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#1261789 - 01/05/2014 16:41 Re: SA - Deep Cold Pool with Front - Showers, Hail and Thunderstorms May 1 - 3 [Re: teckert]
Eevo Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 02/11/2013
Posts: 1654
Loc: Bridgewater
Originally Posted By: teckert
not necessarily... I'm yet to see actual forecast maps go that low over the Lofties and we have still got light flurries before.


the last one in 2013, october? i recall the forcast maps being correct.
but you're very correct when you say its about local conditions and timing.

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#1261790 - 01/05/2014 17:00 Re: SA - Deep Cold Pool with Front - Showers, Hail and Thunderstorms May 1 - 3 [Re: StormCapture]
StormCapture Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 19/12/2013
Posts: 1681
Loc: Uleybury
Heavy showers and hail tomorrow with 5-20mm, rumble or two under hail showers

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#1261791 - 01/05/2014 17:02 Re: SA - Deep Cold Pool with Front - Showers, Hail and Thunderstorms May 1 - 3 [Re: StormCapture]
teckert Offline
Weatherzone Moderator

Registered: 27/05/2001
Posts: 17590
Loc: NE suburbs, Adelaide, South Au...
The October fall was in 2012: http://forum.weatherzone.com.au/ubbthrea...#Post1130892... BOM had no idea on that one, but EC picked it well...
Think the last fall in Adelaide Hills was July 2013. http://forum.weatherzone.com.au/ubbthrea...12t#Post1130892 which yer was forecasted to snow on the meteye maps... I actually saved this one: http://www.weatherchase.net/misc/MetEye1300Sat.jpeg

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#1261792 - 01/05/2014 17:05 Re: SA - Deep Cold Pool with Front - Showers, Hail and Thunderstorms May 1 - 3 [Re: StormCapture]
Thunderstruck Offline
Lightning man

Registered: 10/05/2001
Posts: 14961
Loc: Seaford Meadows, SA
I can't keep out of here, even in Los Angeles.

Nasty looking SW flow, cold pool angled aggressively at land with low thickness values bang over Adelaide and surrounds. Should be some very solid coldies about, hail and cold air thunder a good chance. Might be pushing it for snow but a slim possibility if it all comes together. Wild and cold as well.

TS cool



Edited by Thunderstruck (01/05/2014 17:05)

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#1261796 - 01/05/2014 17:49 Re: SA - Deep Cold Pool with Front - Showers, Hail and Thunderstorms May 1 - 3 [Re: teckert]
Eevo Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 02/11/2013
Posts: 1654
Loc: Bridgewater
Originally Posted By: teckert

Think the last fall in Adelaide Hills was July 2013. http://forum.weatherzone.com.au/ubbthrea...12t#Post1130892 which yer was forecasted to snow on the meteye maps... I actually saved this one: http://www.weatherchase.net/misc/MetEye1300Sat.jpeg





thats the one.
i remember reading the forums

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#1261797 - 01/05/2014 17:59 Re: SA - Deep Cold Pool with Front - Showers, Hail and Thunderstorms May 1 - 3 [Re: StormCapture]
Eevo Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 02/11/2013
Posts: 1654
Loc: Bridgewater
storms over YP, can see it on the radar

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#1261799 - 01/05/2014 18:09 Re: SA - Deep Cold Pool with Front - Showers, Hail and Thunderstorms May 1 - 3 [Re: StormCapture]
StormCapture Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 19/12/2013
Posts: 1681
Loc: Uleybury
More like heavy showers, no lightning at all detected.

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#1261800 - 01/05/2014 18:13 Re: SA - Deep Cold Pool with Front - Showers, Hail and Thunderstorms May 1 - 3 [Re: StormCapture]
Eevo Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 02/11/2013
Posts: 1654
Loc: Bridgewater
fair point. i saw the lightning on the west side of lincon

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#1261801 - 01/05/2014 18:22 Re: SA - Deep Cold Pool with Front - Showers, Hail and Thunderstorms May 1 - 3 [Re: StormCapture]
StormCapture Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 19/12/2013
Posts: 1681
Loc: Uleybury
Looks like a pre frontal rain band to move through within the next hour or so.

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#1261803 - 01/05/2014 18:34 Re: SA - Deep Cold Pool with Front - Showers, Hail and Thunderstorms May 1 - 3 [Re: StormCapture]
StormCapture Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 19/12/2013
Posts: 1681
Loc: Uleybury
Looks like some heavy stuff on the way.

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#1261804 - 01/05/2014 18:34 Re: SA - Deep Cold Pool with Front - Showers, Hail and Thunderstorms May 1 - 3 [Re: StormCapture]
Eevo Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 02/11/2013
Posts: 1654
Loc: Bridgewater
some nice red pixels i see

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#1261806 - 01/05/2014 18:36 Re: SA - Deep Cold Pool with Front - Showers, Hail and Thunderstorms May 1 - 3 [Re: StormCapture]
parklife Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 27/02/2013
Posts: 97
Loc: Hazelwood Park
Originally Posted By: StormCapture
Looks like a pre frontal rain band to move through within the next hour or so.


Slow moving from radar, approx. 60 km/hr. Could have half hour or so of heavy'ish rain come 7:30.

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#1261807 - 01/05/2014 18:44 Re: SA - Deep Cold Pool with Front - Showers, Hail and Thunderstorms May 1 - 3 [Re: StormCapture]
Markus Offline
Weatherzone Moderator

Registered: 02/12/2010
Posts: 2206
Loc: Clare, SA
Certainly a nice line consolidating on a boundary that's there, lets see how much she can develop before coming in.
_________________________
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#1261808 - 01/05/2014 18:50 Re: SA - Deep Cold Pool with Front - Showers, Hail and Thunderstorms May 1 - 3 [Re: StormCapture]
StormCapture Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 19/12/2013
Posts: 1681
Loc: Uleybury
Would be interesting to see how much rain Minlaton Airport will get when the band goes over in the next few minutes

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#1261817 - 01/05/2014 19:01 Re: SA - Deep Cold Pool with Front - Showers, Hail and Thunderstorms May 1 - 3 [Re: StormCapture]
Weathermaniac Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 18/10/2005
Posts: 842
Loc: Whyalla, SA
Bom upgraded Whyalla's forecast to Showers and a possible storm with small hail. Meteye saying 5-15mm as well. Am keen to see if it happens. Maybe there is a more southerly component to the steering then I thought.
_________________________
http://www.weatherlink.com/user/briffa85/
RAINFALL YTD 55.8mm
March so far 25.0mm

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#1261827 - 01/05/2014 19:08 Re: SA - Deep Cold Pool with Front - Showers, Hail and Thunderstorms May 1 - 3 [Re: StormCapture]
kgb007 Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 09/12/2010
Posts: 1515
Loc: Hope Valley, SA
Mate at Chinaman Wells at the moment just SW of Maitland, says its pissing down!

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#1261829 - 01/05/2014 19:13 Re: SA - Deep Cold Pool with Front - Showers, Hail and Thunderstorms May 1 - 3 [Re: StormCapture]
bd bucketingdown Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 07/02/2008
Posts: 6033
Loc: Eastern A/Hills SA
Looks like 30 to 60mm+ hills and 25 to 40mm plains from now till Tuesday pm to me.

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#1261830 - 01/05/2014 19:14 Re: SA - Deep Cold Pool with Front - Showers, Hail and Thunderstorms May 1 - 3 [Re: StormCapture]
Eevo Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 02/11/2013
Posts: 1654
Loc: Bridgewater
I see a red pixel and I want it painted black
No colors anymore, I want them to turn black

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#1261843 - 01/05/2014 19:24 Re: SA - Deep Cold Pool with Front - Showers, Hail and Thunderstorms May 1 - 3 [Re: StormCapture]
Naththo Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 11/09/2001
Posts: 1474
Loc: West Lakes (Adelaide western s...
It does look like freezing level have gone way too low so lightning will be really few this time. There still no strike yet in the cold pool region and even with this line coming. Except few strike recorded near Ceduna. Even this morning sounding shown already hitting 0C at 700hPa, thats pretty low freezing level so that explains it.


Edited by Naththo (01/05/2014 19:27)

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#1261850 - 01/05/2014 19:37 Re: SA - Deep Cold Pool with Front - Showers, Hail and Thunderstorms May 1 - 3 [Re: StormCapture]
Eevo Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 02/11/2013
Posts: 1654
Loc: Bridgewater
a fair penetration
http://forecasts.bsch.com.au/stormcast.html?ops=gfs:2014050100:2014050218:adl:t850:null:0#sc

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