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#1220754 - 21/11/2013 19:33 Re: NSW Thunderstorms 21st - 25th November 2013 [Re: EddyG]
Stormy3 Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 12/06/2013
Posts: 1670
Loc: Ellalong,10kms SW of Cessnock ...
Looks like my cells are fizzing out,bring on the severe cells tomorrow,but not too severe, like house damaging, I mean.
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Click here for Ellalong live weathercam,The camera is facing west towards the Wollombi,Putty area,the video live stream will be online longer, if any storms or severe weather.

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#1220756 - 21/11/2013 19:46 Re: NSW Thunderstorms 21st - 25th November 2013 [Re: EddyG]
Marts Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 10/01/2006
Posts: 2197
Loc: Mona Vale, northern beaches , ...
Getting a couple of rumbles here atm. Some thundery rain will do.

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#1220757 - 21/11/2013 19:56 Re: NSW Thunderstorms 21st - 25th November 2013 [Re: EddyG]
Rainbow Spirit Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 10/11/2010
Posts: 555
Loc: Green Valley, just west of Liv...
A few very spectacular CCs out to the NNW, and a lot of CGs out to the WNW around the Nepean I'm guessing. Still a ways off, will they get here?

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#1220758 - 21/11/2013 19:59 Re: NSW Thunderstorms 21st - 25th November 2013 [Re: EddyG]
Long Road Home Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 08/10/2007
Posts: 8471
Loc: Northern Beaches Syd
Penrith storm chasers saying this could be like friday night again with slow moving stuff.. wow might head out with the cam soon. Thunder heard atm

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#1220774 - 21/11/2013 21:14 Re: NSW Thunderstorms 21st - 25th November 2013 [Re: EddyG]
ant Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 05/10/2002
Posts: 9063
Loc: Overlooking ACT at 848m
This is the monster as it headed to the coast, still thundering away, and some of the weirdest mammatus I've seen in a while. (SLR hungry so had to use pocket camera).



Edit: and the airport got 26mm! God damn it.


Edited by ant (21/11/2013 21:21)

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#1220779 - 21/11/2013 22:01 Re: NSW Thunderstorms 21st - 25th November 2013 [Re: EddyG]
perrywinkle Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 04/08/2006
Posts: 447
Loc: Warrawee Valley
Look at that black cell heading straight for Scone!

And 5 minutes later Pffft...it is dissipating - a lucky miss!


Edited by perrywinkle (21/11/2013 22:07)
Edit Reason: Update

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#1220783 - 21/11/2013 22:15 Re: NSW Thunderstorms 21st - 25th November 2013 [Re: EddyG]
ant Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 05/10/2002
Posts: 9063
Loc: Overlooking ACT at 848m
Goulburn's about to get smacked. I wonder if we'll get more? The easterly is pretty cold so I guess not.

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#1220785 - 21/11/2013 22:19 Re: NSW Thunderstorms 21st - 25th November 2013 [Re: EddyG]
Stormy3 Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 12/06/2013
Posts: 1670
Loc: Ellalong,10kms SW of Cessnock ...
Look at that black cell heading straight for Scone!perrywink,

Yes I could see some big flashs from that cell from here,to far away for thunder.
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Click here for Ellalong live weathercam,The camera is facing west towards the Wollombi,Putty area,the video live stream will be online longer, if any storms or severe weather.

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#1220786 - 21/11/2013 22:23 Re: NSW Thunderstorms 21st - 25th November 2013 [Re: Stormy3]
perrywinkle Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 04/08/2006
Posts: 447
Loc: Warrawee Valley
Wonder what damage that one caused ? It looked pretty intense and headed off on its own trajectory for a while...

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#1220793 - 21/11/2013 22:57 Re: NSW Thunderstorms 21st - 25th November 2013 [Re: EddyG]
ant Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 05/10/2002
Posts: 9063
Loc: Overlooking ACT at 848m
Moar rain. But just immediate north of me is a very active thing, headed for Bungendore. These things are moving so fast, yet down here there's no wind.

Active thing is rowdy, too!

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#1220797 - 21/11/2013 23:25 Re: NSW Thunderstorms 21st - 25th November 2013 [Re: EddyG]
Stormy3 Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 12/06/2013
Posts: 1670
Loc: Ellalong,10kms SW of Cessnock ...
More cells developing again out west moving east,after sunset I have had cells moving to the south of me and to the north of me, like the Scone cell,now there is some out west developing in the middle,hopefully I might get one later this morning.
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Click here for Ellalong live weathercam,The camera is facing west towards the Wollombi,Putty area,the video live stream will be online longer, if any storms or severe weather.

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#1220801 - 21/11/2013 23:39 Re: NSW Thunderstorms 21st - 25th November 2013 [Re: EddyG]
Marts Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 10/01/2006
Posts: 2197
Loc: Mona Vale, northern beaches , ...
A small line developing to the WNW of here going by the radar. Maybe interesting times ahead. The wind is picking up here from the north as well.

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#1220830 - 22/11/2013 06:29 Re: NSW Thunderstorms 21st - 25th November 2013 [Re: EddyG]
Ben Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 11/10/2002
Posts: 5306
Loc: Tweed Coast
With the recent slowing of models, the south coast really looks the place to be today. Intense shear + instability and a bit of a dryline means large hail, damaging winds and flash flooding are all a risk and even tornadoes. Further north up here we should get some good stuff (providing this early stuff clears off which going by sat it should), although I think heavy rain is more a risk. I'm tipping a line moving through Sydney later with some places seeing some heavy falls.


Edited by Ben (22/11/2013 06:29)

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#1220831 - 22/11/2013 06:30 Re: NSW Thunderstorms 21st - 25th November 2013 [Re: Marts]
Jimi Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 15/03/2004
Posts: 895
Loc: Cammeray
I have awoken to rumbles. Morning storms can often bode well for the severe variety in the afternoon. Should be a good day!

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#1220836 - 22/11/2013 07:00 Re: NSW Thunderstorms 21st - 25th November 2013 [Re: EddyG]
choco Offline
Cloud Gazer

Registered: 23/02/2013
Posts: 11
Loc: Parramatta Park Cairns
Can anybody explain why Terrey Hills radar shows such intense activity and Newcastle is showing only moderate rainfall? Is one more sensitive than the other? Am thinking Sydney radar could be slightly exaggerated, am in Newcastle atm.

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#1220837 - 22/11/2013 07:08 Re: NSW Thunderstorms 21st - 25th November 2013 [Re: Jimi]
Kangaroo Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 28/02/2007
Posts: 119
Loc: Berowra, Sydney
Originally Posted By: matchstick guitar
I have awoken to rumbles. Morning storms can often bode well for the severe variety in the afternoon. Should be a good day!


There were a couple of rumbles and some light falls with heavy drops at around 3.15 this morning up my way. The last lot fizzled out, but this next slab of red/black looks interesting heading in from the NW.

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#1220838 - 22/11/2013 07:15 Re: NSW Thunderstorms 21st - 25th November 2013 [Re: choco]
Tom1234 Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 08/04/2011
Posts: 1709
Loc: Port Stephens
Originally Posted By: choco
Can anybody explain why Terrey Hills radar shows such intense activity and Newcastle is showing only moderate rainfall? Is one more sensitive than the other? Am thinking Sydney radar could be slightly exaggerated, am in Newcastle atm.


I'm fairly certain the Newcastle radar is not working properly. Last Sunday when it was raining it went from showing lots of rain in one image to only just showing green in the next image, then it has stayed like that since.

Also using the BOM site, you can get radar rainfall figures, Newcastle was way off last weekend when we got 150mm, Sydney was spot on.

Originally Posted By: Ben
With the recent slowing of models, the south coast really looks the place to be today. Intense shear + instability and a bit of a dryline means large hail, damaging winds and flash flooding are all a risk and even tornadoes.


Does look interesting down south today, todays model run is pretty different to yesterdays. Hunter and MNC are more looking interesting tomorrow as the strong shear makes its way north. Originally it looked like the system was going to move to the north coast tomorrow, looks to have changed for the better.


Edited by Enrique (22/11/2013 07:22)

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#1220839 - 22/11/2013 07:20 Re: NSW Thunderstorms 21st - 25th November 2013 [Re: EddyG]
choco Offline
Cloud Gazer

Registered: 23/02/2013
Posts: 11
Loc: Parramatta Park Cairns
Thanks Enrique.

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#1220840 - 22/11/2013 07:30 Re: NSW Thunderstorms 21st - 25th November 2013 [Re: EddyG]
Steve777 Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 20/10/2011
Posts: 4100
Loc: Artarmon (Sydney North Shore)
There was thunder and light rain at Artarmon around 6:00 this morning with light rain, but that has passed and the sun has been trying to come out. Now getting some distant rumbles and it looks like more rain and thunder is on the way. Rain is staring again and getting a few loud booms.


Edited by Steve777 (22/11/2013 07:35)

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#1220850 - 22/11/2013 08:40 Re: NSW Thunderstorms 21st - 25th November 2013 [Re: choco]
slotmachine Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 02/11/2007
Posts: 207
Loc: Newcastle
Originally Posted By: choco
Can anybody explain why Terrey Hills radar shows such intense activity and Newcastle is showing only moderate rainfall? Is one more sensitive than the other? Am thinking Sydney radar could be slightly exaggerated, am in Newcastle atm.


I've always thought Terry Hills overstates rainfall quite badly.

If you look at the "rainfall since 9am" it shows huge swathes of 25mm and and a few spots of up to 50mm.

This is not supported by the individual stations -> http://reg.bom.gov.au/nsw/flood/greatersydney.shtml

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