#1077810 - 19/02/2012 13:09
Re: SE QLD & NE NSW Possible storms : 20th - 22nd Feb 2012
[Re: GCweather]
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Weatherzone Addict
Registered: 27/12/2007
Loc: Brisbane
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Waiting game at the moment. Things haven't changed too much in the forecasts. Monday will be Northern NSW and Tuesday the action moves into SE QLD.
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#1077814 - 19/02/2012 13:30
Re: SE QLD & NE NSW Possible storms : 20th - 22nd Feb 2012
[Re: Locke]
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Weather Freak
Registered: 9/11/2011
Loc: Morayfield SEQ
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yeah the forecast is still about the same, although gfs has slightly increased the LI's to -8 since the last run, cape is around 3400
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#1077825 - 19/02/2012 14:00
Re: SE QLD & NE NSW Possible storms : 20th - 22nd Feb 2012
[Re: storms95]
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Weather Freak
Registered: 6/12/2004
Loc: SE Qld
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I think it's worth mentioning, the CAPE shown (default) on the BSCH is surface-based CAPE. GFS has mixed-layer CAPE of 2000-2200 J/kg. This is because the 3000 + J/kg CAPE is based on a very thin slick of dew points in the low 20's. I would take the MLCAPE as a better measure of instability in this case.
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#1077846 - 19/02/2012 14:59
Re: SE QLD & NE NSW Possible storms : 20th - 22nd Feb 2012
[Re: MC Thomas]
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Weatherzone Addict
Registered: 28/09/2010
Loc: Ipswich- Yamanto Queensland
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Do we have a slight chance for any late storm activity today?
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#1077850 - 19/02/2012 15:15
Re: SE QLD & NE NSW Possible storms : 20th - 22nd Feb 2012
[Re: MC Thomas]
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Weather Freak
Registered: 13/06/2011
Loc: Girards Hill (Lismore)
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The only thing that worries me a little is that GFS have been underestimating the surface temp & DP a bit down here in the NR. 30.3 @ 14:30 vs GFS 26.9
Tuesday if we get a clear morning with decent heating we could be in for decent to severe storms given the shear profile.
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#1077862 - 19/02/2012 15:47
Re: SE QLD & NE NSW Possible storms : 20th - 22nd Feb 2012
[Re: Antonio-stormboy]
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Weather Freak
Registered: 9/02/2011
Loc: Mudgeeraba, Gold Coast QLD
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Quite grey and a few rumbles to our west on the GC hinterland. Cells on BOM now moving N near Canungra, with a black centre on the radar. A few towers going up.
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#1077863 - 19/02/2012 15:48
Re: SE QLD & NE NSW Possible storms : 20th - 22nd Feb 2012
[Re: Antonio-stormboy]
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Weatherzone Addict
Registered: 1/01/2009
Loc: Loganlea
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i don't like the look of that little storm on the 64klm radar - it's got a black core, small but it's there! .. will have to keep an eye on this one .....
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#1077870 - 19/02/2012 15:52
Re: SE QLD & NE NSW Possible storms : 20th - 22nd Feb 2012
[Re: pkgjmg]
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Weather Freak
Registered: 30/10/2011
Loc: Kingston queensland
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looks like we might see something..... i can see the anvel? from here dark under it
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#1077872 - 19/02/2012 15:54
Re: SE QLD & NE NSW Possible storms : 20th - 22nd Feb 2012
[Re: pkgjmg]
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Weather Freak
Registered: 30/06/2010
Loc: East Ballina NSW
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i don't like the look of that little storm on the 64klm radar - it's got a black core, small but it's there! .. will have to keep an eye on this one ..... Not to mention 3 more cells are starting to develop along the border line, could be a hit and miss situation here with the small size that they are but if they do hit i suspect that they will pack a punch.
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#1077876 - 19/02/2012 15:55
Re: SE QLD & NE NSW Possible storms : 20th - 22nd Feb 2012
[Re: Antonio-stormboy]
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Weather Freak
Registered: 30/06/2010
Loc: East Ballina NSW
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Also here is the latest from BOM.  For people in parts of the GOLD COAST CITY, LOGAN CITY and SCENIC RIM Council Areas. Issued at 2:42 pm Sunday, 19 February 2012. The Bureau of Meteorology warns that, at 2:40 pm, severe thunderstorms were detected on weather radar near Canungra. They are forecast to affect Tamborine by 3:10 pm and Jimboomba and Logan Village by 3:40 pm. Damaging winds, very heavy rainfall, flash flooding and large hailstones are likely.
Edited by Antonio-stormboy (19/02/2012 16:00)
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#1077883 - 19/02/2012 16:00
Re: SE QLD & NE NSW Possible storms : 20th - 22nd Feb 2012
[Re: paul117]
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Weather Freak
Registered: 30/06/2010
Loc: East Ballina NSW
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Wow paul 117 you might be lucky here! thats a nice looking anvil developing too The radar signature of this tiny cell is cool 
Edited by Antonio-stormboy (19/02/2012 16:01)
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#1077886 - 19/02/2012 16:02
Re: SE QLD & NE NSW Possible storms : 20th - 22nd Feb 2012
[Re: Antonio-stormboy]
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Weather Freak
Registered: 30/10/2011
Loc: Kingston queensland
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a mate of mine in jimboomba says its thundering loud.... have not heard thunder here yet.
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#1077888 - 19/02/2012 16:04
Re: SE QLD & NE NSW Possible storms : 20th - 22nd Feb 2012
[Re: StevefromSurfers]
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Weather Freak
Registered: 30/01/2011
Loc: Oxley Brisbane Qld
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unusual to see such a small cell produce a black core. It certainly is a compact little cell - and definitely looks to be on a mission  Shame there is not more around to bring some rain and cooler temps - it is just so hot!
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