Page 3 of 9 < 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 >
Topic Options
#1194714 - 20/05/2013 09:46 Re: WA Dry Season - 2013 [Re: Popeye]
Popeye Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 30/12/2006
Posts: 7766
Loc: Cable Beach - Broome WA
Unseasonal low dumps heavy rain in north west
Monday May 20, 2013 - 09:08 EST

Heavy rain has been dumped in Broome during the dry season.

An unseasonal low which has crossed the north-west of the state during the dry season has dumped heavy rain on parts of the Kimberley and Pilbara.

Broome has received more than 53 millimetres of rain, West Roebuck 41 and Marble Bar 45.

The weather bureau says storms over the north west of the state today could dump another 55 to 60 millimetres of rain in Broome.

Forecaster Richus Lombard says the cloud cover is expected to hang around for another couple of days.

"The cloud band that's stretching from the north-west across the rest of the state, into the northern parts of the interior, is pretty uncommon for this time of year," he said.

"The low that's going to push it all away is down south.

"The cloud band is expected to move away by Tuesday night into Wednesday morning.

"The most significant falls will be today and into tomorrow but from Broome and Western parts it should ease during Wednesday morning so it looks like it dries out by the end of the week."

A cold front over the southern half of the state has seen 15 millimetres of rainfall on Rottnest Island and 12 in Mandurah.

- ABC
_________________________
Popeye's 2015/16 Broome Wet Season Images

Top
#1194716 - 20/05/2013 09:48 Re: WA Dry Season - 2013 [Re: Popeye]
Popeye Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 30/12/2006
Posts: 7766
Loc: Cable Beach - Broome WA
Derby is getting flogged at the moment too. Might be the highest totals from up around there. Awesome dry season rainfall. Eased in Broome with most of the activity on radar just to our North.
_________________________
Popeye's 2015/16 Broome Wet Season Images

Top
#1194784 - 20/05/2013 17:59 Re: WA Dry Season - 2013 [Re: Popeye]
boomer Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 21/11/2010
Posts: 3558
Loc: Cairns
Welcome to the Club. We had our big post wet Wet a few weeks back.
Karajini would be wild right now?
_________________________
Our life is what our thoughts make it - Marcus Aurelius

Top
#1196118 - 28/05/2013 21:11 Re: WA Dry Season - 2013 [Re: Popeye]
Popeye Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 30/12/2006
Posts: 7766
Loc: Cable Beach - Broome WA
Interesting times ahead if the negative IOD comes through with the goods. Hope it sticks around for the build up and its an early storm season this year.

Weekly Trop note below on the subject.

Forecast calls for negative Indian Ocean Dipole

Most models surveyed by the Bureau are now suggesting a negative Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) event may develop over the next season. A negative IOD event occurs when the Dipole Mode Index (DPI) is sustained below -0.4 for around a season. Recent changes in sea surface temperatures (SSTs) in the Indian Ocean show above average SSTs in the eastern Indian Ocean near Sumatra, and cool anomalies in the west, resulting in an IOD value of -0.6. Hence Indian Ocean temperature patterns have reached the point that if they persist at current levels for at least the next several weeks (as forecast), 2013 will be known as a negative IOD year.

A negative IOD has been shown to be associated with an increase in rainfall over parts of northern Australia in April to June and central and southern Australia in July to November. For more information about Australian rainfall patterns during negative IOD years click here. A longer description of the IOD is given here.
_________________________
Popeye's 2015/16 Broome Wet Season Images

Top
#1196120 - 28/05/2013 21:26 Re: WA Dry Season - 2013 [Re: Popeye]
Popeye Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 30/12/2006
Posts: 7766
Loc: Cable Beach - Broome WA
With Rainfall totals through the roof for May it looks like this Negative IOD may create a year with big dry season totals. Already Broome, Hedland, Karratha, Marble Bar, Learmonth just to name a few have had good falls between 45mm - 120mm. Even places like Cygnet Bay are up over the 250mm and Lombadina copped 190mm in one day a few weeks back. With more Northwest cloud bands forecast this week these totals into June are going to build.

Also does anyone know when the broome port gained a weather station. Broome Port Observations
_________________________
Popeye's 2015/16 Broome Wet Season Images

Top
#1196124 - 28/05/2013 21:53 Re: WA Dry Season - 2013 [Re: Popeye]
Daniel14 Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 10/01/2011
Posts: 65
Loc: Karratha WA
dry season?

Top
#1196126 - 28/05/2013 21:55 Re: WA Dry Season - 2013 [Re: Popeye]
Karratha storm Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 28/12/2007
Posts: 292
Loc: Karratha
Gday popeye, I see most models late today have turned very favourable for anywhere between karratha and Broome getting some nice rain from Sunday onwards......
It will be interesting to see how it pans out over the next few days. Also looks like the easterly's will kick in from thursday onwards....

Wouldn't the easterly's have a negative effect if the rains coming in from the west?

I look forward to the next week!!!

Top
#1196127 - 28/05/2013 22:01 Re: WA Dry Season - 2013 [Re: Karratha storm]
ColdFront Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 29/06/2008
Posts: 17327
Loc: Wide Bay..Near the beach
Originally Posted By: Karratha storm

Wouldn't the easterly's have a negative effect if the rains coming in from the west?



They'll most likely enhance the rainfall KS via convergence.
_________________________
"I donít play golf, but I donít mean to denigrate those who do. And for the people who play golf , denigrate means *put down*."

Top
#1196191 - 29/05/2013 11:52 Re: WA Dry Season - 2013 [Re: Popeye]
Popeye Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 30/12/2006
Posts: 7766
Loc: Cable Beach - Broome WA
Rediculous amounts of rainfall for this time of year just offshore the Northwest. Not alot making its way onto land and not penetrating far. Its interesting to see the link between SA, NSW and VIC rainfall totals. Almost like the moist air originates from the NWest, gets linked up with a trough or front down south and dumps big time. Another Negative IOD characteristic possibly. I wonder whether we will see these type of events only in the short term (2 months max) or whether they can continue right throughout the northern Dry season.

_________________________
Popeye's 2015/16 Broome Wet Season Images

Top
#1196400 - 30/05/2013 15:58 Re: WA Dry Season - 2013 [Re: Popeye]
Karratha storm Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 28/12/2007
Posts: 292
Loc: Karratha

Look out Karratchi Mob....

Sunday / Monday could be in excess of 50mm > with strong Easterly's.

Was going to go camping but I think I might leave it to another weekend...lol

Bring it on!!!!

Top
#1196405 - 30/05/2013 16:13 Re: WA Dry Season - 2013 [Re: Popeye]
Karratha storm Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 28/12/2007
Posts: 292
Loc: Karratha
Also the local Billfish Comp will be interesting....
Heavy rain with stong Easterly's!!

Top
#1196419 - 30/05/2013 17:16 Re: WA Dry Season - 2013 [Re: Popeye]
Popeye Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 30/12/2006
Posts: 7766
Loc: Cable Beach - Broome WA
Yeah looking good for Ktown. I have been using this website YR.NO which is the EC model. It is pretty good. Totals fluctuate a bit closer to the time but when it has a big total you know its game on.

Karratha long term wind and rain
_________________________
Popeye's 2015/16 Broome Wet Season Images

Top
#1196461 - 30/05/2013 20:11 Re: WA Dry Season - 2013 [Re: Popeye]
Popeye Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 30/12/2006
Posts: 7766
Loc: Cable Beach - Broome WA
It's looking better than a QLD cyclone out there at the moment. poke lol. These NWEST cloud bands have some ooommmpphh behind them this season.
_________________________
Popeye's 2015/16 Broome Wet Season Images

Top
#1196475 - 30/05/2013 21:23 Re: WA Dry Season - 2013 [Re: Popeye]
Leelee Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 30/11/2012
Posts: 281
Loc: Karratha, WA
*WA Wet Season - 2013

Top
#1196483 - 30/05/2013 22:21 Re: WA Dry Season - 2013 [Re: Popeye]
Popeye Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 30/12/2006
Posts: 7766
Loc: Cable Beach - Broome WA
Yeah your not wrong Leelee. We will let you Karrachians have this one. Looks like you guys will cop the main flow of this NWest band. Enjoy those 18 degree days. The Pilbara will be a green oasis for the next 12 months if this keeps up.

Broome greened up in the wet dried off and with 100mm+ of rain over the last few weeks has greened up again. Loving this dry season. Just dont want it too wet as we have to keep the tourists happy on holidays so they can help me pay my bills. Too much rain is not good at certain times of the year ie June/July/Aug/Sept/Oct. So hope to see the next rainfall in Nov thanks lol. Blue sunny skies in the meantime.
_________________________
Popeye's 2015/16 Broome Wet Season Images

Top
#1196487 - 30/05/2013 22:51 Re: WA Dry Season - 2013 [Re: Popeye]
Leelee Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 30/11/2012
Posts: 281
Loc: Karratha, WA
Yeah, we've had four decent rains in four weeks here. I work just 10k inland of the town and it's greened up so much, this weekend should be kicker for the actual town hills.

Getting excited!!!!

Top
#1196489 - 30/05/2013 22:58 Re: WA Dry Season - 2013 [Re: Popeye]
Leelee Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 30/11/2012
Posts: 281
Loc: Karratha, WA
You can see the first of those bands coming in on the Northwest WA sat image now, this system will be good viewing for the few days.

Top
#1196549 - 31/05/2013 12:03 Re: WA Dry Season - 2013 [Re: Popeye]
Popeye Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 30/12/2006
Posts: 7766
Loc: Cable Beach - Broome WA
Watched some weather bloke on Sunrise this morning giving a winter outlook for the South East of Australia. He said it might be a warmer than usual winter with a higher chance of rain for the East coast. His reasoning he gave and the example he presented was the current set up with a North West cloud band streaming in from our area, warmer SST etc. He then went on to say that this would be the norm over the next few months with as many as 6 more Nwest cloud bands to form. Wow. Wonder if he is right? Big call I guess but that means a lot of cloudy rainy days for the Nwest this dry (wet) season.
_________________________
Popeye's 2015/16 Broome Wet Season Images

Top
#1196551 - 31/05/2013 12:26 Re: WA Dry Season - 2013 [Re: Popeye]
Werner K Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 28/11/2011
Posts: 461
Loc: Flinders Park, SA
G'day. Any excess rain you guys don't want, keep on sending it down our way!!!

I enjoy reading the "Tropical" threads and can "feel" how you guys feel when the rain/storms don't come etc.

I last visited the Pilbara in August 2010, beautiful country. Was last in the Kimberley in August 1996, but only got as far south as Derby. I never made it to Broome on that occasion.

The rain we are having today, courtesy of the NW cloudband marrying up with a cold front & low reminds me of my childhood in the late 60's/early 70's when my brother & I were stuck indoors while it rained all day long.

That hasn't happened much during the last 15-20 years or so.

Anyway, enjoy your dry (wet) season!!

Werner

Top
#1196996 - 01/06/2013 23:47 Re: WA Dry Season - 2013 [Re: Popeye]
Karratha Pilotdude Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 29/03/2006
Posts: 2569
Loc: Dusty Karratha
I must say I am loving this weather!

Got back from holidays last week and haven't seen the sun since! bloody great! One of the coldest Junes I can remember, today it didn't even get over 20 smile

Very nice change compared to the extremely hot and humid summer.

Just wish these grey skys would open up though, fingers crossed these forecasts tomorrow and Monday ring true for us. Amazing flying back in here last week and seeing how green the place is.

Top
Page 3 of 9 < 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 >


Who's Online
5 registered (Twister1, betsuin, Wave Rider, aussiestormfreak, 1 invisible), 275 Guests and 4 Spiders online.
Key: Admin, Global Mod, Mod
Today's Birthdays
Roddy, sparra
Forum Stats
29315 Members
32 Forums
23644 Topics
1456611 Posts

Max Online: 2925 @ 02/02/2011 22:23
Satellite Image