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#1052006 - 5/01/2012 07:55 VIC - Passage of low with showers,poss rain and cooler to follow 7-12/1/12
Ruckle Weatherzone Addict Registered: 3/08/2005 Loc: West Footscray VIC, we can mis...	Hi all, rather deep low approaches the state this weekend. It will end up quite some way to the south but still looks to be a weather maker. Certainly going to generate some high winds and perhaps on Saturday be a bit warmer in the east than might be expected. Wont be a great bit of news for any fires smoldering around. Chance of storms possibly mainly out west Saturday and Sunday a big question mark depending on what model. ACCG and CMC suggest reasonable rain band forming , GFS a few sprinkles and EC has had some rain on Sunday for days. The following days will be cool and maybe showers continuing in coastal parts. At the end of the period (Wednesday) there is a hint of a low off the east coast but might be its own thread if its close enough to effect E Gippy (or more) Edited by stormygirl (11/01/2012 12:10) Edit Reason: Dates extended as per request :) _________________________ Check out my Youtube channel http://www.youtube.com/user/Ruckle18?feature=mhum for more storms and also a chance to hear my friend Julz sing!(go to my "liked" section.)
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#1052020 - 5/01/2012 09:00 Re: VIC - Passage of low with showers,poss rain and cooler to follow 7-12/1/12 [Re: Ruckle]
Petros Weatherzone Addict Registered: 30/12/2002 Loc: Inverloch Vic	Yep Ruckle, a mixed bag in terms of any decent rain from it, storms ahead, if they can form late Saturday will be what I'm looking for out this way. The wind for the poor campers on Sunday night is not good! Heres CMC's present musing.......
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#1052054 - 5/01/2012 11:25 Re: VIC - Passage of low with showers,poss rain and cooler to follow 7-12/1/12 [Re: Petros]
aussiestormfreak Weather Freak Registered: 2/02/2011 Loc: Melbourne, Corryong, Canberra,...	Hopefully some decent rain and intense thunderstorms for the Corryong region this weekend the last system was almost non-existent, a very poor way to begin 2012 and the second half of the 2011-2012 Storm Season Brisbane Storm Chasers showing some reasonable instability for Northeast Victoria, and certainly into Southeast NSW and the ACT on Sunday, just in time before I head off to Merimbula on the NSW South Coast next week! _________________________ Best storms: 2003 (JAN 8, DEC 2-3); 2004 (JAN 21); 2005 (JAN 20); 2006 (JAN 26); 2007 (SEPT 27, DEC 20); 2008 (JAN 11-12); 2009 (JAN 22, NOV 26); 2010 (FEB 11, MAR 6, DEC 4 & 8); 2011 (JAN 21-22, FEB 4-5, SEPT 28, NOV 9, DEC 24-25); 2012 (JAN 11, FEB 16)
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#1052106 - 5/01/2012 15:03 Re: VIC - Passage of low with showers,poss rain and cooler to follow 7-12/1/12 [Re: aussiestormfreak]
Ruckle Weatherzone Addict Registered: 3/08/2005 Loc: West Footscray VIC, we can mis...	00z ACCR has stepped up for Sunday morning/Sat night for some reasonable rain across central parts. _________________________ Check out my Youtube channel http://www.youtube.com/user/Ruckle18?feature=mhum for more storms and also a chance to hear my friend Julz sing!(go to my "liked" section.)
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#1052113 - 5/01/2012 15:29 Re: VIC - Passage of low with showers,poss rain and cooler to follow 7-12/1/12 [Re: Ruckle]
TheAnt Weather Freak Registered: 16/11/2011 Loc: Caulfield, Melbourne (SE Burbs...	Sorry Ruckle about the possible low straight after some of the models are indicating rain coming from the West Friday and Saturday, so what's that about?
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#1052149 - 5/01/2012 17:39 Re: VIC - Passage of low with showers,poss rain and cooler to follow 7-12/1/12 [Re: TheAnt]
Ruckle Weatherzone Addict Registered: 3/08/2005 Loc: West Footscray VIC, we can mis...	I'll take a stab at what your asking TheAnt, if I get it wrong I am sorry but that sentence doesnt make much sense. There will be some cold air brushing the VIC coast on Wednesday, it did look like this would help a low form close to the east coast. It now appears unlikely to create anything more than a few drizzly showers in exposed coastal parts. As for the latest runs I have seen, havent had EC yet but general theme of the others remains a storm chance in the west Sat Pm and evening, spreading eastward before possibly becoming a solid band over central parts in the early hours of Sunday but running out of puff as it goes east of there. Will be paying attention to low over SW WA to see if its able to pull down any bonus extra moisture into this system. _________________________ Check out my Youtube channel http://www.youtube.com/user/Ruckle18?feature=mhum for more storms and also a chance to hear my friend Julz sing!(go to my "liked" section.)
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#1052159 - 5/01/2012 18:12 Re: VIC - Passage of low with showers,poss rain and cooler to follow 7-12/1/12 [Re: Ruckle]
Ruckle Weatherzone Addict Registered: 3/08/2005 Loc: West Footscray VIC, we can mis...	Wow, EC has the thundery band progressing a little quicker, it also keeps the low mentioned above in play for Wednesday with a nice drink for coastal areas in the east of the state as well as some breezy conditions. Saturday it has the band just about to Melbourne by 12z and looking reasonably solid as well. Then for Sunday as it progresses east the north side of eastern highlands do much better than the south side. Has showers in coastal parts till Wednesday picks up again. _________________________ Check out my Youtube channel http://www.youtube.com/user/Ruckle18?feature=mhum for more storms and also a chance to hear my friend Julz sing!(go to my "liked" section.)
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#1052164 - 5/01/2012 18:18 Re: VIC - Passage of low with showers,poss rain and cooler to follow 7-12/1/12 [Re: Ruckle]
TheAnt Weather Freak Registered: 16/11/2011 Loc: Caulfield, Melbourne (SE Burbs...	Thanks Ruckle, although the BOM 10 day charts are showing some rain feeding in from SA Friday and Saturday, albeit not much.
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#1052165 - 5/01/2012 18:27 Re: VIC - Passage of low with showers,poss rain and cooler to follow 7-12/1/12 [Re: TheAnt]
Ruckle Weatherzone Addict Registered: 3/08/2005 Loc: West Footscray VIC, we can mis...	Which Friday are you talking about, tomorrow? ACCG has the band pretty solid as far as central parts into Sunday morning but pretty much washes out to dribs and drabs for the eastern portion of the state. Norwegian has me at home 1mm initially, then 9 now up to 13mm for this upcoming weekend. I am starting to get my hopes up for 7-10mm. _________________________ Check out my Youtube channel http://www.youtube.com/user/Ruckle18?feature=mhum for more storms and also a chance to hear my friend Julz sing!(go to my "liked" section.)
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#1052169 - 5/01/2012 18:44 Re: VIC - Passage of low with showers,poss rain and cooler to follow 7-12/1/12 [Re: Ruckle]
TheAnt Weather Freak Registered: 16/11/2011 Loc: Caulfield, Melbourne (SE Burbs...	Yeah should've mentioned next Friday when the possiblity of the low forming in the Eastern parts is.
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#1052173 - 5/01/2012 19:02 Re: VIC - Passage of low with showers,poss rain and cooler to follow 7-12/1/12 [Re: TheAnt]
Katyer Weather Freak Registered: 18/01/2011 Loc: Taylors Hill	Since Christmas Day and the hail storm I am really wary of thunderstorm activity now. I don't mind the rain etc.. and a lightning show, but these intense storms with the large hail stones and the destruction they leave is just awful. The houses around here that are damaged are waiting on insurance to get repaired. Any further events would be a nightmare for them.
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#1052188 - 5/01/2012 19:37 Re: VIC - Passage of low with showers,poss rain and cooler to follow 7-12/1/12 [Re: Katyer]
Petros Weatherzone Addict Registered: 30/12/2002 Loc: Inverloch Vic	AccG has had a chance to digest this one, shows enough rain for this event to be notable....
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#1052204 - 5/01/2012 20:05 Re: VIC - Passage of low with showers,poss rain and cooler to follow 7-12/1/12 [Re: Petros]
TheAnt Weather Freak Registered: 16/11/2011 Loc: Caulfield, Melbourne (SE Burbs...	The good news for you Katyer then is that these seem to be relatively fast moving, and also the fact that the Supercells on christmas day aren't something you'll see once a year or so, they were some of the worst.
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#1052339 - 6/01/2012 08:14 Re: VIC - Passage of low with showers,poss rain and cooler to follow 7-12/1/12 [Re: TheAnt]
Ruckle Weatherzone Addict Registered: 3/08/2005 Loc: West Footscray VIC, we can mis...	12z run has GFS mulling with pulling some more moisture down from the NW for this weekend. Of more interest is the nice rotation south of WA on the satellite, fingers crossed its able to pull more moisture down _________________________ Check out my Youtube channel http://www.youtube.com/user/Ruckle18?feature=mhum for more storms and also a chance to hear my friend Julz sing!(go to my "liked" section.)
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#1052352 - 6/01/2012 09:03 Re: VIC - Passage of low with showers,poss rain and cooler to follow 7-12/1/12 [Re: Ruckle]
Petros Weatherzone Addict Registered: 30/12/2002 Loc: Inverloch Vic	... and out at the end of the thread (Wed) - CMC (alone though) is flirting with adding a dollop of cold air (which would help EC's ECL scenario for Wed/Thur).
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#1052562 - 6/01/2012 19:15 Re: VIC - Passage of low with showers,poss rain and cooler to follow 7-12/1/12 [Re: Petros]
Ruckle Weatherzone Addict Registered: 3/08/2005 Loc: West Footscray VIC, we can mis...	Well the 00z run has me cautiously deciding to not water the garden this evening. Satellite has given me further encouragement. Norwegian has me with 30mm, Im still hopeful of getting 10mm maybe even close to 15mm, models have slowed things a teeny bit for weekend. Still looks good for showers behind this till mid week, particularly over eastern coastal parts. Should have little peaks in activity as fronts whiz by. _________________________ Check out my Youtube channel http://www.youtube.com/user/Ruckle18?feature=mhum for more storms and also a chance to hear my friend Julz sing!(go to my "liked" section.)
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#1052603 - 6/01/2012 21:26 Re: VIC - Passage of low with showers,poss rain and cooler to follow 7-12/1/12 [Re: Ruckle]
Petros Weatherzone Addict Registered: 30/12/2002 Loc: Inverloch Vic	Yeah, our local BOM forecast has no storms for Sat and only a chance for Sun. Norwegian give us circa 12mm, with a 7mm top up mid week. At least its a bit of "weather" - eh? Great day here today though 26C light easterly, a bit of cloud - great for water-skiing in Gippsland.
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#1052620 - 6/01/2012 22:22 Re: VIC - Passage of low with showers,poss rain and cooler to follow 7-12/1/12 [Re: Petros]
ThunderBob Weather Freak Registered: 23/01/2011 Loc: Sarsfield, East Gippsland, Vic	Hey Ruckle and Petros, Models or not, I'm still watering the garden tonight ... if only cos tomorrow looks drying and Sunday seems not a dead cert. And Wednesday's a bit far out both for model accuracy and my plants' thirst. BTW, who's this Norwegian chappie or lady who's giving you rainfall advice? Could you put me in touch?
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#1052623 - 6/01/2012 22:37 Re: VIC - Passage of low with showers,poss rain and cooler to follow 7-12/1/12 [Re: ThunderBob]
Ruckle Weatherzone Addict Registered: 3/08/2005 Loc: West Footscray VIC, we can mis...	Hey Thunder Bob, probably a good idea to water. As you said, good drying day out your way tomorrow. Nice looking satellite atm. Norwegian link is I think like a spot forecast based on or from EC model. Just adjust the place from my link. http://www.yr.no/place/Australia/Victoria/Footscray/long.html _________________________ Check out my Youtube channel http://www.youtube.com/user/Ruckle18?feature=mhum for more storms and also a chance to hear my friend Julz sing!(go to my "liked" section.)
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#1052632 - 6/01/2012 23:14 Re: VIC - Passage of low with showers,poss rain and cooler to follow 7-12/1/12 [Re: Ruckle]
ThunderBob Weather Freak Registered: 23/01/2011 Loc: Sarsfield, East Gippsland, Vic	Thanks Ruckle. I've had a look, changed the location and bookmarked. The site suggests that I'll only get lett nedbor on Sunday.
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