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#1077122 - 17/02/2012 11:18 Re: VIC - Low Pressure Trough, Heat, Showers, Thunderstorms Feb 15-20 2012 [Re: duckweather]
Petros Online   content
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 30/12/2002
Posts: 4178
Loc: Maffra, Central Gippsland, Vi...
Happy 40th for January DW!! smile

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#1077126 - 17/02/2012 11:29 Re: VIC - Low Pressure Trough, Heat, Showers, Thunderstorms Feb 15-20 2012 [Re: Petros]
duckweather Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 20/12/2010
Posts: 830
Loc: Wantirna, Vic
Thankyou for that Petros grin
Pssst...add a couple (few) more years and you'd be spot on wink
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#1077151 - 17/02/2012 12:51 Re: VIC - Low Pressure Trough, Heat, Showers, Thunderstorms Feb 15-20 2012 [Re: duckweather]
Things Online   content
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 29/11/2009
Posts: 5049
Loc: Redlynch FNQ
Had a quick 0.6mm downpour this morning. Looks like if you manage to get under a cell today, it's gonna be very short lived! They are moving very fast.

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#1077163 - 17/02/2012 13:03 Re: VIC - Low Pressure Trough, Heat, Showers, Thunderstorms Feb 15-20 2012 [Re: Things]
Lindsay Knowles Offline
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Registered: 18/01/2003
Posts: 3734
Loc: Pakenham Victoria's Storm Capi...
East Gippsland is firing atm. I was hoping that it would have cleared by now as I am heading up near Buchan to do some fishing. Just hope the road into where I am going will be ok as Buchan looks like copping it big time shortly.

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#1077214 - 17/02/2012 15:35 Re: VIC - Low Pressure Trough, Heat, Showers, Thunderstorms Feb 15-20 2012 [Re: Lindsay Knowles]
Petros Online   content
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Registered: 30/12/2002
Posts: 4178
Loc: Maffra, Central Gippsland, Vi...
Give us a toot as you drive through Loo!

A nice period of rain had in Maffra this morning according to my mother, makes up for the trace we got last night.

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#1077223 - 17/02/2012 15:57 Re: VIC - Low Pressure Trough, Heat, Showers, Thunderstorms Feb 15-20 2012 [Re: Petros]
TheAnt Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 16/11/2011
Posts: 1356
Loc: Caulfield, Melbourne (SE Burbs...
Happy birthday! Quite steamy outside at 70% RH.

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#1077289 - 17/02/2012 18:24 Re: VIC - Low Pressure Trough, Heat, Showers, Thunderstorms Feb 15-20 2012 [Re: TheAnt]
Things Online   content
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 29/11/2009
Posts: 5049
Loc: Redlynch FNQ
Still only on 0.6mm of rain for the day. I spose the next day to look out for is Sunday with that low, but seems all gone for now. The structure out to my North is stunning though! Would have snapped some pics if I had've taken my camera with me frown

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#1077318 - 17/02/2012 20:11 Re: VIC - Low Pressure Trough, Heat, Showers, Thunderstorms Feb 15-20 2012 [Re: Things]
Things Online   content
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 29/11/2009
Posts: 5049
Loc: Redlynch FNQ
Nice sunset though! Awesome seeing the tops of clouds lit up bright orange!


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#1077331 - 17/02/2012 21:00 Re: VIC - Low Pressure Trough, Heat, Showers, Thunderstorms Feb 15-20 2012 [Re: Petros]
Petros Online   content
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Registered: 30/12/2002
Posts: 4178
Loc: Maffra, Central Gippsland, Vi...
Originally Posted By: Petros
Give us a toot as you drive through Loo!

A nice period of rain had in Maffra this morning according to my mother, makes up for the trace we got last night.


Very delighted to come home to find 10mm in the gauge!! - this mornings showers/delivered nicely! smile

Brings us to 31mm this month, significant because our Feb rain tally is normally near zero, with the odd easterly rain event every 4-6 years that floods us (as is the case for any month here) to give the long term 2"/month average fo thise parts..

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#1077441 - 18/02/2012 09:07 Re: VIC - Low Pressure Trough, Heat, Showers, Thunderstorms Feb 15-20 2012 [Re: Petros]
Ruckle Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 03/08/2005
Posts: 5148
Loc: West Footscray VIC, we can mis...
Should be some more action out east today. Looking at wind obs, seems the trough is from around Gabby's place to near Petros, certainly some N in the winds east of that line. (nice of the weather to match up with WZ users, lol)Anywhere east of that line is achance of a shower or storm although much more so in the hilly parts as usual. Chance is the key word.

Some hint of a thundery type band from morning tomorrow starting out west working across the state. HAd dreams of a chase a week ago but thanks to work a drive to just north of the ACT that realistically looks the most interesting tomorrow pm is just not on. Should be some decent storms tomorrow out east and if the trough slows down it could get interesting over a wider area.
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#1077457 - 18/02/2012 10:02 Re: VIC - Low Pressure Trough, Heat, Showers, Thunderstorms Feb 15-20 2012 [Re: Ruckle]
Petros Online   content
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Registered: 30/12/2002
Posts: 4178
Loc: Maffra, Central Gippsland, Vi...
Yep chance of a storm is in our local forecast today.

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#1077474 - 18/02/2012 11:45 Re: VIC - Low Pressure Trough, Heat, Showers, Thunderstorms Feb 15-20 2012 [Re: Petros]
Ruckle Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 03/08/2005
Posts: 5148
Loc: West Footscray VIC, we can mis...
Nice sounding for Melbourne although fair cap around 850hpa. Central range activity might be visible a little further west today as well. Also trough will begin to broaden / flatten out ahead of tomorrow.
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#1077562 - 18/02/2012 17:38 Re: VIC - Low Pressure Trough, Heat, Showers, Thunderstorms Feb 15-20 2012 [Re: Ruckle]
Ruckle Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 03/08/2005
Posts: 5148
Loc: West Footscray VIC, we can mis...
LOL, well not even a nice cu display on the hills, guess the uppers have warmed a bit as the day went on.
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Check out my Youtube channel http://www.youtube.com/user/Ruckle18?feature=mhum for more storms and also a chance to hear my friend Julz sing!(go to my "liked" section.)

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#1077739 - 19/02/2012 09:55 Re: VIC - Low Pressure Trough, Heat, Showers, Thunderstorms Feb 15-20 2012 [Re: Ruckle]
Ruckle Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 03/08/2005
Posts: 5148
Loc: West Footscray VIC, we can mis...
N and NE winds cover more of the state than I thought they might at this time and a few light showers wobbling across. Interesting blob of storms and rain west of Adelaide but it'll either fizzle or make its way to sthern NSW. Some models still like the NE later today for some good storms/precip, ACCR has the heaviest VIC effort along the ranges in the East. If NE winds hold and we got some breaks its sure going to be muggy..
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Check out my Youtube channel http://www.youtube.com/user/Ruckle18?feature=mhum for more storms and also a chance to hear my friend Julz sing!(go to my "liked" section.)

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#1077782 - 19/02/2012 11:57 Re: VIC - Low Pressure Trough, Heat, Showers, Thunderstorms Feb 15-20 2012 [Re: Ruckle]
Petros Online   content
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Registered: 30/12/2002
Posts: 4178
Loc: Maffra, Central Gippsland, Vi...
And muggy it is here, 65% RH and 23C, dead calm and overcast, again the BOM has the chance of storms here.

Yest got to 26C, a cloudy day with persistent easterly breeze in the arvo, no storm structured clouds about, although the mountains were heavily clouded late in the afternoon.

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#1077784 - 19/02/2012 12:03 Re: VIC - Low Pressure Trough, Heat, Showers, Thunderstorms Feb 15-20 2012 [Re: Petros]
TheAnt Offline
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Registered: 16/11/2011
Posts: 1356
Loc: Caulfield, Melbourne (SE Burbs...
Petros I reckon you're a better chance today

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#1077801 - 19/02/2012 12:36 Re: VIC - Low Pressure Trough, Heat, Showers, Thunderstorms Feb 15-20 2012 [Re: TheAnt]
Ruckle Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 03/08/2005
Posts: 5148
Loc: West Footscray VIC, we can mis...
Storm just flared just over the SA side of the border. Just out the front looking west and the mid's look unstable. Pity we cant get an hour of sun with the trough still just to our west.
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Check out my Youtube channel http://www.youtube.com/user/Ruckle18?feature=mhum for more storms and also a chance to hear my friend Julz sing!(go to my "liked" section.)

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#1077816 - 19/02/2012 13:31 Re: VIC - Low Pressure Trough, Heat, Showers, Thunderstorms Feb 15-20 2012 [Re: Ruckle]
TheAnt Offline
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Registered: 16/11/2011
Posts: 1356
Loc: Caulfield, Melbourne (SE Burbs...
Ruckle the trough is the outer Eastern metro area right about now? Atleast thats what the Sypnoptic is suggesting.

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#1077820 - 19/02/2012 13:43 Re: VIC - Low Pressure Trough, Heat, Showers, Thunderstorms Feb 15-20 2012 [Re: TheAnt]
Ruckle Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 03/08/2005
Posts: 5148
Loc: West Footscray VIC, we can mis...
Winds still NE at Essendon and Tulla. Probably diagonally across like it was Thursday. S at 2kts here at home. Ballarat still N, Mt Gellibrand NE as well. Mids do look nice.
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Check out my Youtube channel http://www.youtube.com/user/Ruckle18?feature=mhum for more storms and also a chance to hear my friend Julz sing!(go to my "liked" section.)

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#1077835 - 19/02/2012 14:30 Re: VIC - Low Pressure Trough, Heat, Showers, Thunderstorms Feb 15-20 2012 [Re: Ruckle]
Ruckle Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 03/08/2005
Posts: 5148
Loc: West Footscray VIC, we can mis...
Some weak convection towards NW, presumably around the ranges. Then again I could be just looking at the tops of a bit of mid level stuff which continues to look ok.
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Check out my Youtube channel http://www.youtube.com/user/Ruckle18?feature=mhum for more storms and also a chance to hear my friend Julz sing!(go to my "liked" section.)

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