A commom theme in the Yasi event was the same or very similar questions being asked by new members almost on the same page so to help I have put together this article on how cyclones form.
It is taken from various sources (Notated at the start of each detailed explantion with a link) so that people can start here and further their own study eleswhere if they want.
This isn't the complete picture by a long shot but should give people a basic understanding of how they form. Yes they do form outside these parameters and have done so in the past and will probably do so again in the future. CYCLOGENSISThe following factors are what are required, generally, for a cyclone to form. It does sometimes happens that even with all 6 factors in place a cyclone doesn't form.
There are six main requirements for tropical cyclogenesis:
1) sufficiently warm sea surface temperatures,
2) atmospheric instability,
3) high humidity in the lower to middle levels of the troposphere,
4) enough Coriolis force to sustain a low pressure centre,
5) a pre-existing low level focus or disturbance,
6) and low vertical wind shear.
Detailed explanation: Tropical cyclones form due to latent heat driven by significant thunderstorm activity, and are warm core with well-defined circulations. Certain criteria need to be met for their formation. In most situations, water temperatures of at least 26.5 °C (79.7 °F) are needed down to a depth of at least 50 m (160 ft); waters of this temperature cause the overlying atmosphere to be unstable enough to sustain convection and thunderstorms. Another factor is rapid cooling with height, which allows the release of the heat of condensation that powers a tropical cyclone. High humidity is needed, especially in the lower-to-mid troposphere; when there is a great deal of moisture in the atmosphere, conditions are more favorable for disturbances to develop. Low amounts of wind shear are needed, as high shear is disruptive to the storm's circulation. Lastly, a formative tropical cyclone needs a pre-existing system of disturbed weather, although without a circulation no cyclonic development will take place.
1) SST's:
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Sea_surface_temperature Normally, an ocean temperature of 26.5°C (79.7°F) spanning through at least a 50-metre depth is considered the minimum to maintain the special mesocyclone that is the tropical cyclone.[3] These warm waters are needed to maintain the warm core that fuels tropical systems.
2) Atmospheric instability:
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Atmospheric_instability is a condition where the atmosphere is generally considered to be unstable and as a result the weather is subject to a high degree of variability through distance and time [1]. Atmospheric stability is a measure of the atmosphere's tendency to encourage or deter vertical motion, and vertical motion is directly correlated to different types of weather systems and their severities. In unstable conditions, a lifted parcel of air will be warmer than the surrounding air at altitude. Because it is warmer, it is less dense and is prone to further ascent. In meteorology, instability is described by a lifted index and a K-index.
3) High humidity:
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Low-pressure_area is needed, especially in the lower-to-mid troposphere; when there is a great deal of moisture in the atmosphere, conditions are more favorable for disturbances to develop.
4) Coriolis force:
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Tropical_cyclogenesisA minimum distance of 500 km from the equator is normally needed for tropical cyclogenesis. The Coriolis force imparts rotation on the flow and arises as winds begin to flow in toward the lower pressure created by the pre-existing disturbance. In areas with a very small or non-existent Coriolis force (e.g. near the Equator), the only significant atmospheric forces in play are the pressure gradient force (the pressure difference that causes winds to blow from high to low pressure ) and a smaller friction force; these two alone would not cause the large-scale rotation required for tropical cyclogenesis. The existence of a significant Coriolis force allows the developing vortex to achieve gradient wind balance. This is a balance condition found in mature tropical cyclones that allows latent heat to concentrate near the storm core; this results in the maintenance or intensification of the vortex if other development factors are neutral.
5) A low pressure area: (
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Low-pressure_area)
, or "low", is a region where the atmospheric pressure at sea level is below that of surrounding locations. Low pressure systems form under areas of wind divergence which occur in upper levels of the troposphere. The formation process of a low pressure area is known as cyclogenesis.
6) Wind Shear: Effects on tropical cyclones Wikipedia
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Wind_shearStrong wind shear in the high troposphere forms the anvil-shaped top of this mature cumulonimbus cloud, or thunderstorm. Tropical cyclones are basically heat engines that are fueled by the temperature gradient between the warm tropical ocean surface and the colder upper atmosphere. Tropical cyclone development requires relatively low values of vertical wind shear so that their warm core can remain above their surface circulation center, thereby promoting strengthening. Vertical wind shear tears up the "machinery" of the heat engine causing it to break down. Strongly sheared tropical cyclones weaken as the upper circulation is blown away from the low level center.
Summary: Cyclone season in Australia is between November and April, but cyclones can still occur in the month of May.
According to the Bureau of Meteorology, Australia has, on average, 13 cyclones a year. Half of these occur in the western regions.