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#1032888 - 21/11/2011 11:05 NSW Widespread Rain, Storms & Cool Conditions Nov 21 to Nov 27
DaveM Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 21/05/2001
Loc: Bathurst NSW Australia
About time to start a whole new thread to cover what might be a pretty unusual week for rain/storms and a turnaround in the warm remps we've been having in Nov.

All the models giving the CT's a pretty damp week with temps (at times) reminiscent of late August or early September.

With many areas inland suffering rainfall deficiencies this could be very welcome. For areas approaching wheat stripping etc - it might be less welcome.


Edited by BNE (21/11/2011 11:33)
Edit Reason: edited title

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#1032898 - 21/11/2011 12:14 Re: NSW Widespread Rain, Storms & Cool Conditions Nov 21 to Nov 27 [Re: DaveM]
davidm Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 8/08/2011
Loc: Randwick


This was certainly a welcome sight on a Monday morning grin

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#1032913 - 21/11/2011 13:11 Re: NSW Widespread Rain, Storms & Cool Conditions Nov 21 to Nov 27 [Re: davidm]
DaveM Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 21/05/2001
Loc: Bathurst NSW Australia
Aaah but many others who hate rain won't be happy. smile

Certainly possible it will be dampish.

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#1032915 - 21/11/2011 13:16 Re: NSW Widespread Rain, Storms & Cool Conditions Nov 21 to Nov 27 [Re: DaveM]
DaveM Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 21/05/2001
Loc: Bathurst NSW Australia
About 21 to 22 degrees in Bx - radar shows areas of showers to our north west and slowly heading this way.

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#1032919 - 21/11/2011 13:25 Re: NSW Widespread Rain, Storms & Cool Conditions Nov 21 to Nov 27 [Re: DaveM]
ant Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 5/10/2002
Loc: Overlooking ACT at 848m
I'm hoping the SE gets a good dose of rain. It's still dry here. I was digging in the garden during the heavier of the showers on Sunday, and was saddened to see how dry it was just an inch or two down. We need a lot. Forecast isn't fizzling for us yet!

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#1032925 - 21/11/2011 14:33 Re: NSW Widespread Rain, Storms & Cool Conditions Nov 21 to Nov 27 [Re: ant]
Updrafts Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 20/11/2010
Loc: Southern Sydney
Unfortunately ant it looks like the best of the rain will stay to the north of your location and south-east NSW, at least over the next 4 days.

The trough will be near stationary in a line from around the illawarra up to the north-west corner of NSW, with the best falls occuring along and north of this line according to most models. I certainly wouldn't rule out some showers or rain although like i said, better falls will occur to the north.

Later in the week (Friday, Saturday) there is an indication there could be some good falls down your way, although its a bit too far out to know for certain and models are still chopping and changing. Certainly an interesting week coming up though smile

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#1032927 - 21/11/2011 14:40 Re: NSW Widespread Rain, Storms & Cool Conditions Nov 21 to Nov 27 [Re: Updrafts]
Storm Hunter Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 31/08/2004
Loc: Ellalong.10kms SW of Cessnock ...
An area of rain out to the NW, maybe some embedded storms as well,looks to be moving SE down into the Hunter later,should be a wet night.


Edited by Storm Hunter (21/11/2011 14:42)

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#1032928 - 21/11/2011 14:55 Re: NSW Widespread Rain, Storms & Cool Conditions Nov 21 to Nov 27 [Re: Storm Hunter]
wilderwood Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 9/06/2009
Loc: Southern Highlands
Work christmas party supposed to be an outdoors affair on friday. Forecast for Bowral suggests we should plan for it to be indoors. But not all bad, garden needs a drink.

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#1032946 - 21/11/2011 16:07 Re: NSW Widespread Rain, Storms & Cool Conditions Nov 21 to Nov 27 [Re: wilderwood]
ant Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 5/10/2002
Loc: Overlooking ACT at 848m
Bugger, everything's gone south and north of us lately, and this one too? Heartbreaking.

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#1032975 - 21/11/2011 18:39 Re: NSW Widespread Rain, Storms & Cool Conditions Nov 21 to Nov 27 [Re: ant]
David C Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 26/11/2001
Loc: Bathurst NSW Australia - Alt 6...
Glad you started this thread DAVEM, i would of otherwise! I saw forecast and thought, what a wet week.. Nice rain falling now, will hang around by the looks of sat pic and radar.! Im working tonight 10pm, see how busy it will be !

Should see some good falls from this.

Dave
Bathurst
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#1032976 - 21/11/2011 18:48 Re: NSW Widespread Rain, Storms & Cool Conditions Nov 21 to Nov 27 [Re: David C]
Southerly_Buster Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 31/01/2008
Loc: Southern Sydney
Amazing what can happen when the LWT moves from SW WA smile.
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#1032980 - 21/11/2011 19:10 Re: NSW Widespread Rain, Storms & Cool Conditions Nov 21 to Nov 27 [Re: Southerly_Buster]
Storm Hunter Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 31/08/2004
Loc: Ellalong.10kms SW of Cessnock ...
Moderate to heavy rain here, easing off now has been going for 1 hour.10 mms.so far.


Edited by Storm Hunter (21/11/2011 19:14)

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#1032985 - 21/11/2011 19:40 Re: NSW Widespread Rain, Storms & Cool Conditions Nov 21 to Nov 27 [Re: Storm Hunter]
PeterDuke Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 23/06/2011
Loc: Yetholme [1180m] Central Table...
Certainly a good cool spell coming up, models have a pretty decent cold change to put the icing on the cake at the end of the model runs for about the 30th.
Quite solid rain has set in now, but it will ease and return at least 3 or 4 times over the next week and get heavier in the subsequent events especially Friday night/Saturday and then next week ahead of the strong cold front. Looking good for reaching the monthly average now.

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#1032988 - 21/11/2011 19:56 Re: NSW Widespread Rain, Storms & Cool Conditions Nov 21 to Nov 27 [Re: PeterDuke]
Marts Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 10/01/2006
Loc: Mona Vale, northern beaches , ...
Just starting to rain here atm and the radar is filling in nicely. The sat pic look’s very promising with almost all of NSW covered in cloud and that trough lingering around. The forecast look’s good as well even though that needs to be taken with a grain of salt. Look’s like some interesting days ahead.
I hope well get a drowning here.

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#1033014 - 21/11/2011 21:18 Re: NSW Widespread Rain, Storms & Cool Conditions Nov 21 to Nov 27 [Re: Marts]
Simmah Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 3/07/2001
Loc: Wollongong - NSW
rain is sticking just to my north, and i mean just. Been a couple km north of me for the last couple hours and the way it looks on radar, it will stay that way (and actually get further away). so close, yet so far...for now.

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#1033024 - 21/11/2011 21:48 Re: NSW Widespread Rain, Storms & Cool Conditions Nov 21 to Nov 27 [Re: Simmah]
Updrafts Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 20/11/2010
Loc: Southern Sydney
Rain has been falling here for about 40 minutes, now up to 2mm.

Hoping the trough comes a bit further south to give everyone a drink before it retreats to the north-east.

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#1033070 - 22/11/2011 06:22 Re: NSW Widespread Rain, Storms & Cool Conditions Nov 21 to Nov 27 [Re: Updrafts]
PeterDuke Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 23/06/2011
Loc: Yetholme [1180m] Central Table...
I am a little puzzled how Orange managed to avoid the rain, even Bathurst is very low. I have 21.8mm so far, up here in the high areas near Yetholme. All fell nice and steady over many hours.

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#1033079 - 22/11/2011 07:52 Re: NSW Widespread Rain, Storms & Cool Conditions Nov 21 to Nov 27 [Re: PeterDuke]
davidg Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 1/06/2008
Loc: Nth Parramatta/Penrith
Nice work Peter. Even managed 7.2mm over here on the other side of the range (Penrith)! Not sure why Orange, Bathurst and Katoomba all have such low totals. Oh well, plenty of time left in this event to make up for it. Will be good to get some decent falls to round out the month. Might even crack the average across the CT's. Still another 40 odd mm required across most parts of Sydney so a good chance of having an average Novemeber, rainfall wise at least.

Sat pic is looking the goods but remains to be seen were and for how long this trough will stall. So many times this exact scenario has failed to deliver due to simple timing and topographic effects. Hopefully it doesnt scoot off to the N or the E before generating some decent inflows into the catchment.

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#1033089 - 22/11/2011 08:30 Re: NSW Widespread Rain, Storms & Cool Conditions Nov 21 to Nov 27 [Re: davidg]
ozthunder Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 23/09/2001
Loc: Mt Warrigal, NSW, Australia
So far here at Shellharbour a big fat ZERO. To tell the truth it looked more like rain yesterday than today. Yesterday had a dull two layer overcast with a persistent NE wind. Today it is just the mid level cloud and lighter winds.
_________________________
Michael Thompson
http://ozthunder.com

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#1033092 - 22/11/2011 08:48 Re: NSW Widespread Rain, Storms & Cool Conditions Nov 21 to Nov 27 [Re: ozthunder]
wilderwood Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 9/06/2009
Loc: Southern Highlands
southern highlands missed out rain so far, fingers crossed for today.

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