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#1046384 - 21/12/2011 12:24 NSW Rain and Storms 21st - 26th Dec, 2011
Greg Sorenson Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 5/11/2005
Loc: Canberra!
Thought i'd start up a thread with the upcoming series of troughs coming through NSW. According to the models there will be a near stationary trough from tomorrow right through to xmas eve. Pretty much everywhere in the eastern half of the state could get a piece of the action.

A low pressure system will form in Vic, bringing rain and storms to southern NSW on Monday so i've included Monday into the thread also.

Looking forward to it.


Edited by Greg Sorenson (21/12/2011 16:04)
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#1046402 - 21/12/2011 13:32 Re: NSW Rain and Storms 21st - 26th Dec, 2011 [Re: Greg Sorenson]
davidm Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 8/08/2011
Loc: Randwick
Well a storm warning has been issued for much of the West, will be interesting to see if anything good comes out of today.

Models seem to indicate Boxing Day as the best day for storms in Sydney, hoping it doesn't end up as yet another overcast boring day.

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#1046420 - 21/12/2011 15:02 Re: NSW Rain and Storms 21st - 26th Dec, 2011 [Re: davidm]
DaveM Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 21/05/2001
Loc: Bathurst NSW Australia
Big storm very slow moving around Parkes/Molong/Cudal.

Plenty also firing up in several lines around Narrabri/Armidale/Gunnedah/Coonamble region plus further west.

Many many sparks - especially the storm over Mt Kaputar

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#1046450 - 21/12/2011 15:59 Re: NSW Rain and Storms 21st - 26th Dec, 2011 [Re: DaveM]
ant Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 5/10/2002
Loc: Overlooking ACT at 848m
Oi! It's not the 22nd yet, you can't talk about current storms.

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#1046452 - 21/12/2011 16:03 Re: NSW Rain and Storms 21st - 26th Dec, 2011 [Re: ant]
DaveM Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 21/05/2001
Loc: Bathurst NSW Australia
Thought I'd sneak in early - aren't I naughty!! smile

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#1046453 - 21/12/2011 16:06 Re: NSW Rain and Storms 21st - 26th Dec, 2011 [Re: DaveM]
Greg Sorenson Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 5/11/2005
Loc: Canberra!
haha, i just changed the date on the thread! Pretty impressed with the activity today so far. There's a slight chance for us to have a rumble or 2 later on, however we lack the moisture here atm and i'd say the small cells out to our west will rely exclusively on the heating and will die after dark.



Edited by Greg Sorenson (21/12/2011 16:06)
_________________________
i only chase responsibly
www.gregsoandso.com

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#1046457 - 21/12/2011 16:22 Re: NSW Rain and Storms 21st - 26th Dec, 2011 [Re: Greg Sorenson]
ant Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 5/10/2002
Loc: Overlooking ACT at 848m
Well as soon as I get the smoker going, you'll know because there'll be a deluge. Clouds look a bit high and un-organised this time around, so maybe they're saving it for tomorrow. Although that lot to the south still looks like they're planning something.

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#1046461 - 21/12/2011 16:26 Re: NSW Rain and Storms 21st - 26th Dec, 2011 [Re: ant]
DaveM Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 21/05/2001
Loc: Bathurst NSW Australia
Aaah the old Ham/Storm conspiracy theory raises it's ugly head once more. bounce

Storms to our west (Parkes Cell) seem to be dropping away although there is a biiigg black wall to my west(ish).

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#1046463 - 21/12/2011 16:36 Re: NSW Rain and Storms 21st - 26th Dec, 2011 [Re: DaveM]
ant Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 5/10/2002
Loc: Overlooking ACT at 848m
I could do a wash AND fire up the smoker, we'd get squalls, hail and a lightning strike on the power lines. There is a line of sorts, but nothing looking like it's headed for us. There's some good stuff down south, around the Snowies, and some stuff around Temora/Coota, but everything's angling down SE this time. there's a clear channel through Wagga and Canberra.

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#1046469 - 21/12/2011 17:15 Re: NSW Rain and Storms 21st - 26th Dec, 2011 [Re: ant]
Grinch Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 6/01/2004
Loc: ACT
Very pulsie with bugger all steering wind, plenty of moisture about or there would be no activity at all, especially given the temps out on the plains are several degrees higher than Canberra and the DP's and humidity are roughly the same according to obs. These storms are going up on the convergence, I noted that Temora and Cowra are being hit with the Storm Eradicator (SE wind), that will knock the stuffing out of the storms in very short order. The storm round Forbes looks to be a bitof a goer.
:Cheers:

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#1046583 - 21/12/2011 22:02 Re: NSW Rain and Storms 21st - 26th Dec, 2011 [Re: Grinch]
Mikezoom Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 21/04/2005
Loc: Tatton, Wagga Wagga, NSW
Nice pulsie just to the NW of Albury at the moment. Can see the lightning from here going off. Anyone down that way have anything to say?

Splitting in 3 directions!!!

Yarrawonga Radar

Mike. wink


Edited by Mikezoom (21/12/2011 22:03)

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#1046594 - 21/12/2011 22:19 Re: NSW Rain and Storms 21st - 26th Dec, 2011 [Re: Mikezoom]
Macca-wx Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 11/02/2001
Loc: Brisbane, QLD
Also interesting to see the trough retreating westward (doppler loop) and also the outflow moving out from that storm (well ahead of it to the S but not so much on the northern portion). Great to see.

Macca

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#1046601 - 21/12/2011 22:36 Re: NSW Rain and Storms 21st - 26th Dec, 2011 [Re: Macca-wx]
Mikezoom Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 21/04/2005
Loc: Tatton, Wagga Wagga, NSW
Southern cell really getting organized now. Would love to be just to the SW of it in the next few minutes. Looks nasty for anyone in the path.

Mike.

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#1046604 - 21/12/2011 22:39 Re: NSW Rain and Storms 21st - 26th Dec, 2011 [Re: Macca-wx]
Greg Sorenson Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 5/11/2005
Loc: Canberra!
the upper level disturbance that ACCESS is now picking up for tomorrow bodes well for us. We should start to see some convergence in the ACT region by early avo tomorrow.
The upper low should sit to our south by 2pm, and you can see what it's doing to those cells near Yarrawonga.... very interesting indeed.


Edited by Greg Sorenson (21/12/2011 22:48)
_________________________
i only chase responsibly
www.gregsoandso.com

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#1046616 - 21/12/2011 23:26 Re: NSW Rain and Storms 21st - 26th Dec, 2011 [Re: Greg Sorenson]
ant Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 5/10/2002
Loc: Overlooking ACT at 848m
Wow. Something to look forward to.

I reek of smoke and that damn ham is smoking up great but it's not cooking. Sigh. I'm going to have to boil it.

Lot of low-hanging misty clouds here tonight. I can see the lights of the HQ JOC roundabout lighting up something, and similar patches right around, yet there's clear sky and stars.

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#1046662 - 22/12/2011 04:52 Re: NSW Rain and Storms 21st - 26th Dec, 2011 [Re: ant]
Ben Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 11/10/2002
Loc: Wahroonga or Asquith, NSW |Las...
Actually don't think Sydney is in for a too bad chance todayfor storms. Shear isn't THAT bad, and the basin seems to do best when there is some sort of upper disturbance tomorrow which there is. IMO Upper Hunter, NW slopes and the ranges should do best tomorrow but we should still have a decent chance. It is also raining here atm, developed overhead smile


Edited by Ben (22/12/2011 04:53)

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#1046692 - 22/12/2011 08:06 Re: NSW Rain and Storms 21st - 26th Dec, 2011 [Re: Ben]
davidg Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 1/06/2008
Loc: Nth Parramatta/Penrith
Lol loving the ham updates Ant. Keep them coming.

Agree with Ben, maybe get a few rumbles and a downpour or two later this morning/afternoon. Hardly going to be all time but better than the 8/8 deck of rubbish we're currently sitting under. Im looking forward to a possible 30c day on Sunday out at Penrith. First (and probably last)day above avergae for the entire month of december if it comes off. Boxing day not looking too bad for a couple of storms but once again the shear environment is rather...lacking. That old chestnut.

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#1046721 - 22/12/2011 09:16 Re: NSW Rain and Storms 21st - 26th Dec, 2011 [Re: davidg]
DaveM Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 21/05/2001
Loc: Bathurst NSW Australia
How's the ham today Ant?

Had an interesting shower here yesterday evening i very sparse but very big fat drops. Carried on for about an hour, not much in the gauge but it was interesting and noisy.

This morning about 6.30 a decent shower came through again only prob a couple of mm in it but sounds nice. Very dull anround here this a.m.

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#1046728 - 22/12/2011 09:33 Re: NSW Rain and Storms 21st - 26th Dec, 2011 [Re: DaveM]
davidm Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 8/08/2011
Loc: Randwick
Thinking the topic should be changed to NSW Rain, Storms, and Ham 21st - 26th Dec wink

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#1046732 - 22/12/2011 09:40 Re: NSW Rain and Storms 21st - 26th Dec, 2011 [Re: davidm]
Greg Sorenson Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 5/11/2005
Loc: Canberra!
haha! Yes, the talking point for this weekend! Smoked ham..... mmmmmmm. We need to see photos Ant!

Ok, things are starting to kick off to our nw. Hard to see with the deck of cloud that we have here atm though. Will has a pretty good view from Junee with towers going up east of him. Looking at storm cast the convergence area should push into the ACT in the 2 hrs or so, maybe sooner.
_________________________
i only chase responsibly
www.gregsoandso.com

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