I reckon they will send out energy beams from the towers again, this time to aid in the recurving of the TC instead of helping to build one. Hahahahahahaha

If I was in Exmouth and Onslow at the moment I would be checking my supplies and making sure a bit of a clean up was completed. This puppy looks like he could get real big real soon. Great looking system already.

HAHAHA. I have a mate working at those towers I will ask him. Tried to call him before but no answer so he must be busy lining up those energy beams. lol

No doubt all sorts of Whackie opinions will pop up on youtube etc but maybe Iggy will put the rumours to rest and just blow the towers over lol.

yep...its looking like a doozie.

@ popeye. Could be time to put your tinfoil hat on.

Yeah your not wrong. Still along way off but I guess Sunday isn't really that far away. Even if he heads down and turns just offshore they will get an absolute flogging from any onshore winds not to mention the swell/seas rolling in. We have 3 metre seas here in Broome today and thats just from the monsoon not even much from iggy yet. Imagine CAT 4 seas with an existing monsoon swell underneath it. Huge!!

I imagine there will be a large storm surge if it crosses with the monsoon??

Looking very nice at here at the moment.

Things well could get a bit Nasty if it go for WA or NT should be really keeping a watching on this Tropical Cyclone at the moment.

This Tropical cyclone Iggy Can do any things in the coming up weeks.

lookks like a big system for this side of the country, alot more like the ones you guys are used to over in the east mathew.

Yeah it's only just a lots of wind and heavy rain that all it's is.

Cyclone Iggy as plotted from the BOMS technical report. Has it as a CAT 4 in 72hrs time.

Will take some slowing to bring that fella to a stop. Initial speed and direction will be an interesting area to follow. Might be worth comparing this map in a day or so. If Iggy develops some good speed he may even be to the North of Onslow Exmouth before it recurves with this developing ridge. That would slot in straight down across the top end of the Exmouth Gulf and Exmouth before heading west offshore out to sea again.

I also wonder whether these sudden changes in direction which may happen as it nears the NW cape can actually give a system a real boot along in intensity as the change occurs. have seen it before with weaker systems when they turn it kicks them into gear. Wonder if the same can happen for a full blown system or whether the change will signal the demise of the system??

Next day will be interesting to watch.

JTWC description from earlier on.

REMARKS:
260300Z POSITION NEAR 16.2S 108.6E.
MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 260000Z IS 19 FEET.
TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 09S, IGGY, LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 485 NM
NORTHWEST OF LEARMONTH, AUSTRALIA, HAS TRACKED EAST-SOUTHEASTWARD AT
04 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE
IMAGERY SHOWS THAT THE VAST MAJORITY OF CONVECTION REMAINS DISPLACED
DOWNSTREAM OF THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) DUE TO NEARLY
25 KNOTS OF EASTERLY SHEAR. RECENT IMAGERY INDICATES VERTICAL WIND
SHEAR EASING AND THE CONVECTION SLIPPING CLOSER TO OVERHEAD OF THE
LLCC. IMAGERY ALSO SHOWS AN INCREASE IN DEEP CONVECTION DESPITE THE
TRANSITION TOWARDS THE DIURNAL MINIMUM. A 252226Z SSMIS IMAGE
REVEALS A BROAD LLCC WITH CONVECTIVE BANDING LACKING OVER THE
NORTHEAST QUADRANT, AND SHIP REPORTS FROM THE PERIMETER OF THE
SYSTEM CONFIRM AN EXPANSIVE AREA OF GALES. THE CURRENT INTENSITY
ANALYSIS IS BASED ON A COMBINATION OF DVORAK ASSESSMENTS FROM PGTW
AND APRF, EARLIER SCATTEROMETRY DATA, AND SHIP REPORTS. THE 251200Z
PGTW UPPER LEVEL STREAMLINE ANALYSIS DEPICTS TC IGGY APPROXIMATELY
180 NM NORTH OF THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE AXIS, THUS THE EXPECTED
POLEWARD MOVEMENT DURING THE NEXT 72 HOURS WILL BRING THE SYSTEM
UNDER A REGION OF STEADILY RELAXING SHEAR. SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES
ALONG TRACK ARE 28 TO 29 DEGREES CELSIUS, SUPPORTIVE OF FURTHER
DEVELOPMENT. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY REVEALS WELL-ESTABLISHED
RADIAL OUTFLOW OVER THE SYSTEM. TOTAL PRECIPITABLE WATER LOOPS SHOW
ABUNDANT DEEP MOISTURE FIELDS WITHIN THE MONSOON TROUGH, WITH DEEP
MOISTURE FIELDS EXTENDING TO NEARLY 20 DEGREES SOUTH LATITUDE. TC
09S IS BEING STEERED GENTLY SOUTHEASTWARD BY THE NEAR EQUATORIAL
RIDGE, WHICH IS ANCHORED IN A MID-TO UPPER-LEVEL ANTICYCLONE OVER
THE TIMOR SEA. TC 09S WILL TRACK STEADILY ALONG THE SOUTHWESTERN
FLANK OF THAT ANTICYCLONE THROUGH TAU 72 AND STEADILY INTENSIFY.
MODEL GUIDANCE IS IN GOOD AGREEMENT ON THAT SCENARIO. AFTER TAU 72,
THE LEVEL OF CERTAINTY IN THE TRACK FORECAST DROPS OFF
PRECIPITOUSLY. THE MAJORITY OF AIDS INDICATE AN ABRUPT TURN TO THE
SOUTHWEST IN RESPONSE TO A BUILDING SUBTROPICAL RIDGE OFF-SHORE OF
WESTERN AUSTRALIA, WHILE OTHERS, INCLUDING EGRR AND SOME ENSEMBLES,
TRACK THE SYSTEM TOWARDS A WEAKNESS IN THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE,
RESULTING IN A STRIKE ON THE PILBARA REGION. THE JTWC FORECAST
WEIGHTS THE SOLUTIONS OF ECMWF AND GFS DUE TO GOOD PERFORMANCE THUS
FAR, AND DISCOUNTS THE EASTWARD TRACK OF EGRR DUE TO WEAKER RECENT
PERFORMANCE, PARTICULARLY ON TC 08S. NEXT WARNINGS AT 261500Z AND
270300Z. REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 08S (FUNSO) WARNINGS (WTXS32 PGTW)
FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES.//
NNNN

The latest EC model out 3 hrs a go definately puts a halt to the SE steer as it approaches the NW cape in 72hrs swinging it back south west, only temporarily for a day or two before continueing back on its southerly and then SE course down the west coast crossing as a decaying system over Shark Bay/Carnarvon area.

Its interesting to note how EC has dropped the prominant westerly projection out into the Indian Ocean in which they had a few days back. It goes to show you how they are slowly allowing for the ridge to be short lived and not as strong.

I wonder if over the next 48 hrs there is a significant alteration to their charts to include a crossing in the Exmouth/Onslow areas. Anyone have any thoughts?

I am going with my %50 to %50 chance there.

Its either that or the upper low over QLD isnt as strong and the upper high pushes well east quite quickly. As this tc following the western edge of a high pressure cell would go SW S the n SE.

The BOM and JTWC track maps

lots of rain on the radar in for a good night

Its pretty hard to tell with it being so cloud engulfed. I just checked out the Rammb loops and it seems to be ESE if anything. I reckon in 36 hrs time it should be pretty easy to follow with a nice clear eye formation appearing and remaining till either landfall or recurvature back out to the west