Page 25 of 52 < 1 2 ... 23 24 25 26 27 ... 51 52 >
Topic Options
#1090326 - 16/03/2012 16:05 Re: GENERAL CHAT - Severe Tropical Cyclone Lua (SIO, NW WA) 13/3/12 - 18/3/12 [Re: Ali-G]
Ali-G Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 27/01/2011
Posts: 72
Loc: Various Pilbara spots
And some light drizzle has just started in Hedland. Its already going mostly sideways with the wind!


Edited by Ali-G (16/03/2012 16:05)

Top
#1090331 - 16/03/2012 16:12 Re: GENERAL CHAT - Severe Tropical Cyclone Lua (SIO, NW WA) 13/3/12 - 18/3/12 [Re: Ali-G]
Popeye Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 30/12/2006
Posts: 7773
Loc: Cable Beach - Broome WA
Originally Posted By: Ali-G
Qantas have cancelled their flights as of now, apparently, to Karratha, Hedland and Broome.


Broome just got a good squall through then. Not sure I would like to be on a plane today. Only 35 knts at the airport but where I was down behind the dunes gave the small trees a good flattening with some nice bursts. All you crew down South stay safe and hang on tight.

Hangon Just heard a plane and a helicopter lol. Poor buggers.


Edited by Popeye (16/03/2012 16:14)
_________________________
Popeye's 2015/16 Broome Wet Season Images

Top
#1090332 - 16/03/2012 16:13 Re: GENERAL CHAT - Severe Tropical Cyclone Lua (SIO, NW WA) 13/3/12 - 18/3/12 [Re: Ali-G]
Maisie Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 21/03/2004
Posts: 1515
Loc: Bluewater Park,Nth of Townsvil...
Hope you are all safe over there and keep us up to date with whats happening in your part of Australia.
I am sure you have the thoughts of all Nth Qlders as we had from you when Yasi was boring down on us.
Hopefully Lua will not cause too much havoc or destruction and everyone is ok after it is all over.
Thinking of you.

Top
#1090335 - 16/03/2012 16:21 Re: GENERAL CHAT - Severe Tropical Cyclone Lua (SIO, NW WA) 13/3/12 - 18/3/12 [Re: Maisie]
Ali-G Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 27/01/2011
Posts: 72
Loc: Various Pilbara spots
Popeye, the wind currently in Hedland and Karratha is predominantly straight down the runway, so no biggie.

Squalls are common, thats what holding fuel is for.

Im a couple hours away from launching. Should be a fun trip :-)
Gotta run now and do things, be back in a few hours!

Top
#1090343 - 16/03/2012 16:35 Re: GENERAL CHAT - Severe Tropical Cyclone Lua (SIO, NW WA) 13/3/12 - 18/3/12 [Re: Ali-G]
Popeye Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 30/12/2006
Posts: 7773
Loc: Cable Beach - Broome WA
Yeah have fun Ali. and get some photos if you can.

Bucketing down here now. Amazing rain. I noticed Broome is monsoonal Hedland is easterly winds still. I guess that will stay that way for a while.
_________________________
Popeye's 2015/16 Broome Wet Season Images

Top
#1090346 - 16/03/2012 16:37 Re: GENERAL CHAT - Severe Tropical Cyclone Lua (SIO, NW WA) 13/3/12 - 18/3/12 [Re: Ali-G]
JustMeHere Offline
Cloud Gazer

Registered: 15/03/2012
Posts: 2
Planes were cancelled in Karratha from 12pm due to the crosswinds....

Top
#1090350 - 16/03/2012 16:44 Re: GENERAL CHAT - Severe Tropical Cyclone Lua (SIO, NW WA) 13/3/12 - 18/3/12 [Re: JustMeHere]
Ningergirl Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 13/03/2012
Posts: 196
Loc: Cable Beach
well I am off to get a few pics before we are no longer allowed out and about. Don't think they will be too exciting, but something for the family to look back on in years to come.

Top
#1090354 - 16/03/2012 16:51 Re: GENERAL CHAT - Severe Tropical Cyclone Lua (SIO, NW WA) 13/3/12 - 18/3/12 [Re: Ningergirl]
CraigA74 Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 27/03/2007
Posts: 1249
Loc: Diamond Valley Qld
Just got woken by a phone call from work, started getting excited that they had managed to get me on a flight this arvo but no such luck. Looks like I'm stuck here for this one although at least I won't be having to go to work tonight

Top
#1090355 - 16/03/2012 16:55 Re: GENERAL CHAT - Severe Tropical Cyclone Lua (SIO, NW WA) 13/3/12 - 18/3/12 [Re: CraigA74]
Karratha Pilotdude Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 29/03/2006
Posts: 2569
Loc: Dusty Karratha
looks like Virgin is still flying though....scary!

There is benefits though Craig! haha does BHP give you extra days off on the tail end of your days off?

Top
#1090357 - 16/03/2012 17:02 Re: GENERAL CHAT - Severe Tropical Cyclone Lua (SIO, NW WA) 13/3/12 - 18/3/12 [Re: Karratha Pilotdude]
sswanss Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 05/12/2004
Posts: 951
Loc: Sth Hedland
He's lucky he still has his room to stay in lol
_________________________
Go The Swannies 2017!!!

Top
#1090358 - 16/03/2012 17:03 Re: GENERAL CHAT - Severe Tropical Cyclone Lua (SIO, NW WA) 13/3/12 - 18/3/12 [Re: Karratha Pilotdude]
Locke Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 27/12/2007
Posts: 4339
Loc: Brisbane
Starting to look like Port Headland will miss the very destructive winds at the cyclones core. If thats the case I'm kind of relieved I didn't blow the $2,000 on the chase.

Also a good thing for the residents of Port Hedland who although still likely to be facing dangerous conditions are now likely to escape the worst of it.

Still TC paths are unpredictable so they're not out of the woods yet.
_________________________
This post and any other post by Locke is NOT an official forecast & should not be used as such. It's just my opinion & may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. For official information, refer to Australian Bureau of Meteorology products.

Top
#1090361 - 16/03/2012 17:07 Re: GENERAL CHAT - Severe Tropical Cyclone Lua (SIO, NW WA) 13/3/12 - 18/3/12 [Re: Locke]
Cori Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 02/02/2011
Posts: 71
Loc: South West
Is Newman in the firing range? best friends son is up there on the mine...

cheers

Top
#1090363 - 16/03/2012 17:09 Re: GENERAL CHAT - Severe Tropical Cyclone Lua (SIO, NW WA) 13/3/12 - 18/3/12 [Re: sswanss]
camshaft Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 25/12/2010
Posts: 287
Loc: Cairns
Is it just me or has this thing wobbled to the E almost ENE ? It appears to anyhow on the latest sat loop, it will continue ESE however pushing it further north than crossing that Port Hedland ?

Top
#1090364 - 16/03/2012 17:10 Re: GENERAL CHAT - Severe Tropical Cyclone Lua (SIO, NW WA) 13/3/12 - 18/3/12 [Re: Locke]
Blanched Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 18/12/2009
Posts: 138
Loc: Karratha, WA
Originally Posted By: Locke
Starting to look like Port Headland will miss the very destructive winds at the cyclones core. If thats the case I'm kind of relieved I didn't blow the $2,000 on the chase.


Very premature to be calling anything of that sort I'd think?

Popeye can you post some wind shear maps, how's it looking for development?


Edited by The Tav (16/03/2012 17:12)

Top
#1090369 - 16/03/2012 17:22 Re: GENERAL CHAT - Severe Tropical Cyclone Lua (SIO, NW WA) 13/3/12 - 18/3/12 [Re: Blanched]
Locke Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 27/12/2007
Posts: 4339
Loc: Brisbane
Its not premature to say that current track map puts Port Headland outside of the zone of Very Destructive winds. Check the latest JTWC or BOM track map.

Does this mean that Port Hedland is safe and is definitely not going experience very destructive winds. Certainly not. As per my last comment "Still TC paths are unpredictable so they're not out of the woods yet" which I would have thought clearly communicates that I believe they are still at risk and that the track still could potentially take the destructive core of TC Lua over Port Hedland.

I find it irritating when people pick specific parts of a post and portray them out of context.
_________________________
This post and any other post by Locke is NOT an official forecast & should not be used as such. It's just my opinion & may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. For official information, refer to Australian Bureau of Meteorology products.

Top
#1090383 - 16/03/2012 17:30 Re: GENERAL CHAT - Severe Tropical Cyclone Lua (SIO, NW WA) 13/3/12 - 18/3/12 [Re: Locke]
FNQ Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 19/05/2007
Posts: 3027
Loc: Clifton Beach, Cairns - Queens...
Stay safe you guys- our thoughts are with you all. Looks like you are in for a bit of a hammering. (968hPa and falling)- could be a cat 4 when it reaches the coast.

Top
#1090384 - 16/03/2012 17:30 Re: GENERAL CHAT - Severe Tropical Cyclone Lua (SIO, NW WA) 13/3/12 - 18/3/12 [Re: Locke]
Blanched Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 18/12/2009
Posts: 138
Loc: Karratha, WA
Sorry mate wasn't trying to hurt your feelings. Murphy's law needs to be taken into equation.

Top
#1090387 - 16/03/2012 17:38 Re: GENERAL CHAT - Severe Tropical Cyclone Lua (SIO, NW WA) 13/3/12 - 18/3/12 [Re: Blanched]
princessweather Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 05/02/2011
Posts: 182
Loc: Ocean Grove Vic
Donít think it was ment in any nastiness, at all Locke.
ďpeople pick specific parts of a post and portray them out of contextĒ

Just some people havenít gone through this type of wether before and are all hoping it will be just another day, as any first timers arenít aware of the what can happen, itís better to make sure that most are clear that it could get dangerous and not to take chances!

All depends on what you would classify destructive wind, in itself very strong wind is fine, itís the things it picks up and launches at people that cause the destructiveness. So Iíd be thinking about seeking shelter regardless, and cyclones can do some strange things especially when they get close to the coast!

And regardless this is a big system and you never know, so saying it isnít destructive may well be a little confusing? Iíd err on the side of Ďextremeí caution, if you are in a yellow, and especially red alert zone, Iíd be battening down. Still could gain strength yet,we wouldnít want anyone to get complacent this will be a wild ride! So stay safe, and chasers good luck!

Top
#1090389 - 16/03/2012 17:38 Re: GENERAL CHAT - Severe Tropical Cyclone Lua (SIO, NW WA) 13/3/12 - 18/3/12 [Re: Blanched]
Steven Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 19/04/2006
Posts: 2141
Loc: 中国上૲...
To be fair to Locke:

His statement was "Starting to look like Port Headland will miss the very destructive winds at the cyclones core".

This statement is accurate:

Another way of saying this is wind gusts at Port Hedland are expected to remain BELOW 180km/hr (this is very destructive). Destructive winds > 125km/hr will affect a large area and many communities do need to prepare for this.

The latest track/threat map from BOM justifies the above statement
See it for yourself at http://www.bom.gov.au/products/IDW60281.shtml

And for the record this is the JWTC forecast
http://www.usno.navy.mil/NOOC/nmfc-ph/RSS/jtwc/warnings/sh1712.gif



People should not unfairly criticise others. Read and understand what people post and do not jump to conclusions.


Edit: storm surge warning (STRONG EMPHASIS)
Taken from the BOM TC Advice at http://www.bom.gov.au/cgi-bin/wrap_fwo.pl?IDW24100.txt

PAY SPECIAL ATTENTION TO THIS - STRONG EMPHASIS
Residents of Port Hedland and east to Bidyadanga are specifically warned of the very dangerous storm tide expected as the cyclone centre approaches the coast. Tides are likely to rise significantly above the normal high tide mark with damaging waves and very dangerous flooding.


Edited by Steven (16/03/2012 17:42)

Top
#1090390 - 16/03/2012 17:39 Re: GENERAL CHAT - Severe Tropical Cyclone Lua (SIO, NW WA) 13/3/12 - 18/3/12 [Re: FNQ]
SunnyDays Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 30/01/2011
Posts: 1615
Loc: Oxley Brisbane Qld
Originally Posted By: FNQ (Tom)
Stay safe you guys- our thoughts are with you all. Looks like you are in for a bit of a hammering. (968hPa and falling)- could be a cat 4 when it reaches the coast.


Just thinking the same....I certainly wouldn't want to trade places, all the best for those about to experince TC LUA.
_________________________
________________________________________
Anyone who says sunshine brings happiness has never danced in the rain smile

Top
Page 25 of 52 < 1 2 ... 23 24 25 26 27 ... 51 52 >


Who's Online
1 registered (seaworthy), 260 Guests and 4 Spiders online.
Key: Admin, Global Mod, Mod
Today's Birthdays
aurbina1, Justin Case
Forum Stats
29389 Members
32 Forums
23700 Topics
1465986 Posts

Max Online: 2925 @ 02/02/2011 22:23
Satellite Image