If we think the cold fronts are gone l guess that is not true as l am hearing that the trend is ..they have gone ( migrated)south for the winter LOL
However.. Take a look at the current MSLP dynamics!!
and thanks ROVES l will check out the SAM time series
There is currently mid latitude a CAT 3 forming in the southern ocean
I think this is the second 973 hpascal low in the past few weeks.
Its centre is located latitude 40 deg C ( which is equivalent to just south of Hobart)
Now this cat 3 has winds of 190km/hr towards its centre
The front has just been on the eastern flank and WA have just been experiencing that with 140km /hr winds on the periphery of that system
It is massive and powerful
The concern or trend as far as l have read in earlier posts
ROM said they shift south before reaching Vic and BOM has some research underway as to whyIf the current trending for those exceptionally strong lows at sub polar latitudes continues into winter when the westerly belt shift north. The whole southern quadrant of VIC will be pummelled with high winds rain, snow.
.and we might be eating our words re cold fronts in Southeast Australia
I am encouraged by this latest sat pic
This is a monster
Check out the sat pic . That low is just barrelling in
The forecast is for that low to subside south .
But my point is if the trend for these monsters continues into winter we may cop a few doozies!!
Look forward to following that low pressure belt in the sub polar region this winter .
Just wondering if winter has some super special weather events in store
and as an aside . That ECL/subtropical low east of OZ is a CAT 1