Tropical Cyclone Iggy (SIO) 26/1/12 - 2/2/12 - Weatherzone Forums

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#1066109 - 01/28/12 09:54 AM Re: Tropical Cyclone Iggy (SIO) 26/1/12 - 2/2/12 [Re: Brett Guy]
MH123 Cloud Gazer Registered: 02/17/11	Most forecasts seem to agree that a turn to S then SW just prior to landfall near the Pilbara coast is on the cards at this stage. Look out guys! Edited by MH123 (01/28/12 09:55 AM)
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#1066146 - 01/28/12 10:24 AM Re: Tropical Cyclone Iggy (SIO) 26/1/12 - 2/2/12 [Re: MH123]
sswanss Weather Freak Registered: 12/05/04 Loc: Sth Hedland	Looking at the last few Sat Pics now, seems to be moving SW already or am i seeing things ,take a look let me know what you all think.
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#1066149 - 01/28/12 10:27 AM Re: Tropical Cyclone Iggy (SIO) 26/1/12 - 2/2/12 [Re: sswanss]
OzCyChaser Trav Meteorological Motor Mouth Registered: 03/25/07 Loc: Alligator Creek - 22km South O...	System is still being sheared to the west south west by high wind shear. System is still moving se Expect rapid intensification overnight and into tomorrow as wind shear relaxes and the storm moves under a upper high. _________________________ http://www.ozcyclonechasers.com - Australia's first dedicated Cyclone chasing team http://www.facebook.com/ozcyclonechasers - Join our Facebook group for live updates while we're chasing. http://www.swxc.net - Our local storm chasing website
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#1066156 - 01/28/12 10:33 AM Re: Tropical Cyclone Iggy (SIO) 26/1/12 - 2/2/12 [Re: OzCyChaser Trav]
opplevelse Weather Freak Registered: 08/27/06 Loc: Christiania, slightly east of ...	Originally Posted By: OzCyChaser Trav Latest track map looks awesome.... Why? _________________________ "Science is a lot like sex ... sometimes something useful comes out, but that's not the reason we do it." - Richard Feynman
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#1066157 - 01/28/12 10:33 AM Re: Tropical Cyclone Iggy (SIO) 26/1/12 - 2/2/12 [Re: OzCyChaser Trav]
sswanss Weather Freak Registered: 12/05/04 Loc: Sth Hedland	Ok then, been watching Iggy so much lately any little movement plays havoc with my Brain cells,& theres not too many of them i can tell ya.
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#1066159 - 01/28/12 10:34 AM Re: Tropical Cyclone Iggy (SIO) 26/1/12 - 2/2/12 [Re: OzCyChaser Trav]
Weathergrrl Cloud Gazer Registered: 01/11/12 Loc: Karratha, WA	Do you think that there is any chance that if Iggy fails to slow/become stationary as predicted, that the trough wont have as much time to influence it S/SW as much, thus the ridge's influence will keep it on the current SE trajectory, possibly making landfall between Onslow-Karratha?
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#1066163 - 01/28/12 10:37 AM Re: Tropical Cyclone Iggy (SIO) 26/1/12 - 2/2/12 [Re: opplevelse]
OzCyChaser Trav Meteorological Motor Mouth Registered: 03/25/07 Loc: Alligator Creek - 22km South O...	Originally Posted By: opplevelse Originally Posted By: OzCyChaser Trav Latest track map looks awesome.... Why? It stalls of the coast of Onslow and gives them destructive winds for at least 12 hours. Awesome from a storm chasing perspective, however not good for someone who is actually caught up in the system. Edited by OzCyChaser Trav (01/28/12 10:44 AM) _________________________ http://www.ozcyclonechasers.com - Australia's first dedicated Cyclone chasing team http://www.facebook.com/ozcyclonechasers - Join our Facebook group for live updates while we're chasing. http://www.swxc.net - Our local storm chasing website
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#1066171 - 01/28/12 10:45 AM Re: Tropical Cyclone Iggy (SIO) 26/1/12 - 2/2/12 [Re: OzCyChaser Trav]
isaY Cloud Gazer Registered: 02/01/11 Loc: Charleville	Originally Posted By: OzCyChaser Trav Originally Posted By: opplevelse Originally Posted By: OzCyChaser Trav Latest track map looks awesome.... Why? It stalls of the coast of Onslow and gives them destructive winds for at least 12 hours. Mental illness?
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#1066184 - 01/28/12 10:49 AM Re: Tropical Cyclone Iggy (SIO) 26/1/12 - 2/2/12 [Re: isaY]
OzCyChaser Trav Meteorological Motor Mouth Registered: 03/25/07 Loc: Alligator Creek - 22km South O...	Its okay we are not chasing this system. End of story. And yes im mentally Ill. Edited by OzCyChaser Trav (01/28/12 10:50 AM) _________________________ http://www.ozcyclonechasers.com - Australia's first dedicated Cyclone chasing team http://www.facebook.com/ozcyclonechasers - Join our Facebook group for live updates while we're chasing. http://www.swxc.net - Our local storm chasing website
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#1066185 - 01/28/12 10:50 AM Re: Tropical Cyclone Iggy (SIO) 26/1/12 - 2/2/12 [Re: OzCyChaser Trav]
Popeye Weatherzone Addict Registered: 12/30/06 Loc: Cable Beach, Broome.	Anythings possible weatherggrl. each update and co-ords have it pushing ever so slightly to the east. So what last night had exmouth now has Onslow, as for the next 48 hrs?? anyones guess. There still remains a level of uncertainty and rightfully so. With competing and also weakening steering influences, and so many variables like initial trajectory, speed, timing of the slow down etc will all have an influence in the final path and I guess BOM are just doing there best, but no doubt things will change. It seems that when the system slows down to near stationary is when it 'bombs' away for that period that trav was saying off the coast. Just to what level it will bomb is frightening to think. _________________________ BROOME ADVENTURE COMPANY - SEA KAYAKING & WEATHER WATCH ADVENTURES. www.broomeadventure.com.au
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#1066200 - 01/28/12 10:57 AM Re: Tropical Cyclone Iggy (SIO) 26/1/12 - 2/2/12 [Re: Popeye]
opplevelse Weather Freak Registered: 08/27/06 Loc: Christiania, slightly east of ...	Ok, just not sure "Awesome" would be the word I'd use - especially if I lived in Exmouth. Anyway, CDO has increased considerably in size again overnight Still no hint of an eye, and as has been mentioned previously the SE qadrant is being subject to some shear (Edit: no it shouldnt be! it is probably a dry air intrusion ... but not sure about that either!) which is limiting development. THis is clear on the Microwave shot from 2hrs ago but it is getting there. JTWC have it veering away from the coast earlier than BoM Longer term could see a hit or the remnants affecting SW WA (Perth / Bunbury) around Friday next week ... just in time for my staff party on a boat on the Swan... will be watching with interest! Edited by opplevelse (01/28/12 11:05 AM) _________________________ "Science is a lot like sex ... sometimes something useful comes out, but that's not the reason we do it." - Richard Feynman
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#1066205 - 01/28/12 11:01 AM Re: Tropical Cyclone Iggy (SIO) 26/1/12 - 2/2/12 [Re: Popeye]
Weathergrrl Cloud Gazer Registered: 01/11/12 Loc: Karratha, WA	Originally Posted By: Popeye Anythings possible weatherggrl. each update and co-ords have it pushing ever so slightly to the east. So what last night had exmouth now has Onslow, as for the next 48 hrs?? anyones guess. There still remains a level of uncertainty and rightfully so. With competing and also weakening steering influences, and so many variables like initial trajectory, speed, timing of the slow down etc will all have an influence in the final path and I guess BOM are just doing there best, but no doubt things will change. It seems that when the system slows down to near stationary is when it 'bombs' away for that period that trav was saying off the coast. Just to what level it will bomb is frightening to think. Thanks for that Popeye -these phenomenons's course seem to be harder to predict than the lotto numbers!
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#1066216 - 01/28/12 11:12 AM Re: Tropical Cyclone Iggy (SIO) 26/1/12 - 2/2/12 [Re: Weathergrrl]
killkirky Cloud Gazer Registered: 01/18/11 Loc: Withcott Qld	Wow what a bad time for the Learmonth radar to be down:(
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#1066224 - 01/28/12 11:19 AM Re: Tropical Cyclone Iggy (SIO) 26/1/12 - 2/2/12 [Re: killkirky]
camshaft Weather Freak Registered: 12/25/10 Loc: Cairns	Originally Posted By: killkirky Wow what a bad time for the Learmonth radar to be down:( What is with the bureau equipment ! they better have this sorted before Iggy touches base with it ! unless it was some unexpected power interruption...
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#1066228 - 01/28/12 11:27 AM Re: Tropical Cyclone Iggy (SIO) 26/1/12 - 2/2/12 [Re: killkirky]
Ali-G Cloud Gazer Registered: 01/27/11 Loc: Various Pilbara spots	Been raining steadily in Karratha for most of the morning. Loving the rain, was missing the sound of it on a tin roof... Overcast cloud relatively low. Coming up to 50mm since 9am yesterday (mostly since about 11pm) and over 50 already at Roebourne, 30+ in Hedland, Barrow nearly 80mm. Visibility sucks at times. radar looks like its hammering down along most of the coast. Definately getting worked over by the trough and the approaching cyclone. But amazing that only 50 miles or so inland its almost completely clear of weather. To me it looks like the BOM are starting to hint at the S/SW turn in their latest track map. Still a fair way off the coast but at this stage I'd be surprised if Iggy hooked enough to miss land. My initial guess was Exmouth or south, maybe that'll still be correct, but from the eastern side of the NW Cape instead!! Edited by Ali-G (01/28/12 11:30 AM)
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#1066244 - 01/28/12 11:42 AM Re: Tropical Cyclone Iggy (SIO) 26/1/12 - 2/2/12 [Re: Ali-G]
Karratha Pilotdude Weatherzone Addict Registered: 03/29/06 Loc: Wet Karratha :)	Finally have had some rain through the night. Quite heavy for some periods too! Just getting some deep rumbling thunder come through now. Gets more and more east each release so it will be interesting to see where it does go. BOM are still sticking with heading above Onslow and then heading due south for a while on the SSU and low end Cat 4.
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#1066249 - 01/28/12 11:47 AM Re: Tropical Cyclone Iggy (SIO) 26/1/12 - 2/2/12 [Re: Ali-G]
Ali-G Cloud Gazer Registered: 01/27/11 Loc: Various Pilbara spots	And now I just heard some thunder... Mate just called up and told me one of their helicopters couldnt get from Karratha to Hedland- cloud basically on the deck 10 miles outta K-town.
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#1066254 - 01/28/12 11:48 AM Re: Tropical Cyclone Iggy (SIO) 26/1/12 - 2/2/12 [Re: Karratha Pilotdude]
camshaft Weather Freak Registered: 12/25/10 Loc: Cairns	Hmm Its only a matter of time I guess, 1st step will be intensification - moving into lower vertical wind sheer, to the east of the system currently, then it comes down to the sub tropical ridge.. will it take affect in time ? I dont think it will be as strong as predicted, Iggy will touch base with the coast however for how long is unknown at this stage. Is everyone getting prepared over their ?
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#1066265 - 01/28/12 11:59 AM Re: Tropical Cyclone Iggy (SIO) 26/1/12 - 2/2/12 [Re: camshaft]
Hedland Chick Cloud Gazer Registered: 01/12/12	Friends in Exmouth are starting to have a bit of a panic, a lot of the houses there are pretty flimsy, the old fibro norwesters. Its barely stopped raining here in Hedland for 2 days - been awesome! Im new to this weather thing - its quite exciting. Have been stalking you guys for about 4 years - learnt a lot from all of you :-) Thanks for the learning and entertainment!
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#1066266 - 01/28/12 12:00 PM Re: Tropical Cyclone Iggy (SIO) 26/1/12 - 2/2/12 [Re: camshaft]
Karratha Pilotdude Weatherzone Addict Registered: 03/29/06 Loc: Wet Karratha :)	Camshaft, it's been interesting here due to the main highway being shut for a couple of days anyway due to bushfires so we have been short of basic supplies again. So it's getting them for the cyclone but also getting them for the flooding so if trucks can't get through via either highway it means you still have meat/fruit/milk etc. As long as I have some alcohol in the fridge I'm good!
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