Ill be down at Victor this weekend for schoolies so for once I dont really mind what the weather does For anyone that tries there luck with some storms have fun XD

Nice storms building SW of Pt Lincoln. I'm amazed that I can see frequent flashes down on my SW horizon from it. Must be high based for sure.

I'm issuing an Unstable pot and garden plant alert for SA today - pot plants and delicate garden plants can easily be destroyed on a hot windy day if not well-watered (and protected if there is the means to do it), and this is forecast to be such a day.

I don't have time to find the location of those storms you could see the lightning from WM but Port Lincoln is approx 245 km from Whyalla according to the BOM radar coordinate and distance display, so those storms would be over 245 km distant

Hope you have a good time Marcus

All moving a tad slower than expected by the looks... Which means it could be good for us tonight hopefully as well as this arvo... (in regards to possible storms)

Aviation: ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS SW OF Port Lincoln/Edenhope, EXTENDING TO SW
OF Cleve/Adelaide/Bordertown BY 00Z, AND SW OF Snowtown/Lameroo BY 08Z.

and just a reminder....
Extreme Fire Danger is forecast for the following forecast district:
Yorke Peninsula
The Country Fire Service advises that fires burning under these conditions are likely to be fast-moving and uncontrollable.

Severe Fire Danger is forecast for the following forecast districts:
Upper South East, Murraylands, Mid North, West Coast, Eastern Eyre Peninsula, Lower Eyre Peninsula, North West Pastoral and Mount Lofty Ranges
Hot and dry conditions are expected with maximum temperatures in the high 30's to low 40's and relative humidity about 10 to 15%. Winds are forecast to be strong and gusty north to northwesterly at about 40-55 km/h ahead of a cooler south to southwest wind change moving across the State during the day. The Country Fire Service advises that fires burning under these conditions are likely to be fast-moving and uncontrollable.

southerlies following changes lately and i expect this one to be no different sure pack a punch but it does cool thing down quickly.
doubt we will harvest much past 10 am we have a kestral meter and sliding scale of safe and unsafe conditions and adhere to it and most farmers do.Around here a bit of radio chatter about conditions and as soon as one stops usually us then everyone follows suit.

Thanks for the warning unstable! Will go out and give the plants a nice drink this morning.



Should have enough instability for at least some showers and storms, potentially more than that? My crystal ball is telling me things will be really scattered and short lived (around Adelaide)

Have fun Marcus. schoolies can be fun...stay away from the angry drunk people, turn off your mind relax and float down stream and go chase some rabbits or something

Winds already gusting to 30km/h here and it's 34ºC.

To ALL the farmers out there, put your equipment away... one day of no harvest won't kill you, or anyone else for that matter.

Stay safe people.

Hi all. Its not a good day for Schoolies setting up a tent. Gusty N 20 knot wind atm T 31.9C
(have fun at Schoolies!)

After checking out models, I don't like our chances of seeing much in the way of storms till quite a bit later today... possibly even after dark (which doesn't bother me!!)

by the looks of the li http://forecasts.bsch.com.au/stormcast?s...rt=&=#stormcast ep can be in chance for some good storms this afternoon

How do you guys rate the WRF model? Seems like it always puts LI stronger than GFS. At +18 GFS is at -2 and WRF is -4 ? http://www.weatherzone.com.au/models/sounding.jsp?lt=twcid&lc=9399&mt=wrf&mh=18&focus=mh

After dark suits me fine just wouldn't mind a bit of relief from this heat.

Wind has really picked up over last 10 minutes.

Chris - In the very short term, within 24 hours I like it, as it updates more regularly and its at 3 hourly intervals... and seems to pick up a few things that the others miss...
It's one of the reasons why I think we wont see much here in the way of storms till after dark....

Winds gusting to almost 70 km/h and we are about to hit our first 30 of the new hot season. Not a nice day.

Scrub Fire off Whitings Rd at Blewitt Springs (Hardys Scrub), Fire is going well and is crossing Whitings road heading for houses. Be Carefull guys!

NNW 50 61 27 33 @ Edinburgh right now. Does anyone have a better estimate of the chances for today?? I am hoping for late night sometime after 23:00hrs would be good. I need to put the 5D MkII out for a run and missed it last week.

That is rather thick scrub between Whitings Road and Chapel Hill Road....
There would be at least a couple of homes in immediate danger there on Whitings road...


Full warning:
CFS advises that a bushfire at Blewitt Springs in the Mt lofty Ranges near Whitings Rd may threaten your safety.

The BLEWITT SPRINGS fire is travelling in a South Easterly direction towards Whitings Rd.

The uncontrolled fire is burning in Scrub.

Put your bushfire survival plan into action. If your plan is to leave or you are not prepared, leave now.

Only leave if the path is clear to a safe place.

I can't see smoke yet. Will go to the top of the hill to have a wider view soon. Couldn't be a much worse day. Today is the threshold day when the temp reaches 30 and the wind howls. Its all downhill into summer now and won't pick up till autumn next year.

Crap! My mum lives in McLaren Flat. Guess I should give her a call just incase.

yer would be good to make her aware, although winds would have to change almost directly from the north for the township itself to be affected.... its more heading towards Woodstock, Maglieri's, and the Douglas Gully campsite area... One would hope though that its contained before then though....