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#1333851 - 08/07/2015 19:24 Re: Vic - Cold system coming thru. - Best yet ? July 10th - 14th [Re: samboz]
aussiestormfreak Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 02/02/2011
Posts: 5821
Loc: Melbourne (Belgrave); Corryong...
After the nippy start (with patchy fog and frost about the place), we reached a glorious top of 17.1C with abundant sunshine and light winds. Still party cloudy and hazy at times during the afternoon, but otherwise it was beautiful! smile

Currently in Lilydale, around 10C and mostly cloudy. smile

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#1333858 - 08/07/2015 19:49 Re: Vic - Cold system coming thru. - Best yet ? July 10th - 14th [Re: samboz]
doogasnow Online   content
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 07/12/2014
Posts: 1017
Loc: traf/moe south 410m asl/west &...
The experts are saying most significant cold blast in 7 years!!!

Anyone else having trouble getting the latest update on gfs & access??

Dont know were to start with this system lol
There saying possible rainfall of 50mm plus for gippsland combined with snow down to 600mtrs???? lol crazy stuff

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#1333859 - 08/07/2015 19:55 Re: Vic - Cold system coming thru. - Best yet ? July 10th - 14th [Re: samboz]
samboz Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 16/11/2014
Posts: 1834
Loc: Between Maffra & the Mountains...
Tut tut dooga, bit early to say that, but yes, I might be right...........






You mean as per OP of course laugh
_________________________
Rain 2016-753.5mm.J-173mmF-5mmM-66mmA-32.5mmM-24mmJ-88mmJ-143mmA-17.5mmS-89.5mmO-53.5mmNov-61.5mmDec-26mmTOTAL 2016 - 779.5MM Rain 2017.Jan-9.5mmFeb-23mmMarch-49mmApril-40mmMay-12mmJune-12mmJuly-15mm Aug-36.5mm Sept-26mm Oct-87mm Nov-19.5mm to 0800 19th

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#1333898 - 08/07/2015 23:34 Re: Vic - Cold system coming thru. - Best yet ? July 10th - 14th [Re: samboz]
aussiestormfreak Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 02/02/2011
Posts: 5821
Loc: Melbourne (Belgrave); Corryong...
Got home from Lilydale around an hour ago. A relatively mild evening out there, thanks in part to extensive cloudcover. Currently around 10C. smile

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#1333907 - 09/07/2015 06:15 Re: Vic - Cold system coming thru. - Best yet ? July 10th - 14th [Re: samboz]
samboz Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 16/11/2014
Posts: 1834
Loc: Between Maffra & the Mountains...
1st time for everything ..lol

2.5c here, prob. get a little colder in the next hr, similiar temp to yesterday morn.

No frost on the ground but saw iced up cars in Boisdale.

Getting work knocked over today, next 4 or 5 might be "watch the heater" weather.
_________________________
Rain 2016-753.5mm.J-173mmF-5mmM-66mmA-32.5mmM-24mmJ-88mmJ-143mmA-17.5mmS-89.5mmO-53.5mmNov-61.5mmDec-26mmTOTAL 2016 - 779.5MM Rain 2017.Jan-9.5mmFeb-23mmMarch-49mmApril-40mmMay-12mmJune-12mmJuly-15mm Aug-36.5mm Sept-26mm Oct-87mm Nov-19.5mm to 0800 19th

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#1333911 - 09/07/2015 07:27 Re: Vic - Cold system coming thru. - Best yet ? July 10th - 14th [Re: samboz]
aussiestormfreak Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 02/02/2011
Posts: 5821
Loc: Melbourne (Belgrave); Corryong...
Overnight low of 8.2C, currently a mostly 10C. smile

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#1333928 - 09/07/2015 09:53 Re: Vic - Cold system coming thru. - Best yet ? July 10th - 14th [Re: aussiestormfreak]
Lindsay Knowles Offline
Moderator

Registered: 18/01/2003
Posts: 3939
Loc: Pakenham Victoria's Storm Capi...
We have moved to Gembrook from Lakeside (Pakenham) and have noticed its about 3 degrees cooler up in the hills. Last Saturday we only managed to get to 6.8c. I hate the cold but I am looking forward to seeing what the weekend brings. Snow for us ????

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#1333958 - 09/07/2015 13:25 Re: Vic - Cold system coming thru. - Best yet ? July 10th - 14th [Re: samboz]
crikey Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 01/02/2011
Posts: 2586
Loc: Tweed Heads
Willie weather has snow falling for central district above 1200m for friday , above 700m for saturday and sunday
( mouse over the icons for this forecast)
Also 40-75m heavy rain possible for the yarra valley on saturday/sunday

http://www.willyweather.com.au/vic/yarra-valley-and-dandenong-ranges/gembrook.html


Edited by crikey (09/07/2015 13:27)
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#1333969 - 09/07/2015 15:21 Re: Vic - Cold system coming thru. - Best yet ? July 10th - 14th [Re: samboz]
chasers addict Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 11/12/2007
Posts: 2287
Loc: Bendigo/ Kangaroo Flat, Vic Ra...
Need windy North push low clouds out Victoria as its trapping in Victoria.

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#1333973 - 09/07/2015 15:44 Re: Vic - Cold system coming thru. - Best yet ? July 10th - 14th [Re: samboz]
balmz Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 18/11/2012
Posts: 643
Loc: Knox, Melbourne, VIC
Wow!! What a set up! Currently sitting in the lounge at LAX waiting for my flight back to Australia. Just wondered on to see what the weather was doing at home after 2 weeks in the Northern Summer and bam!

Get to Melbourne Friday afternoon and there all week! Gonna be a cold one! Kind of annoyed I won't be at my Canberra place as there is a good potential of low level snow around the ACT!

Can't have it all.

Hope this one comes off as a big one!

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#1333989 - 09/07/2015 17:36 Re: Vic - Cold system coming thru. - Best yet ? July 10th - 14th [Re: samboz]
aussiestormfreak Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 02/02/2011
Posts: 5821
Loc: Melbourne (Belgrave); Corryong...
Struggled to make much above 10C today! In fact, 12.1C was the warmest it got to this arvo! eek

Been overcast virtually all day, and no sunshine whatsoever; the only blue sky I saw was mainly off towards the south this morning on the way to Dandenong. poke

Currently around 11C atm.

Loving the satellite pics, models and synoptic charts right now! It's shaping up to be an EPIC winter storm for Victoria. A trough is stationed to our west over SA and the Great Australian Bight, and the main cold front and low are on the move in the Southern Ocean behind it! smile

The trough should arrive tomorrow, with the cold front bursting across Victoria on Saturday and charging north towards Southern Queensland! Still looking at a massive ECL developing, and another frontal system should arrive behind it next week, maintaining cold, showery weather over SE Australia for sometime afterwards! smile

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#1334009 - 09/07/2015 19:15 Re: Vic - Cold system coming thru. - Best yet ? July 10th - 14th [Re: Lindsay Knowles]
Petros Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 30/12/2002
Posts: 6593
Loc: Maffra, Central Gippsland, Vi...
Originally Posted By: Lindsay Knowles
We have moved to Gembrook from Lakeside (Pakenham) and have noticed its about 3 degrees cooler up in the hills. Last Saturday we only managed to get to 6.8c. I hate the cold but I am looking forward to seeing what the weekend brings. Snow for us ????


Nice place old mate! Make sure you clear the trees around.... (which an old Briag boy would well know).

Frost here this morning, but a mild day (still 12C at 5:30pm here).

For some reason, WZ has taken to be slow for CMC/AccG so I'll post GFS again for this outlook:



Our paddocks are heavy in this area after good mid-June rain, and 8mm over past 8 days, and of course the calm & short days associated with July. We don't need rain here, but nice to see the states W and N central areas will get some smile

Good luck snow skier's !! smile

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#1334021 - 09/07/2015 19:52 Re: Vic - Cold system coming thru. - Best yet ? July 10th - 14th [Re: samboz]
doogasnow Online   content
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 07/12/2014
Posts: 1017
Loc: traf/moe south 410m asl/west &...
Interesting set up. I think initially(sat/sun)the main front and
cold air goes up more over western vic/south aus.
But from sunday onwards looks like we could get quiet alot of rain and more fronts locked to come up all next week!
Been a while since ive seen such a prolonged period of cold wet
snowy weather smile

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#1334028 - 09/07/2015 20:37 Re: Vic - Cold system coming thru. - Best yet ? July 10th - 14th [Re: samboz]
samboz Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 16/11/2014
Posts: 1834
Loc: Between Maffra & the Mountains...
Ominous map for Monday 13/7 P, looks a little above us to the N and that is a good thing. Very true, almost no evap. with these short days, paddocks stayed wet for weeks out here.

Worked Sale and Stratford today, beautiful Winter day, sunny no wind, got a heap done, right up to - stood on a 4" nail left upright in a piece of timber.....some folks don't bend over nails !!

Great to see statewide rain forecast and some Vic. snow melt closer to Spring will top up the reservoirs.

Standby by for the full sky line snow pics first time it's clear enough for the view north...if I can hobble to the front door. mad
_________________________
Rain 2016-753.5mm.J-173mmF-5mmM-66mmA-32.5mmM-24mmJ-88mmJ-143mmA-17.5mmS-89.5mmO-53.5mmNov-61.5mmDec-26mmTOTAL 2016 - 779.5MM Rain 2017.Jan-9.5mmFeb-23mmMarch-49mmApril-40mmMay-12mmJune-12mmJuly-15mm Aug-36.5mm Sept-26mm Oct-87mm Nov-19.5mm to 0800 19th

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#1334063 - 10/07/2015 00:08 Re: Vic - Cold system coming thru. - Best yet ? July 10th - 14th [Re: samboz]
aussiestormfreak Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 02/02/2011
Posts: 5821
Loc: Melbourne (Belgrave); Corryong...
Ouch! Hope you feel better soon samboz! frown

Another relatively mild night at this stage, compared to Wednesday morning lol, currently around 9C. smile

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#1334065 - 10/07/2015 00:36 Re: Vic - Cold system coming thru. - Best yet ? July 10th - 14th [Re: samboz]
Remy Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 28/02/2015
Posts: 202
Loc: Mulgrave (SE Suburbs), Melbour...
Looks like a few cells popping up NE.

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#1334070 - 10/07/2015 07:41 Re: Vic - Cold system coming thru. - Best yet ? July 10th - 14th [Re: samboz]
aussiestormfreak Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 02/02/2011
Posts: 5821
Loc: Melbourne (Belgrave); Corryong...
Overnight low of 9.0C, currently around 10C and mostly cloudy with a few showers around Melbourne on radar. smile

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#1334078 - 10/07/2015 08:44 Re: Vic - Cold system coming thru. - Best yet ? July 10th - 14th [Re: samboz]
samboz Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 16/11/2014
Posts: 1834
Loc: Between Maffra & the Mountains...
Yesterday almost no snow left on Mt Wellington (the real Mt Well., the one in Vic. wink ) which is 35/40km to our north. This morning with a temp of 6C I didn't have huge expectations of overnight snow laying for long.

The cloud cleared 10 minutes ago and a big piece of blue sky opened up over MtW. revealing quite a nice fall for the conditions - augurs well for big things in the next week.

Some steady light rain overnight, no wind.


Edited by samboz (10/07/2015 08:47)
_________________________
Rain 2016-753.5mm.J-173mmF-5mmM-66mmA-32.5mmM-24mmJ-88mmJ-143mmA-17.5mmS-89.5mmO-53.5mmNov-61.5mmDec-26mmTOTAL 2016 - 779.5MM Rain 2017.Jan-9.5mmFeb-23mmMarch-49mmApril-40mmMay-12mmJune-12mmJuly-15mm Aug-36.5mm Sept-26mm Oct-87mm Nov-19.5mm to 0800 19th

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#1334133 - 10/07/2015 14:41 Re: Vic - Cold system coming thru. - Best yet ? July 10th - 14th [Re: samboz]
aussiestormfreak Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 02/02/2011
Posts: 5821
Loc: Melbourne (Belgrave); Corryong...
Peaked at 16.1C shortly before midday here, currently around 13C. smile

Been a funny old day, with a mix of sun and cloud. Showers arrived here around lunchtime with the passage of the trough (occasionally moderately heavy), also had a slight risk of thunderstorms, but no storm activity here. A bit of wind too. smile

The clock is racing, and the impending storm and cold blast are still on track to strike Victoria late-tonight. Just look at all the polar air being pulled north from Antarctica on the satellite over the Great Australian Bight!! grin

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#1334141 - 10/07/2015 15:09 Re: Vic - Cold system coming thru. - Best yet ? July 10th - 14th [Re: samboz]
chasers addict Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 11/12/2007
Posts: 2287
Loc: Bendigo/ Kangaroo Flat, Vic Ra...
Yep Aussiestormfrerak looks good polar air pumping up and now isolated showers in middle of Victoria due to West System pushing stable clouds.

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