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#1237047 - 30/01/2014 21:12 Re: Tropical Cyclone Dylan (Coral Sea) January 2014 - GENERAL DISCUSSION [Re: PVW]
Latitude 21 Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 24/01/2011
Posts: 68
Loc: East Mackay, QLD
My poor little Digitech doesn't go past 40 km and has suffered in Ului and the odd crow or 2

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#1237048 - 30/01/2014 21:13 Re: Tropical Cyclone Dylan (Coral Sea) January 2014 - GENERAL DISCUSSION [Re: Inclement Weather]
mscactus Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 11/10/2005
Posts: 2240
Loc: Heatley QLD
IDQ20023
Australian Government Bureau of Meteorology
Queensland
Tropical Cyclone Warning Centre

Media: Transmitters serving the area between Cardwell and St Lawrence and
adjacent inland areas are requested to USE the Standard Emergency Warning
Signal before broadcasting the following warning.

TOP PRIORITY FOR IMMEDIATE BROADCAST

TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVICE NUMBER 17
Issued at 8:08 pm EST on Thursday 30 January 2014

A Cyclone WARNING remains current for coastal and island communities from
Cardwell to St Lawrence extending to adjacent inland areas, including
Collinsville..

At 7:00 pm EST Tropical Cyclone Dylan, Category 2 was estimated to be 185
kilometres east northeast of Townsville and 225 kilometres north of Proserpine
and moving south southwest at 12 kilometres per hour towards the coast.

Tropical Cyclone Dylan is expected to continue moving towards the coast
crossing between Townsville and Bowen on Friday morning.

The cyclone and a strong ridge of high pressure further south are combining to
generate GALES at times along much of the east coast between Cardwell and St
Lawrence. Winds are expected to increase further between Lucinda and St
Lawrence overnight and extending to adjacent inland areas later Friday morning.
DESTRUCTIVE WIND GUSTS to 150 kilometres per hour are possible near the centre.

Heavy rain, which may lead to flash flooding, is expected about coastal and
adjacent inland areas of the Herbert and Lower Burdekin and the Central Coast
and Whitsundays districts.

Coastal residents between Lucinda and St Lawrence, including Townsville are
specifically warned of the dangerous storm tide, particularly on the high tide
on Friday. The sea is likely to rise steadily up to a level well above the
normal tide, with damaging waves and flooding of some low-lying areas close to
the shoreline. People living in areas likely to be affected by this flooding
should take measures to protect their property as much as possible and be
prepared to follow instructions regarding evacuation of the area if advised to
do so by the authorities.

A storm tide is expected between Cardwell and Lucinda, particularly on the high
tide on Friday. Large waves may produce minor flooding along the foreshore.
People living in areas likely to be affected by this flooding should take
measures to protect their property as much as possible and be prepared to help
their neighbours.

A separate Severe Weather Warning is current for remaining coastal and island
communities from Cooktown to Cardwell and from St Lawrence to Gladstone,
extending inland to the northern Central Highlands and eastern parts of the
Central West districts on Friday.

People between Cardwell and St Lawrence should complete preparations quickly
and be prepared to shelter in a safe place.
- Boats and outside property should be secured [using available daylight
hours/before nightfall].
- For cyclone preparedness and safety advice, visit Queensland's Disaster
Management Services website (www.disaster.qld.gov.au)
- For emergency assistance call the Queensland State Emergency Service (SES) on
132 500 (for assistance with storm damage, rising flood water, fallen trees on
buildings or roof damage).

Details of Tropical Cyclone Dylan at 7:00 pm EST:
.Centre located near...... 18.4 degrees South 148.3 degrees East
.Location accuracy........ within 35 kilometres
.Recent movement.......... towards the south southwest at 12 kilometres per hour
.Wind gusts near centre... 140 kilometres per hour
.Severity category........ 2
.Central pressure......... 975 hectoPascals


The next advice will be issued by 11:00 pm EST Thursday 30 January.

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#1237052 - 30/01/2014 21:13 Re: Tropical Cyclone Dylan (Coral Sea) January 2014 - GENERAL DISCUSSION [Re: Inclement Weather]
Latitude 21 Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 24/01/2011
Posts: 68
Loc: East Mackay, QLD

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#1237053 - 30/01/2014 21:13 Re: Tropical Cyclone Dylan (Coral Sea) January 2014 - GENERAL DISCUSSION [Re: mad mick]
Popeye Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 30/12/2006
Posts: 7851
Loc: Cable Beach - Broome WA
Originally Posted By: mad mick
So where do you think he will go Popeye


Due to the radar still not giving a great example of a clear defined eye I think its still a little undeveloped. It will run out of time, get steered a bit further south by the lower levels and cross between AYR and BOWEN. Bowen would be in the immediate 10-50kms south of the system and get the best of the winds. Wait and see.

Edit: update makes a shambles of all that though lol Should still cross there though.


Edited by Popeye (30/01/2014 21:15)
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#1237054 - 30/01/2014 21:13 Re: Tropical Cyclone Dylan (Coral Sea) January 2014 - GENERAL DISCUSSION [Re: mscactus]
MareebaWeather Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 15/12/2003
Posts: 1826
Loc: Mareeba 17 S 145.2 E
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#1237057 - 30/01/2014 21:14 Re: Tropical Cyclone Dylan (Coral Sea) January 2014 - GENERAL DISCUSSION [Re: Inclement Weather]
mad mick Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 12/11/2007
Posts: 1183
Loc: Aitkenvale,townsville
bye bye Dylan for Townsville look out Bowen

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#1237059 - 30/01/2014 21:15 Re: Tropical Cyclone Dylan (Coral Sea) January 2014 - GENERAL DISCUSSION [Re: Inclement Weather]
Xavo Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 11/11/2009
Posts: 1954
Loc: Airlie Beach & Brisbane

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#1237063 - 30/01/2014 21:16 Re: Tropical Cyclone Dylan (Coral Sea) January 2014 - GENERAL DISCUSSION [Re: Hello Hurricane]
Rainrunner Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 23/01/2011
Posts: 1354
Loc: Whitsundays
Originally Posted By: cqcyclone
Upgraded to Category 2 now by the BoM

That explains it, it's becoming more concentrated so the outer edges will shrink
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Weather stations: Mount Julian and Proserpine Mill
Cyclone Chasee: Debbie 2017, Ului 2010, Dylan & Ita 2014

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#1237064 - 30/01/2014 21:17 Re: Tropical Cyclone Dylan (Coral Sea) January 2014 - GENERAL DISCUSSION [Re: Inclement Weather]
Popeye Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 30/12/2006
Posts: 7851
Loc: Cable Beach - Broome WA
You know what these systems are like they kind of bowling ball roll it down the coast just prior to landfall. yeah I reckon Bowen.
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#1237068 - 30/01/2014 21:19 Re: Tropical Cyclone Dylan (Coral Sea) January 2014 - GENERAL DISCUSSION [Re: Inclement Weather]
Hagrid Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 13/02/2013
Posts: 260
Loc: Crediton Qld
70 mm here gusts to 65kmh Temp 18c

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#1237069 - 30/01/2014 21:19 Re: Tropical Cyclone Dylan (Coral Sea) January 2014 - GENERAL DISCUSSION [Re: Inclement Weather]
Mad Elf #1.5 Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 05/03/2012
Posts: 3561
Loc: Mt Hallen QLD
Aaghhh, 975hpa, now we have a storm.

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#1237072 - 30/01/2014 21:20 Re: Tropical Cyclone Dylan (Coral Sea) January 2014 - GENERAL DISCUSSION [Re: Inclement Weather]
Chookie Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 20/03/2009
Posts: 1946
Loc: Kirwan
how come cardwell is still on a warning if they think bowen or south of that will get it?

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#1237073 - 30/01/2014 21:21 Re: Tropical Cyclone Dylan (Coral Sea) January 2014 - GENERAL DISCUSSION [Re: Inclement Weather]
Rhubarb Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 11/01/2011
Posts: 755
Loc: West End, Townsville, QLD
A little light relief .. "It's an ill wind" says Dougal as Dylan plays the bagpipes smile

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=cPJQRZPXe7c
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#1237074 - 30/01/2014 21:21 Re: Tropical Cyclone Dylan (Coral Sea) January 2014 - GENERAL DISCUSSION [Re: Inclement Weather]
gazza townsville Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 12/01/2012
Posts: 438
970 is cat 3 so wow

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#1237075 - 30/01/2014 21:23 Re: Tropical Cyclone Dylan (Coral Sea) January 2014 - GENERAL DISCUSSION [Re: Inclement Weather]
Mad Elf #1.5 Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 05/03/2012
Posts: 3561
Loc: Mt Hallen QLD
?970?
You must be clairvoinant. Prob in next TC advice.


Edited by Mad Elf #1.5 (30/01/2014 21:25)

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#1237076 - 30/01/2014 21:24 Re: Tropical Cyclone Dylan (Coral Sea) January 2014 - GENERAL DISCUSSION [Re: Inclement Weather]
Steve O Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 02/03/2011
Posts: 3278
Loc: Beenleigh, QLD
Maybe if it can keep intensify the more erratic it will become and could potentially go anywhere in the warning area.
P.s its category is determined by windspeed I'm pretty sure.


Edited by Steve O (30/01/2014 21:25)

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#1237078 - 30/01/2014 21:25 Re: Tropical Cyclone Dylan (Coral Sea) January 2014 - GENERAL DISCUSSION [Re: Inclement Weather]
Things Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 29/11/2009
Posts: 8400
Loc: Blair Athol, SA
Too close to land IMO for much more intensification. Can already see the SW side where it's interacting with land losing wind speed.

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#1237082 - 30/01/2014 21:27 Re: Tropical Cyclone Dylan (Coral Sea) January 2014 - GENERAL DISCUSSION [Re: Inclement Weather]
Steamy Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 20/03/2004
Posts: 703
Loc: Mackay Qld Australia
From Advice Number 16

"Tropical Cyclone Dylan is expected to continue moving in a general
southwesterly direction and further intensify before crossing the Queensland
coast between Townsville and Bowen in the early hours of Friday morning."

From Advice Number 17

"Tropical Cyclone Dylan is expected to continue moving towards the coast
crossing between Townsville and Bowen on Friday morning."

No "further intensify" in latest advice

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#1237083 - 30/01/2014 21:27 Re: Tropical Cyclone Dylan (Coral Sea) January 2014 - GENERAL DISCUSSION [Re: Inclement Weather]
Mad Elf #1.5 Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 05/03/2012
Posts: 3561
Loc: Mt Hallen QLD
Anyone checked #of ppl on site? Very impressive. WZ gogogo.

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#1237084 - 30/01/2014 21:28 Re: Tropical Cyclone Dylan (Coral Sea) January 2014 - GENERAL DISCUSSION [Re: Inclement Weather]
ayrfam Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 12/01/2011
Posts: 146
Loc: Ayr, Qld
Can someone please tell why the forecast track and advice says it's moving SSW but the Tech bulletin says SW? So confused but learning heaps

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