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#1296796 - 07/01/2015 15:31 Re: Storm Potential - Eastern NSW 1st Jan 2015 to 5th Jan 2015 [Re: ozthunder]
Wave Rider Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 27/01/2014
Posts: 6484
Loc: Wollongong and Berrima NSW
I doubt that Nimmitabel - Cap Flat line will last long; There's just not enough shear. Maybe if it backbuilds and there is still sunshine, it could keep surviving. However I think there is cloudcover to the west of that line now.

As for here, the figures are 28/20, 63% with a moderate NEer and some cloud to the west. smile


Edited by Sea-Mist (07/01/2015 15:32)
_________________________
The longer you wait for storms, the more you appreciate them.

2017-18 storm total= 5
Oct 25th
Nov 6th(3), 17th

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#1296798 - 07/01/2015 15:34 Re: Storm Potential - Eastern NSW 1st Jan 2015 to 5th Jan 2015 [Re: ozthunder]
Dipole Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 10/01/2013
Posts: 328
Loc: Hervey Bay 48m,Tuross Head
Gentle rain here, no thunder.

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#1296810 - 07/01/2015 15:37 Re: Storm Potential - Eastern NSW 1st Jan 2015 to 5th Jan 2015 [Re: Dipole]
Nick Sykes Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 03/02/2001
Posts: 669
Loc: Franklin, ACT
Thanks for the replies guys, sounds like Canberra can be a frustrating place to live for storms.

Nick

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#1296818 - 07/01/2015 15:42 Re: Storm Potential - Eastern NSW 1st Jan 2015 to 5th Jan 2015 [Re: ozthunder]
balmz Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 18/11/2012
Posts: 667
Loc: Knox, Melbourne, VIC
Haha definitely Nick, especially looking at the Melb Radar and talking to my brother in Glen Waverley right now, its a flang fest!

Interesting how West and East of Canberra is going off at the moment while there is a central "No storm corridor" up the middle.

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#1296883 - 07/01/2015 16:37 Re: Storm Potential - Eastern NSW 1st Jan 2015 to 5th Jan 2015 [Re: ozthunder]
Wave Rider Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 27/01/2014
Posts: 6484
Loc: Wollongong and Berrima NSW
That line is breaking up as I suspected. There's still a few nice little cells in parts of the line. I wish we were getting the storm action that Melbourne and Adelaide are getting.

Interesting to note that the DP's have dropped a few degrees this arvo in Albion Park, which is probably the reason why the cloud to the west is slowly breaking up.
_________________________
The longer you wait for storms, the more you appreciate them.

2017-18 storm total= 5
Oct 25th
Nov 6th(3), 17th

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#1296889 - 07/01/2015 16:53 Re: Storm Potential - Eastern NSW 1st Jan 2015 to 5th Jan 2015 [Re: ozthunder]
balmz Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 18/11/2012
Posts: 667
Loc: Knox, Melbourne, VIC
I'd love to be in on their action too but can we really complain? poke We've had a pretty good season so far in these parts!

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#1296895 - 07/01/2015 17:04 Re: Storm Potential - Eastern NSW 1st Jan 2015 to 5th Jan 2015 [Re: ozthunder]
Wave Rider Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 27/01/2014
Posts: 6484
Loc: Wollongong and Berrima NSW
Yeah I suppose that is true, they should really be the ones complaining as this is one of the only storm outbreaks they have had this season!!
_________________________
The longer you wait for storms, the more you appreciate them.

2017-18 storm total= 5
Oct 25th
Nov 6th(3), 17th

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#1296922 - 07/01/2015 17:51 Re: Storm Potential - Eastern NSW 1st Jan 2015 to 5th Jan 2015 [Re: ozthunder]
aussiestormfreak Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 02/02/2011
Posts: 5865
Loc: Melbourne (Belgrave); Corryong...
Got caught underneath a sudden, localised, short-lived severe thunderstorm in Albury/Wodonga about an hour ago! =D

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#1296924 - 07/01/2015 17:58 Re: Storm Potential - Eastern NSW 1st Jan 2015 to 5th Jan 2015 [Re: ozthunder]
Steve777 Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 20/10/2011
Posts: 3666
Loc: Artarmon (Sydney North Shore)
The storms seem to be staying down South for now. Most of Sydney hasn't had storms or significant rain since the Christmas Day storm. Very warm, sunny and humid today although not quite as humid ad it's been, after a very warm night. It's pretty breezy now but still warm.

It looks like the 'scudtherlies' are being kept back for the time being. That will please some here more than others: http://www.weatherzone.com.au/news/sticky-humid-air-in-sydney-set-to-stick-around/219008

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#1296953 - 07/01/2015 18:44 Re: Storm Potential - Eastern NSW 1st Jan 2015 to 5th Jan 2015 [Re: ozthunder]
Wave Rider Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 27/01/2014
Posts: 6484
Loc: Wollongong and Berrima NSW
Here it's not sunny any more, because there is some cirrus junk over the sky that I suspect has moved over here from those storms in the Tinderries and Brindabellas earlier today. You Sydneysiders might get it too later.

Nice to hear you got some action ASF!!

On our way to our gran and pops farm near Berrima. At the moment, we're driving through Robertson and it's currently 20C.
_________________________
The longer you wait for storms, the more you appreciate them.

2017-18 storm total= 5
Oct 25th
Nov 6th(3), 17th

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#1297039 - 07/01/2015 21:22 Re: Storm Potential - Eastern NSW 1st Jan 2015 to 5th Jan 2015 [Re: Steve777]
Homer Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 16/06/2007
Posts: 5325
Loc: Dural
Originally Posted By: Steve777
The storms seem to be staying down South for now. Most of Sydney hasn't had storms or significant rain since the Christmas Day storm. Very warm, sunny and humid today although not quite as humid ad it's been, after a very warm night. It's pretty breezy now but still warm.

It looks like the 'scudtherlies' are being kept back for the time being. That will please some here more than others: http://www.weatherzone.com.au/news/sticky-humid-air-in-sydney-set-to-stick-around/219008


Yeh, hasn't been much rain since then, although the residual moisture in the soil and I suspect, the humidity have kept lawns growing at a cracking pace. I'm sick of mowing once a week, and really, it should be getting done more than that.

Hanging out for the next cooler spell. I've only been back in Sydney from Kalkite a week and I'm sick of the heat/humidity already.

Homer.

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#1297142 - 08/01/2015 01:13 Re: Storm Potential - Eastern NSW 1st Jan 2015 to 5th Jan 2015 [Re: ozthunder]
aussiestormfreak Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 02/02/2011
Posts: 5865
Loc: Melbourne (Belgrave); Corryong...
Cheers Sea-Mist! wink

My story for the past day, from here in Corryong, Northeast Victoria...

My first 'catch of the day' was around 11:30am, with a few cells over the NSW Snowy Mountains (towards Adaminaby, Lake Eucumbene, and Jinabyne). These were my main attention, along with a cell over Tumbarumba, until after about 12:30pm after I crossed the hills to Tallangatta. smile

As temperatures soared beyond 35C from lunchtime onwards, convection increased dramatically, with a few storms forming over the Victorian High Country. smile

On my approach along the Murray Valley Highway to Albury/Wodonga around 2pm, my main focused turned towards a couple of storm cells just north of the Murray River. Over the following 2 hours, a string of storms (most likely multicellular) took shape along the northern horizon (in the direction of Jindera, Culcairn, and Holbrook), affecting air traffic along the Melbourne-Sydney flight path once more. smile

Soon after 4pm, a localised cumulonimbus formed just to my south; the skies over Albury/Wodonga turned unusually dark, and the air quite still! Rain could be seen descending in localised torrents from the base of the storm cloud, and thunder could be heard! I got to enjoy a brief 10-20 minute downpour with cool, gusty winds around 4:30pm, but didn't see any lightning. The humidity was almost insufferable once the rain stopped and the sun came out. Still, a great little thunderstorm! smile

A couple of nice cells formed around 5:30pm to the west over Corowa/Wahgunyah, Rutherglen, Howlong, Chiltern, and Barnawartha. The most distinctive feature was their anvils! smile

About 6pm, my family and I returned to Corryong. After passing Tallangatta, we ran into a multicell system over the hills separating Albury/Wodonga from the Upper Murray. A couple of cells had already died off, a few others were still in progress, and a couple more formed right overhead! While driving through Koetong, the skied turned very dark once more; cool, gusty winds arrived soon afterwards, dropping the temperature from the mid-30s to around 20C. Heavy rain (with steam coming off the Murray Valley Highway road surface) and a few dangerous CG lightning strikes followed while driving through Shelley and Berringama! smile

Another weakening cell was visible just east of Corryong while we drove through Cudgewa. The day ended with one final storm to the west, over Koetong and Shelley, dropping more heavy rainfall and sparking a few more lightning bolts (with a few CGs visible) followed by distant thunder, before dying at sunset. smile

Overall a good day for watching storms! Wind sheer (or lack of lol) was a serious issue, but the abundance of heat, humidity, instability, and convection meant that storms were almost assured! It was mainly a case of either going after the cells before they died, or hope that something would form nearby (if not overhead), or else simply watch the action from a distance. smile

Fingers crossed for tomorrow...

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#1297209 - 08/01/2015 09:36 Re: Storm Potential - Eastern NSW 1st Jan 2015 to 5th Jan 2015 [Re: ozthunder]
Wave Rider Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 27/01/2014
Posts: 6484
Loc: Wollongong and Berrima NSW
Nice report, sounds like you had a cracker of a day out there yesterday!

Currently 25/18 here atm, so it's much more pleasant without the high DP's. Also the reason why there is no cloud today.


Edited by Sea-Mist (08/01/2015 09:37)
Edit Reason: spelling error
_________________________
The longer you wait for storms, the more you appreciate them.

2017-18 storm total= 5
Oct 25th
Nov 6th(3), 17th

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