No.. Not at this stage, it hasnt reached the coral sea yet for its 3 time lucky chance of development!

Simply a mystery Mitchel story

LOL

I like to know why don't we left this pages open and call it developing monsoon Tropical low it's is just an idea I don't think we need to re open and another thread that systems what do you all think?

That one idea I come up with any way.

The thread IS still open Mathew, it's just that (at the moment) the low is no longer 'developing'.

It may not be developing but it is certainly helping to provide some wicked weather for us all. I am loving this system.

Apart from the obvious it looks like wannabee Mitch really is heading south. Normanton is up to 993hpa while Croydon has dropped to 995... that's pretty much a straight southern track

IDQ20033
Australian Government Bureau of Meteorology
Queensland



TOP PRIORITY FOR IMMEDIATE BROADCAST
SEVERE WEATHER WARNING
for Heavy Rainfall and Damaging Winds
For people in the following forecast districts: Northern Goldfields and Upper
Flinders, North Tropical Coast and Tablelands, Herbert and Lower Burdekin,
Central Coast and Whitsundays and parts of the Gulf Country, Peninsula and
Northwest districts.
Issued at 11:20 pm on Monday 19 March 2012

Synoptic Situation: A vigorous monsoon trough extends from the southern Gulf of
Carpentaria to the North Tropical Coast. At 10 pm AEST, a tropical low was
located on the monsoon trough 55km southeast of Normanton, over the eastern Gulf
Country. The low is moving towards the south-southeast at 15 km/hr and is
expected to continue in this direction during Tuesday. This will take the low
centre to near Richmond by Tuesday evening.

Damaging winds, with peak gusts of around 100 km/hr are possible within 250km of
the low centre, mainly on the eastern and southern sides.

Heavy rainfall that may lead to flash flooding and worsen the existing flood
situation is expected over the eastern Gulf Country, Peninsula district south of
Coen and the eastern districts north of St. Lawrence, Northern Goldfields and
Upper Flinders and northeastern parts of the Northwest district. Scattered 24
hour totals in excess of 200mm are likely. Locations that may be affected
include Normanton, Georgetown, Richmond, Cairns, Innisfail, Ingham, Townsville,
Ayr, Bowen, Proserpine and Mackay.

Flood Warnings are current for various rivers and streams; see
www.bom.gov.au/qld/warnings
Emergency Management Queensland advises that people should:
- Move your car under cover or away from trees.
- Secure loose outdoor items.
- Seek Shelter, preferably indoors and never under trees.
- Beware of fallen trees and powerlines.
- Avoid driving, walking or riding through flood waters.
- Keep clear of creeks and storm drains.

For emergency assistance contact the SES on 132 500.

The next warning is due to be issued by 5 am AEST Tuesday

Our NT blob looks better at the moment kinda, give it till mid morning before you start making fun of it, QLD low looks to be heading towards water it just may have to much surrounding convection and be travelling in kinda the wrong direction to get alot of spin though it does look promising on sat tonight and may be a bit further north.

I like to know What the chance of the developing Tropical low re developing back into a Tropical Cyclone again if it's move into the QLD coral sea waters over the next few days?

If it's move back into the coral sea water or not I mean before.

Here you go Mathew... as to if the low (its never been a cyclone) will make it into the CS that remains to be seen.... most of the earlier modelling indicates it will (if it holds together) but there are radical differences in as to where. Right now I guess its "centre" is more than 500km west of Townsville. So if it does it would be a fair bit further south.


TOP PRIORITY FOR IMMEDIATE BROADCAST
SEVERE WEATHER WARNING
for Heavy Rainfall and Damaging Winds
For people in the following forecast districts:
Northern Goldfields and Upper Flinders, North Tropical Coast and Tablelands,
Herbert and Lower Burdekin, Central Coast and Whitsundays and parts of the Gulf
Country, Peninsula and Northwest districts.
Issued at 5:15 am on Tuesday 20 March 2012

Synoptic Situation: A vigorous monsoon trough extends from the southern Gulf of
Carpentaria to the North Tropical Coast. At 4 am AEST, a tropical low was
located on the monsoon trough 85 km southwest of Croydon and 150 km
south-southeast of Normanton, over the southeastern Gulf Country. The low is
moving towards the south-southeast at 15 km/hr and is expected to continue in
this direction throughout today. This will take the low centre to near Richmond
by this evening.

Damaging winds, with peak gusts of around 110 km/hr are possible within 250km of
the low centre, mainly on the eastern and southern sides, and extending even
further east towards the tropical and central coasts. Locations which may be
affected include Townsville, Ingham, Charters Towers, Moranbah, Richmond, and
Winton.

Heavy rainfall that may lead to flash flooding and worsen the existing flood
situation is expected over the eastern Gulf Country, Peninsula district south of
Coen and the eastern districts north of St. Lawrence, Northern Goldfields and
Upper Flinders and northeastern parts of the Northwest district. Scattered 24
hour totals in excess of 200mm are likely. Locations that may be affected
include Normanton, Georgetown, Julia Creek, Richmond, Cairns, Innisfail, Ingham,
Townsville, Ayr, Bowen, Proserpine and Mackay.

Highest rainfall totals recorded since 9am Monday include Mission Beach 308 mm,
Paluma 274mm, Central Mill 253 mm and Boar Pocket 252 mm.

Thanks for that update am more happy to left it as that and see what happen from there.

It will probably just decay over Central parts of the state, at least that's what the Bureau and modelling seems to indicate. Though modelling also suggests another low may spin up off the south coast overnight Thursday but quickly get whisked away to the SE.

The Capricornia Anti-Weather raygun will destroy it once it gets within 200 kms of Rocky.

Hoping that rain keeps heading our way! Feeling very left out here in Bargara... we keep missing out this year.

well it should be noted in this thread that this low, indirectly had a part in townsville's tornado this morning. and what an experience that was. never thought i would go through one!

the topical low llc is obviously away from the coast but the bom synoptic shows it on the coast, i hardly find this amusing when the weather bureau is so amature

ok well i guess the rapid movement east just means the synoptic was a few hours early though it seems as though they always enjoy showing the lows in different locations from where they are actually sitting at the time the synoptic is released