Drove N up the Nambrock plains into a general lowering mid level cloud bank drifting S off the mountains for the whole northern horizon, "that smell" very rich, early view before it all got obscured looked promising for heavy rain up over the Thompson Dam.
Got home to find thunder in the cloud and we had a period of rain that delivered 1mm and about 10 C-C rumbles before drifting off to Sale.
Our local BOM forecast is for storms today and for the following 3 days with "scattered showers" each day.
This is how AccR adds up the accumulated total from the "scattered showers" for tomorrow night into Sat morning.....
Maffra sits nicely under that pretty prple colour!
As usual, the nature for small/strong ECL's - nobody really can forecast far ahead where the intense rain will fall due to the near-impossibility to model low pressure systems that are only covering areas of square 100's of KM's in models that have at best 50 kM gribs (acka accR above - which is the most accurate right now for Vic next 72 hrs).
Maffra might get bad flooding (Glenmaggie is abnormally full (81%) for mid Feb), with a catchment area 5 times the size of the Thompson dam, or may get a couple of drizzly thundery days.
Those living in Newry/Tinamba and the Maffra backwater will have their phones ringing I reckon - about now.
My opinion? - we are going to get drenched.
 6:30pm - BOM have issued a SSW from Wonthaggi to Bright (basically over Maffras W to N aspect, so if the cloud clear, it may provide a nice lighting show for us when it gets dark