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#1103439 - 09/05/2012 18:08 Re: Vic - a bleak weekend looming 12-14/5/12 [Re: aussiestormfreak]
TheAnt Offline
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Registered: 16/11/2011
Posts: 1356
Loc: Caulfield, Melbourne (SE Burbs...
Aussie just for future reference its probably easier if we post in the day to day thread since this is for a different event. Cause theres some discussion here and then if its here aswell it just looks messy.

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#1103475 - 09/05/2012 22:49 Re: Vic - a bleak weekend looming 12-14/5/12 [Re: TheAnt]
Petros Offline
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Registered: 30/12/2002
Posts: 4199
Loc: Maffra, Central Gippsland, Vi...
Moisture for the weekend cold change is further dragged southwards by GFS latest offering (supported by most other models). A cold weekend and rainy Sat night for S Vic it seems.

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#1103823 - 11/05/2012 23:40 Re: Vic - a bleak weekend looming 12-14/5/12 [Re: TheAnt]
aussiestormfreak Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 02/02/2011
Posts: 462
Loc: Melbourne, Corryong, Canberra,...
Originally Posted By: TheAnt
Aussie just for future reference its probably easier if we post in the day to day thread since this is for a different event. Cause theres some discussion here and then if its here aswell it just looks messy.


Sorry Ant for the confusion there... my bad, yeah I should've put my last post in the day-to-day threat, sorry frown
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#1103849 - 12/05/2012 09:35 Re: Vic - a bleak weekend looming 12-14/5/12 [Re: aussiestormfreak]
avalon Offline
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Registered: 18/07/2007
Posts: 1333
Loc: Mt Macedon Vic 870m elev
Not bleak here at the moment, sunny and calm, so much for forecasting a week in advance.

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#1103904 - 12/05/2012 18:29 Re: Vic - a bleak weekend looming 12-14/5/12 [Re: avalon]
Petros Offline
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Registered: 30/12/2002
Posts: 4199
Loc: Maffra, Central Gippsland, Vi...
Frequent brief showers in gale-like SW'ly at Wonthaggi this arvo, still gusty out atm, no showers for a little while but the wind is buffetting the house about. Rain arrived as I type, 10C out there.

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#1103921 - 12/05/2012 22:06 Re: Vic - a bleak weekend looming 12-14/5/12 [Re: Petros]
Petros Offline
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Registered: 30/12/2002
Posts: 4199
Loc: Maffra, Central Gippsland, Vi...
Absolutely WICKED outside here atm. Just like they told me that can happen down this way in these type of events..... Bucketing rain and heaps of wind.

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#1103925 - 12/05/2012 23:11 Re: Vic - a bleak weekend looming 12-14/5/12 [Re: Petros]
TheAnt Offline
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Registered: 16/11/2011
Posts: 1356
Loc: Caulfield, Melbourne (SE Burbs...
Huge line coming atm, possibly some hail and maybe a spark in it?

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#1103927 - 12/05/2012 23:25 Re: Vic - a bleak weekend looming 12-14/5/12 [Re: TheAnt]
dawoodman Offline
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Registered: 14/03/2010
Posts: 624
Loc: Ravenswood QLD/ Melbourne CBD
brace yourselves!!!!!!
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#1103930 - 12/05/2012 23:52 Re: Vic - a bleak weekend looming 12-14/5/12 [Re: dawoodman]
aussiestormfreak Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 02/02/2011
Posts: 462
Loc: Melbourne, Corryong, Canberra,...
That is one impressive cold front surging north into Melbourne from the Bass Strait and Tasmania... any minute it'll start raining here! grin

Good thing my family and I went out and about today... initially we were gonna head for Eltham but instead took a drive around the Dandenongs, hovered around 13C for much of the day and most of the showers held off until around 3:30PM smile
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#1103935 - 13/05/2012 00:49 Re: Vic - a bleak weekend looming 12-14/5/12 [Re: aussiestormfreak]
dawoodman Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 14/03/2010
Posts: 624
Loc: Ravenswood QLD/ Melbourne CBD
hmmm seems like the city will miss out???
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#1103966 - 13/05/2012 11:28 Re: Vic - a bleak weekend looming 12-14/5/12 [Re: dawoodman]
Scooteroo Offline
Cloud Gazer

Registered: 09/05/2012
Posts: 13
Loc: Inverloch, VIC
Some blue skies starting to show themselves in Inverloch this morning. Squally showers coming through less frequently now, but the wind has not really abated.

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#1103987 - 13/05/2012 13:41 Re: Vic - a bleak weekend looming 12-14/5/12 [Re: Scooteroo]
DVC Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 14/11/2011
Posts: 200
Loc: Kew, Victoria
5.8mm here overnight @ q
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DVC
YTD 2013: 190.8 mm (Jan: 6.4 Feb: 71.6 Mar: 43.0 Apr: 31.2 May: 38.6)
2012: 661.4 mm (Dec:32.4 Nov:43.4 Oct:31.6 Sep:38.8 Aug:61.4 Jul:72.4 Jun:73 May:75.4 Apr:60.2 Mar:58.0 Feb:70.8 Jan:33.8)
Total 2011: 887.4 mm

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#1104028 - 13/05/2012 19:35 Re: Vic - a bleak weekend looming 12-14/5/12 [Re: DVC]
Petros Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 30/12/2002
Posts: 4199
Loc: Maffra, Central Gippsland, Vi...

Welcome to the forum Scooteroo! - someone else from Inv'y to keep me honest!! smile

Very wild night here last night, grunty showers early, then the Tassie shield helped out to give a decent arvo to take the family around for a drive. Looks like some showers should return here overnight.

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#1104031 - 13/05/2012 19:59 Re: Vic - a bleak weekend looming 12-14/5/12 [Re: Petros]
Petros Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 30/12/2002
Posts: 4199
Loc: Maffra, Central Gippsland, Vi...
Reflecting on the performance of the models these days....
This is how things panned out late this morning:


... and this is what GFS predicted would set up this outcome 7 days ago...


The models are getting very skillfull eh?


Edited by Petros (13/05/2012 20:04)

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#1104223 - 15/05/2012 09:44 Re: Vic - a bleak weekend looming 12-14/5/12 [Re: Petros]
Bulos Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 16/01/2011
Posts: 273
Loc: Donvale
Near on 20mm for the "event".
Looking forward to some stable weather this week.

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