Page 12 of 214 < 1 2 ... 10 11 12 13 14 ... 213 214 >
Topic Options
#1253642 - 07/04/2014 07:36 Re: Severe Tropical Cyclone Ita (97P - Coral Sea) - April 2014 - General Discussion [Re: Brett Guy]
Dodger Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 16/03/2010
Posts: 164
Loc: Kuranda
Hey Cairns might be a good time to turn on that force field.
_________________________
Nice tree.
I have the power of instant knowledge.
You have the assisted ability to take out my house.
Shall we call it a draw?

Top
#1253643 - 07/04/2014 07:41 Re: Severe Tropical Cyclone Ita (97P - Coral Sea) - April 2014 - General Discussion [Re: Brett Guy]
Rhubarb Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 11/01/2011
Posts: 276
Loc: Townsville, QLD
This is Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) this morning with the probability of tropical storm winds to 120 hours lead .. Looks like Port Douglas should be battening down in this prediction ....


Top
#1253647 - 07/04/2014 07:48 Re: Severe Tropical Cyclone Ita (97P - Coral Sea) - April 2014 - General Discussion [Re: Brett Guy]
Trav dawwggg Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 25/03/2007
Posts: 21414
Loc: Parramatta
JTWC ranks It up to borderline cat 4.

212kmhr gusts.
_________________________
<<<<<<SEVERE TROPICAL CYCLONE ITA CHASE VIDEO >>>>>>>

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=BCpJ-985lZM

Top
#1253651 - 07/04/2014 08:25 Re: Severe Tropical Cyclone Ita (97P - Coral Sea) - April 2014 - General Discussion [Re: Dodger]
ColdFront Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 29/06/2008
Posts: 13032
Loc: Cairns
Originally Posted By: Dodger
Hey Cairns might be a good time to turn on that force field.


Yeah I don't want it here.


Top
#1253652 - 07/04/2014 08:38 Re: Severe Tropical Cyclone Ita (97P - Coral Sea) - April 2014 - General Discussion [Re: Brett Guy]
MangroveJack70 Offline
Cloud Gazer

Registered: 01/02/2011
Posts: 42

Yep, totally agree with you ColdFront. It's been some time since Cairns was on the southern side of a Cyclone, especially given the 2.7 / 2.4 meter high tides and 1 / 0.9 meter low tides from Friday onward. Both the storm surge and wind from the southern section of the system would provide something we quite rarely see - in Cairns, from a TC greater than Cat 1 to 2.

Interesting week ahead indeed.

Top
#1253658 - 07/04/2014 08:59 Re: Severe Tropical Cyclone Ita (97P - Coral Sea) - April 2014 - General Discussion [Re: Brett Guy]
Raindammit Offline
Weatherzone Moderator

Registered: 14/02/2002
Posts: 11424
Loc: Townsville & Bilyana NQ
My heart will shatter if it gets anywhere near Bilyana..
_________________________
Belgian Gardens, Townsville NQ
Bilyana FNQ

Top
#1253661 - 07/04/2014 09:07 Re: Severe Tropical Cyclone Ita (97P - Coral Sea) - April 2014 - General Discussion [Re: Brett Guy]
TESHUB Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 22/03/2006
Posts: 1337
Loc: Gordonvale - Qld Aus
Late season events of this type have typically (last 18months globally) been extraordinarily powerful. Well worth a real close watch
_________________________
TESHUB was the Hurrian god of sky and storm (the Anatolian area of central Turkey)

Top
#1253662 - 07/04/2014 09:10 Re: Severe Tropical Cyclone Ita (97P - Coral Sea) - April 2014 - General Discussion [Re: Brett Guy]
Locke Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 27/12/2007
Posts: 3597
Loc: Brisbane
Latest GFS run keeps the crossing a little further North and the system a little weaker.

Top
#1253663 - 07/04/2014 09:10 Re: Severe Tropical Cyclone Ita (97P - Coral Sea) - April 2014 - General Discussion [Re: Brett Guy]
Machans lady Offline
Cloud Gazer

Registered: 18/11/2012
Posts: 33
Watching this system with interest as we live in Beachside suburb in Cairns and have a swamp directly behind our house. Just saw the JTWC map and even if we do not get a direct hit the system should still produce plenty of rain, hopefully not as much as the poor people in the Solomon Islands received.

Top
#1253664 - 07/04/2014 09:19 Re: Severe Tropical Cyclone Ita (97P - Coral Sea) - April 2014 - General Discussion [Re: Brett Guy]
Catalpa Offline
Cloud Gazer

Registered: 23/11/2013
Posts: 34
Loc: Magnetic Island, Queensland
Why don't BOM just save a lot of confusion and work on their part and issue a cyclone watch from cooktown to mackay.
I can feel that happening at the moment.

Top
#1253665 - 07/04/2014 09:25 Re: Severe Tropical Cyclone Ita (97P - Coral Sea) - April 2014 - General Discussion [Re: Brett Guy]
Raindammit Offline
Weatherzone Moderator

Registered: 14/02/2002
Posts: 11424
Loc: Townsville & Bilyana NQ
They wont, because coastal communities are not expected to be affected by gales within 48 hours...
_________________________
Belgian Gardens, Townsville NQ
Bilyana FNQ

Top
#1253666 - 07/04/2014 09:27 Re: Severe Tropical Cyclone Ita (97P - Coral Sea) - April 2014 - General Discussion [Re: Brett Guy]
weathermegs Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 18/03/2010
Posts: 347
Loc: Edmonton QLD
So if it's hits around cooktown or north of cooktown what effects should cairns feel? Are we too far away for anything more than some rain?

Top
#1253667 - 07/04/2014 09:31 Re: Severe Tropical Cyclone Ita (97P - Coral Sea) - April 2014 - General Discussion [Re: Brett Guy]
Mick10 Offline
Weatherzone Moderator

Registered: 02/11/2001
Posts: 22536
Loc: Vincent, Townsville - NQld.
Watch will be issued either 5pm tonight for the evening news, or tomorrow morning as the cyclone is expected to cross on thursday. at this stage the BOM have it crossing just north of cooktown, so i would assume a watch from torres straight to cairns or innisfail would be in order, unless it moves further south or north of course
_________________________
Vincent, Townsville Nth Qld -
May Total - 13.8mm (17mm)
June Total - 61.2mm (21mm)
2014 Total to Date - 1000.2mm (1107mm)

Top
#1253669 - 07/04/2014 09:34 Re: Severe Tropical Cyclone Ita (97P - Coral Sea) - April 2014 - General Discussion [Re: Brett Guy]
Chookie Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 20/03/2009
Posts: 1586
Loc: Alice River, Townsville
It is great watching this cyclone be nice for the vile to get rain out of it just for our last bit of the season,

Top
#1253673 - 07/04/2014 09:39 Re: Severe Tropical Cyclone Ita (97P - Coral Sea) - April 2014 - General Discussion [Re: Brett Guy]
Machans lady Offline
Cloud Gazer

Registered: 18/11/2012
Posts: 33
I believe anywhere south of cyclone gets the rain so Cairns should be effected in someway if it hits around north of us. Anyone please correct if I am wrong I am no expert.

Top
#1253674 - 07/04/2014 09:41 Re: Severe Tropical Cyclone Ita (97P - Coral Sea) - April 2014 - General Discussion [Re: Brett Guy]
Catalpa Offline
Cloud Gazer

Registered: 23/11/2013
Posts: 34
Loc: Magnetic Island, Queensland
Yeah I know why they won't, but the way the rest of the season has gone I can see it happening lol

Top
#1253675 - 07/04/2014 09:43 Re: Severe Tropical Cyclone Ita (97P - Coral Sea) - April 2014 - General Discussion [Re: Brett Guy]
Things Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 29/11/2009
Posts: 6912
Loc: Bohle Plains NQ
Cairns would be in the perfect spot for rain in a Cooktown crossing.

Top
#1253677 - 07/04/2014 09:46 Re: Severe Tropical Cyclone Ita (97P - Coral Sea) - April 2014 - General Discussion [Re: Brett Guy]
@_Yasified_shak Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 07/03/2009
Posts: 3527
Loc: El Arish
REMARKS:
The Dvorak analysis of Tropical Cyclone Ita was based on a curved band pattern
with a 0.6 degree wrap, giving a DT of 3.0. MET and PAT both give 3.0. FT was
based on MET.

Convection appears to be rejuvenating around Tropical Cyclone Ita in the last
few hours, although the cloud top temperatures are not quite as cold as they
have been over the last couple of days. The 89GHz AMSUB microwave image at
1525UTC appears to show a more well defined mid-level circulation compared to
this time yesterday and it is on the western flank of this circulation that
fresh convection has started to fire over the last few hours.

Tropical Cyclone Ita is currently moving in a general westwards direction and
should continue moving in this direction under the influence of a mid-level
ridge that develop across the central Coral Sea this week.

Tropical Cyclone Ita is beginning to move into a more favourable environment for
further development with lowering vertical wind shear and sea surface
temperatures greater than 27 degrees along most of its forecast track. At the
moment, the system appears to still be feeling the affects of some vertical wind
shear associated with a mid-level trough moving between Vanuatu and the Solomon
Islands. As Ita continues to move in a westwards direction today, the vertical
wind shear should reduce during the course of the day allowing further
intensification to take place into Tuesday.
_________________________
We are now firmly entrenched in the notion that spraying poison on our food is somehow safe and beneficial.

We are brainwashed into believing that small amounts of poisons are perfectly permissible.

Top
#1253678 - 07/04/2014 09:49 Re: Severe Tropical Cyclone Ita (97P - Coral Sea) - April 2014 - General Discussion [Re: Brett Guy]
Trav dawwggg Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 25/03/2007
Posts: 21414
Loc: Parramatta
I was thinking that it would be crossing on friday rather than thursday. EC is the only model I think crossing it that early?

JTWC has it crossing on the 11th.
_________________________
<<<<<<SEVERE TROPICAL CYCLONE ITA CHASE VIDEO >>>>>>>

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=BCpJ-985lZM

Top
#1253682 - 07/04/2014 10:02 Re: Severe Tropical Cyclone Ita (97P - Coral Sea) - April 2014 - General Discussion [Re: Brett Guy]
Things Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 29/11/2009
Posts: 6912
Loc: Bohle Plains NQ
Just when I had holidays and was gonna head up to Cairns ... actually might not be a bad idea yet grin

Top
Page 12 of 214 < 1 2 ... 10 11 12 13 14 ... 213 214 >


Who's Online
1 registered (1 invisible), 64 Guests and 14 Spiders online.
Key: Admin, Global Mod, Mod
Today's Birthdays
N.E.Brown, ow2839, sebbie78
Forum Stats
28066 Members
32 Forums
22573 Topics
1311761 Posts

Max Online: 2925 @ 02/02/2011 22:23
Satellite Image