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#1058648 - 20/01/2012 08:18 VIC Inland trough and chance of storms 20/1 - 22/1
Ruckle Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 03/08/2005
Posts: 5212
Loc: West Footscray VIC, we can mis...
Well the inland trough will provide some focus for thunderies for the next few days. General consensus of the models is a chance out east particularly on the ranges today and tomorrow and then the west is a chance Sunday. Activity looks to quieten down for a day or so after that (although its not impossible that it wont) but it should give us a border on this thread.

Anyway somewhere for thunderbob to post his obs as he will probably have a reasonable view compared to the rest of us for the next day or so! smile


For those not getting storms in the south, looks kind of muggy.
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#1058656 - 20/01/2012 08:54 Re: VIC Inland trough and chance of storms 20/1 - 22/1 [Re: Ruckle]
chasers addict Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 11/12/2007
Posts: 814
Loc: Bendigo/ Kangaroo Flat, Vic Ra...
been waiting....as strong SE wind is blowing to SA as looks the trough is siting from NSW VIC

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#1058712 - 20/01/2012 12:41 Re: VIC Inland trough and chance of storms 20/1 - 22/1 [Re: chasers addict]
Meso7 Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 01/12/2011
Posts: 406
Loc: Springfield, QLD
Not excited by this setup at all. Storms will probably be too far north east today and tomorrow and too far west on Sunday. It has been pretty dry and boring up here since Xmas and that looks set to continue for a while yet.
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#1058727 - 20/01/2012 13:10 Re: VIC Inland trough and chance of storms 20/1 - 22/1 [Re: Meso7]
Ruckle Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 03/08/2005
Posts: 5212
Loc: West Footscray VIC, we can mis...
Yeah the uppers may be getting quite warmish over central and western parts. But for our friends out east will have something to see. Got an STW on my phone just a little while ago for the high country storm.
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#1058746 - 20/01/2012 14:08 Re: VIC Inland trough and chance of storms 20/1 - 22/1 [Re: Ruckle]
ThunderBob Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 23/01/2011
Posts: 90
Loc: Sarsfield, East Gippsland, Vic
Some (reasonable) activity on the Divide again today. On the coast and up to the foothills it's still (in early afternoon) a layer of flat coastal cloud extending from west of Melb nearly to Mallacoota. Cells are forming north of that on the Divide - showing up well on the sat image. No sign yet of this coastal cloud burning off here.

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#1058827 - 20/01/2012 17:01 Re: VIC Inland trough and chance of storms 20/1 - 22/1 [Re: ThunderBob]
dlcat1 Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 31/01/2011
Posts: 477
Loc: Melbourne (NE burbs)
They definitely fired up north of the border. smile

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#1058915 - 20/01/2012 20:00 Re: VIC Inland trough and chance of storms 20/1 - 22/1 [Re: dlcat1]
ThunderBob Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 23/01/2011
Posts: 90
Loc: Sarsfield, East Gippsland, Vic
Remained (as above) all day here. No activity west or south of Omeo. (By radar) there was lots of sustained activity in the far east and, of course, (as dlcat1 says)the continuing quite spectacular storm activity on and around the Monaro.


Edited by ThunderBob (20/01/2012 20:02)

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#1058925 - 20/01/2012 20:36 Re: VIC Inland trough and chance of storms 20/1 - 22/1 [Re: ThunderBob]
Petros Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 30/12/2002
Posts: 4287
Loc: Maffra, Central Gippsland, Vi...
Felt very promising at Loy Yang lunchtime, very warm humid, overcast and calm. But by 4pm, still overcast but temps and humidity had backed off to be similar to Melbournes lunchtime obs.

Hoping to see some lightning tomorrow evening.

Developing into a mild summer eh?

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#1058949 - 20/01/2012 21:33 Re: VIC Inland trough and chance of storms 20/1 - 22/1 [Re: Petros]
thunderunder Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 12/09/2011
Posts: 408
Loc: Stewarton
Thermometer under back verandah reached 40C today.

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#1058964 - 20/01/2012 21:55 Re: VIC Inland trough and chance of storms 20/1 - 22/1 [Re: thunderunder]
Petros Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 30/12/2002
Posts: 4287
Loc: Maffra, Central Gippsland, Vi...
Jeez thunderunder! - surely with circa 20+% humidity as well! This is an interesting summer for us Vics.

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#1059011 - 20/01/2012 23:13 Re: VIC Inland trough and chance of storms 20/1 - 22/1 [Re: Petros]
TheAnt Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 16/11/2011
Posts: 1360
Loc: Caulfield, Melbourne (SE Burbs...
Didn't get over 20 today, very good conditions for my first match of the year today smile

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#1059020 - 20/01/2012 23:28 Re: VIC Inland trough and chance of storms 20/1 - 22/1 [Re: TheAnt]
Petros Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 30/12/2002
Posts: 4287
Loc: Maffra, Central Gippsland, Vi...
Tennis?

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#1059023 - 20/01/2012 23:32 Re: VIC Inland trough and chance of storms 20/1 - 22/1 [Re: Petros]
Ruckle Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 03/08/2005
Posts: 5212
Loc: West Footscray VIC, we can mis...
Well other than cloud and murk burning off in Melbourne (unlike today) Saturday looks like a carbon copy of today. Bit of build up and even some action out east and thats about it. Sunday looking less convincing for the west / or anywhere for that matter but heres hoping...
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Check out my Youtube channel http://www.youtube.com/user/Ruckle18?feature=mhum for more storms and also a chance to hear my friend Julz sing!(go to my "liked" section.)

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#1059026 - 20/01/2012 23:38 Re: VIC Inland trough and chance of storms 20/1 - 22/1 [Re: Ruckle]
chasers addict Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 11/12/2007
Posts: 814
Loc: Bendigo/ Kangaroo Flat, Vic Ra...
looks heaps of moist slowy going down from NW Victoria...

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#1059045 - 21/01/2012 00:08 Re: VIC Inland trough and chance of storms 20/1 - 22/1 [Re: Petros]
TheAnt Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 16/11/2011
Posts: 1360
Loc: Caulfield, Melbourne (SE Burbs...
Originally Posted By: Petros
Tennis?

Yep, I reckon the temperature could be a few degrees lower like today depending on what time the cloud starts to break up, if it only breaks up at 2 then it might only get to 25 or so.

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#1059085 - 21/01/2012 07:43 Re: VIC Inland trough and chance of storms 20/1 - 22/1 [Re: TheAnt]
Ruckle Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 03/08/2005
Posts: 5212
Loc: West Footscray VIC, we can mis...
Interesting to see that its slightly warmer and damper than yesterday morning. As for the temps today in Melbourne, think closeness to bay might matter a bit.Eastern highlands still looking active this arvo.
_________________________
Check out my Youtube channel http://www.youtube.com/user/Ruckle18?feature=mhum for more storms and also a chance to hear my friend Julz sing!(go to my "liked" section.)

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#1059200 - 21/01/2012 12:08 Re: VIC Inland trough and chance of storms 20/1 - 22/1 [Re: Ruckle]
chasers addict Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 11/12/2007
Posts: 814
Loc: Bendigo/ Kangaroo Flat, Vic Ra...
have low clouds blowing from SE but NE wind is kind of burn it off slowly

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#1059247 - 21/01/2012 14:51 Re: VIC Inland trough and chance of storms 20/1 - 22/1 [Re: chasers addict]
chasers addict Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 11/12/2007
Posts: 814
Loc: Bendigo/ Kangaroo Flat, Vic Ra...
Few clouds around but burn off not rising into the upper level at all.

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#1059250 - 21/01/2012 15:05 Re: VIC Inland trough and chance of storms 20/1 - 22/1 [Re: chasers addict]
ThunderBob Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 23/01/2011
Posts: 90
Loc: Sarsfield, East Gippsland, Vic
Cloud breaking up slowly here. Had a light but steady 20 min rain about 2pm. Radar shows some activity right up on the Divide but seems no strong development.

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#1059361 - 21/01/2012 18:43 Re: VIC Inland trough and chance of storms 20/1 - 22/1 [Re: ThunderBob]
chasers addict Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 11/12/2007
Posts: 814
Loc: Bendigo/ Kangaroo Flat, Vic Ra...
well storms in NE and when sun goes down then cool breeze SE wind blow inland once North East wind weaken

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