#1038058 - 3/12/2011 22:33
Re: VIC- Gradual increase in inland moisture followed by storms/rain chance 8-11 Dec
[Re: supercellKid]
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Weather Freak
Registered: 12/09/2011
Loc: Stewarton
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Wish I could work out how to copy and paste those models, tried for an hour and gave up. Looks like Southern Oracle's prediction for Friday might be spot on. Tried to quote that too and couldn't get it to work either. 
Edited by thunderunder (3/12/2011 22:38)
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#1038070 - 3/12/2011 23:31
Re: VIC- Gradual increase in inland moisture followed by storms/rain chance 8-11 Dec
[Re: thunderunder]
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Weather Freak
Registered: 16/11/2011
Loc: Caulfield, Melbourne (SE Burbs...
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#1038079 - 4/12/2011 00:14
Re: VIC- Gradual increase in inland moisture followed by storms/rain chance 8-11 Dec
[Re: TheAnt]
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Weather Freak
Registered: 2/02/2011
Loc: Melbourne, Corryong, Canberra,...
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Just had a look at the storm potential and instability charts, looks kinda interesting for the afternoon of next Saturday... could be an environment suitable for potentially severe thunderstorms, so something to keep an eye on 
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#1038153 - 4/12/2011 10:34
Re: VIC- Gradual increase in inland moisture followed by storms/rain chance 8-11 Dec
[Re: aussiestormfreak]
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Weatherzone Addict
Registered: 30/12/2002
Loc: Inverloch Vic
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AccG and GFS are still calling "game on" for next weekend....  Remnants of a cold air pool slipping up NE'wards into a complex mixture of moist air, some from the West and possibly most of it due to the moist area comming onshore over central Qld in the next day or two, then steered down to us with the help of the high in the Tasman midweek and a trough over SA/Vic to hoover it up. TU - what image hosting site are you using?
Edited by Petros (4/12/2011 10:35)
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#1038733 - 5/12/2011 18:18
Re: VIC- Gradual increase in inland moisture followed by storms/rain chance 8-11 Dec
[Re: Ruckle]
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Weatherzone Addict
Registered: 30/12/2002
Loc: Inverloch Vic
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This arvos runs show GFS continuing to go it alone and wrap the moisture heading into Qld into an ECL send it all as a snotball off to NZ with an aloha circa Sydney. CMC thinks the moisture will still arrive.....  For my 2 bobs, its the usual... "where there's smoke there's fire"..... I note both KL and AV from other forums are increasingly confident that this system and the one to follow may collectively be very wet. I think that these guys are now including the postive La Nina ( ENSO) and Indian ocean moisture build up's (IOD) as the perfect setup to provide similar (not beat early 2011 - but still very significant) rain for Vic this Summer. I'll be watching closely but cant comment because I'm a dummy when it comes to interpreting what may come outside the 8-10 day guidance provided by AccG and GFS!
Edited by Petros (5/12/2011 18:20)
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#1038822 - 5/12/2011 21:18
Re: VIC- Gradual increase in inland moisture followed by storms/rain chance 8-11 Dec
[Re: Ruckle]
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Weather Freak
Registered: 12/09/2011
Loc: Stewarton
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OK where did all the rain go? What a change in models since this afternoon.
Edited by thunderunder (5/12/2011 21:23)
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#1038849 - 5/12/2011 22:18
Re: VIC- Gradual increase in inland moisture followed by storms/rain chance 8-11 Dec
[Re: thunderunder]
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Cloud Gazer
Registered: 1/12/2011
Loc: Wimmera, Victoria
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Im a new member of Forum Weatherzone, have been an avid reader for a long time and find all topics on weather very interesting. For what its worth im going for a big rain on Sunday in our region of the Wimmera in Victoria - we dont really need it at this time of the year as harvest is well underway. All we can hope for is not too much in the way of rainfall and that after the wind blows to dry the crops out. We certainly dont want a repeat of last season.
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#1038857 - 5/12/2011 22:33
Re: VIC- Gradual increase in inland moisture followed by storms/rain chance 8-11 Dec
[Re: Stormlover]
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Weather Freak
Registered: 1/12/2011
Loc: Bendigo, VIC
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Rain should have cleared the west by Sunday, but you might get a bit Friday/Saturday. Still hard to pick at this stage tho, models will hopefully settle down over the next few days and give us a better idea. Hoping for some nice photogenic storms Saturday, but I have a feeling it's going to be another boring embedded La Nina type setup.
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#1038910 - 6/12/2011 07:46
Re: VIC- Gradual increase in inland moisture followed by storms/rain chance 8-11 Dec
[Re: Gabby]
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Weatherzone Addict
Registered: 30/12/2002
Loc: Inverloch Vic
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Welcome Stormlover - great to have reports from the Wimmera, so thanks for joining in A glimpse of the models this morning shows them all puddling around the same theme, inland moisture entering Vic in an easterly dip fashion, the coldish air in the bight to arrive, and where will the added moisture starting to enter S QLD and N NSW end up?? Will we have an ECL from on NSW coast and have it crab S to Vic (or will it peel off to NZ taking all the wetness with it aka GFS) or will it all add to the moist pool over Vic to allow a cut-off low form over Vic? Interesting wet weekend is still possible - how it turns out will then affect what happens later into next week with the following system.
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