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#1475457 - 07/11/2018 10:02 Re: NSW/ACT day to day weather [Re: Grant]
Perfect Storm Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 30/10/2005
Posts: 976
Loc: Carramar, Sydney, NSW
Most models except for ACCESS G have substantially downgraded the totals for the metro and pushed most of the rain north of Sydney so I'm not expecting much locally unless we manage to get some convective type of rain.

BoM appear to be bucking the trend in their forecast.

Edit: actually they appear to have edited out the likely totals from the forecast in their 9:12 update. So not sure if this gives an indication of likely reduced expected falls.


Edited by Perfect Storm (07/11/2018 10:06)
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#1475458 - 07/11/2018 10:17 Re: NSW/ACT day to day weather [Re: Kino]
ozthunder Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 23/09/2001
Posts: 3209
Loc: Mt Warrigal, NSW, Australia
Originally Posted By: Kino
Originally Posted By: Long Road Home
There's a fairly chunky cell heading towards the Illawarra. May be worth getting out the zoom lens soon


And just like that it fell apart...


It would have been a brief wild one around Boorowa. It started as a split out near Cootamundra, the left split did well and had a black core for a while. As soon as it crossed the dvide, it fell apart. Could have been a supercell, but no proof other than the classic split and rather long lived, at least in KM.
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#1475459 - 07/11/2018 10:27 Re: NSW/ACT day to day weather [Re: Grant]
Steve777 Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 20/10/2011
Posts: 4441
Loc: Artarmon (Sydney North Shore)
In Sydney it's just a warmish morning, about 24 degrees, with light Southerlies and grey, perspex dome skies. Rain is moving through the upper Hunter and there's a rain train headed for the Central Coast, with some development taking place. There are showers approaching the South Coast but nothing for Sydney at this stage apart from light showers to the West.

It is cooler on the South coast, about 18 at Ulladulla and 15 on the far South. It will probably cool off in Sydney, with temps now being close to the maximum.

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#1475463 - 07/11/2018 10:55 Re: NSW/ACT day to day weather [Re: Grant]
Stormy3 Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 12/06/2013
Posts: 1783
Loc: Ellalong,10kms SW of Cessnock ...
light rain here but big drops,just enough to wet the road so far,there is a few rumbles around as well,NW wind blowing with stronger gusts now and again.
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#1475464 - 07/11/2018 11:00 Re: NSW/ACT day to day weather [Re: Grant]
Kino Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 10/08/2017
Posts: 2689
Loc: Wollongong, NSW, Aus
Just starting to rain here now.

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#1475465 - 07/11/2018 11:34 Re: NSW/ACT day to day weather [Re: Grant]
EddyG Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 19/12/2008
Posts: 5085
Loc: Port Stephens NSW
When for a little drive to my favourite spot to watch storms, as I was standing there I witnessed three lightning strikes in fairly quick succession about 3-4 ks away, got camera out and haven't seen a flash since.
Just some light rain about, not enough to register at this stage.
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#1475466 - 07/11/2018 11:36 Re: NSW/ACT day to day weather [Re: Grant]
ozthunder Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 23/09/2001
Posts: 3209
Loc: Mt Warrigal, NSW, Australia
Just spied 1 x CG about 5kms away from my east facing window at Shellharbour, (about 15 mins ago) . Radar looks like widespread rain, yet just 10 drops material here.
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#1475468 - 07/11/2018 13:04 Re: NSW/ACT day to day weather [Re: ozthunder]
Kino Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 10/08/2017
Posts: 2689
Loc: Wollongong, NSW, Aus
Originally Posted By: ozthunder
Just spied 1 x CG about 5kms away from my east facing window at Shellharbour, (about 15 mins ago) . Radar looks like widespread rain, yet just 10 drops material here.


Raining moderately here now smile (Wollongong)

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#1475474 - 07/11/2018 14:06 Re: NSW/ACT day to day weather [Re: Grant]
Steve777 Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 20/10/2011
Posts: 4441
Loc: Artarmon (Sydney North Shore)
Steady, light rain for a couple of hours, which wouldn't add up to more than a few mm.

I note that OH hasn't recorded a drop since Noon in spite of the radar showing showers passing over the site throughout that time and Webcams showing rain. Not bad for a gauge that regularly collects 0.2 mm at Noon on clear, dry days. I wonder if there is a malfunction?

Most falls around Sydney area are about 3 to 5 mm since 9:00 with an isolated 12 mm at Holsworthy Defence.

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#1475475 - 07/11/2018 14:11 Re: NSW/ACT day to day weather [Re: Grant]
kizz Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 11/02/2002
Posts: 2044
Loc: Beacon Hill, Sydney 152m asl
There's definitely something awry with the OH rain gauge. I can see Obs Hill from the office and there has been consistent rain for the past couple of hours.

Temperatures in the Upper Western are very offensive this afternoon. Most sites are now in the low to mid teens. Disgraceful.

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#1475477 - 07/11/2018 14:21 Re: NSW/ACT day to day weather [Re: Grant]
Steve777 Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 20/10/2011
Posts: 4441
Loc: Artarmon (Sydney North Shore)
Ivanhoe Airport 12.5 deg @ 2:00PM. Yesterdays max 34.5.
Griffith 11.7 deg @ 2:00 PM. Yesterday's max 32.7.

It's a genuinely cold air mass behind the real cold front (not the weak Southerly that passed through this morning).

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#1475479 - 07/11/2018 14:41 Re: NSW/ACT day to day weather [Re: Grant]
kizz Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 11/02/2002
Posts: 2044
Loc: Beacon Hill, Sydney 152m asl
Ha! It's only taken me 3 weeks to notice this but I see a new site listed in the Illawarra; Jervis Bay Airfield.

Add it to the list of southerly doom harbingers.


Edited by kizz (07/11/2018 14:42)
Edit Reason: black eyed children

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#1475481 - 07/11/2018 14:50 Re: NSW/ACT day to day weather [Re: kizz]
Homer Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 16/06/2007
Posts: 6000
Loc: Dural
Originally Posted By: kizz
Ha! It's only taken me 3 weeks to notice this but I see a new site listed in the Illawarra; Jervis Bay Airfield.

Add it to the list of southerly doom harbingers.


Ha. I just saw it too.
I also noticed that at the bottom of the AWS page there is a whole heap of mobile stations. I haven't seen that before.

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#1475484 - 07/11/2018 15:14 Re: NSW/ACT day to day weather [Re: Grant]
GringosRain Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 19/06/2007
Posts: 1637
Loc: Quorrobolong NSW
Been a good while since I have seen a chunky NW cloudband like that....
just light rain here, maybe 2 or 3mm so far.

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#1475485 - 07/11/2018 15:17 Re: NSW/ACT day to day weather [Re: GringosRain]
Kino Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 10/08/2017
Posts: 2689
Loc: Wollongong, NSW, Aus
Originally Posted By: GringosRain
Been a good while since I have seen a chunky NW cloudband like that....
just light rain here, maybe 2 or 3mm so far.


Agree, been a while since we've had a ~4K km long cloudband!

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#1475487 - 07/11/2018 15:36 Re: NSW/ACT day to day weather [Re: Grant]
Rainbow Spirit Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 10/11/2010
Posts: 615
Loc: Green Valley, just west of Liv...
Despite the BoM's predictions, all we have got so far is 6.5mm, it will take some unexpected falls to get up to the BoM's minimum forecast of 25mm here today.

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#1475492 - 07/11/2018 15:56 Re: NSW/ACT day to day weather [Re: Grant]
Sidney Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 20/12/2013
Posts: 484
Loc: Macquarie fields ( South west ...
Yeah a bit disappointing. Looks like some good widespread falls elsewhere though. Good news for farmers.

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#1475495 - 07/11/2018 16:22 Re: NSW/ACT day to day weather [Re: Sidney]
Homer Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 16/06/2007
Posts: 6000
Loc: Dural
Originally Posted By: Sidney
Yeah a bit disappointing. Looks like some good widespread falls elsewhere though. Good news for farmers.


Yep. Although not as prolific as predicted, It's a good follow up fall for farmers over a good amount of the state.
Like others though, it's been a tad disappointing here in the metro, although it's been nice and steady rain, which will keep the grass green.

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#1475497 - 07/11/2018 17:06 Re: NSW/ACT day to day weather [Re: Grant]
Sidney Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 20/12/2013
Posts: 484
Loc: Macquarie fields ( South west ...
bit of convection north of wollongong. gives me a bit of hope.

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#1475502 - 07/11/2018 18:04 Re: NSW/ACT day to day weather [Re: Grant]
Funkyseefunkydo Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 30/04/2007
Posts: 710
Loc: East Lake Macquarie
Noticed the Williamtown sounding today was a bit dry in the lower levels. The rain has looked to be coming all day but drying up for the lower Hunter.

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