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#1051435 - 2/01/2012 23:25 NSW Storms 3rd - 6th Jan 2012
David C Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 26/11/2001
Loc: Bathurst NSW Australia - Alt 6...
Looking forward to some storms in NSW eastern parts over next few days. A broad Low pressure trough once again moving through the state on Wednesday. Should see a cool change at least to the 34 deg day Bathurst had today.





Edited by Michael Bath (8/01/2012 14:43)
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#1051492 - 3/01/2012 11:06 Re: NSW Storms 3rd - 6th Jan 2012 [Re: David C]
davidm Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 8/08/2011
Loc: Randwick
BoM storm forecast indicates probability of strong downdrafts in any storms that develop today (mainly in the south). Willing to put money on Canberra getting their nightly storms again tonight.

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#1051502 - 3/01/2012 11:38 Re: NSW Storms 3rd - 6th Jan 2012 [Re: davidm]
aussiestormfreak Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 2/02/2011
Loc: Melbourne, Corryong, Canberra,...
Looking forward to being part of the action when I arrive in Northeast Victoria and Southeast NSW later today, hoping massive thunderstorms will be raging over the Snowy Mountains when I arrive in Corryong! smile
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#1051505 - 3/01/2012 11:45 Re: NSW Storms 3rd - 6th Jan 2012 [Re: aussiestormfreak]
ant Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 5/10/2002
Loc: Overlooking ACT at 848m
I'm cowering in the office today. Outside the sky has that dirty heat haze thing going. Can't see any significant development but this is good, when stuff develops too early it often fizzes. Desperately hoping for storms or something to cool us down or at least entertain us this evening!

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#1051506 - 3/01/2012 12:04 Re: NSW Storms 3rd - 6th Jan 2012 [Re: ant]
bogong Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 5/10/2001
Loc: Canberra ACT (Higgins - NW Can...
Some nice development starting over the ranges. The Wagga sounding looks a little more unstable today than yesterday - mostly due to higher lower level temps and DPs for southern inland NSW that are holding into double figures (just).

So very good chance of more storms in the ACT this pm and Ant sorry but tonight will be warmer than last by quite a few degrees... Enjoy the office air-conditioning!

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#1051530 - 3/01/2012 13:16 Re: NSW Storms 3rd - 6th Jan 2012 [Re: bogong]
Greg Sorenson Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 5/11/2005
Loc: Canberra!
The cap hasn't yet broken yet, drying out a little with the dp's which should hold off development for a little longer. Coastal parts are more moist however, so if some of the easterlies kick in a little, there's plenty of moisture to tap into later on. I'll be heading down to a little further south today where both ACCESS and GFS predict better chances. I've still got another week off, yay!
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#1051545 - 3/01/2012 13:49 Re: NSW Storms 3rd - 6th Jan 2012 [Re: Greg Sorenson]
ant Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 5/10/2002
Loc: Overlooking ACT at 848m
Lots of scenic things in the sky to the south of Canberra, but that dirty heat-haze is everywhere else.

Hotter tonight, damn, I was dreading that. How foul.

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#1051584 - 3/01/2012 16:26 Re: NSW Storms 3rd - 6th Jan 2012 [Re: ant]
ant Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 5/10/2002
Loc: Overlooking ACT at 848m
....aaaand the scenery is still to the south. Unless it suddenly starts marching north, we're in for nothing but a hot NW wind from the jaws of hell tonight. The western horizon is just a hazy hot expanse of nothing and by now you'd be expecting to see something.

Greg was right, yet again.

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#1051603 - 3/01/2012 17:33 Re: NSW Storms 3rd - 6th Jan 2012 [Re: ant]
radar obsessed Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 21/12/2007
Loc: Inner North, Canberra
Wow what a stinker, instability looks to be hanging around until late evening however hard to see a trigger. Uppers not cold enough and without an easterly this evening might be confined to southern ranges.

Tomorrow's conditions look far more favourable. Colder uppers, late easterly inflow, good shear profile.


Edited by radar obsessed (3/01/2012 17:34)

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#1051607 - 3/01/2012 17:50 Re: NSW Storms 3rd - 6th Jan 2012 [Re: radar obsessed]
ant Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 5/10/2002
Loc: Overlooking ACT at 848m
argh. they're going to turn the alarm on soon and shoo us all out into the furnace! There's nothing on the western horizon, zilch. radar shows some gorgeous stuff down Bredbo/jerangle way, and south of that too, pink cores. There's even a little thing hatching around Captains Flat, I'll no doubt get to admire that as it's only about 20 km from me.

And the incoming line near the western border looks awesome, but both sets of weather might as well be on the moon for us tonight. We rarely get an easterly the night before a front arrives. I closed the house up this morning, expecting epic storms before I got home. It will be like an oven.

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#1051617 - 3/01/2012 18:19 Re: NSW Storms 3rd - 6th Jan 2012 [Re: ant]
David C Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 26/11/2001
Loc: Bathurst NSW Australia - Alt 6...
30.9 at 6pm in Bathurst.. damn air cond struggling a little, will get a slight relieft from tomorrow lets hope.. Going on an early morning flight around Bx before weather comes in, also before heat hits too.

M Bath : thanks for picking up my error mate, we sure are in 2012.


Edited by David C (3/01/2012 18:20)
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#1051619 - 3/01/2012 19:02 Re: NSW Storms 3rd - 6th Jan 2012 [Re: David C]
mkeene(pingtang) Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 3/09/2011
Loc: Nowra,NSW
Hope you got a piece of that flash flooder just east of Nimmatabel Greg!!!! there would've been some nice cgs with that im sure!!! Nice convergence down there. Chance of storms in the forecast for tomorrow, though when 39c is predicted,you have to imagine RH will hover between 10-20% meaning high based. Given we're in the worst storm season in 1000years , im not expecting anything more than two rumbles, maybe a few fat raindrops,and of course an evening scum/mizzle fest. High cloud is buliding this evening, though a clearing around Wagga indicates a possible nice sunset, though these sunset chases are out numbering storm chases 10 to 1 at the moment...

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#1051620 - 3/01/2012 19:03 Re: NSW Storms 3rd - 6th Jan 2012 [Re: David C]
PeterDuke Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 23/06/2011
Loc: Yetholme [1180m] Central Table...
Models are not showing anything of note for the CT's until Thursday. Just perfect summer weather now, finally can sit out on the deck in the late afternoon and evening without having to wear 3 layers of woolies, just lovely 26 atm. Still only top of 28.8 here, not a heatwave until I reach 30 by my definition.

Ant you must nearly have some of those storms on your door step atm. What is your temp around now or sunset?.

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#1051622 - 3/01/2012 19:07 Re: NSW Storms 3rd - 6th Jan 2012 [Re: mkeene(pingtang)]
ozthunder Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 23/09/2001
Loc: Mt Warrigal, NSW, Australia
Originally Posted By: mkeene(pingtang)
and of course an evening scum/mizzle fest.


I'm looking forward to a mizzle event !!!.after 3 weeks of no weather.
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http://ozthunder.com

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#1051637 - 3/01/2012 20:32 Re: NSW Storms 3rd - 6th Jan 2012 [Re: ozthunder]
bogong Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 5/10/2001
Loc: Canberra ACT (Higgins - NW Can...
Slight bit of middle level development to Cbr's NW as the surface winds drop out. Whilst not a high likelihood - I wouldn't totally rule out the possibility of some storms developing overnight to our west as the trough approaches.

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#1051644 - 3/01/2012 21:29 Re: NSW Storms 3rd - 6th Jan 2012 [Re: bogong]
Homer Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 16/06/2007
Loc: Dural
Amazing amount of lightning to my north west for the past hour - don't forget, I'm 12 k's south of Batemans Bay.
Was originally very distant, but rumbles now being heard.
Looks like the Canberra radar is having problems again, annoyingly.
Last frame I saw had some deep red colours in it.

Really annoyed that I've just gone looking for my digital SLR. I've got the battery, and charger but not the freakin camera. I hate packing for holidays with kids. I always forget MY things.
Anyway, had a screaming nor-easter for most of the day today here at Malua Bay. Annoying, but very cooling.

Homer

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#1051645 - 3/01/2012 21:55 Re: NSW Storms 3rd - 6th Jan 2012 [Re: Homer]
ant Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 5/10/2002
Loc: Overlooking ACT at 848m
Friggin Canberra radar has gone off! i'm watching a big flashy thing to my east (got some photos of the lightning, too, yay) and according to the radar, it's not there.

And wonder of wonders, we have an easterly. A SE actaully, and quite blustery. Awesome. 23.3c outside, 27.8c inside but at least that cooler air is getting in.

Off to photoshop these piccies. The structure of the cell is interesting, lots of detailed ice cream CU, with a fat anvil blossoming out above it.

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#1051648 - 3/01/2012 22:13 Re: NSW Storms 3rd - 6th Jan 2012 [Re: ant]
Simmah Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 3/07/2001
Loc: Wollongong - NSW
I hope Mr Keene is on to the stuff a little to his south...certainly better then nothing...surprised me to see the tracker light up this close to me (still ~50kms away from me though :()

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#1051655 - 3/01/2012 22:33 Re: NSW Storms 3rd - 6th Jan 2012 [Re: Simmah]
ant Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 5/10/2002
Loc: Overlooking ACT at 848m
Well, not great. Still getting the hang of this stuff and the storm was flashing off very fast lightning. The sunset was reflecting off the cloud too. Very scenic though.






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#1051657 - 3/01/2012 22:38 Re: NSW Storms 3rd - 6th Jan 2012 [Re: Simmah]
windjammer Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 31/08/2006
Loc: Nowra, NSW
I was lying in my driveway, quite mellow and enjoying the residuale heat from the pavers after the hot day and watching the distant lightning and hearing the thunder walk and talk. The cats were keeping me company and so was a nice glass of wine.

I was NOT expecting the massive BOOM CRACK SMASH overhead at all and I spilled my wine everywhere and scuttled inside like a scared little girl.

My husband thinks it's funny.

Hopefully tomorrow will bring more spilled wine:)

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