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#1431259 - 19/08/2017 18:37 Re: Vic - discussion on possible events to come [Re: Petros]
Petros Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 30/12/2002
Posts: 6601
Loc: Maffra, Central Gippsland, Vi...
The cut-off low to cross SA tomorrow/Monday looks to be impressive while in SA, but will fall away south to be absorbed into the roaring 40's W of Tassie by Tuesday.

Hopefully Vic's West may accumulate 5mm - the East 2.5 - 5mm?? by Tuesday night?

Every drop is handy, so close after the clearing snowy event!

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#1431383 - 21/08/2017 18:47 Re: Vic - discussion on possible events to come [Re: Petros]
Petros Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 30/12/2002
Posts: 6601
Loc: Maffra, Central Gippsland, Vi...
Models not showing any significant rain event for Vic in the 7-10 day outlook (at this stage) - but all show that the Indian Ocean Nth of Pt Headland is able to provide NW cloudbands should the continents syn-optics allow.

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#1431444 - 22/08/2017 12:14 Re: Vic - discussion on possible events to come [Re: Petros]
ThunderBob Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 23/01/2011
Posts: 612
Loc: Sarsfield, East Gippsland, Vic
Something amiss with the Bairnsdale Airport AWS . shocked It showed 27mm from 0 at 0900 and then another 27mm to 1200 54mm just in the past three hours - from a cloudless sky smirk

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#1431447 - 22/08/2017 13:09 Re: Vic - discussion on possible events to come [Re: Petros]
samboz Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 16/11/2014
Posts: 1838
Loc: Between Maffra & the Mountains...
U/s NOW TB, beaut day here, bright blue sky, snow glistening to the N.

Almost Calm.

Agree Petros, not much on the horizon in the next week +.


Edited by samboz (22/08/2017 13:10)
_________________________
Rain 2016-753.5mm.J-173mmF-5mmM-66mmA-32.5mmM-24mmJ-88mmJ-143mmA-17.5mmS-89.5mmO-53.5mmNov-61.5mmDec-26mmTOTAL 2016 - 779.5MM Rain 2017.Jan-9.5mmFeb-23mmMarch-49mmApril-40mmMay-12mmJune-12mmJuly-15mm Aug-36.5mm Sept-26mm Oct-87mm Nov-19.5mm to 0800 19th

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#1431455 - 22/08/2017 14:02 Re: Vic - discussion on possible events to come [Re: Petros]
ThunderBob Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 23/01/2011
Posts: 612
Loc: Sarsfield, East Gippsland, Vic
Anyways, Samboz, it's not so inaccurate now - Official obs show 33mm since 0900. laugh

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#1431463 - 22/08/2017 16:41 Re: Vic - discussion on possible events to come [Re: Petros]
samboz Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 16/11/2014
Posts: 1838
Loc: Between Maffra & the Mountains...
Hmm, sounds like a local (S'fielder) trying to sell the farm to someone in China TB...lol

You know - high rainfall semi tropical paradise etc comes with free native kangaroos/emus/bears etc

edit-forgot to mention, just mowed the (onion) grass, first time in couple of months, come up OK.


Edited by samboz (22/08/2017 16:43)
_________________________
Rain 2016-753.5mm.J-173mmF-5mmM-66mmA-32.5mmM-24mmJ-88mmJ-143mmA-17.5mmS-89.5mmO-53.5mmNov-61.5mmDec-26mmTOTAL 2016 - 779.5MM Rain 2017.Jan-9.5mmFeb-23mmMarch-49mmApril-40mmMay-12mmJune-12mmJuly-15mm Aug-36.5mm Sept-26mm Oct-87mm Nov-19.5mm to 0800 19th

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#1431468 - 22/08/2017 18:41 Re: Vic - discussion on possible events to come [Re: Petros]
Petros Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 30/12/2002
Posts: 6601
Loc: Maffra, Central Gippsland, Vi...
The weak change to cross Vic tomorrow will sustain the moisture we all got late last week and add to an impressive late snow season:



...thought I heard the radio mention the possibility of a storm somewhere in Vic with this on my way home this arvo. Hope they meant N Gippy, and hope it arrives after 4pm when Petros exits the fields of Royal Maffra to observe the weather from the bar!

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#1431473 - 22/08/2017 20:10 Re: Vic - discussion on possible events to come [Re: Petros]
samboz Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 16/11/2014
Posts: 1838
Loc: Between Maffra & the Mountains...
<536 air on ACCESS tomorrow late and a big piece of Thurs, it's going to be cold !

Snow 1100m Wed and 900m Thur.
_________________________
Rain 2016-753.5mm.J-173mmF-5mmM-66mmA-32.5mmM-24mmJ-88mmJ-143mmA-17.5mmS-89.5mmO-53.5mmNov-61.5mmDec-26mmTOTAL 2016 - 779.5MM Rain 2017.Jan-9.5mmFeb-23mmMarch-49mmApril-40mmMay-12mmJune-12mmJuly-15mm Aug-36.5mm Sept-26mm Oct-87mm Nov-19.5mm to 0800 19th

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#1431478 - 22/08/2017 23:04 Re: Vic - discussion on possible events to come [Re: Petros]
ThunderBob Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 23/01/2011
Posts: 612
Loc: Sarsfield, East Gippsland, Vic
Are you interested in buying Petros, great rainfall in Sarsfield, even when the sky is blue. True!

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#1431484 - 23/08/2017 09:10 Re: Vic - discussion on possible events to come [Re: Petros]
doogasnow Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 07/12/2014
Posts: 1022
Loc: traf/moe south 410m asl/west &...
Yeah samboz, nice cold air coming over
Us again later today and overnight with
A nice top up of snow down to about
900m by the look of it!

Looking at the charts and it might be the
Last cold event for awhile ??
And not to much rain on the horizon either

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#1431485 - 23/08/2017 09:11 Re: Vic - discussion on possible events to come [Re: Petros]
doogasnow Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 07/12/2014
Posts: 1022
Loc: traf/moe south 410m asl/west &...
Hope your right regarding storm
Today Petros 👍👍

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#1431505 - 23/08/2017 15:19 Re: Vic - discussion on possible events to come [Re: Petros]
chasers addict Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 11/12/2007
Posts: 2293
Loc: Bendigo/ Kangaroo Flat, Vic Ra...
Cold nights of 1c for rest of week for me, cant wait sun get closer to rise temperature to 10c make me happy.


Edited by chasers addict (23/08/2017 15:19)

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#1431512 - 23/08/2017 17:52 Re: Vic - discussion on possible events to come [Re: Petros]
doogasnow Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 07/12/2014
Posts: 1022
Loc: traf/moe south 410m asl/west &...
Big front pushing through now with
Heavy rain strong wind and big temp
Drop!!
From 10.5c to 7c in about 15min

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#1431520 - 23/08/2017 19:21 Re: Vic - discussion on possible events to come [Re: Petros]
samboz Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 16/11/2014
Posts: 1838
Loc: Between Maffra & the Mountains...
Saw 20.3C round 1300 today.

Windy front coming thru' now, no rain yet.

15km away at the moment with radar showing some of it sliding offshore to our south.
_________________________
Rain 2016-753.5mm.J-173mmF-5mmM-66mmA-32.5mmM-24mmJ-88mmJ-143mmA-17.5mmS-89.5mmO-53.5mmNov-61.5mmDec-26mmTOTAL 2016 - 779.5MM Rain 2017.Jan-9.5mmFeb-23mmMarch-49mmApril-40mmMay-12mmJune-12mmJuly-15mm Aug-36.5mm Sept-26mm Oct-87mm Nov-19.5mm to 0800 19th

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#1431522 - 23/08/2017 20:11 Re: Vic - discussion on possible events to come [Re: Petros]
ThunderBob Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 23/01/2011
Posts: 612
Loc: Sarsfield, East Gippsland, Vic
At 8pm first gusty shower - ahead (by the radar) of the main rain band. Band appears to be thinning as it moves east. Note 15mm at Warragul.

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#1431529 - 23/08/2017 21:13 Re: Vic - discussion on possible events to come [Re: Petros]
samboz Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 16/11/2014
Posts: 1838
Loc: Between Maffra & the Mountains...
Very, very nice consistent falling rain last 1/2hr ++, good tip Petros !

Access didn't really tip this back when you mentioned it, but looked a fair bit better with approx 6hrs @ 2-5mm/3hr period.

ie We might get 4 to 10mm out of it.


Edited by samboz (23/08/2017 21:19)
_________________________
Rain 2016-753.5mm.J-173mmF-5mmM-66mmA-32.5mmM-24mmJ-88mmJ-143mmA-17.5mmS-89.5mmO-53.5mmNov-61.5mmDec-26mmTOTAL 2016 - 779.5MM Rain 2017.Jan-9.5mmFeb-23mmMarch-49mmApril-40mmMay-12mmJune-12mmJuly-15mm Aug-36.5mm Sept-26mm Oct-87mm Nov-19.5mm to 0800 19th

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#1431535 - 23/08/2017 21:38 Re: Vic - discussion on possible events to come [Re: Petros]
samboz Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 16/11/2014
Posts: 1838
Loc: Between Maffra & the Mountains...


Helimed attending dairyfarm accident this morning, do a great job.

Back on subject - still raining, best rain here in four months, not a huge fall so far but hasn't stopped.

The odd heavier fall rate mixed in with terrific steady rain grin


Edited by samboz (23/08/2017 21:43)
_________________________
Rain 2016-753.5mm.J-173mmF-5mmM-66mmA-32.5mmM-24mmJ-88mmJ-143mmA-17.5mmS-89.5mmO-53.5mmNov-61.5mmDec-26mmTOTAL 2016 - 779.5MM Rain 2017.Jan-9.5mmFeb-23mmMarch-49mmApril-40mmMay-12mmJune-12mmJuly-15mm Aug-36.5mm Sept-26mm Oct-87mm Nov-19.5mm to 0800 19th

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#1431616 - 24/08/2017 18:48 Re: Vic - discussion on possible events to come [Re: Petros]
Petros Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 30/12/2002
Posts: 6601
Loc: Maffra, Central Gippsland, Vi...
Great photo Samboz - lucky us that you've found IMGUR! smile

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#1431625 - 24/08/2017 20:21 Re: Vic - discussion on possible events to come [Re: Petros]
samboz Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 16/11/2014
Posts: 1838
Loc: Between Maffra & the Mountains...
Sounded like maybe 8 -> 10m on the roof, but measured 6mm this AM which was very well accepted.

Some extra snow on Wellington this morning, gone by this evening.

Calm and 9.5C here now.
_________________________
Rain 2016-753.5mm.J-173mmF-5mmM-66mmA-32.5mmM-24mmJ-88mmJ-143mmA-17.5mmS-89.5mmO-53.5mmNov-61.5mmDec-26mmTOTAL 2016 - 779.5MM Rain 2017.Jan-9.5mmFeb-23mmMarch-49mmApril-40mmMay-12mmJune-12mmJuly-15mm Aug-36.5mm Sept-26mm Oct-87mm Nov-19.5mm to 0800 19th

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#1431630 - 24/08/2017 21:35 Re: Vic - discussion on possible events to come [Re: Petros]
samboz Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 16/11/2014
Posts: 1838
Loc: Between Maffra & the Mountains...
Recent (still playing with Imgur)-

_________________________
Rain 2016-753.5mm.J-173mmF-5mmM-66mmA-32.5mmM-24mmJ-88mmJ-143mmA-17.5mmS-89.5mmO-53.5mmNov-61.5mmDec-26mmTOTAL 2016 - 779.5MM Rain 2017.Jan-9.5mmFeb-23mmMarch-49mmApril-40mmMay-12mmJune-12mmJuly-15mm Aug-36.5mm Sept-26mm Oct-87mm Nov-19.5mm to 0800 19th

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