was out of this area so it leaves this question still wide open for a big system to take the lead into March. If predictions eventuate the middle few weeks of March should add to the tally board of cyclones for this season.

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#1084966 - 4/03/2012 09:30 Re: Annual Tropics Competition 2011/2012 [Re: Popeye]
Wet Wet Wet Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 8/01/2008
Loc: Paradise - Mackay, Qld
Question # 12: The Southern Oscillation Index (S.O.I.) averaged over the 6 months of Spring & Summer.

After a rapid decline during the middle of 2011, the S.O.I. recovered and entered positive territory once again resulting in La Nina persisting for another season, albeit much weaker than the previous year.



For the 2011/12 season the average S.O.I. for the 6 months was 11.28+, which ranks as the 15th highest from the past 136 years of data. Not a bad follow up considering the 2010/11 season produced the highest figure on record.

Scoring for this category was based on the following system:
10 Points – Within 0.5
8 Points – Within 1.0
7 Points – Within 2.0
6 Points – Within 3.0
5 Points – Within 4.0
4 Points – Within 5.0
3 Points – Within 6.0
2 Points – Within 8.0
1 Point – Within 10.0


Allocation of Error Points:
The contestant’s inaccuracy will be rounded to the nearest 0.2 figure, with 1 error point being allocated for every 0.2 increment.

Top 40 Results:



Well done to Rainrunner, PV Weather and Xavo who all raked in maximum points for this round. grin The Central Coast & Whitsunday crew did very well taking up 6 of the top 7 positions – nice work. cool

And the updated overall Top 30:



We have a new leader! laugh After spending the last 20 weeks at the top I’ve finally been knocked off my perch. Had to happen sooner of later. Well done BigJohn. grin

Still another 8 categories to go over the final 2 months of the competition, so anything can happen yet. Should be an interesting finish. smile
_________________________
Aussie Aussie Aussie, Oi Oi Oi

Beaconsfield, Mackay:
MTD - 29.6mm (April Ave - 145mm)
YTD - 1444.8mm (Annual Ave - 1665mm)
2011 Total - 2141.1mm

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#1088505 - 13/03/2012 20:55 Re: Annual Tropics Competition 2011/2012 [Re: Wet Wet Wet]
Xavo Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 11/11/2009
Loc: Airlie Beach
Oh awesome, top work Whitsunday Crew!

It's starting to get cold here in Brisbane, I don't know how I'm gonna cope...

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#1102675 - 4/05/2012 12:49 Re: Annual Tropics Competition 2011/2012 [Re: Xavo]
Popeye Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 30/12/2006
Loc: Cable Beach, Broome.
WWW must be busily calculating the final catergories in this years comp. I wonder who will be on the podium this year.

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#1103467 - 9/05/2012 21:57 Re: Annual Tropics Competition 2011/2012 [Re: Popeye]
Wet Wet Wet Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 8/01/2008
Loc: Paradise - Mackay, Qld
OK then folks, yes the Wet Season has come and gone again, and we are now into the Dry season. So time for me to tally up results in the 8 remaining categories of the Tropics Competition. Sorry for the delay, have been working on this for the past week – though have been pretty busy. Anyway, to get us started, here are results for categories # 13 to 16.

# 13 – Highest Maximum Temperature Recorded at Broome:

This season the highest temperature in Broome peaked at 41.0°C on November 26th:



And if you look real close in the above image you can actually see Popeye cooling off down by the beach! laugh

So just to recap, the following scoring system applies to this category:

10 Points – Exact Temperature
8 Points – Within 0.1°C
7 Points – Within 0.3°C
6 Points – Within 0.5°C
5 Points – Within 0.7°C
4 Points – Within 1.0°C
3 Points – Within 1.5°C
2 Points – Within 2.0°C
1 Point – Within 2.5°C


Allocation of Error Points:
1 error point will be allocated for each decimal degree inaccuracy

Top 40 contestants:



Well done to KroneckerDelta, PV Weather and RWM’s Daughter for all forecasting the exact temperature. KD claiming victory by forecasting just 71 minutes ahead of PV. Unfortunately for RWMD, she was penalised 1 point for a ‘late’ entry.


# 14 – Total Number of Tropical Cyclones:

Well to much relief for some, and great disappointment for others, overall this season produced a below average number of Tropical Cyclones within the Australian Region. A total of 8 cyclones were active within Australian Waters between September 1st and April 30th:
1. Alenga
2. Fina
3. Grant
4. Heidi
5. Iggy
6. Jasmine
7. Koji
8. Lua

TC Alenga was the only system named by an international warning centre which travelled into Australian waters.

Scoring System:
10 Points – Exact Number
6 Points – Within 1 Cyclone
4 Points – Within 2 Cyclones
2 Points – Within 3 Cyclones
1 Point – Within 4 Cyclones


Allocation of Error Points:
5 error points allocated for each cyclone inaccuracy

Top 40 Contestants:



A total of 9 contestants each correctly forecasted the exact number, boosting their overall total. Well done to Retired Weather Man for being the first!


# 15 – Total Number of Land-falling Tropical Cyclones:

This season all the action occurred in the Western half of the country. A total of 3 landfalls took place, all from separate systems. The first being Grant (Cat 2) in the NT, followed by Heidi (Cat 2) and Lua (Cat 4) in WA.

Scoring System:
10 Points – Exact Number
6 Points – Within 1 Cyclone
4 Points – Within 2 Cyclones
2 Points – Within 3 Cyclones
1 Point – Within 4 Cyclones


Allocation of Error Points:
5 error points allocated for each cyclone inaccuracy

Top 40 Contestants:



Congratulations to JoshweatherNOW, Rainrunner, Firepac and HedlandCyclone for all forecasting the correct number of landfalls.


# 16 – Season’s Most Intense Cyclone:

This category is a little different in that even if the cyclone you choose isn’t the strongest, you still have the opportunity to earn points. This season the best was saved for last with only one cyclone attaining severe status (Cat 3+) whilst within Australian Waters. This was achieved by Cyclone Lua, which later crossed near Pardoo as a category 4 system (marginal). The guys from Oz Cyclone Chasers also kept us informed and entertained who intercepted her at landfall. Meanwhile Queensland born Cyclone Jasmine eventually developed into a Category 4 system, though by this time had long exited Australian Waters.

Below is a table listing all Australian named Cyclones that formed throughout the 2011/12 Season, including maximum severity category attained and intensity at landfall (where applicable):



So just to clarify the above, scoring system for this round:
Highest Category achieved by Cyclone selected by contestant:
5 Points – Category 5
4 Points – Category 4
3 Points – Category 3
2 Points – Category 2
Contestants will be awarded a further 2 points if the cyclone they selected is the season’s most intense. Additionally, contestants will also be awarded points if the cyclone they selected makes landfall;
Category at Landfall:
5 Points – Category 5
4 Points – Category 4
3 Points – Category 3
2 Points – Category 2
1 Point – Category 1


Allocation of Error Points:
• 30 error points allocated for cyclones that fail to attain severe status and fail to make landfall
• 20 error points allocated for cyclones that fail to attain severe status but make landfall
• 15 error points allocated for cyclones that fail to make landfall but attain severe status
• 10 error points allocated for cyclones that attain severe status and make landfall, but are not the season’s most intense cyclone
• 0 error points allocated for selecting the season’s most intense cyclone regardless of it making landfall or not


Top 40 Contestants:



Well done to Popeye, Thomo, Eclectic and Mick for each forecasting the season’s most intense cyclone, and earning themselves 10 points. A major turnaround for Popeye this year who last year in this same category was second from the bottom after his cyclone failed to eventuate. This year unfortunately once again not all forecasted cyclones eventuated, with the remainder of contestants all forecasting Mitchell, so sadly miss out on points.

I’ll try my best to get results up for the remaining categories some time over the next few days..... Stay tuned!!!
_________________________
Aussie Aussie Aussie, Oi Oi Oi

Beaconsfield, Mackay:
MTD - 29.6mm (April Ave - 145mm)
YTD - 1444.8mm (Annual Ave - 1665mm)
2011 Total - 2141.1mm

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#1103477 - 9/05/2012 23:02 Re: Annual Tropics Competition 2011/2012 [Re: Wet Wet Wet]
PV Weather Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 28/12/2010
Loc: Eton, West of Mackay.
Wow, I've really picked up a lot over the end of the season.
Thought I'd be at the bottom for a while there poke
_________________________
Eton, QLD (30km SW of Mackay):
LIVE DATA || FANCY GRAPHS
OZ FORECAST
WUNDERGROUND (IQLDETON2)

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#1103494 - 10/05/2012 07:53 Re: Annual Tropics Competition 2011/2012 [Re: PV Weather]
ColdFront Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 29/06/2008
Loc: Cairns
Nah that's my job to come last poke . I said it would all be down hill from the start for me. But there are no loosers here. Everyone that had a go and wasn't afraid to enter are winners in my book.

The biggest winner is Wet Wet Wet regardless of the result, for his efforts in putting this thing together! Thanks WWW.
_________________________
"Politicians and nappies should be changed often and for the same reason"

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