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#1239816 - 06/02/2014 11:56 Re: NSW/ACT day to day weather [Re: Grant]
DerekHV Online   shocked
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 12/02/2010
Posts: 1186
Loc: Aberglasslyn (Maitland) NSW
Nice cool change, though very little rain in it.
Couple of days without aircon until bedtime has broken the cycle of electricity usage that has been out of control for weeks.

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#1239914 - 06/02/2014 22:08 Re: NSW/ACT day to day weather [Re: DaveM]
Homer Online   content
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 16/06/2007
Posts: 5954
Loc: Dural
Originally Posted By: DaveM
Homer - Amen brother, get some real people back on the forecast wording!! Computers ain't got any idea of the subtleties of weather and localities.



Mate, it ain't rocket surgery. crazy
I'm really sick of these generic forecasts as they are so vague.
How hard would it be for someone to tweak a few words?
Clearly, too hard for the boffins at the BOM.
I reckon, over the past 30 years of hearing talk back radio stations talking to reps from the BOM, I've heard 2, maybe 3 people that actually have a personality. Hence, the cardboard forecasts.

Homer

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#1239967 - 07/02/2014 08:45 Re: NSW/ACT day to day weather [Re: Grant]
DaveM Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 21/05/2001
Posts: 10135
Loc: Bathurst NSW about 700 m asl
Another nice cool morning out here, min around 9 degrees. smile

Hard to believe it will get to 33 but it will. Just about to ramp up for another week or 10 days on the mid 30's or more. frown

I just got the house to a pleasant temperature too!!

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#1239973 - 07/02/2014 09:08 Re: NSW/ACT day to day weather [Re: Grant]
DaveM Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 21/05/2001
Posts: 10135
Loc: Bathurst NSW about 700 m asl
At Bathurst, We should have

35 degree days - should be 4.4 days each year, we've had 14 since November cry

30 degree days - should be 32 days each year, we've had 40 since November cry

We have a forecast of at least a week OVER 30 and of which 6 are forecast to be 35 or more. crazy

And we still have the second half of Feb to come outside the forecast period (of next week) let alone March, which may also throw up several 30's.

This is a crazy summer for persistent runs of well above average temps. It surely will be our hottest ever summer and if not - glad I wasn't around for the record breaking year smile

As far as individual hot days go, we've not broken records there, just many days well over average. The coast meantime has been relatively cool. Interesting times, maybe next summer will be cool and wet out here smile

Ah well at least we've had several cool morning in a row but that is about to cease. House will be hot again.

I've probably run the aircon more in this one summer than the last 3 put together and it's not over yet. crazy

Autumn will come, Autumn will come, Autumn will come - is it working yet? smile cheers

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#1239980 - 07/02/2014 09:41 Re: NSW/ACT day to day weather [Re: Grant]
Steve777 Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 20/10/2011
Posts: 4365
Loc: Artarmon (Sydney North Shore)
Just as a contrast, on the coast near Sydney:
  • Observatory Hill hasn't reached 30 since January 6 (about 3 times would have been expected between Jan 7 and Feb 6). It's been to 29 a few times.
  • Sydney Airport has been there 9 times (average about 5). This is probably a better indication of what most Sydneysiders in the inner suburbs have experienced. However, it hasn't reached 32 since January 2.
  • Bellambi, on a low coastal headland North of Wollongong, tens of meters from a beach, hasn't reached 26 since January 6.

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#1239989 - 07/02/2014 10:43 Re: NSW/ACT day to day weather [Re: Grant]
DaveM Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 21/05/2001
Posts: 10135
Loc: Bathurst NSW about 700 m asl
Awwww you're being mean!! smile

Even Windsor/Richmond don't seem to have been too bad this year.

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#1239993 - 07/02/2014 10:54 Re: NSW/ACT day to day weather [Re: Grant]
Canberra's Weather Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 11/11/2005
Posts: 1141
Loc: Canberra
I have been doing the numbers, downloaded all the daily maximums for the old and new Canberra Airport site, and clearly this year is turning out to be the worst (worse even than 2009).

Is it an alteration in the weather patterns (highs, lows and fronts being driven by mysterious forces) or is it the tired old (and controversial) "global warming" argument that is causing this?
_________________________
Stop the Hot

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#1239995 - 07/02/2014 11:04 Re: NSW/ACT day to day weather [Re: Grant]
mkeene(pingtang) Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 03/09/2011
Posts: 533
Loc: Nowra,NSW
All I know is,I want summer to end. It's been terrible. Mid Autumn cant come soon enough. And we can safely say June and July is our new storm season.


Edited by mkeene(pingtang) (07/02/2014 11:04)

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#1240000 - 07/02/2014 11:24 Re: NSW/ACT day to day weather [Re: Grant]
DaveM Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 21/05/2001
Posts: 10135
Loc: Bathurst NSW about 700 m asl
Aaah Mr Keene - you've come over to the dark side. smile eek smile

CW there have been really hot summers well in the past as well. We seem to be copping it a bit more than we remember of late but I still believe in cycles, I believe this summer is quite an anomaly, hope I'm correct.

I also am desperately hoping for cooler weather soon. At least our nights will cool off more in a few weeks, looking forward to that. smile

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#1240014 - 07/02/2014 12:18 Re: NSW/ACT day to day weather [Re: Grant]
Steve777 Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 20/10/2011
Posts: 4365
Loc: Artarmon (Sydney North Shore)
For the period January 7 to February 6:
  • Penrith - about 55 km from the sea and 50km West of the CBD. Apparently the hottest place in the Basin:
    • 17 days of 30+, including a run of 10 (Jan 11-20).
    • 9 days 35+, including a run of 5 (Jan 14 to 18)
    • One day 40+.

  • Parramatta, about 28km from the Sea and 22 km West of the CBD, which would reflect waht most Western Sydney people experienced:
    • 10 days 30+, including a run of 5 (Jan 14-18)
    • 3 days 35+
    • Topping out at 36.5.

So the story in Sydney seems to be many warm sunny days with maxima slightly to moderately above average, but only one very hot day and that in the outer West. This has been interrupted by periods of cooler, overcast weather that produced miniscule amounts of rainfall.


Edited by Steve777 (07/02/2014 12:27)
Edit Reason: Incomplete

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#1240020 - 07/02/2014 13:13 Re: NSW/ACT day to day weather [Re: Grant]
dlcat1 Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 31/01/2011
Posts: 901
Loc: Melbourne (NE burbs)
Am I right in thinking the coast up there has experienced a sustained period of NE winds (or at the least onshore) breezes due to that string of highs hanging out in the Tasman? But for whatever reason, their effect has been greatly diminished in western Sydney, while west of the divide that same pattern of never moving high directs a warm northerly?

I know there have been changes through, but it just seems that everytime I've looked for the past month, there has been a great big high in the tasman.

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#1240026 - 07/02/2014 13:41 Re: NSW/ACT day to day weather [Re: Grant]
DaveM Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 21/05/2001
Posts: 10135
Loc: Bathurst NSW about 700 m asl
You are on the money.

Coastal suburbs get the sea breeze effect, western suburbs miss out.

West of the divide copping northerlies.

Most of the changes are flicking up the coast with no great intrusions west of the divide.

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#1240029 - 07/02/2014 14:00 Re: NSW/ACT day to day weather [Re: Grant]
HumphreyBear Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 31/01/2008
Posts: 4167
Loc: Southern Sydney
Western suburbs do get the seabreeze, but it takes longer to get there allowing more of the hot air from above to mix down (giving them a higher max temp). Also, even if there's a general NE flow, the western suburbs will still get more of the hot air above because it's less "diluted" by the sea air.

Think of it as Rum (the hard stuff, heat) and Coke (the cool seabreeze). Westies get just a bit more tipsy than their coastal counterparts.


Edited by HumphreyBear (07/02/2014 14:01)

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#1240034 - 07/02/2014 14:24 Re: NSW/ACT day to day weather [Re: Grant]
CoastalStorm22 Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 10/07/2006
Posts: 2835
Loc: Lane Cove, Sydney, NSW
That's a great analogy HB! laugh

Were certainly not tipsy here that's for sure.
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#1240037 - 07/02/2014 15:20 Re: NSW/ACT day to day weather [Re: Grant]
kizz Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 11/02/2002
Posts: 2028
Loc: Beacon Hill, Sydney 152m asl
Not even close to tipsy in my area. More like a Coke slushy this Summer.

Really hanging out for some strong OverProof weather in my neck of the woods. Preferably neat. Getting a bit tired of all this temperance crap day after day.



Edited by kizz (07/02/2014 15:20)
Edit Reason: Poltergeist activity

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#1240056 - 07/02/2014 18:18 Re: NSW/ACT day to day weather [Re: mkeene(pingtang)]
Marts Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 10/01/2006
Posts: 2211
Loc: Mona Vale, northern beaches , ...
Originally Posted By: mkeene(pingtang)
All I know is,I want summer to end. It's been terrible. Mid Autumn cant come soon enough. And we can safely say June and July is our new storm season.



I 2nd that pingtang, I'm over summer, I've become more of a winter lover as it's more diverse with ECL's and off shore light shows.
Normal NE sea breeze here and 23.7c outside with not a cloud in the sky atm.

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#1240083 - 07/02/2014 21:14 Re: NSW/ACT day to day weather [Re: Grant]
Seabreeze Offline
Weatherzone Moderator

Registered: 18/09/2005
Posts: 10440
Loc: South West Rocks, NSW
Winter? It's got to be the worst time of year here.
June is usually good/reliable for rain (ECLs can pack a real punch sometimes), but July and August are somewhat prone to extended dry periods and fairly monotonous weather (they can be rather wet months too, but it is uncommon).
T'storms are usually rare in winter, most years you won't get more than two t'storms pass over the house during the whole season (the October-November-December period is easily the best and most reliable for t'storms).
_________________________
South West Rocks, NSW Mid North Coast:
October 2018 Rainfall: 104.6mm (October Avg. 90.8mm) // October 2018 Raindays: 7 (October Avg. 11.0 raindays)
Year-to-date Rainfall: 1184.8mm (Jan-Oct Avg. 1241.0mm) // Year-to-date Raindays: 104 (Jan-Oct Avg. 112.8 raindays)

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#1240090 - 07/02/2014 21:34 Re: NSW/ACT day to day weather [Re: Grant]
HumphreyBear Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 31/01/2008
Posts: 4167
Loc: Southern Sydney
A smoke pall drifted across late this afternoon, I'm guessing its from all the blazes either side of Cooma due to the SW winds at 700 hPa. It's a reminder that fires are still very much a risk around Sydney should we happen to get a NW'ly wind day.

June seems to be delivering of late even in drier years, before the pattern rapidly swings to warm dry in July ("Dry July" is quite apt for this part of the world).

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#1240094 - 07/02/2014 21:48 Re: NSW/ACT day to day weather [Re: Grant]
dlcat1 Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 31/01/2011
Posts: 901
Loc: Melbourne (NE burbs)
Winter in Canberra was nice if you could get over the cold mornings. The half dozen years or so I lived there it would be rare to get a run of really overcast days and even when you did it would often come with some beautiful light vs cloud vs dark mountain vs bleached grass vs different texture precipitation action. More often than not you'd have reasonably still, clear days that felt comfortable in the kind of nice winter clothes that make sense in no other capital in Australia.

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#1240123 - 08/02/2014 04:22 Re: NSW/ACT day to day weather [Re: Grant]
Canberra's Weather Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 11/11/2005
Posts: 1141
Loc: Canberra
I understand Winter may be the worst time for chasing storms and weather shows (especially given the fact we are always being disappointed by snow forecasts rarely or never coming true) but at least we don't have to swelter for months on end like we have to do in summer.
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