#1069526 - 1/02/2012 12:37
Re: Far Nth Queensland Wet Season Cardwell Northwards - February 2012
[Re: Wet & Windy]
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Weather Freak
Registered: 6/03/2009
Loc: Brinsmead - Cairns
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This January has been dry, but if you change the maps data for the three month period Oct - Dec then we are well ahead of most years except last. Last year was exceptional.
_________________________
Some photos from a few of my travels here
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#1069530 - 1/02/2012 12:53
Re: Far Nth Queensland Wet Season Cardwell Northwards - February 2012
[Re: Willraja]
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Weather Freak
Registered: 21/01/2011
Loc: Edmonton (foot of mountains)
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The statistics can be misleading too of course. That freak 2 day rain event we had in October 2011 tends to warp the stats a little. If you change the 3 month period to Nov-Jan then we are below average. I think it uses mean average statistics though as opposed to the median average.
In fact most places on the North Tropical Coast got about the same amount of rain from those two days in October than the whole wet season so far!
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#1069532 - 1/02/2012 12:57
Re: Far Nth Queensland Wet Season Cardwell Northwards - February 2012
[Re: Anundsjo]
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Weather Freak
Registered: 31/12/2004
Loc: North bank river Daintree
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OMG how much longer do we have to wait for some good rain ???
Wish something would give ,, showers building again but nothing too push it on to the coast:(
Think I'm losing my mind , watching all these model runs endlessly changing ..
Raindammit rain
cheers
EDIT : with you WJ ,, need a good flood ..
Edited by FNQ Bunyip (1/02/2012 12:58)
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#1069534 - 1/02/2012 13:05
Re: Far Nth Queensland Wet Season Cardwell Northwards - February 2012
[Re: FNQ Bunyip]
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Weather Freak
Registered: 21/01/2011
Loc: Edmonton (foot of mountains)
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Have to say that the BOM have done an exceptional job forecasting the weather this season considering how consistently wrong the models have been. Goes to show there is way more to predicting weather than merely relying on various models.
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#1069541 - 1/02/2012 13:20
Re: Far Nth Queensland Wet Season Cardwell Northwards - February 2012
[Re: Anundsjo]
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Weatherzone Moderator
Registered: 2/11/2001
Loc: Vincent, Townsville - NQld.
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they havent been as good down here with their forecasting. been forecasting but as you say the models have been rubbish.
but sometimes sticking your head out the window can help. so many times they have forecasted rain at times in the past few weeks and its been fine all day. you can often tell whats happening in a day by going outside and getting a good feel for it.
_________________________
Vincent, Townsville Nth Qld -
April 2012 - 15.6mm(62mm)
May 2012 - 0.4mm (17mm)
2012 Year to Date - 1337.0mm (1132mm)
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#1069555 - 1/02/2012 13:47
Re: Far Nth Queensland Wet Season Cardwell Northwards - February 2012
[Re: Anundsjo]
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Weather Freak
Registered: 6/03/2009
Loc: Brinsmead - Cairns
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The statistics can be misleading too of course. That freak 2 day rain event we had in October 2011 tends to warp the stats a little. If you change the 3 month period to Nov-Jan then we are below average. I think it uses mean average statistics though as opposed to the median average.
In fact most places on the North Tropical Coast got about the same amount of rain from those two days in October than the whole wet season so far! If you remove that particular freak rainfall event then you are conducting an unfair comparison as you haven't set the same criteria for the other years.
_________________________
Some photos from a few of my travels here
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#1069559 - 1/02/2012 14:00
Re: Far Nth Queensland Wet Season Cardwell Northwards - February 2012
[Re: Willraja]
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Weather Freak
Registered: 21/01/2011
Loc: Edmonton (foot of mountains)
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Agree with you Willraja. I was just pointing out that generally speaking the actual wet season itself has been pretty poor rainfall wise so far along the North Tropical Coast.
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#1069566 - 1/02/2012 14:13
Re: Far Nth Queensland Wet Season Cardwell Northwards - February 2012
[Re: Anundsjo]
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Weather Freak
Registered: 3/08/2011
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Cairns Obs are reading 999.2 HPA :D:D:D
and the spin in the GOC is looking good :D:D should have its act together alot better tomorrow :D:D
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#1069570 - 1/02/2012 14:27
Re: Far Nth Queensland Wet Season Cardwell Northwards - February 2012
[Re: weather junky]
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Weather Freak
Registered: 20/12/2003
Loc: Clifton Beach FNQ
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Is that rotation I am seeing off the coast of Cairns. I hope it can being us some flooding rain and cool the place down. Hope so mate, something's gotta give soon...
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Guy
Clifton Beach FNQ
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#1069580 - 1/02/2012 14:52
Re: Far Nth Queensland Wet Season Cardwell Northwards - February 2012
[Re: Things]
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Weather Freak
Registered: 20/12/2003
Loc: Clifton Beach FNQ
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Seems to be trying Things... C'mon!!! (Think Lleyton Hewitt...)
Has anyone seen ANY rain so far today?
_________________________
Guy
Clifton Beach FNQ
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#1069583 - 1/02/2012 14:57
Re: Far Nth Queensland Wet Season Cardwell Northwards - February 2012
[Re: GuyH]
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Weather Freak
Registered: 19/11/2008
Loc: Cardwell QLD
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Yes, yes, yes. We have rain today (or rather overcast with intermitent heavy showers) and it is lovely. Been out weeding in it and it is soooo good.
_________________________
Apr2012: 23mm(Average 201mm)
Jan-Mar2012: 1641mm (1289mm)
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#1069587 - 1/02/2012 15:00
Re: Far Nth Queensland Wet Season Cardwell Northwards - February 2012
[Re: Things]
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Weather Freak
Registered: 20/12/2003
Loc: Clifton Beach FNQ
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Yeah, mine says 6mm since midnight but nothing since @ 6am...
_________________________
Guy
Clifton Beach FNQ
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#1069591 - 1/02/2012 15:03
Re: Far Nth Queensland Wet Season Cardwell Northwards - February 2012
[Re: Green n Lumpy]
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Weather Freak
Registered: 20/12/2003
Loc: Clifton Beach FNQ
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Yes, yes, yes. We have rain today (or rather overcast with intermitent heavy showers) and it is lovely. Been out weeding in it and it is soooo good. Yeah  rub it in!!!
_________________________
Guy
Clifton Beach FNQ
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#1069593 - 1/02/2012 15:04
Re: Far Nth Queensland Wet Season Cardwell Northwards - February 2012
[Re: GuyH]
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Weather Freak
Registered: 20/12/2003
Loc: Clifton Beach FNQ
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11mm is nothing to sneeze at WJ!
Be nice to get something now to cut through this humidity!
_________________________
Guy
Clifton Beach FNQ
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