#1022618 - 19/10/2011 20:06
Re: Vic - discussion on possible events to come
[Re: Petros]
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Meteorological Motor Mouth
Registered: 30/12/2002
Posts: 7824
Loc: Maffra, Central Gippsland, Vi...
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Just looked at the latest AccG, it seems to think that the troughy period we are about to enter later tomorrow might hang around for ages (well 7 days) and finish it all off with a "bang" courtesy of a cut off low spawned from a cold aired LWT that passes by close enough to leave a "knot" behind amongst the lingering humidity. There IS weather for Vic to keep us keen for a week!  Bring it on. [edit] - by the way heres AccG's progs for rain for 24 hrs near this time next week (and the day later even more from Bairnsdale E'wards)..... 
Edited by Petros (19/10/2011 20:09)
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#1022626 - 19/10/2011 20:20
Re: Vic - discussion on possible events to come
[Re: Petros]
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Weatherzone Addict
Registered: 20/12/2010
Posts: 2715
Loc: Wantirna, Vic
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I agree with you Petros. It will be an interesting next 7 days, starting from tomorrow night? Watching that cloud coming through from the west looks quite volatile - goody 
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#1023167 - 21/10/2011 21:18
Re: Vic - discussion on possible events to come
[Re: duckweather]
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Meteorological Motor Mouth
Registered: 30/12/2002
Posts: 7824
Loc: Maffra, Central Gippsland, Vi...
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Its hard to discern the end of this present weather event - the moisture available to Vic looks to persist for another week if I'm reading things right. Like me, the models are all over the shop. With the brushing of the LWT passing below us later next week we could either end up with: 1. A new high pressure system finally battling its way over us by end of next week clearing all this out 2. A cut-off low born from the next LWT passing circa Thurs 3. An Easterly dip situation... a general large scale inland low system over inland E Aus. Dont ask me! - I'll just go by "where theres smoke theres fire" (the betting side of me puts 2 bob on the Easterly dip  . Its gotten moist outside here in Vic right now and I cant see it going away real fast.
Edited by Petros (21/10/2011 21:21)
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#1024131 - 25/10/2011 20:00
Re: Vic - discussion on possible events to come
[Re: Petros]
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Weatherzone Addict
Registered: 01/02/2011
Posts: 2879
Loc: Tweed Heads
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The BOM on ABC radio yesterday said change arriving to west Vic on friday and passing state on saturday.The BOM wind forecast map indicates a developing embryonioc ECL on the sunday night on the far east coast of Vic. In the past this set up of ECL development has seen Vic with an arching jetstream over VIC and some rain. I would agree with EC and your rainfall forecast petros. http://www.wunderground.com/global/Region/AU/2xJetStream.htmlThe arch on the jetstream is not in view yet.
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#1024644 - 27/10/2011 18:02
Re: Vic - discussion on possible events to come
[Re: crikey]
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Meteorological Motor Mouth
Registered: 30/12/2002
Posts: 7824
Loc: Maffra, Central Gippsland, Vi...
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Heres GFS as it has morphed a couple of iteration later Crikey....  The trough between the 2 high centres looks less likely, it looking like the centres of this double-yolker might merge. Fast looming into the postable range for a new thread (be it warm sunny days OR troughy stormy days  ). [edit] - sorry Crikey, just realised that what you meant was post the "early-thus-inaccurate" chart that we are commenting on at that time. Noted.
Edited by Petros (27/10/2011 18:05) Edit Reason: The light just came on..
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