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#1089623 - 15/03/2012 15:24 Re: North Qld Wet Season Cardwell to Bowen - March 2012 [Re: SBT]
SBT Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 07/02/2007
Posts: 12881
Loc: Townsville Dry Tropics
32mm since 9.00am Hardly an earth shattering rain event ...... yet.

But it's a start.

Come on mother nature you can do better than this. The radar is showing light green cells and a very few yellow ones. Meh pizz or get off the pot.
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lexDyscis luRe!!
Scientific knowledge is always tentative and subject to revision. The entire history of science is littered with discarded theories once thought to be incontrovertible truths. Prof David Deming

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#1089649 - 15/03/2012 15:58 Re: North Qld Wet Season Cardwell to Bowen - March 2012 [Re: SBT]
Noname Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 28/01/2011
Posts: 2104


The beginnings of monsoon rains here at JCU this morning. More to come and its ramping up. Satellite looks amazing!
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#1089652 - 15/03/2012 16:00 Re: North Qld Wet Season Cardwell to Bowen - March 2012 [Re: Noname]
Raindammit Offline
Weatherzone Moderator

Registered: 14/02/2002
Posts: 10793
Loc: Townsville & Bilyana NQ
GFS still looks awesome!!

_________________________
Belgian Gardens 2013 YTD - 595.0mm March - 70.0mm (Avg 66.8mm)
Bilyana 2013 YTD - 1465mm April - 148mm (Avg 215.3mm)
Bilyana Current Weather

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#1089656 - 15/03/2012 16:09 Re: North Qld Wet Season Cardwell to Bowen - March 2012 [Re: Raindammit]
gazzatsv Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 19/03/2011
Posts: 450
Loc: Townsville
There are a few things already lining up that could stop us from getting the really big falls. Little lows etc off the coast will act to focus the rain away from us despite having the gulf system.

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#1089702 - 15/03/2012 17:11 Re: North Qld Wet Season Cardwell to Bowen - March 2012 [Re: gazzatsv]
Choklit Thunda Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 13/01/2011
Posts: 1315
Loc: Ingham
This GFS changes so much, fascinating to see it and figure out why so.
No problems spotting the NT Low's travel direction on this latest one!!
Right over the Herbert catchment..
And of course Mackay still has to barge in and score potential great falls!!
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#1089722 - 15/03/2012 17:40 Re: North Qld Wet Season Cardwell to Bowen - March 2012 [Re: Choklit Thunda]
NikG Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 22/03/2010
Posts: 55
Loc: Garbutt
SBT...I blame the majority of city flooding on the Night of Noah more on the fact that flood gates werent opened (flow out to Pallerenda/Ross) and creeks/drains had not been maintained and were full of crap plus Ross creek having a beaver dam (large rock piles) blocking the flow wink Its still funny how after all these years how no one will admit fault and all the porkies that are still told wink
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#1089737 - 15/03/2012 17:56 Re: North Qld Wet Season Cardwell to Bowen - March 2012 [Re: NikG]
Raindammit Offline
Weatherzone Moderator

Registered: 14/02/2002
Posts: 10793
Loc: Townsville & Bilyana NQ
SWW for the Southern and Eastern GOC:

TOP PRIORITY FOR IMMEDIATE BROADCAST
SEVERE WEATHER WARNING
for Heavy Rainfall and Abnormally High Tides
For people in parts of the Peninsula and Gulf Country districts.
Issued at 4:15 pm on Thursday 15 March 2012

Synoptic Situation: At 4:00pm AEST, the monsoon trough lies over the southern
Gulf of Carpentaria. The trough is expected to strengthen while a low currently
over the Northern Territory may move over southern Gulf of Carpentaria waters on
the weekend.

Heavy rainfall that may lead to flash flooding is expected to develop on Friday
and continue over the weekend about the Gulf of Carpentaria coast and adjacent
inland areas between Torres Strait and the Northern Territory border. Localised
24 hour totals in excess of 150mm are likely.

Water levels on the high tide could exceed the highest tide of the year over the
next few days about the Gulf of Carpentaria coast and Torres Strait Islands.

Locations which may be affected include the Torres Strait Islands, Weipa,
Kowanyama, Normanton, Burketown and Mornington Island.
Emergency Management Queensland advises that people should:

* Avoid driving, walking or riding through flood waters.
* Keep clear of creeks and storm drains.
* If near the coastline, stay well away from the water's edge.
* For emergency assistance contact the SES on 132 500.


The next warning is due to be issued by 11:00 pm AEST Thursday.
_________________________
Belgian Gardens 2013 YTD - 595.0mm March - 70.0mm (Avg 66.8mm)
Bilyana 2013 YTD - 1465mm April - 148mm (Avg 215.3mm)
Bilyana Current Weather

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#1089746 - 15/03/2012 18:09 Re: North Qld Wet Season Cardwell to Bowen - March 2012 [Re: Raindammit]
Tan Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 15/09/2003
Posts: 2755
Loc: Barringha/Woodstock, Qld
Showers on and off here today but nothing to write home about yet!

A little off topic and I'm not sure if I'm allowed to give a plug, but today I received my new phone case that beautifully displays Thomo's amazing "2 strikes" photo and its awesome! I highly recommend checking this one and others out on www.facebook.com/SWXCAU

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#1089787 - 15/03/2012 19:06 Re: North Qld Wet Season Cardwell to Bowen - March 2012 [Re: Tan]
Choklit Thunda Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 13/01/2011
Posts: 1315
Loc: Ingham
thanks Tan, they are fantastic...
good seeing Nitso on tonights news, couldn't make out a lot of what he was saying though...
Well latest GFS has Herbie Berbie getting the bulk rain, not as much up North, we'll see what happens next model...
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#1089791 - 15/03/2012 19:17 Re: North Qld Wet Season Cardwell to Bowen - March 2012 [Re: Raindammit]
Mat Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 11/01/2006
Posts: 6641
Loc: Townsville, Queensland
Thanks for that update.

I had some great rainfalls in my area during the day what do you think? I just update my rainfalls Total just a few min ago.


Edited by Mathew (15/03/2012 19:18)
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YTRTotal 2011-2012> 67.2mm.

(Last hour 0.0 mm - 0.0mm.
Last 24 hour 0.0mm, Last week 00.0mm, 67.2mm last Months

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#1089792 - 15/03/2012 19:17 Re: North Qld Wet Season Cardwell to Bowen - March 2012 [Re: Choklit Thunda]
RWM's Daughter Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 21/12/2010
Posts: 730
Loc: Bohle Plains, Townsville
Evening all! 52.4mm here since midnight smile

Soccer already cancelled again for this weekend - no surprise there..

More rain please!!!!
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#1089796 - 15/03/2012 19:25 Re: North Qld Wet Season Cardwell to Bowen - March 2012 [Re: RWM's Daughter]
mitasol Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 26/12/2011
Posts: 400
Loc: Kirwan
40 mm so far today

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#1089797 - 15/03/2012 19:27 Re: North Qld Wet Season Cardwell to Bowen - March 2012 [Re: mitasol]
curious onlooker Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 26/01/2011
Posts: 447
Loc: Annandale - Townsville
The sky looks so dark like it is going to absolutely bucket down but there is nothing on the radar.
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Bring on the rains!!!

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#1089803 - 15/03/2012 19:32 Re: North Qld Wet Season Cardwell to Bowen - March 2012 [Re: Tan]
SBT Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 07/02/2007
Posts: 12881
Loc: Townsville Dry Tropics
Floodgates near where the new Train Staion is where definately closed. I drove a Unimog full of my blokes passed it about 7.00am going out to sandbag telephone exchanges and water was backed up behind it and flooding back as far as Castletown. I think I remember that Ross Creek was having a new brige installed that now connects to the carpark where Dean Park sound shell was. Black River near the mouth was another place that suffered badly but then it was basically a squatters camp anyway with no real town planning.

Mind you, developers do go out of their way to warn potential home buyers about flooding risks by the names they give suburbs but people choose to ignore them or are blind to the fact. i.e. Fairfield Waters (It was a fresh water swamp before they filled it in) Riverview, if you look across the river you will see Riverway Drive is about 2 to 3 meters higher than your exclusive estate footpaths next to the river, (Thats because Riverway drive is a levee in case the dam wall springs a leak, all the water was to flow out towards the University and Lavarack barracks because no one lived there at the time) Bridgewater Estate and River Meadows (Rasmussen) are built slap on top of feeder creeks for the Bohle River etc.

Anandale was built on reclaimed mangrove swamp, Oonoomba is well, just a string of billabongs that connected to Fairfield Waters but it's OK because they built a horse racing track on it. Oliver Court in Vincent is just a filled in creek. Douglas a series of creeks back filled with rubbish (it used to be Townsvilles only dump at one stage) and top soiled over etc. Anytime you see a suburban street that is higher than the surounding land run for the hills. (Mysterton, Rising Sun, hint hint).

There is also a reason people who lived in South Townsville built Queenslanders on stilts and didn't build at ground level but some developers just don't care and saw cheap land and thought what the hell it only floods here occasionally I will get away with it and knocked them down and built ground level duplexes and flats.

It also never fails to amaze me that the worst land is often the dearest. Castle Hill is a prime example, Mt Lousia is another one. Decomposed Granite is not a stable surface to build a house on. But if a boulder comes crashing through your back fence and laundry door flooding your house with mud and rubble during a cyclone you can always get the council to fix it for you can't you Mr Carmichael? wink

North Shore is another "Prime Real Estate" location. I use to belt around that area on a trail bike many years ago when it was nothing but termite mounds and mangrove swamps next door to an industrial estate that builds trains etc. I guess they filled in the swamps and bulldozed the termite mounds.

So yes there are a lot of flood potential areas in Townsville. You just need to know how to look at them.



http://flood.firetree.net/?ll=-27.8390,138.1640&z=13&m=7 Navigate to Townsville, select a level from teh drop down box and click on the map. Doesn't look too accurate but better than nothing. If you can get a hold of a Military Survey Map of Townsville it would give you a much better detailed map of heights above sea level.


Edited by Sir BoabTree (15/03/2012 19:42)
Edit Reason: add link to flood map.
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lexDyscis luRe!!
Scientific knowledge is always tentative and subject to revision. The entire history of science is littered with discarded theories once thought to be incontrovertible truths. Prof David Deming

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#1089806 - 15/03/2012 19:33 Re: North Qld Wet Season Cardwell to Bowen - March 2012 [Re: curious onlooker]
Mat Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 11/01/2006
Posts: 6641
Loc: Townsville, Queensland
Yep you are right there.

The heavy rain as pick up here as well and the sky is dark here too. smile wink

Just off or on.

It's pick up a few min ago after I update my rainfalls Total to the weather zone forums.


Edited by Mathew (15/03/2012 19:48)
_________________________
YTRTotal 2011-2012> 67.2mm.

(Last hour 0.0 mm - 0.0mm.
Last 24 hour 0.0mm, Last week 00.0mm, 67.2mm last Months

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#1089817 - 15/03/2012 19:53 Re: North Qld Wet Season Cardwell to Bowen - March 2012 [Re: Mat]
Choklit Thunda Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 13/01/2011
Posts: 1315
Loc: Ingham
preliminary flood warning issued for all rivers etc from Bowen north with individual
warnings released as needed..
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....at the end of the rainbow... grin

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#1089823 - 15/03/2012 19:59 Re: North Qld Wet Season Cardwell to Bowen - March 2012 [Re: Choklit Thunda]
Raindammit Offline
Weatherzone Moderator

Registered: 14/02/2002
Posts: 10793
Loc: Townsville & Bilyana NQ
7 day rainfall forecast from the BOM:

_________________________
Belgian Gardens 2013 YTD - 595.0mm March - 70.0mm (Avg 66.8mm)
Bilyana 2013 YTD - 1465mm April - 148mm (Avg 215.3mm)
Bilyana Current Weather

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#1089831 - 15/03/2012 20:13 Re: North Qld Wet Season Cardwell to Bowen - March 2012 [Re: Raindammit]
thomo Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 06/12/2005
Posts: 2436
Loc: West End, Townsville, QLD
Thanks Tan, you can plug us all you want. wink

Here's the video Seven News used of Nitso.



In the process of uploading the story.
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#1089833 - 15/03/2012 20:16 Re: North Qld Wet Season Cardwell to Bowen - March 2012 [Re: thomo]
Choklit Thunda Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 13/01/2011
Posts: 1315
Loc: Ingham
I see the 7 day BOM rain forecast includes the low forming off about Rocky they were talking about on 4TO this morning.
That seems to be an under-estimation of future rainfall from what otherreports are saying, any thought on this anyone?
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....at the end of the rainbow... grin

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#1089842 - 15/03/2012 20:34 Re: North Qld Wet Season Cardwell to Bowen - March 2012 [Re: Choklit Thunda]
Raindammit Offline
Weatherzone Moderator

Registered: 14/02/2002
Posts: 10793
Loc: Townsville & Bilyana NQ
Awesome thomo, the boys must be having a ball!!

I remember watching the monsoonal NW'lies smashing the seas up against the cliffs at Nightcliff when I lived up there. smile
_________________________
Belgian Gardens 2013 YTD - 595.0mm March - 70.0mm (Avg 66.8mm)
Bilyana 2013 YTD - 1465mm April - 148mm (Avg 215.3mm)
Bilyana Current Weather

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