#1043472 - 14/12/2011 18:35
Re: NSW Storms/ Rain 16 - 19 Dec 2011
[Re: David C]
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Weatherzone Addict
Registered: 16/06/2007
Loc: Dural
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Yes David, it all looks primed again. These troughs/fronts are becoming weekly events. I love it. Could see another 50-75 mm's for Sydney. I haven't had to water for weeks now. Homer
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#1043743 - 15/12/2011 09:21
Re: NSW Storms/ Rain 16 - 19 Dec 2011
[Re: David C]
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Weatherzone Addict
Registered: 21/05/2001
Loc: Bathurst NSW Australia
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My impression of the models seem to be having the bulk of rain further west of Bx, given that's prime wheat belt country I suspect not many people out there will be happy. But with these sort of events it's hard to predict who will or won't get solid falls. In the last event, Monday the official Bx rain was 2 or 3 mm whilst at the airport (the other side of town) it was about 20mm. Imagine trying to forecast that. 
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#1043804 - 15/12/2011 12:25
Re: NSW Storms/ Rain 16 - 19 Dec 2011
[Re: DaveM]
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Meteorological Motor Mouth
Registered: 5/10/2002
Loc: Overlooking ACT at 848m
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It's nice to see the official models coming on board. I have been eyeing our warm-up plus the moisture as meaning nice storms. plenty of moist easterly air over us by now, it's been blowing for days. Add warmer temperatures and some useful instability arriving from the west, and we should have some worthwhile weather.
Rain would be good too, we just haven't had as much as some areas, any fine day you can see dust going up.
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#1044291 - 16/12/2011 14:03
Re: NSW Storms/ Rain 16 - 19 Dec 2011
[Re: ant]
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Weatherzone Addict
Registered: 21/05/2001
Loc: Bathurst NSW Australia
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See a similar band of storms/showers over the Namadgi/Brindies area to yesterday, slowly marching towards Canberra. Prob stop over the ranges too like yesterday. Sky here gone all moderately puffy. Trying to pretend it's gunna grow into storm cells - but I'm not convinced.
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#1044370 - 16/12/2011 16:40
Re: NSW Storms/ Rain 16 - 19 Dec 2011
[Re: DaveM]
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Meteorological Motor Mouth
Registered: 5/10/2002
Loc: Overlooking ACT at 848m
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That SW line yesterday that petered out to nothing was just practising, today it is coming in for sure. All the horizon south of CBR airport is a curtain of white. We didn't get much heating today, at all, so shall rely on the instability but I suspect it'll be mainly wetness.
Current stuff seems to be approaching up the Murrumbidgee/Monaro valley, from my seat here I can see Gingera and Franklin very clearly, but the hills of Jerra and Burra are obliterated.
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#1044464 - 16/12/2011 20:53
Re: NSW Storms/ Rain 16 - 19 Dec 2011
[Re: ant]
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Meteorological Motor Mouth
Registered: 5/10/2002
Loc: Overlooking ACT at 848m
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... and again, we get skunked. A brief shower and that's it. Bah.
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#1045338 - 18/12/2011 18:15
Re: NSW Storms/ Rain 16 - 19 Dec 2011
[Re: David C]
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Meteorological Motor Mouth
Registered: 5/10/2002
Loc: Overlooking ACT at 848m
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Very very light rain started up about 1/2 an hour ago... we got some warming this afternoon, and humidity, but I'm not sure that line will have power when it gets to us. Hope it does, a flash-bang opera would be nice tonight.
Meanwhile Opticast is going bananas saying we'll have rain (not showers) all tonight. It would be nice if it was right, but I can't see it.
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#1045485 - 18/12/2011 22:39
Re: NSW Storms/ Rain 16 - 19 Dec 2011
[Re: ant]
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Weatherzone Addict
Registered: 16/06/2007
Loc: Dural
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Very very light rain started up about 1/2 an hour ago... we got some warming this afternoon, and humidity, but I'm not sure that line will have power when it gets to us. Hope it does, a flash-bang opera would be nice tonight.
Meanwhile Opticast is going bananas saying we'll have rain (not showers) all tonight. It would be nice if it was right, but I can't see it. BOM saying the same for tonight but not so tomorrow. radar looking a little rubbish atm, I must say. I'd rather you get the rain you want ant, unless today has been a spray day. Homer
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#1045593 - 19/12/2011 09:07
Re: NSW Storms/ Rain 16 - 19 Dec 2011
[Re: Homer]
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Weatherzone Addict
Registered: 21/05/2001
Loc: Bathurst NSW Australia
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Had a solid burst of rain about 6 am this morning in Bathurst - no real sparkage. I thought we'd get some yesterday evening the way it was looking but nothing really happened apart from a couple of light spitty events. Looks black to our west and is quite dark here atm but radar not showing much (although radar pretty ordinary for much west of here.
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#1045601 - 19/12/2011 09:23
Re: NSW Storms/ Rain 16 - 19 Dec 2011
[Re: DaveM]
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Meteorological Motor Mouth
Registered: 5/10/2002
Loc: Overlooking ACT at 848m
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No storms, pretty-much as expected. Had showers on and off in the evening and at times through the night, but it really got going early this morning. You can see it clearing off over the coast on the radar. It's actually still going here, really quite heavy at times.
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#1045619 - 19/12/2011 10:32
Re: NSW Storms/ Rain 16 - 19 Dec 2011
[Re: DaveM]
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Weather Freak
Registered: 6/12/2004
Loc: SE Qld
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I am not particularly excited about today. I strikes me as more of a thundery rain kind of day than a true storm day. Sun is starting to shine here (Kiama) but another band of light rain is approaching. Bit depressing really, maybe too early to dismiss just yet but I don't like what I see. Saturated mid/upper levels, poor mid-level lapse rates, more than likely sub-1000 J/kg CAPE.
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#1045627 - 19/12/2011 10:48
Re: NSW Storms/ Rain 16 - 19 Dec 2011
[Re: MC Thomas]
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Weather Freak
Registered: 6/12/2004
Loc: SE Qld
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Edit: I am talking about the Illawarra, South Coast and Southern Tablelands. I think further north west of the ranges is looking much better.
_________________________
Top four storms-
19th of April 1999, Minnamurra -
8th of December 2004, west of Gouburn -
24th of June 2006, Boulder USA -
15th of December 2010, Logan -
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#1045637 - 19/12/2011 11:34
Re: NSW Storms/ Rain 16 - 19 Dec 2011
[Re: DaveM]
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Weatherzone Addict
Registered: 10/07/2006
Loc: Double Bay, Sydney, NSW
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Looking like today will be another disappointment to add to the long list of disappointments so far this season. Looking forward to the end of La Nina and a return to normal conditions.
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#1045663 - 19/12/2011 13:50
Re: NSW Storms/ Rain 16 - 19 Dec 2011
[Re: Simmah]
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Weatherzone Addict
Registered: 31/01/2008
Loc: Southern Sydney
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Storms now going well on the SWS/SW CTs. Whether they make it to the coast is another story. Today is a lot cooler than I expected also, things could warm up nicely though with a touch of sun. Cloud mass starting to break up, so this is a distinct possibility especially near the coast.
_________________________
I'm a convicted sockpuppet and troll.
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#1045673 - 19/12/2011 14:20
Re: NSW Storms/ Rain 16 - 19 Dec 2011
[Re: Greg Sorenson]
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Meteorological Motor Mouth
Registered: 5/10/2002
Loc: Overlooking ACT at 848m
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yeah, that thing going between the ACT and Yass looks intense, headed for Nerriga but Murrumbateman will get it first! Quite humid outside, and warmish.
Wish these storms were coming later, it's no fun when you're stuck inside.
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#1045687 - 19/12/2011 15:07
Re: NSW Storms/ Rain 16 - 19 Dec 2011
[Re: Storm Hunter]
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Weatherzone Addict
Registered: 26/11/2001
Loc: Bathurst NSW Australia - Alt 6...
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FINALLY !!!
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
for LARGE HAILSTONES, FLASH FLOODING and DAMAGING WIND
For people in the Southern Tablelands and parts of the Illawarra, South Coast, Central Tablelands, Central West Slopes and Plains, South West Slopes, Lower Western, Upper Western and Snowy Mountains Forecast Districts.
Issued at 2:16 pm Monday, 19 December 2011.
Severe thunderstorms are likely to produce large hailstones, very heavy rainfall, flash flooding and damaging winds in the warning area over the next several hours. Locations which may be affected include Orange, Bathurst, Goulburn, Yass, Parkes, Nyngan, Young, West Wyalong, Cobar, Bourke, Eden and Bombala.
The State Emergency Service advises that people should:
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#1045688 - 19/12/2011 15:11
Re: NSW Storms/ Rain 16 - 19 Dec 2011
[Re: David C]
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Weather Freak
Registered: 16/11/2006
Loc: Melbourne, Victoria
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Looking like a nice organised storm headed east near Nyngan, the long anvil trail is a fairly good tell as is the Sat pic of a discrete storm. All out on its own, moving into a reasonable environment. Would be a nice cell to chase (damn shame it didn't wait a week until I was up near there).
Looks fairly messy down in the Southern portion towards Yass/Goulburn though, shear isn't very good either.
Edit: last couple of frames seems it has started to turn further, heading NE to miss Nyngan.
Edited by Severely Tall (19/12/2011 15:18)
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#1045725 - 19/12/2011 16:14
Re: NSW Storms/ Rain 16 - 19 Dec 2011
[Re: David C]
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Weather Freak
Registered: 20/11/2010
Loc: Southern Sydney
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First rumble of thunder heard and moderate rain starting to fall here. Rain picking up considerably now, really coming down
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#1045729 - 19/12/2011 16:25
Re: NSW Storms/ Rain 16 - 19 Dec 2011
[Re: Updrafts]
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Weatherzone Addict
Registered: 31/01/2008
Loc: Southern Sydney
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A solitary CG just west of Liverpool on the radar which is probably what you heard. Should get some nice rain in the next couple of hours though.
_________________________
I'm a convicted sockpuppet and troll.
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#1045732 - 19/12/2011 16:30
Re: NSW Storms/ Rain 16 - 19 Dec 2011
[Re: Southerly_Buster]
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Weather Freak
Registered: 20/11/2010
Loc: Southern Sydney
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Rain easing off now after 4mm's of rain. That lone strike should get a friend shortly, had a close cg which made a racket but thats it really.
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#1045742 - 19/12/2011 16:46
Re: NSW Storms/ Rain 16 - 19 Dec 2011
[Re: DaveM]
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Weatherzone Addict
Registered: 11/10/2002
Loc: Wahroonga or Asquith, NSW |Las...
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Yeah there are quite a few likely supercells inland, one east of Nyngan, one right mover near Coonamble and another possible one S of Coonamble as well. That Coonamble storm is even returning close to sepia on Moree radar, must be very intense. Looking more and more likely all we will get is rain  Really could not be bothered making the effort driving out to Coonamble though  Got some family out that way shall wait for reports from them!
Edited by Ben (19/12/2011 16:48)
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#1045748 - 19/12/2011 16:55
Re: NSW Storms/ Rain 16 - 19 Dec 2011
[Re: DaveM]
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Weatherzone Addict
Registered: 16/06/2007
Loc: Dural
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Great time for Terry Hills to have a power failure. Appin just doesn't cut the mustard.
Very dark here. Rain imminent I'm guessing. Hard to tell.
Homer
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#1045769 - 19/12/2011 17:43
Re: NSW Storms/ Rain 16 - 19 Dec 2011
[Re: Homer]
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Weatherzone Addict
Registered: 1/06/2008
Loc: Nth Parramatta/Penrith
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Unbeleivable heavy rain here in Penrith, shame about the radar going down though. Must have been 25mm in 20 mins and still coming down. Should top 30mm out of this cell alone. Even had a few rumbles thrown in Shame for the site work next door.
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#1045770 - 19/12/2011 17:43
Re: NSW Storms/ Rain 16 - 19 Dec 2011
[Re: Homer]
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Weatherzone Addict
Registered: 5/11/2005
Loc: Canberra!
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Yer some sue cells out there for sure. I doubt anyone was chasing unfortunately. It's all over for Canberra for today, Troy managed to intercept the cell to our north, with some intense rain. Moderate flash flooding in Murrumbateman, with half a metre of water flowing across the Barton HWY at one point. Holidays can't come soon enough... bring on the next system, cause i'll be chasing for sure ......
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#1045773 - 19/12/2011 17:47
Re: NSW Storms/ Rain 16 - 19 Dec 2011
[Re: davidg]
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Meteorological Motor Mouth
Registered: 5/10/2002
Loc: Overlooking ACT at 848m
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We got soem quite serious showers this arvo, but the clouds have moved up, lots of blue evident, so I figure that's our lot. It's humid-as though, so some rogue storms forming this evening would be nice...
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#1045774 - 19/12/2011 17:51
Re: NSW Storms/ Rain 16 - 19 Dec 2011
[Re: davidg]
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Weatherzone Addict
Registered: 10/07/2006
Loc: Double Bay, Sydney, NSW
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Unbeleivable heavy rain here in Penrith, shame about the radar going down though. Must have been 25mm in 20 mins and still coming down. Should top 30mm out of this cell alone. Even had a few rumbles thrown in Shame for the site work next door. Sounds good Davidg, hope it makes it here!
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#1045780 - 19/12/2011 18:09
Re: NSW Storms/ Rain 16 - 19 Dec 2011
[Re: CoastalStorm22]
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Weatherzone Addict
Registered: 10/01/2006
Loc: Mona Vale, northern beaches , ...
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Getting very dark to my west now with some rumbles, radar look's good to. Bring on the action.
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#1045781 - 19/12/2011 18:12
Re: NSW Storms/ Rain 16 - 19 Dec 2011
[Re: Marts]
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Weather Freak
Registered: 30/10/2005
Loc: Carramar, Sydney
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Heavy rain with some nice boomage here in Parramatta. Should make for some hairy driving conditions.
_________________________
Let it rain.
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#1045787 - 19/12/2011 18:18
Re: NSW Storms/ Rain 16 - 19 Dec 2011
[Re: Crimson_Tide_]
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Weatherzone Addict
Registered: 10/01/2006
Loc: Mona Vale, northern beaches , ...
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Heavy rain here atm and some big booms, sounds angry.
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#1045788 - 19/12/2011 18:27
Re: NSW Storms/ Rain 16 - 19 Dec 2011
[Re: Ben]
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Weather Freak
Registered: 3/09/2011
Loc: Nowra,NSW
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A fair few rumbles here this arvo from that nerriga blob, moderate rain, 14mms in the gauge. Just miserable featureless murk, yet again.Would rather a mizzle fest to be honest.Anyway, its not like I was expecting anything different,though I wwas hoping for atleast one cg,and didnt even get that!!! I think I hate La Nina more than cats....
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#1045794 - 19/12/2011 18:48
Re: NSW Storms/ Rain 16 - 19 Dec 2011
[Re: CoastalStorm22]
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Weather Freak
Registered: 6/06/2007
Loc: Northern Sydney storm shield (...
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Heavy Rain has made a return here, no sign of any thunder/lightning
Edited by Crimson_Tide_ (19/12/2011 18:48)
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#1045796 - 19/12/2011 18:52
Re: NSW Storms/ Rain 16 - 19 Dec 2011
[Re: Crimson_Tide_]
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Weatherzone Addict
Registered: 16/06/2007
Loc: Dural
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Heavy Rain has made a return here, no sign of any thunder/lightning Same here CT. We had 2 bursts of heavy rain but no boomage. Picked up 11 mm's in about 25 minutes. Homer
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#1045801 - 19/12/2011 19:01
Re: NSW Storms/ Rain 16 - 19 Dec 2011
[Re: Homer]
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Meteorological Motor Mouth
Registered: 16/12/2001
Loc: Kings Langley, NSW
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19mm here in 45 minutes late this afternoon; momentary rain rate reached 97.5mm/hr.
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#1045886 - 19/12/2011 23:41
Re: NSW Storms/ Rain 16 - 19 Dec 2011
[Re: Greg Sorenson]
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Meteorological Motor Mouth
Registered: 5/10/2002
Loc: Overlooking ACT at 848m
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Yeah, I had a beer on the deck and watched the sunset light up the rising clouds and mist to the east. My mountain had a heavy shroud of mountain mist settle on it too. That stuff on the radar is tantalising but I think it's going to either go SE of Canberra, or just crumble. It's doing both, actually. A parting storm would have been nice. Got 18mm from the whole event. Nice, not torrential but useful nevertheless.
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#1045890 - 20/12/2011 00:11
Re: NSW Storms/ Rain 16 - 19 Dec 2011
[Re: ant]
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Meteorological Motor Mouth
Registered: 5/10/2002
Loc: Overlooking ACT at 848m
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well, this little shower is nice. Stars out and bright to the west, and yet something's crept up from the SW and is busy raining on me. At least it's shut that cricket up.
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#1045909 - 20/12/2011 06:27
Re: NSW Storms/ Rain 16 - 19 Dec 2011
[Re: ant]
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Cloud Gazer
Registered: 20/12/2010
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Hey David C - looks like we were blessed with similar skies on the Northern Beaches too!  IMG_100100 by sixdegreesbelowthehorizon, on Flickr Pretty good to see some storms move into the Basin yesterday evening - even though they were a bit of a mess. It didn't seem to need any heating from the sun? as there was cloud cover all day. looks like storms might happen again this time next week with another trough approaching - we'll wait and see i guess but there really does seem to be a pattern forming...
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#1045996 - 20/12/2011 10:19
Re: NSW Storms/ Rain 16 - 19 Dec 2011
[Re: 6DBTH]
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Weatherzone Addict
Registered: 21/05/2001
Loc: Bathurst NSW Australia
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Hey Dave C - I took a few of that too. Lots of mammatus bumps in it which didn't show all that well in photos. But it was quite a bizarre set of cloud formations. I'm not sure how to post photos else I'd put a couple in too.
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#1046028 - 20/12/2011 12:37
Re: NSW Storms/ Rain 16 - 19 Dec 2011
[Re: DaveM]
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Weatherzone Addict
Registered: 21/05/2001
Loc: Bathurst NSW Australia
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#1046041 - 20/12/2011 13:16
Re: NSW Storms/ Rain 16 - 19 Dec 2011
[Re: DaveM]
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Weatherzone Addict
Registered: 26/11/2001
Loc: Bathurst NSW Australia - Alt 6...
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#1046066 - 20/12/2011 14:32
Re: NSW Storms/ Rain 16 - 19 Dec 2011
[Re: David C]
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Weather Freak
Registered: 24/01/2011
Loc: North-east Lake Macquarie, NSW
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Nice pics everyone! I love the colour in your sunset, 6DBTH. DaveM: If you want to share photos from flickr on a forum, hit the share button and then "Grab the HTML/BBCode" button. Copy and paste that in there (taking out any advertising text if you wish) and it should come up instead of just being a link (make sure you have the BBCode and not HTML). Like so:  PC190424a by davemundey, on Flickr
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#1046084 - 20/12/2011 15:35
Re: NSW Storms/ Rain 16 - 19 Dec 2011
[Re: DaveM]
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Weatherzone Addict
Registered: 21/05/2001
Loc: Bathurst NSW Australia
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[img] PC190428a[img] by Dave M Bugger it - I give up!!
Edited by DaveM (20/12/2011 15:35)
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#1046086 - 20/12/2011 15:41
Re: NSW Storms/ Rain 16 - 19 Dec 2011
[Re: DaveM]
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Weather Freak
Registered: 23/06/2011
Loc: Yetholme [1180m] Central Table...
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That is nice DaveM, up in the Eastern Ranges from you yesterday at sunset was also amazing soft orange light against the misty hills with rainbow as well.
Finally cracked the big 2-0 today for the first time this month, in fact over 22 now, so by far the warmest day this month. Not quite average yet but pretty close.
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#1046091 - 20/12/2011 15:52
Re: NSW Storms/ Rain 16 - 19 Dec 2011
[Re: PeterDuke]
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Weather Freak
Registered: 3/09/2011
Loc: Nowra,NSW
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Lovely Dave. We also had a nice sunset, might post it up abit later. Some heavy overnight showers, made for an impressive 9am total of 71mms. About 40mms fell between 1-2am,so not a bad drop. It was a very isolated fall going off radar.
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#1046099 - 20/12/2011 16:13
Re: NSW Storms/ Rain 16 - 19 Dec 2011
[Re: mkeene(pingtang)]
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Weatherzone Addict
Registered: 21/05/2001
Loc: Bathurst NSW Australia
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I was trying to show the real mammatus effect but it's not so obvious. Colours were intense but the bumps underneath were ripper.
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#1046113 - 20/12/2011 16:32
Re: NSW Storms/ Rain 16 - 19 Dec 2011
[Re: davidm]
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Weather Freak
Registered: 8/08/2011
Loc: Randwick
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 This was the sunset in Randwick, grabbed the camera as soon as I noticed but it was even more amazing before this shot. Shame about that tree that always gets in my way. And here's the timelapse: http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=jTGZMJdpII0
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26566 Members
31 Forums
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Max Online: 2925 @ 2/02/2011 22:23
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Amazing skies over Bathurst 20 min ago.
Love this one.
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