Actually looks like Moruya and Batemans Bay, and anything in between are in the firing line.
That's a nice big red cell heading in their direction.

Homer

yer, nice structure on it too... would be a fair amount outflow.

I like the storms heading up from the SW, Hay, Narrendera , Griffith in firing line, IM at work so could end up with some blackouts , my area starts from Lake Carg and upwards.

The Batemens cell is riding the SBF boundary... damn, if only was a weekend..... good looking storm, could continue for some time.

SBF?

Apologies for my ignorance.

Homer

Sea Breeze Front, or more so a boundary between the ne and sw... if you turn on the Obs Wind streamlines on wz radar you can see the convergence. Very handy for longevity near that area.

Batemans has now been put on the list....... i wonder if mr Thompson or Keene have their name on it?

TOP PRIORITY FOR IMMEDIATE BROADCAST


SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING

for DAMAGING WIND

For people in the Riverina and parts of the South Coast, Southern Tablelands, Lower Western and Snowy Mountains Forecast Districts.
Issued at 4:08 pm Wednesday, 18 January 2012.
Severe thunderstorms are likely to produce damaging winds in the warning area over the next several hours. Locations which may be affected include Deniliquin, Griffith, Hay, Narrandera, Ivanhoe, Balranald, Batemans Bay and Moruya Heads.
The State Emergency Service advises that people should:
* Move your car under cover or away from trees.
* Secure or put away loose items around your house, yard and balcony.
* Keep clear of fallen power lines.
* Unplug computers and appliances.
* Avoid using the phone during the storm.
* Stay indoors away from windows, and keep children and pets indoors as well.
* For emergency help in floods and storms, ring the SES (NSW and ACT) on 132 500.
The next warning is due to be issued by 7:10 pm.
Warnings are also available through TV and Radio broadcasts, the Bureau's website at www.bom.gov.au or call 1300 659 218. The Bureau and State Emergency Service would appreciate warnings being broadcast regularly.

Cheers, thanks Greg.

Homer

BOM are now onboard for avo storms for Canberra for tomorrow and friday..... good to see. Michael Keene is going to investigate the cell on the coast, looks good visually, however it appears as if the original cell is dying, with some back building. Myabe a second life.

There's also some stuff forming to the NW of the original storm. Hopefully for mk, it keeps it's momentum going.

Homer

Just out of work. I can see it from here, at present looking rather weak as congestus towers to the west end of the line, glaciating into an ugly mass towards the east.

Will watch it over next hour, if it still holds on radar I may make a run for it.

it's looking quite messing in terms of wind direction over there. No wonder it's falling apart... perhaps topography is playing it's part in the demise. Still plenty of heating over the next 2 hours, so i hope things kick off again. Tomorrow looking better for us in the ACT.

im at work till 8 and havent been aware of the going on's down the coast... loaded up radar to see what you guys were discussing (45 minutes ago mind you). which seems to have exploded in the latest update! fingers crossed for Mr keene and mt if he's gone for it! hopefully its not the last hurrah microburst but the speed to which it blew up on radar seems to suggest to me it may well be it.

It has rebuilt and gone into the black. Still heading through no-man's land but the Southern Highlands could get a piece of it if it hold's its strength.

Homer

the southern highlands cell is certainly motoring along now that it went super.

a parallel course with sustained strength should push it into Campbelltown area by about 9.30pm.

there is certainly enough moisture at low levels to feed it.

are there enough other positive factors in the atmosphere to maintain its strength?

Yeah... or so it seemed. That cell was a fizzer, it died not long after I posted that message (only got a few light spits of rain and one possible distant lightning flash), I must've jinxed it

Hope for a bit of action later this evening and certainly tomorrow as I head back from Merimbula to Corryong

it's a typical left mover which should keep the main cells in the blue mountains where it's most likely getting a decent boost from the humid easterly topographical uplift.

Michael keene has been observing the cell from 15km west of nowra, lightning chaser is closer getting time-lapse. Microburst features easily seen, meso type structure, clear air strikes "out of blue sky" has been mentioned. Mr Keens is now repositioning to kangaroo valley if he makes it in time.

a new jump cell 20km nne of the original cell. Visually the structure looks sound from my vantagepoint wnw of bankstown

WOW! That cell down south is looking very decent. Nice you can see the structure where you are Cory. Never know, it might hold together and make it this way. Look's to be back building atm.