Bit to like about cold pool forecast for next Sat-Sun. Still examining detail but from brief look over GFS looks best with 500 temps at least -25c lingering early sat night thru till late evening 850 temps down to -2 later on Sat into Sunday. Ecmwf has things nicely set up for Sat morning with sub zero looking set to push through the southern areas Saturday, tho it also has it all falling away very rapidly late Saturday. Has been fairly consistent in last few runs.
Holding back on this one tho for the moment as the GFS runs particularly has been bouncing about a lot. Hopefully some promise for the “s” word yet.
Update:GFS 18z has swung back towards 2October 00z run (after 12z looked quite insipid again) - has 850 temps around -4C over Albany tho eased back a bit on 500 temps. Long way to go and I wont really believe it until see more GFS runs on this one.