Nitso would certainly not be betting the house on this one. Highly unlikely... GFS has a vague low deterministic... EC reckons we in the north are in for beautiful weather... I tend to agree.
Spot on Booms I wouldn't be betting any more than a 10c coin on anything happening in the CS again this season.
Temps at 50m deep are starting to become marginal and the Winter upper pattern is starting to take the place of the beautiful upper pattern that existed in March and early April. Perhaps a weak LOW again in the Arafura is a possibility but for mine that's all she wrote this season for the Coral Sea.
TC Fina and TC Jasmine and a borderline TC Fina MkII that hit SE Queensland. So 2 official systems for the year, pretty dismal considering we had a whole month of beautiful upper level conditions anywhere north of Cairns, in what is traditionally the most active cyclonic period.
Wonder if an el nino next Summer will bring us more luck...