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#1334150 - 10/07/2015 15:42 Re: Vic - Cold system coming thru. - Best yet ? July 10th - 14th [Re: samboz]
avalon Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 18/07/2007
Posts: 1541
Loc: Mt Macedon Vic 870m elev
The afternoon light and weak winter sun are beautiful here at Macedon.
The mountain has disappeared under cloud and showers.
It's quite mild for July. North wind is just starting to kick up as well.

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#1334158 - 10/07/2015 16:18 Re: Vic - Cold system coming thru. - Best yet ? July 10th - 14th [Re: avalon]
Wave Rider Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 27/01/2014
Posts: 6433
Loc: Wollongong and Berrima NSW
Originally Posted By: avalon
The afternoon light and weak winter sun are beautiful here at Macedon.
The mountain has disappeared under cloud and showers.
It's quite mild for July. North wind is just starting to kick up as well.


Far out it's going to be cold down there when the change hits. Might struggle to get above zero for the whole day on Sunday. grin
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The longer you wait for storms, the more you appreciate them.

2017-18 storm total= 5
Oct 25th
Nov 6th(3), 17th

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#1334176 - 10/07/2015 17:28 Re: Vic - Cold system coming thru. - Best yet ? July 10th - 14th [Re: samboz]
chasers addict Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 11/12/2007
Posts: 2287
Loc: Bendigo/ Kangaroo Flat, Vic Ra...
Looks good snap during morning is best to see behavior during day for Victoria, we don't know what hail size would be isolated.

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#1334184 - 10/07/2015 17:52 Re: Vic - Cold system coming thru. - Best yet ? July 10th - 14th [Re: samboz]
avalon Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 18/07/2007
Posts: 1541
Loc: Mt Macedon Vic 870m elev
Hey Wave Rider I bet it will be colder in Crookwell on Sunday.

With the way the Sat Pic looks to me I'm guessing it's going to pass mostly to the west then north of me.
The rain has started now and it sitting on 5C which is actually quite mild for here at this time of the day.

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#1334199 - 10/07/2015 18:51 Re: Vic - Cold system coming thru. - Best yet ? July 10th - 14th [Re: samboz]
chasers addict Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 11/12/2007
Posts: 2287
Loc: Bendigo/ Kangaroo Flat, Vic Ra...
Avalon a mate of mine who live in Blackwood are getting ready for snow falls in their backyard which snow more likely to all Great Dividing Range... Watch out for black ice if any one wants visit or drive over ranges as traffic more likey.

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#1334203 - 10/07/2015 19:12 Re: Vic - Cold system coming thru. - Best yet ? July 10th - 14th [Re: samboz]
Petros Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 30/12/2002
Posts: 6587
Loc: Maffra, Central Gippsland, Vi...
Yep, like others, I reckon latest models show the action to fling over and above Vic for antarctic blast 1. But still a significant weather event - although will not test 40-50 year records imo.

Here's a compilation of the latest WZ available model runs for Vic precip Sat 10am - Mon 10am (AccR/GFS/AccG):


still a very dynamic system, now we can sit back and watch it evolve on the SatIR loop.

..... and whatever the outcome, then comes "blast 2" for next weekend (any thread starters out there?).



Edited by Petros (10/07/2015 19:13)

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#1334221 - 10/07/2015 20:04 Re: Vic - Cold system coming thru. - Best yet ? July 10th - 14th [Re: samboz]
avalon Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 18/07/2007
Posts: 1541
Loc: Mt Macedon Vic 870m elev
Thanks CA

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#1334232 - 10/07/2015 21:16 Re: Vic - Cold system coming thru. - Best yet ? July 10th - 14th [Re: avalon]
Wave Rider Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 27/01/2014
Posts: 6433
Loc: Wollongong and Berrima NSW
Originally Posted By: avalon
Hey Wave Rider I bet it will be colder in Crookwell on Sunday.

With the way the Sat Pic looks to me I'm guessing it's going to pass mostly to the west then north of me.
The rain has started now and it sitting on 5C which is actually quite mild for here at this time of the day.


Yeah true, it probably will be colder when I go there on Sunday. The cold air seems to be bypassing Vic for sure. It bypasses Tas even more. In fact even Crookwell is only just on the edge of the really cold air. The bulk of it will be focused on the Central Tablelands. Anyway that's NSW talk. grin
_________________________
The longer you wait for storms, the more you appreciate them.

2017-18 storm total= 5
Oct 25th
Nov 6th(3), 17th

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#1334239 - 10/07/2015 22:17 Re: Vic - Cold system coming thru. - Best yet ? July 10th - 14th [Re: samboz]
aussiestormfreak Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 02/02/2011
Posts: 5821
Loc: Melbourne (Belgrave); Corryong...
Indeed Chasers Addict! smile

Weather's started deteriorating quite quickly over the past few hours, winds are picking up (peak gusts of near 30km/h from the north/northwest), and showers are redeveloping over Melbourne. I spent a large part of the evening in Dandenong, got treated to a beautiful sunset, complete with virga! smile

Currently around 11C and very blustery! Certainly not gale-force though. smile

Regarding next week and the following weekend, yes worth keeping an eye on. Once the current storm moves offshore, a high edges in behind it to the north; persistent westerly flow maintains chilly, showery weather. A new cold front charges in mid-week, bringing more cold, wet, stormy conditions, and then organising into an ECL after it crosses Victoria. Is it too early to establish a thread for next week? smile

A bit too far out at this stage, but ACCESS also has what could be yet another BIG winter storm on the move behind it, approaching Victoria by the week starting Monday July 20th! Now we're talking, about time the Roaring Forties kicked-in and ushered in our usual blustery/windy season! smile

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#1334244 - 10/07/2015 23:57 Re: Vic - Cold system coming thru. - Best yet ? July 10th - 14th [Re: samboz]
aussiestormfreak Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 02/02/2011
Posts: 5821
Loc: Melbourne (Belgrave); Corryong...
Some quite heavy showers with squalls associated with the cold front, which is now about to strike Adelaide, perhaps the risk of a thunderstorm as well! Should hit Melbourne sometime early tomorrow morning at the rate it's going. smile

Looks nice and solid on satellite! smile

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#1334249 - 11/07/2015 00:45 Re: Vic - Cold system coming thru. - Best yet ? July 10th - 14th [Re: samboz]
chasers addict Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 11/12/2007
Posts: 2287
Loc: Bendigo/ Kangaroo Flat, Vic Ra...
Looks like big problem for SES from now on as front looks very powerful wind change from Adelaide to across SE Australia early in morning for Victoria.

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#1334279 - 11/07/2015 09:11 Re: Vic - Cold system coming thru. - Best yet ? July 10th - 14th [Re: samboz]
aussiestormfreak Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 02/02/2011
Posts: 5821
Loc: Melbourne (Belgrave); Corryong...
Overnight low of 9.4C, currently around 10C. Had 1.1mm of rain this morning, right now it's sunny but quite blustery. smile

Edit: peak wind gust last night was clocked at 31km/h btw. smile


Edited by aussiestormfreak (11/07/2015 09:16)

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#1334299 - 11/07/2015 09:48 Re: Vic - Cold system coming thru. - Best yet ? July 10th - 14th [Re: samboz]
davidm Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 08/08/2011
Posts: 1553
Loc: Orange, NSW
Low of 7.5c with some good showers overnight, let it piss down and fill my tank up please grin

3.5mm in the gauge this morning - electronic one recorded absolutely nothing, must be playing up again.
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#1334342 - 11/07/2015 12:28 Re: Vic - Cold system coming thru. - Best yet ? July 10th - 14th [Re: samboz]
aussiestormfreak Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 02/02/2011
Posts: 5821
Loc: Melbourne (Belgrave); Corryong...
Peaked at 12.4C here just before noon, temperature is now plummeting as the front prepares to come through the Belgrave area, currently around 11C! smile

Even outside the main spring/summer Storm Season, my area can be a magnet/target or generator for unexpected bad weather! Just had a coldie shower/thunderstorm spring to life overhead during the past 10 minutes, dropping a quick shot of rain and small hail! No thunder or lightning, but ah well! smile

Looking forward to the band of showers and thunderstorms out over Melbourne's west, and then the low and cold pool behind it! grin

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#1334343 - 11/07/2015 12:30 Re: Vic - Cold system coming thru. - Best yet ? July 10th - 14th [Re: samboz]
avalon Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 18/07/2007
Posts: 1541
Loc: Mt Macedon Vic 870m elev
It has just started to snow at Mt Macedon, nothing spectacular but it signals tfe arrival of the cold air.
It had actually been quite mild here up until 30 minutes ago.
It's 2.9C now

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#1334345 - 11/07/2015 12:32 Re: Vic - Cold system coming thru. - Best yet ? July 10th - 14th [Re: samboz]
avalon Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 18/07/2007
Posts: 1541
Loc: Mt Macedon Vic 870m elev
Proper snow now, quite heavy and 1.2C smile

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#1334346 - 11/07/2015 12:35 Re: Vic - Cold system coming thru. - Best yet ? July 10th - 14th [Re: samboz]
chasers addict Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 11/12/2007
Posts: 2287
Loc: Bendigo/ Kangaroo Flat, Vic Ra...
Only 6.7c at 12.30pm still raining 11mm so far as looks temperature more colder in West.


Edited by chasers addict (11/07/2015 12:36)

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#1334357 - 11/07/2015 13:13 Re: Vic - Cold system coming thru. - Best yet ? July 10th - 14th [Re: samboz]
davidm Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 08/08/2011
Posts: 1553
Loc: Orange, NSW
Temp has dropped 2.5c in the past half hour, now sitting at 6.9c. Wind is back up too, gusting around 50kph.

Looks nasty out, some very heavy showers on and off, waiting for the big bulk of it to arrive.

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#1334362 - 11/07/2015 13:29 Re: Vic - Cold system coming thru. - Best yet ? July 10th - 14th [Re: samboz]
avalon Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 18/07/2007
Posts: 1541
Loc: Mt Macedon Vic 870m elev
We got down to 0.3C whilst it was snowing.
It's stopped now.

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#1334365 - 11/07/2015 13:39 Re: Vic - Cold system coming thru. - Best yet ? July 10th - 14th [Re: samboz]
logansi Online   content
Weather Freak

Registered: 17/11/2014
Posts: 873
Loc: Portland, Southwest - Victoria
Actually ok here right now considering, suns out and sitting around 11.5 - wind around 20km/h but looks like a new band for us just crossing the SA boarder - wind looks stronger behind it.

4.5mm overnight - wanting lots more as we are 120mm down on last year


Edited by logansi (11/07/2015 13:40)
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