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#1211765 - 28/09/2013 15:26 Re: SEQLD / NENSW Day to Day Weather - March 2005 to December 2016 [Archive] [Re: JEFF.H.]
LightningGus Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 12/05/2012
Posts: 1193
Loc: Kingaroy QLD 434m ASL
2.4 mm here. Unfortunately no lightning or thunder but am just glad to get the rain smile Looks like some heavy showers forming out near Roma now and moving east. Round 2 perhaps?
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2016 Rainfall: 604mm
2017 Rainfall: 715mm
2018 Rainfall: 364mm ytd

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#1211766 - 28/09/2013 15:26 Re: SEQLD / NENSW Day to Day Weather - March 2005 to December 2016 [Archive] [Re: JEFF.H.]
LightningGus Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 12/05/2012
Posts: 1193
Loc: Kingaroy QLD 434m ASL
STW now out for those Gladstone storms:

TOP PRIORITY FOR IMMEDIATE BROADCAST

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
for DAMAGING WIND, HEAVY RAINFALL and LARGE HAILSTONES
For people in parts of the
Capricornia Forecast District.
Issued at 2:36 pm Saturday, 28 September 2013.
Severe thunderstorms are likely to produce damaging winds, heavy rainfall that may lead to flash flooding and large hailstones in the warning area over the next several hours. Locations which may be affected include Gladstone, Rockhampton and Biloela.
Emergency Management Queensland advises that people should:
* Move your car under cover or away from trees.
* Secure loose outdoor items.
* Avoid driving, walking or riding through flood waters.
* Seek shelter, preferably indoors and never under trees.
* Avoid using the telephone during a thunderstorm.
* Beware of fallen trees and powerlines.
* For emergency assistance contact the SES on 132 500.
The next warning is due to be issued by 5:40 pm.
Warnings are also available through TV and Radio broadcasts, the Bureau's website at www.bom.gov.au or call 1300 659 219. The Bureau and Emergency Management Queensland would appreciate warnings being broadcast regularly.
_________________________
2016 Rainfall: 604mm
2017 Rainfall: 715mm
2018 Rainfall: 364mm ytd

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#1211769 - 28/09/2013 15:51 Re: SEQLD / NENSW Day to Day Weather - March 2005 to December 2016 [Archive] [Re: JEFF.H.]
Mezo Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 01/12/2011
Posts: 721
Loc: Under the Meso (or Springfield...
Looks like a bit of a line trying to get going out west. Lots of convection out there on the sat pic too.

Could be an interesting night.
_________________________
OzStorms | GT Photography

Springfield Weather Obs

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#1211773 - 28/09/2013 16:46 Re: SEQLD / NENSW Day to Day Weather - March 2005 to December 2016 [Archive] [Re: Ben Quinn (BSCH)]
Invictus Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 12/01/2011
Posts: 87
Loc: Brisbane, Qld
Thanks Ben. I haven't noticed one like that before, so thought I'd put the question out there. smile
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Matt.
http://mattduncan.redbubble.com

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#1211779 - 28/09/2013 18:08 Re: SEQLD / NENSW Day to Day Weather - March 2005 to December 2016 [Archive] [Re: JEFF.H.]
Invictus Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 12/01/2011
Posts: 87
Loc: Brisbane, Qld
It would be good if those cells near Warwick resulted in a lightshow in the background to Riverfire.
Looking at the Kalbar cam, there seems to be some convection still happening.
_________________________
Matt.
http://mattduncan.redbubble.com

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#1211783 - 28/09/2013 19:08 Re: SEQLD / NENSW Day to Day Weather - March 2005 to December 2016 [Archive] [Re: JEFF.H.]
james1977 Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 16/11/2009
Posts: 2851
Loc: collingwood park
Can see lightening to my ssw, nice looking convection can be seen with each flash.
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I hate winter

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#1211785 - 28/09/2013 19:22 Re: SEQLD / NENSW Day to Day Weather - March 2005 to December 2016 [Archive] [Re: Ken Kato]
Laurier Williams Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 01/02/2001
Posts: 2192
Loc: Millthorpe, 970m, Central W NS...
Originally Posted By: Ken Kato
You'll have to excuse my rant here but to be honest, I get really irritated when some people always have to try and diminish the significance of some heat event by using quotation marks or the word, so-called.

I also find it really disappointing and sad we can't discuss the wonders of the weather or a heat event, no matter how significant, without implying/resorting to some anti climate change angenda. Whatever happened to being inquisitive and wanting to learn more about weather and climate?


Sadly, Ken, I have to agree. It is the reason I finally decided to leave the Weatherzone forum after watching its growth, and decline, from the beginning (I am member number 11). The decision to ban all discussion on the number one issue confronting the meteorological and climatological community - global warming - due to the uncontrolled and vitriolic antics of a large number of members was the last straw.

While I still keep a watch on posts by a few selected and valued users, such as yourself, I prefer to give my limited time to a new forum where intelligent discussion supported by evidence and conducted in a polite and friendly manner are the norm.
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Caution: Any items linked to in this post may change and become irrelevant or expire over time. Use good meteorological practice and ALWAYS check date and time on charts before using them.

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#1211788 - 28/09/2013 19:41 Re: SEQLD / NENSW Day to Day Weather - March 2005 to December 2016 [Archive] [Re: JEFF.H.]
Seabreeze Offline
Weatherzone Moderator

Registered: 18/09/2005
Posts: 10370
Loc: South West Rocks, NSW
Maybe the possibility of some storms developing later in the afternoon and into the evening in areas of NENSW on Tuesday (Oct 1st). Itching for the arrival of the first storm of the season, been unlucky so far compared to some other locations. It may feel like spring, but it's those odd storm days sprinkled through the season that give it that true spring 'atmosphere'.

Originally Posted By: Ken Kato
You'll have to excuse my rant here but to be honest, I get really irritated when some people always have to try and diminish the significance of some heat event by using quotation marks or the word, so-called.

I also find it really disappointing and sad we can't discuss the wonders of the weather or a heat event, no matter how significant, without implying/resorting to some anti climate change angenda. Whatever happened to being inquisitive and wanting to learn more about weather and climate?

One also needs to be very careful about taking figures and info from newspaper articles in the past as gospel. There's a good reason why the length of records for each station are there in the first place i.e. it gives info on how long there's been accurate instrumental records that meet certain requirements. Otherwise, we'd be using Joe Bloggs broken thermometer lying against a wall in the sun for records.

+1 there Ken. smile
_________________________
South West Rocks, NSW Mid North Coast:
July 2018 Rainfall: 85.0mm (July Avg. 76.0mm) // July 2018 Raindays: 4 (July Avg. 8.1 raindays)
Year-to-date Rainfall: 982.4mm (Jan-Jul Avg. 1015.2mm) // Year-to-date Raindays: 77 (Jan-Jul Avg. 85.5 raindays)

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#1211789 - 28/09/2013 19:43 Re: SEQLD / NENSW Day to Day Weather - March 2005 to December 2016 [Archive] [Re: JEFF.H.]
Mezo Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 01/12/2011
Posts: 721
Loc: Under the Meso (or Springfield...
Looks like those cells are dying. Damn it, was gonna go for a drive.
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OzStorms | GT Photography

Springfield Weather Obs

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#1211791 - 28/09/2013 20:10 Re: SEQLD / NENSW Day to Day Weather - March 2005 to December 2016 [Archive] [Re: JEFF.H.]
Warwick Eye2Sky Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 31/08/2010
Posts: 973
Loc: Warwick, QLD
Nice little hail event in Warwick! Some nice CG's with that little cell that went right over the top of us. Short lived, but what a nice surprise!
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Michael - your eyes to the west.

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#1211793 - 28/09/2013 20:15 Re: SEQLD / NENSW Day to Day Weather - March 2005 to December 2016 [Archive] [Re: JEFF.H.]
buster Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 25/09/2006
Posts: 438
Loc: Kalbar (near Boonah) SEQ
Couple of pics from my veranda of the lead Downs' cell before and after dark, the second pic just as it was hitting Warwick.
Neil



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#1211798 - 28/09/2013 20:56 Re: SEQLD / NENSW Day to Day Weather - March 2005 to December 2016 [Archive] [Re: JEFF.H.]
T_D_S Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 17/03/2013
Posts: 102
Originally Posted By: Laurier Williams


Sadly, Ken, I have to agree. It is the reason I finally decided to leave the Weatherzone forum after watching its growth, and decline, from the beginning (I am member number 11). The decision to ban all discussion on the number one issue confronting the meteorological and climatological community - global warming - due to the uncontrolled and vitriolic antics of a large number of members was the last straw.

While I still keep a watch on posts by a few selected and valued users, such as yourself, I prefer to give my limited time to a new forum where intelligent discussion supported by evidence and conducted in a polite and friendly manner are the norm.


While I certainly don't disagree with many of the points you have made, and having almost been driven from the forum myself by both the CC trolls and the commercial interest morons(such as the one who started this thread) I think it is completely wrong and utterly disgusting that you and several other posters from the "new forum" continue to "drop by" here and promote the "new forum" and garner "selected" membership for it, all the while carrying on a discussion in your new place at the expense of this one. I am also well aware of admins opinion that the existence of WZ forums is a complete commercial liability and the fact it still stands we owe to their generosity and sense of "sentiment".(Thanks guys! wink)
Frankly, I will never be forced to leave until the owners kick me out, I will never lie down while a troll over runs me in a weather thread(lounge is different-OT who cares???). WZ will ALWAYS be where I got my start into the weather as a hobby and I will never turn my back on the place for that reason!
Now, while it is somewhat sad that you and several other members have decided to migrate your input elsewhere and it will no doubt be missed here, I for one would appreciate it if you(and the others) discontinued your actions as they serve to do nothing more than continue the degradation and white-anting of this forum.

Put simply-
If you wanna stay, stay, if you're gonna go...well don't let the door hit you in the ass on the way out!!!

Nice knowing you, but I will be staying right here...

WZ FOR LIFE! smile
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Formerly Lightning...Lee

Currently on hiatus while undergoing self appointed therapy for WZ related mental issues...

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#1211821 - 29/09/2013 08:48 Re: SEQLD / NENSW Day to Day Weather - March 2005 to December 2016 [Archive] [Re: JEFF.H.]
Macca-wx Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 11/02/2001
Posts: 1974
Loc: Wavell Heights, QLD
GFS and Access R are both going for precip along the ranges today (extending closer to the coast N of Brisbane). Might be a bit of a sleeper...

Macca

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#1211831 - 29/09/2013 11:30 Re: SEQLD / NENSW Day to Day Weather - March 2005 to December 2016 [Archive] [Re: JEFF.H.]
Inclement Weather Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 07/03/2006
Posts: 5225
Loc: Diamond Valley
Agreed Macca, I wouldn't be surprised if something bubbles and takes off over the D'aguilar Ranges today, and with reasonable shear heads to the coast.
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The original donut hole

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#1211837 - 29/09/2013 12:21 Re: SEQLD / NENSW Day to Day Weather - March 2005 to December 2016 [Archive] [Re: JEFF.H.]
Ben Quinn (BSCH) Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 23/06/2001
Posts: 2987
Loc: Caboolture, ~45km north of Bri...
Yeah the sky here is far from dead, though convection does dry out pretty quickly. Wouldn't be surprised at all to see something go up in the Sunshine Coast hinterland. GFS has precip between 4pm and 7pm in the area, for what it's worth.

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#1211838 - 29/09/2013 12:22 Re: SEQLD / NENSW Day to Day Weather - March 2005 to December 2016 [Archive] [Re: JEFF.H.]
Mega Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 03/02/2003
Posts: 7016
Loc: Maryborough, Wide Bay, QLD
I can see convection trying to fire down towards the Sunny Coast, though nothing of any interest up here yet.

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#1211840 - 29/09/2013 12:29 Re: SEQLD / NENSW Day to Day Weather - March 2005 to December 2016 [Archive] [Re: JEFF.H.]
Ben Quinn (BSCH) Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 23/06/2001
Posts: 2987
Loc: Caboolture, ~45km north of Bri...
Actually I recently repaired the downed Noosa west webcam and you can see the development quite clearly in the last 30 minutes... nice looking sky! Not sure if I'd expect *too* much up there today, but something is better than nothing

http://webcams.bsch.au.com/timelapse.htm...=pm&cam=noosa_w

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#1211849 - 29/09/2013 13:28 Re: SEQLD / NENSW Day to Day Weather - March 2005 to December 2016 [Archive] [Re: JEFF.H.]
Invictus Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 12/01/2011
Posts: 87
Loc: Brisbane, Qld
Certainly looks like it's firing up behind noosa
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Matt.
http://mattduncan.redbubble.com

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#1211852 - 29/09/2013 13:47 Re: SEQLD / NENSW Day to Day Weather - March 2005 to December 2016 [Archive] [Re: JEFF.H.]
njp Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 30/08/2012
Posts: 113
Loc: Buderim
Would love to see that move across to Buderim, the clouds look spectacular from here. Wind has certainly picked up.

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#1211853 - 29/09/2013 13:54 Re: SEQLD / NENSW Day to Day Weather - March 2005 to December 2016 [Archive] [Re: JEFF.H.]
Ken Kato Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 05/03/2012
Posts: 5210
Looking further ahead approaching midweek, there's a front as well as a strong midlevel shortwave trough, upper level trough & right exit region of a jet streak approaching... so the forcing from upstairs might be enough to fire up some elevated storms here & there (despite the very modest CAPE and capping) in amongst the band of cloud & showers that EC is sweeping through late Tue/overnight/Wed.

Here's the output from a version of my thunderstorm script which detects the max thunderstorm probability achieved anywhere in the SE QLD/NE NSW region over the next 7 days (even if a max TS probability of say 80% was detected in the far SW corner of the region and it was 0% elsewhere, it'll display the prob as 80%). It also takes the average of the past 3 runs to deal with runs chopping & changing. But still a few days out & profiles don't look overly moist so it wouldn't take much for the models to paint a less favourable picture for us:

http://farm4.staticflickr.com/3706/9992346724_5c792a18d2_b.jpg


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