Hi everyone, front approaching the west by Saturday PM and certainly into the state by Sunday looks to have some interest about it. At the very least the prefrontal low looks to have some pretty strong N winds in front of it. There is then a rain/storm chance increasing from the west from Sat Night into Sunday, might peter out as it heads east though or dive SE ward. Front will have some remnants of the WA cyclone and has some pretty cold air in its wake although the mass of that will stay to our south. Should be enough to keep shower chance in coastal areas till Tuesday at least, maybe even a follow up surge of cool air to keep that going. Anyway another system to follow. Norwegian has 11mm here at home for Sunday pm and even at this time.

EC a few days ago had bumper falls in the SW, has calmed down since.

Well cant see EC and ACC longer term this morning as WZ have delayed that.

Good news is that remanants of the cyclone (such as they are) have been left behind by the trough and so HOPEFULLY can at least partially be involved in Sundays front. Should at least get the SW a chance for some ok rain.

Short term ACC, GFS and CMC seemed to have slowed the system a little. Perhaps the high and existing inland trough blocking it a little?

Hey gang!

I'm in Sydney atm but will be back home in Melbourne tomorrow, kinda moving from one weather system (heavy rains and flooding in NSW) to the next (this front/trough/low/ex-tropical cyclone remnants in Victoria) in just a space of 24 hours lol

Any chance of some truly severe summer thunderstorm action across the State this weekend?

AT maybe not quite as much in central areas, but east is a decent chance imo. But look at how ACCESS have mucked up the cold and hot air lines, on Wednesday its midway through NSW and Adelaide!

Truly severe? No chance whatsoever.

Run of the mill pusly cell that makes you go ? Probably in with a shot if you stick to the east of the state.

Still looking like the system will peak (rain wise) just prior to hitting our state, parts of the SW might sill grab a few more mm's (say double figures) but after that vey much the old "southern and mountain districts"forecast. Wind still looks impressive Sunday and I still wouldnt write off some storms out west Saturday night. Norwegian knocked me down to a very specific 4.4mm now.

Well had some nice convection going up mid afternoon and it felt humid and like storms might brew, but nothing. We had a shower 7.00pm yesterday with apparently a couple of rumbles yesterday, I drove though it coming home from Benalla. Looked to be brewing in Benalla when I left and apparently some afreas around the this region had half and inch, we had 2mm.
Chrstmasday was a good old stormy day and we had a good lightening display Chrsitmas eve, I am really missing those nights of sitting on the veranday watching the lightening. Even during the drought we may have not got the rainfall, but we did regulary get a good show during the summer. Kids and I spent many hours listening to the thunder and watching the lightening. So over a month and nothing really worth talking about. For this season the most we have had five minutes of rumble, a heavy shower then all gone. Where has the good all night thunderstorms and lightening gone? Last summer was a fizzer and this year hasnt been much better. Nothing to record for January. Mind you I do realise that coastal areas have probably had more action but inland has been ruddy boring. Sorry shouldnt whinge, but the weather is just nothing like it was twenty years even thiry years ago. I can remember in my child hood years, regularly putting the pillow over my years and the windows rattling becasue of the thunder going all night. Havent had that for a few years.

I was watching a nice line of development with that band as it crossed the south central this afternoon. Promising start but it did nothing. The last storm outlook I saw had a chance for the far NW tomorrow into Sunday but nothing elsewhere.

7 drips and a distant audible rumble on Sunday would help this SSDS sufferer.

Looking forward to prospects the weekend after.

looks like very quick gusty wind in big swing N/NW wind shifting SW/S then S/SE wind

BoMs four day outlooks have gone from chocolates to boiled lollies for Sunday with an ever so slight chance of some rain with a modicum of a chance of thunderstorms, but one thing seems for sure its going to be windy.

Not much changed for this event on the 12z run, still a chance of reasonable totals in the SW of the state and then it drags and slides itself across the rest of the southern areas. Probably be about 3-5mm here at home. Wind still looks fun as well. Follow up front should bring a burst of drizzle and shwrs to coastal parts Tuesday in some nice cool air.

Lots of cu around this side of the city atm. Nice cool air either side of 700hpa on the sounding I guess helping this sky. Quite warm above that so they wont go anywhere anytime soon.

Lovely surge of cold air behind this system and really starting to look ok. However, all models have it continuing to strengthen, peaking near maybe Adelaide or SE Sa and far SW Vic and then diving SE so it remains very much southern areas only with a chance of precip. Still hopeful of 3mm at least,this amount of temperature contrast has to produce some precip, surely lol, Norwegian has me down to 2mm tho....

Watch those hats and wigs tomorrow folks.

EC at least still likes the coastal drizzle surge Tuesday.

BOM still has the chance of a storm for us tomorrow evening - and we need it - the grass has gone white at the Golf Club (as it does in summer ).

Dish up some awesome weather for me after Tuesday

Just had a whole night of gusty winds, need something different for a change

Already some warnings in place for some parts of the state.

Down to 15 degrees at Portland. 26/11 here with baro at 994.0hpa.

Fog patches still burning off, calm and sunny here.

Very gusty out of the north here, got five or six spits at the end of my ride and hedging towards thinking that might be all we get out of this.

EDIT: BOM thinks we're up for 3 - 7mm. That would be nice, a lot of the non native trees round here are looking haggard.