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#1073724 - 09/02/2012 13:13 Re: Vic developing low and trough 9th to 12th February [Re: Ruckle]
duckweather Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 20/12/2010
Posts: 913
Loc: Wantirna, Vic
Looks almost like the 'system' in the west of the state has some rotation happening ?
_________________________
http://sentirlaterre.blogspot.com.au/ "Sentir La Terre" (earthquakes/etc.)
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=fZ9mn9xplgo&feature=plcp (Melbourne tremor 1st Oct. 2012)

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#1073728 - 09/02/2012 13:21 Re: Vic developing low and trough 9th to 12th February [Re: duckweather]
TheAnt Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 16/11/2011
Posts: 1360
Loc: Caulfield, Melbourne (SE Burbs...
Yes that upper low is swingning quite nicely currently.

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#1073735 - 09/02/2012 13:42 Re: Vic developing low and trough 9th to 12th February [Re: TheAnt]
Things Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 29/11/2009
Posts: 5091
Loc: Redlynch FNQ
Looks like the next band is building up. Looks like this one is more likely to hit directly, has some pink in it!

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#1073748 - 09/02/2012 14:30 Re: Vic developing low and trough 9th to 12th February [Re: Things]
Katyer Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 18/01/2011
Posts: 457
Loc: Taylors Hill
If I am reading the BOM's weather and wave map correctly, it looks as though Melbourne in particular my area (western suburbs) may get between 5 to 10 ml, on Friday. Saturday appears to be the same amount. Overall for our area I think BOM had it at perhaps 15 to 25 for the 24 hr period. The higher totals look like they are in the East.

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#1073752 - 09/02/2012 14:37 Re: Vic developing low and trough 9th to 12th February [Re: Katyer]
Things Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 29/11/2009
Posts: 5091
Loc: Redlynch FNQ
Severe storm warning out .. and only my third day here!

Severe thunderstorms are likely to produce damaging winds, very heavy rainfall, flash flooding and large hailstones in the warning area over the next several hours. Locations which may be affected include Wodonga, Corryong, Bright, Bairnsdale, Orbost and Falls Creek.

Not too severe please .. Although heavy rain is good grin

When they say large hailstones, is that just a possibility, or do they really mean likely??

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#1073756 - 09/02/2012 14:48 Re: Vic developing low and trough 9th to 12th February [Re: Things]
TheAnt Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 16/11/2011
Posts: 1360
Loc: Caulfield, Melbourne (SE Burbs...
Things, bear in mind that hail has to be 2cm to reach severe level, which can't really damage anything, but its just a warning for the hailstones that are slightly bigger, thats what I think.

Katyer severe storms are most likely out east during the next few days, the BOM forecast says that western suburbs are more likely to get the rain but I doubt it, it'll be an interesting event that is for sure.

Doesn't look like Petros has copped anything yet but its really exploding to the NE of Maffra, any reports Petros?


Edited by TheAnt (09/02/2012 14:49)

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#1073759 - 09/02/2012 14:51 Re: Vic developing low and trough 9th to 12th February [Re: TheAnt]
Things Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 29/11/2009
Posts: 5091
Loc: Redlynch FNQ
Originally Posted By: TheAnt
Things, bear in mind that hail has to be 2cm to reach severe level, which can't really damage anything, but its just a warning for the hailstones that are slightly bigger, thats what I think.


Thanks for that. Do I have a chance of seeing any hail here in Wodonga, or are we too far West / too low to see that? I'd like to experience hail again, but not damaging!

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#1073760 - 09/02/2012 14:53 Re: Vic developing low and trough 9th to 12th February [Re: Things]
TheAnt Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 16/11/2011
Posts: 1360
Loc: Caulfield, Melbourne (SE Burbs...
Hard to tell, looks like Wodonga is missing the worst cell but you may get some small hail, basically aslong as its not a full black core it shouldn't be anything more then just around the severe area.

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#1073762 - 09/02/2012 15:01 Re: Vic developing low and trough 9th to 12th February [Re: TheAnt]
Things Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 29/11/2009
Posts: 5091
Loc: Redlynch FNQ
Hehe, biggest hail I have experienced was only smaller than pea sized stuff in Melbourne .. 2cm would look huge!

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#1073765 - 09/02/2012 15:04 Re: Vic developing low and trough 9th to 12th February [Re: Things]
Crymson7 Offline
Cloud Gazer

Registered: 20/11/2007
Posts: 14
Loc: Sale, Victoria
Petros is in Maffra, I'm in Sale, but we are not seeing anything here yet. Hope it comes our way but don't think it is likely.

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#1073776 - 09/02/2012 15:28 Re: Vic developing low and trough 9th to 12th February [Re: Crymson7]
thunderunder Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 12/09/2011
Posts: 408
Loc: Stewarton
Well thought I would check in.
To the west of here pretty much blue skies, to the east can see the cumuls building, looks good for those living in the East of the North East Region.

No word from Fergus yet.

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#1073792 - 09/02/2012 16:24 Re: Vic developing low and trough 9th to 12th February [Re: thunderunder]
Gabby Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 23/03/2002
Posts: 2634
Loc: Yarrawonga/Mulwala on the Murr...
Can see all the wonderful cumulus building to my east, so near and yet so far, Some of those storm cells are only 20km or so away. Now that is frustrating! Seems to back building along the river. We could be lucky to get something by tonight.


Edited by Gabby (09/02/2012 16:28)

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#1073795 - 09/02/2012 16:33 Re: Vic developing low and trough 9th to 12th February [Re: Gabby]
petethemoskeet Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 13/08/2003
Posts: 1036
Loc: katoomba now Albury
Yeah Gabby good cells just to the north of us,have been for the last few hours.

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#1073797 - 09/02/2012 16:37 Re: Vic developing low and trough 9th to 12th February [Re: petethemoskeet]
Things Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 29/11/2009
Posts: 5091
Loc: Redlynch FNQ
Mega close lightning here just before. Saw the flash through my window in broad daylight, and it rattled the heck out of the place! Too close for comfort for me poke

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#1073798 - 09/02/2012 16:44 Re: Vic developing low and trough 9th to 12th February [Re: Things]
TheAnt Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 16/11/2011
Posts: 1360
Loc: Caulfield, Melbourne (SE Burbs...
SW Hoorbrok getting smashed it would seem, Things are you in eastern Wodonga? Because there isn't too much on the radar atm, must've jumped from the main cell a little.

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#1073799 - 09/02/2012 16:47 Re: Vic developing low and trough 9th to 12th February [Re: TheAnt]
Things Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 29/11/2009
Posts: 5091
Loc: Redlynch FNQ
Yeah, just to the East of the main city on Thorneycroft Ave.

Still trying to work out my exact bearings here keep forgetting which way is which!

Radar is a bit odd ATM, has been saying light rain for a while now and we haven't had much at all.


Edited by Things (09/02/2012 16:49)

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#1073800 - 09/02/2012 16:49 Re: Vic developing low and trough 9th to 12th February [Re: Things]
duckweather Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 20/12/2010
Posts: 913
Loc: Wantirna, Vic
hey Things...when we had that mothership of a hail storm/super cells in Melbourne quite some time ago (2010), the hail we got here (well actually they were chunks of ice) were big.
One we picked up from the grass filled a good sized cereal bowl. Others were exploding (breaking up) as they pummelled our roofs. One roof hole was the size of a dinner plate. There are photos on the net of many of the hail stones reaching up to the size of baseballs.
When it hit, it scared the #$@%$# out of us. Even the dog still freaks now when the smallest bit of hail falls.
I had never seen ice chunks/hail like that in all of my 40 plus something years.
_________________________
http://sentirlaterre.blogspot.com.au/ "Sentir La Terre" (earthquakes/etc.)
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=fZ9mn9xplgo&feature=plcp (Melbourne tremor 1st Oct. 2012)

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#1073803 - 09/02/2012 16:54 Re: Vic developing low and trough 9th to 12th February [Re: duckweather]
TheAnt Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 16/11/2011
Posts: 1360
Loc: Caulfield, Melbourne (SE Burbs...
Yeah duck, for some areas it was as big as the Christmas day hail storm, but I think that one trumps the March 6 ones just because there were 4 supercells that passed over the same areas. And when you see light precipitation on the radar that you cant hear/see I believe its called Virga.


Edited by TheAnt (09/02/2012 16:56)

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#1073807 - 09/02/2012 17:04 Re: Vic developing low and trough 9th to 12th February [Re: TheAnt]
duckweather Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 20/12/2010
Posts: 913
Loc: Wantirna, Vic
yep...won't forget Xmas Day in a hurry either crazy
It was a real pearler for the storm freaks of this world grin
_________________________
http://sentirlaterre.blogspot.com.au/ "Sentir La Terre" (earthquakes/etc.)
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=fZ9mn9xplgo&feature=plcp (Melbourne tremor 1st Oct. 2012)

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#1073810 - 09/02/2012 17:15 Re: Vic developing low and trough 9th to 12th February [Re: duckweather]
TheAnt Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 16/11/2011
Posts: 1360
Loc: Caulfield, Melbourne (SE Burbs...
Those small cells won't reach Melbourne will they?

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