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#1264092 - 19/05/2014 20:45 Re: SEQLD / NENSW Day to Day Weather - March 2005 to December 2016 [Archive] [Re: JEFF.H.]
Warwick Eye2Sky Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 31/08/2010
Posts: 989
Loc: Warwick, QLD
Aside from some very light drizzle, nothing here out west. Above average temps and below normal rainfall is the name of the game out here!
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#1264148 - 20/05/2014 13:30 Re: SEQLD / NENSW Day to Day Weather - March 2005 to December 2016 [Archive] [Re: JEFF.H.]
Storm within Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 29/11/2013
Posts: 351
Loc: Morayfield
Possibly Friday.
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Don't knock the weather. If it didn't change once in awhile, 9 out of 10 people would have nothing to start a conversation with.

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#1264150 - 20/05/2014 13:39 Re: SEQLD / NENSW Day to Day Weather - March 2005 to December 2016 [Archive] [Re: JEFF.H.]
Ken Kato Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 05/03/2012
Posts: 5240

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#1264166 - 20/05/2014 16:30 Re: SEQLD / NENSW Day to Day Weather - March 2005 to December 2016 [Archive] [Re: JEFF.H.]
Seabreeze Offline
Weatherzone Moderator

Registered: 18/09/2005
Posts: 10382
Loc: South West Rocks, NSW
Overcast with a fairly thick deck of high cloud this afternoon. Not a breath of wind outside.
Mother Nature seems to have fallen asleep at the controls. sleep
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South West Rocks, NSW Mid North Coast:
August 2018 Rainfall: 1.6mm (August Avg. 79.4mm) // August 2018 Raindays: 1 (August Avg. 8.1 raindays)
Year-to-date Rainfall: 984.0mm (Jan-Aug Avg. 1094.7mm) // Year-to-date Raindays: 78 (Jan-Aug Avg. 93.6 raindays)

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#1264203 - 21/05/2014 08:15 Re: SEQLD / NENSW Day to Day Weather - March 2005 to December 2016 [Archive] [Re: JEFF.H.]
retired weather man Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 01/07/2007
Posts: 4613
Loc: Wynnum
Indicative of the continuing Claytons El Nino.
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Wyn Nth 2018-Jan12.2(158),Feb264.4(146),Mar217.0(126),Apr65.8(96),May46.0(100),Jun39.8(74),Jul19.6(56.1),Aug 0.4(45),YTD664.2(801.8)

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#1264204 - 21/05/2014 08:21 Re: SEQLD / NENSW Day to Day Weather - March 2005 to December 2016 [Archive] [Re: JEFF.H.]
Ken Kato Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 05/03/2012
Posts: 5240
Bit early to be making that call when it hasn't even developed yet.

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#1264205 - 21/05/2014 08:45 Re: SEQLD / NENSW Day to Day Weather - March 2005 to December 2016 [Archive] [Re: JEFF.H.]
retired weather man Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 01/07/2007
Posts: 4613
Loc: Wynnum
The reason I make this call is not based on official figures or parameters but on continuing weather conditions, prevalence of long wave ridges over Eastern Australia and other influences no longer allowed to be discussed - since August last year hence the word ' Claytons ' which maybe many of the younger generation may not know the origin of.


Edited by retired weather man (21/05/2014 08:47)
Edit Reason: additions
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Wyn Nth 2018-Jan12.2(158),Feb264.4(146),Mar217.0(126),Apr65.8(96),May46.0(100),Jun39.8(74),Jul19.6(56.1),Aug 0.4(45),YTD664.2(801.8)

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#1264207 - 21/05/2014 09:15 Re: SEQLD / NENSW Day to Day Weather - March 2005 to December 2016 [Archive] [Re: JEFF.H.]
Ken Kato Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 05/03/2012
Posts: 5240
Ah ok fair enough, I didn't realise you were referring to the conditions we've been having rather than upcoming ones.

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#1264224 - 21/05/2014 12:22 Re: SEQLD / NENSW Day to Day Weather - March 2005 to December 2016 [Archive] [Re: JEFF.H.]
paulcirrus Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 08/08/2011
Posts: 1541
Loc: Brisbane - Windsor
I have to agree re the claytons el nino because of the classic signals re the persitant dry ridging.
Of interest though the long paddocks rainfall outlook for se qld is over 90% above average between now and july. I am a bit stumped by this.
http://www.longpaddock.qld.gov.au/season...l/Australia.gif
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#1264225 - 21/05/2014 12:25 Re: SEQLD / NENSW Day to Day Weather - March 2005 to December 2016 [Archive] [Re: JEFF.H.]
paulcirrus Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 08/08/2011
Posts: 1541
Loc: Brisbane - Windsor
Sorry 60 to 70%.
Also i saw yesterday the seas around aus are way above average and look to be increasing. With this i am confused as this is not an el nino signal to my mind. The waters should be cool all around aus for a good sized el nino to form.
Like this : http://www.longpaddock.qld.gov.au/season...p?date=1997-Jul
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#1264226 - 21/05/2014 12:26 Re: SEQLD / NENSW Day to Day Weather - March 2005 to December 2016 [Archive] [Re: JEFF.H.]
paulcirrus Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 08/08/2011
Posts: 1541
Loc: Brisbane - Windsor
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#1264227 - 21/05/2014 12:32 Re: SEQLD / NENSW Day to Day Weather - March 2005 to December 2016 [Archive] [Re: paulcirrus]
Ken Kato Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 05/03/2012
Posts: 5240
Originally Posted By: paulcirrus
Sorry 60 to 70%.
Also i saw yesterday the seas around aus are way above average and look to be increasing. With this i am confused as this is not an el nino signal to my mind. The waters should be cool all around aus for a good sized el nino to form.
Like this : http://www.longpaddock.qld.gov.au/season...p?date=1997-Jul

That's actually been a bit of a popular misconception over the years. Although classic El Nino's typically involve cooler SST's in our region and warmer SST's in the central/eastern Pacific, what really matters is whether the SST's in the latter area are warmER than those in our region. So even if the SST's in our area are warm but those in the central/eastern Pacific are even warmer, this can still set up the Walker Circulation in favour of El Nino conditions. There's also other factors such as longwave blocking patterns, blocking, etc that can also play a role on our seasonal conditions.

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#1264235 - 21/05/2014 13:55 Re: SEQLD / NENSW Day to Day Weather - March 2005 to December 2016 [Archive] [Re: JEFF.H.]
paulcirrus Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 08/08/2011
Posts: 1541
Loc: Brisbane - Windsor
Good point Ken. Yes the colours do seem to indicate the dsame temps eg yellow is 1 c where ever. It may not go into tenths of degrees.
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#1264239 - 21/05/2014 15:04 Re: SEQLD / NENSW Day to Day Weather - March 2005 to December 2016 [Archive] [Re: retired weather man]
Xavo Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 11/11/2009
Posts: 1954
Loc: Airlie Beach & Brisbane
Originally Posted By: retired weather man
hence the word ' Claytons ' which maybe many of the younger generation may not know the origin of.


I'll admit I looked it up, but could find nothing definitive about what this actually means (a song maybe)?

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#1264254 - 21/05/2014 16:29 Re: SEQLD / NENSW Day to Day Weather - March 2005 to December 2016 [Archive] [Re: Xavo]
Seabreeze Offline
Weatherzone Moderator

Registered: 18/09/2005
Posts: 10382
Loc: South West Rocks, NSW
Originally Posted By: Xavo
Originally Posted By: retired weather man
hence the word ' Claytons ' which maybe many of the younger generation may not know the origin of.


I'll admit I looked it up, but could find nothing definitive about what this actually means (a song maybe)?

Have a read of this Xavo about its origins: http://ozwords.org/?p=3240
Basically, 'the El Nino we're having, without it technically being an El Nino'. In a way, an imitation of El Nino.
_________________________
South West Rocks, NSW Mid North Coast:
August 2018 Rainfall: 1.6mm (August Avg. 79.4mm) // August 2018 Raindays: 1 (August Avg. 8.1 raindays)
Year-to-date Rainfall: 984.0mm (Jan-Aug Avg. 1094.7mm) // Year-to-date Raindays: 78 (Jan-Aug Avg. 93.6 raindays)

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#1264255 - 21/05/2014 16:33 Re: SEQLD / NENSW Day to Day Weather - March 2005 to December 2016 [Archive] [Re: JEFF.H.]
retired weather man Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 01/07/2007
Posts: 4613
Loc: Wynnum
Xavo - you are obviously one of the younger generation I referred to.

In the 70's a soft drink company introduced a soft drink that was bottled with the same type of labelling/packaging as various alcoholic beverages. As drink driving detections were getting more sophisticated a campaign was launched to have a designated driver at various functions. So that the said driver would not stand out like the proverbial drinking a bottle of lemonade, this "look alike " drink was invented called Claytons. The marketing was very successful for many years, its catchcry being " Claytons - the drink you are having when not having a drink ".

At great risk I will add more thoughts to the Claytons El Nino I described earlier, when a bit more research is done.
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Wyn Nth 2018-Jan12.2(158),Feb264.4(146),Mar217.0(126),Apr65.8(96),May46.0(100),Jun39.8(74),Jul19.6(56.1),Aug 0.4(45),YTD664.2(801.8)

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#1264273 - 21/05/2014 19:00 Re: SEQLD / NENSW Day to Day Weather - March 2005 to December 2016 [Archive] [Re: JEFF.H.]
Steve O Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 02/03/2011
Posts: 3159
Loc: Beenleigh, QLD
Interesting posts, when I think of El Nino or La Nina the spring to summer months come to mind. So I guess seeing those weather patterns are an indicator of coming trends?

The jet streak sometimes slows down and
systems cut off and don't really move anywhere and you are left with blocking highs or on a plus side cut off lows what we want?

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#1264293 - 22/05/2014 01:19 Re: SEQLD / NENSW Day to Day Weather - March 2005 to December 2016 [Archive] [Re: Xavo]
Kazz63 Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 10/01/2011
Posts: 1463
Loc: Kingaroy
Originally Posted By: Xavo
Originally Posted By: retired weather man
hence the word ' Claytons ' which maybe many of the younger generation may not know the origin of.


I'll admit I looked it up, but could find nothing definitive about what this actually means (a song maybe)?

There ya go, young whippersnappers, sheesh! Jack Thompson used to do ads for it also, billing it as the drink for responsible blokes etc I guess. http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ylH43Tcaj60
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#1264323 - 22/05/2014 10:20 Re: SEQLD / NENSW Day to Day Weather - March 2005 to December 2016 [Archive] [Re: JEFF.H.]
Steve O Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 02/03/2011
Posts: 3159
Loc: Beenleigh, QLD
Tomorrow looks interesting for autumn.
Might need a thread??

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#1264324 - 22/05/2014 10:23 Re: SEQLD / NENSW Day to Day Weather - March 2005 to December 2016 [Archive] [Re: JEFF.H.]
Ken Kato Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 05/03/2012
Posts: 5240
Yeah I was just thinking of starting one before. I'll run my script first.

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