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#1287195 - 02/12/2014 13:50 Re: North Queensland Wet Season- Cardwell to Bowen - December 2014 [Re: Mick10]
Mick10 Offline
Weatherzone Moderator

Registered: 02/11/2001
Posts: 24685
Loc: Kirwan, Townsville - NQld.
bummer ol mate.
_________________________
Kirwan, Townsville Nth Qld -
February 2017 total - 67.2mm (283mm)
March 2017 total - 172.2mm (197mm)
2017 Yearly total to date - 503.0mm (1107mm)

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#1287200 - 02/12/2014 14:24 Re: North Queensland Wet Season- Cardwell to Bowen - December 2014 [Re: Mick10]
ol mate Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 27/03/2010
Posts: 1037
Loc: Ingham, North Qld
Having said that...Poverty Hill (Toobanna area) picked up 13mm out of that scud.
_________________________
Ingham - Golden Gumboot holder of the Northern Region - cuz we steal Townsville's Rain!

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#1287204 - 02/12/2014 15:06 Re: North Queensland Wet Season- Cardwell to Bowen - December 2014 [Re: Mick10]
Dawgggg Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 25/03/2007
Posts: 23501
Loc: Townsville
storms forming west of Mt fox. Beautiful site from the city
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2015/16 Storms
13 Storms 2500km travelled

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#1287308 - 02/12/2014 22:32 Re: North Queensland Wet Season- Cardwell to Bowen - December 2014 [Re: Mick10]
Dawgggg Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 25/03/2007
Posts: 23501
Loc: Townsville
GFS this afternoon has pushed activity back inland.

EC continues to have it inland however we still would likely see a storm sunday night. Same goes for GFS, either way, its looking unsettled till mid next week which is awesome
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2015/16 Storms
13 Storms 2500km travelled

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#1287310 - 02/12/2014 22:40 Re: North Queensland Wet Season- Cardwell to Bowen - December 2014 [Re: Mick10]
Dawgggg Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 25/03/2007
Posts: 23501
Loc: Townsville


_________________________
2015/16 Storms
13 Storms 2500km travelled

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#1287311 - 02/12/2014 22:47 Re: North Queensland Wet Season- Cardwell to Bowen - December 2014 [Re: Mick10]
Things Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 29/11/2009
Posts: 8400
Loc: Blair Athol, SA
26C and 71% at the airport, pretty nasty tonight.

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#1287379 - 03/12/2014 08:47 Re: North Queensland Wet Season- Cardwell to Bowen - December 2014 [Re: Mick10]
Dawgggg Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 25/03/2007
Posts: 23501
Loc: Townsville
I hate talking up these storm events because the models are useless in the tropics.

but wowwwww at this event starting Saturday. Im sure the coast will snag a storm at some stage, but wow. Inland areas are going to go off. Its been years since a trough like this has been forcasted.

Im talking 7 days of it.
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2015/16 Storms
13 Storms 2500km travelled

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#1287381 - 03/12/2014 08:51 Re: North Queensland Wet Season- Cardwell to Bowen - December 2014 [Re: Mick10]
Mick10 Offline
Weatherzone Moderator

Registered: 02/11/2001
Posts: 24685
Loc: Kirwan, Townsville - NQld.
funny how gfs forecasts this over a week out, now backs off and the other models now come on board with it.
still as trav said, very unsettled for a prolonged period, great news for inland areas.
hard to predict rainfall amounts due to storms but going to be a widespread event. looking forward to this weekend and next week. finally something to watch!
_________________________
Kirwan, Townsville Nth Qld -
February 2017 total - 67.2mm (283mm)
March 2017 total - 172.2mm (197mm)
2017 Yearly total to date - 503.0mm (1107mm)

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#1287390 - 03/12/2014 09:40 Re: North Queensland Wet Season- Cardwell to Bowen - December 2014 [Re: Mick10]
Things Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 29/11/2009
Posts: 8400
Loc: Blair Athol, SA
Something to watch, hear, smell and feel would be better, but something to watch in the distance would be something for us weather deprived grin

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#1287420 - 03/12/2014 11:30 Re: North Queensland Wet Season- Cardwell to Bowen - December 2014 [Re: Mick10]
Dawgggg Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 25/03/2007
Posts: 23501
Loc: Townsville
Bom now have possible storms for both saturday and sunday. Let the games begin.
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2015/16 Storms
13 Storms 2500km travelled

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#1287421 - 03/12/2014 11:42 Re: North Queensland Wet Season- Cardwell to Bowen - December 2014 [Re: Mick10]
Mick10 Offline
Weatherzone Moderator

Registered: 02/11/2001
Posts: 24685
Loc: Kirwan, Townsville - NQld.
nice to have some action hey!

some showers moving in off the coral sea at the moment as well.
_________________________
Kirwan, Townsville Nth Qld -
February 2017 total - 67.2mm (283mm)
March 2017 total - 172.2mm (197mm)
2017 Yearly total to date - 503.0mm (1107mm)

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#1287454 - 03/12/2014 13:19 Re: North Queensland Wet Season- Cardwell to Bowen - December 2014 [Re: Dawgggg]
Mathew Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 11/01/2006
Posts: 6743
Loc: Townsville, Queensland
I like to know what the chance of getting 150mm or 200mm this weekend from the storms?

it's would be very nice.
_________________________
Rs tl 2016/17 Wet Season.
Yr 53.1mm 08-15-16 Aug-Dece2016
Rt: 11.43mm since 5:35pm >
Rt: 18 Jan 2017 > >
#01 13.21mm 19/04/17 > 1.02mm p 24 h
T now 25.0C > Tm 30.0C minT 19.9C H 69% W 2.5 G 9.4km BAROMETRIC 758.9mmhg 8:16pm 4/26/17 > update

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#1287488 - 03/12/2014 14:31 Re: North Queensland Wet Season- Cardwell to Bowen - December 2014 [Re: Mick10]
Raindammit Offline
Weatherzone Moderator

Registered: 14/02/2002
Posts: 12533
Loc: Townsville & Bilyana NQ
Pretty much zero Mathew.
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Belgian Gardens, Townsville NQ
Bilyana FNQ

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#1287492 - 03/12/2014 14:43 Re: North Queensland Wet Season- Cardwell to Bowen - December 2014 [Re: Raindammit]
Mathew Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 11/01/2006
Posts: 6743
Loc: Townsville, Queensland
Thanks for that update obi wan Kenobi.

I may well keep cool. cool
_________________________
Rs tl 2016/17 Wet Season.
Yr 53.1mm 08-15-16 Aug-Dece2016
Rt: 11.43mm since 5:35pm >
Rt: 18 Jan 2017 > >
#01 13.21mm 19/04/17 > 1.02mm p 24 h
T now 25.0C > Tm 30.0C minT 19.9C H 69% W 2.5 G 9.4km BAROMETRIC 758.9mmhg 8:16pm 4/26/17 > update

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#1287499 - 03/12/2014 14:58 Re: North Queensland Wet Season- Cardwell to Bowen - December 2014 [Re: Mick10]
Things Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 29/11/2009
Posts: 8400
Loc: Blair Athol, SA
If you can get yourself under a decent cell or 2 you might get 10-20mm, but it isn't looking that wet, "just" storms smile

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#1287515 - 03/12/2014 16:07 Re: North Queensland Wet Season- Cardwell to Bowen - December 2014 [Re: Mick10]
Mick10 Offline
Weatherzone Moderator

Registered: 02/11/2001
Posts: 24685
Loc: Kirwan, Townsville - NQld.
lol Mathew, nice to know the force is still strong in you.

2nd time in a week we have seen heaps of showers out there moving in and die 10km off the coast.
_________________________
Kirwan, Townsville Nth Qld -
February 2017 total - 67.2mm (283mm)
March 2017 total - 172.2mm (197mm)
2017 Yearly total to date - 503.0mm (1107mm)

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#1287554 - 03/12/2014 17:31 Re: North Queensland Wet Season- Cardwell to Bowen - December 2014 [Re: Mick10]
tsunami Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 06/12/2010
Posts: 950
Loc: Wynnum SE Brisbane
Well i have my brand spanking weather station, just set it up on the fence.. so far so good...rain please for a test run
_________________________
Wynnum SE Brisbane

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#1287612 - 03/12/2014 20:38 Re: North Queensland Wet Season- Cardwell to Bowen - December 2014 [Re: Mick10]
tsunami Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 06/12/2010
Posts: 950
Loc: Wynnum SE Brisbane
in case anyone didnt see the weather warning that was emailed..




Stormy Outlook for parts of QLD, NSW, VIC & NT






--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Recent and current model guidance is indicating the increasing likelihood (trend) we will see a prolonged outbreak of thunderstorms across a large area of eastern Australia. Likely areas include from the Top End (NT) through QLD & NSW into Victoria with the main focus being on QLD and eastern parts of NSW & Victoria.

Not every day will produce severe thunderstorms in one area, however the atmospheric conditions over this period will lead to an overall higher chance. Setups will vary day by day however some of these are likely to be severe with storms producing damaging to potentially destructive winds, large hail and heavy rainfall that may lead to flash flooding.

Note: These individual daily setups can only be forecast with a higher degree of accuracy using a lead time of around 1 to 2 days. This is due to the incredibly high complexity of atmospheric setups and dynamics of severe thunderstorm outbreaks.

EWN will continue to monitor the potential upcoming severe thunderstorm outbreak and provide more information in our forecasts each morning.

EWN Radar & Alerts Map | Facebook Alerts | Twitter Alerts
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Wynnum SE Brisbane

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#1287630 - 03/12/2014 21:38 Re: North Queensland Wet Season- Cardwell to Bowen - December 2014 [Re: Mick10]
Things Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 29/11/2009
Posts: 8400
Loc: Blair Athol, SA
Something better happen now getting us all worked up like that grin

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#1287649 - 03/12/2014 23:29 Re: North Queensland Wet Season- Cardwell to Bowen - December 2014 [Re: Mick10]
Dawgggg Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 25/03/2007
Posts: 23501
Loc: Townsville
Bom outlook

Saturday 6 December

The upper trough will move slowly across the south of the state, with the surface trough shifting a little eastwards into the southeast inland in response. These features, combined with a moist and unstable airmass, will lead to rain areas over the southeast in the morning, and a band of showers and thunderstorms extending from the northwest of the state to the southeast corner. Rain areas are likely to develop again around the southeast in the the evening. Mostly fine conditions likely in the southwest. A medium chance of showers and storms is also expected through the tropical interior, while the east tropical and central coasts should only see showers for the most part.

Sunday 7 December

The upper trough will move over eastern Queensland while a new upper trough will shift into southwestern parts. The surface trough will shift further westwards towards the southwest of the state. Showers and thunderstorms are expected over most of the state, particularly through northern and eastern Queensland. Slight chance of showers or thunderstorms in the southwest. Rain areas are likely again through the southeast.

Monday until Wednesday

A series of upper troughs traversing eastwards across the south of the state, with the surface trough mostly over the southeast inland. These features, combined with a moist and unstable airmass, will lead to a medium to high chance of showers and thunderstorms in a band extending from the northwest of the state to the southeast corner, with mostly fine conditions likely in the southwest. A medium chance of showers and storms is also expected through the tropical interior.
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2015/16 Storms
13 Storms 2500km travelled

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