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#1216409 - 03/11/2013 19:20 Re: NSW/ACT day to day weather [Re: Grant]
EddyG Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 19/12/2008
Posts: 3782
Loc: NSW Port Stephens
Southerly ripped through right on 6pm, temp dropped from 34 to 22 within an hour!!
_________________________
Rainfall
YTD 595.1mm
MTD 18.5mm
Summer Storms 8 - Another poor season!!
https://www.flickr.com/photos/eddygroot/
YNWA

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#1216419 - 03/11/2013 21:32 Re: NSW/ACT day to day weather [Re: Grant]
crikey Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 01/02/2011
Posts: 2586
Loc: Tweed Heads
ACCESS G supporting a rain event/wet signal for NSW. ( t+ 126 hrs)

Spatially wide spread across NSW next Friday the 8th nov 2013 and strengthens toward the south coastal areas on Saturday.
Rain event/ wet signal. Trough/ low..
Some could get 1mm and some could get 30 ++ mm



source
http://www.bom.gov.au/australia/charts/viewer/index.shtml


Edited by crikey (03/11/2013 21:33)
_________________________
http://weathercycles.wordpress.com/

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#1216425 - 03/11/2013 22:05 Re: NSW/ACT day to day weather [Re: Grant]
aussiestormfreak Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 02/02/2011
Posts: 5641
Loc: Melbourne (Belgrave); Corryong...
Sadly it looks like the front was all wind and no rain/hail/snow/thunderstorms here in Corryong, so there goes what I was hoping to be one final chance at seeing snow on the NSW Snowy Mountains this weekend frown

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#1216455 - 04/11/2013 10:59 Re: NSW/ACT day to day weather [Re: Grant]
ant Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 05/10/2002
Posts: 9063
Loc: Overlooking ACT at 848m
There'll be snow again, it happens right through the non-snow season, and if you can see it from the back end it's even more spectacular (the western faces look like real mountains).

Getting very excited by the forecast of rain.

Edit, mate said it was snowing in Nimmitabel a few hours ago.

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#1216479 - 04/11/2013 16:15 Re: NSW/ACT day to day weather [Re: Grant]
Jon77 Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 06/04/2012
Posts: 427
Perhaps the rain signal for later this week is looking better than the last one.

Fingers crossed this one delivers the goods, looks good in model output land, lets hope it works out as we don't want another failure around Sydney.


Edited by Jon77 (04/11/2013 16:15)

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#1216525 - 04/11/2013 22:43 Re: NSW/ACT day to day weather [Re: Jon77]
Jon77 Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 06/04/2012
Posts: 427
From the BOM outlook for Sydney- http://www.bom.gov.au/nsw/forecasts/sydney.shtml

Saturday 9 November
SummaryMin 18Max 24Rain at times.
Sydney area
Cloudy. Areas of rain. Light winds becoming south to southeasterly 15 to 20 km/h during the day.
Sunday 10 November
SummaryMin 18Max 22Rain at times.
Sydney area
Cloudy. Areas of rain. Winds southerly 25 to 35 km/h tending southeasterly during the day.
Monday 11 November
SummaryMin 16Max 21Rain at times.
Sydney area
Cloudy. Areas of rain. Winds southeasterly 20 to 30 km/h.

Haven't see a rain outlook for Sydney like that since June/July.

Starting to get my hopes up with this one. 3 days of good steady rain over a good area would be fantastic to see.


Edited by Jon77 (04/11/2013 22:45)

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#1216534 - 05/11/2013 00:12 Re: NSW/ACT day to day weather [Re: ant]
aussiestormfreak Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 02/02/2011
Posts: 5641
Loc: Melbourne (Belgrave); Corryong...
Originally Posted By: ant
There'll be snow again, it happens right through the non-snow season, and if you can see it from the back end it's even more spectacular (the western faces look like real mountains).

Getting very excited by the forecast of rain.

Edit, mate said it was snowing in Nimmitabel a few hours ago.


Yes that's so true Ant... I was at Charlotte Pass on January 18th 2010, and yes it did snow!! grin

Alpine snow is always a possibility even during the hot summer period; no chance of putting away the winter gear even when the temperatures start cracking the 40s, next thing you know a cold front comes through and the mercury dives to 20C (even lower at elevation)... so hopefully another wintry cold front or two can blast through during my usual mid-summer visit to Northeast Victoria and Southeast NSW/ACT in a couple of months! smile

I got to see some patches of snow on the Kosciuszko ridge from a distance while in Khancoban earlier yesterday, I'm pretty happy now that I've FINALLY seen some of the white stuff smile

Truly glorious weather in the Upper Murray yesterday, a bit on the coolish side though with more gusty wind, not as strong as Sunday though, but it was about 18C here in Corryong with plentiful sunshine, after a nippy low of about 1C early in the morning (no frost though as there was a bit too much wind), another frosty night ahead and much warmer conditions today, sad that I have to return to Melbourne today frown

On a happier note, really good to see the Upper Murray looking all lush and green and with so many beautiful flowers, roses, and blossoms everywhere!! grin

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#1216537 - 05/11/2013 06:43 Re: NSW/ACT day to day weather [Re: Grant]
Shane-wx Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 29/01/2003
Posts: 1185
Loc: Parramatta, Sydney, N.S.W, Aus...
I am excited for inland storm potential on saturday - It actually looks pretty reasonable if the variables can stick. I'd make my way out of the early morning rainband to hopefully some clearer air. Its probably my excited due to lack of storms recently!!

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#1216545 - 05/11/2013 08:45 Re: NSW/ACT day to day weather [Re: Grant]
Rainbow Spirit Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 10/11/2010
Posts: 424
Loc: Green Valley, just west of Liv...
Three days of rain..bring it on, the place is as dry as......

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#1216549 - 05/11/2013 09:46 Re: NSW/ACT day to day weather [Re: Grant]
krammy Offline
Cloud Gazer

Registered: 12/08/2005
Posts: 28
Loc: Dunlop ACT
Totally agree with you Ant I came up over the Snowies via Corryong/Khancoban back in July and it is quite a sight from the West! The mountains actually look huge from the western side (compared to really just hills from the east) and the snow covered tops made for some great pics.

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#1216550 - 05/11/2013 09:54 Re: NSW/ACT day to day weather [Re: Grant]
DaveM Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 21/05/2001
Posts: 9240
Loc: Bathurst NSW about 700 m asl
Always the best side to view them - that western side.

Re this coming rain event (if it happens) Models varying with timing but it's good that they all seem to expect an ok drop at some point in the next week. Placement varies a bit too but hopefully it hits coastal areas as well as inland areas.

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#1216622 - 05/11/2013 20:25 Re: NSW/ACT day to day weather [Re: Grant]
ant Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 05/10/2002
Posts: 9063
Loc: Overlooking ACT at 848m
So hoping for decent rain. I tried to pull out a tiny tuft of serrated tussock yesterday, nope. Going to have to poison it. The ground is like metal. The dust hasn't started yet but it's not long off. Forecast has pushed it back to later on Friday now, so two days at or above 30, which SURELY means a cracking storm?!

I think I've seen the western faces of the main range with snow on more often in the off-season than the on, and yeah, it's quite a sight! There's a lookout down there somewhere, and I remember gazing up at the mountains and snow through the wattle. People do ski the western faces but the hike back up is a killer. Its unofficial name, btw, is "little Austria".

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#1216628 - 05/11/2013 21:04 Re: NSW/ACT day to day weather [Re: Grant]
Teddy Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 15/01/2010
Posts: 318
Loc: Monash, Canberra 625m
Looking forward to the rain forecast at the weekend, lets hope this rain event happens the garden is dry as. The clay is setting like concrete here and everything is starting to brown off despite that 75mm we had back in mid September.

Fingers & toes crossed,
Teddy

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#1216640 - 05/11/2013 22:23 Re: NSW/ACT day to day weather [Re: Teddy]
Jon77 Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 06/04/2012
Posts: 427
Models for the end of the week not quite as tasty as they were yesterday rain wise but still ok.

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#1216893 - 07/11/2013 17:22 Re: NSW/ACT day to day weather [Re: krammy]
aussiestormfreak Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 02/02/2011
Posts: 5641
Loc: Melbourne (Belgrave); Corryong...
Originally Posted By: krammy
Totally agree with you Ant I came up over the Snowies via Corryong/Khancoban back in July and it is quite a sight from the West! The mountains actually look huge from the western side (compared to really just hills from the east) and the snow covered tops made for some great pics.


Yep, the Snowies look little more than just hills (rather similar to the Dandenongs here in Melbourne) when viewed from the east/southeast, particularly from the area on the Southern Tablelands around the Bombala/Dalgety/Nimmitabel/Cooma/Berridale/Jindabyne region... they look far more impressive, spectacular and formidable from the west and northwest (Upper Murray/Corryong/Tumbarumba area), even in high summer!! grin

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#1216907 - 07/11/2013 19:21 Re: NSW/ACT day to day weather [Re: aussiestormfreak]
Homer Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 16/06/2007
Posts: 4924
Loc: Dural
Originally Posted By: aussiestormfreak
Originally Posted By: krammy
Totally agree with you Ant I came up over the Snowies via Corryong/Khancoban back in July and it is quite a sight from the West! The mountains actually look huge from the western side (compared to really just hills from the east) and the snow covered tops made for some great pics.


Yep, the Snowies look little more than just hills (rather similar to the Dandenongs here in Melbourne) when viewed from the east/southeast, particularly from the area on the Southern Tablelands around the Bombala/Dalgety/Nimmitabel/Cooma/Berridale/Jindabyne region... they look far more impressive, spectacular and formidable from the west and northwest (Upper Murray/Corryong/Tumbarumba area), even in high summer!! grin


I agree as well. The Snowies look GREAT from the western side.
It's quite obvious why though. The Eastern side is mostly 800 -1000 mtrs above sea level and only drops to lower elevations nearer the coast.
Nimmitabel is at 1200 mtrs amsl and the SMH rises even further east, and then drops dramatically at Brown Mountain. It is spectacular countryside.

Homer

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#1216913 - 07/11/2013 20:24 Re: NSW/ACT day to day weather [Re: Grant]
Ken Kato Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 05/03/2012
Posts: 4312
Decent convective activity coming up for many parts over the coming days, some possibly severe and occurring over a succession of days in some areas.

Here's the latest output from my thunderstorm script showing the max thunderstorm probabilities achieved by my script during the next 7 days:

http://farm4.staticflickr.com/3741/10722350936_d9e2230c47_b.jpg


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#1216914 - 07/11/2013 20:29 Re: NSW/ACT day to day weather [Re: Grant]
Homer Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 16/06/2007
Posts: 4924
Loc: Dural
Sydney storm shield.

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#1216995 - 08/11/2013 13:51 Re: NSW/ACT day to day weather [Re: Grant]
kizz Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 11/02/2002
Posts: 1820
Loc: Beacon Hill, Sydney 152m asl
Hottest air mass of the season so far in the basin today. Penrith cracked 38 and Richmond 38.1 not long ago. Quite a few other Sydney sites may go better than that if this damn cloud stays away.

Fingers crossed for a 39 or maybe a 40? Pipe dream but hey, Rock on 40!

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#1217060 - 09/11/2013 09:34 Re: NSW/ACT day to day weather [Re: Grant]
kizz Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 11/02/2002
Posts: 1820
Loc: Beacon Hill, Sydney 152m asl
Still no comments on the hottest temps in Sydney so far yesterday?!? Is everyone too excited about the impending scudfest? Judging by the lack of posts in that thread it doesn't appear to be the case.

Penrith led the way on 39.3C from memory with Richmond not far behind.

Once again Obs Hill played the San Francisco role with a ridiculously low and unrepresentative maximum.

A narrow slot of clear skies and off shore winds will hopefully spike the temperatures this morning. That is, before the southerly rolls through and defecates all over the basin's chances of some juicy afternoon storms.

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