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#1161959 - 21/01/2013 23:04 Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - July 2006 to December 2018 [Archive] [Re: GrizzlyBear]
Updrafts Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 20/11/2010
Posts: 185
Loc: Southern Sydney
My god this weather is boring. The models are all over the place in regards to this weeks possible showers/storms. If we don't get a decent rain event soon im gonna lose my shi.t CW style.

What time of the year do we usually get decent coastal showers? Around autumn i think?

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#1162054 - 22/01/2013 09:14 Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - July 2006 to December 2018 [Archive] [Re: Updrafts]
DaveM Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 21/05/2001
Posts: 10186
Loc: Bathurst NSW about 700 m asl
February is usually quite wet down there.

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#1162070 - 22/01/2013 10:00 Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - July 2006 to December 2018 [Archive] [Re: DaveM]
Jon77 Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 06/04/2012
Posts: 463
Originally Posted By: DaveM
February is usually quite wet down there.


Indeed, February in Sydney is usually humid and wet and there are signs of more activity brewing, but you wouldn't bet on it the way this summer has been going!

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#1162096 - 22/01/2013 10:30 Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - July 2006 to December 2018 [Archive] [Re: Jon77]
ant Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 05/10/2002
Posts: 9063
Loc: Overlooking ACT at 848m
ACT forecast is just "possible storms" for this week. Which never turn up. Saturday has "showers" which is typical as I'm going to have to trudge back to the airport after stashing my car for the duration of my trip. So it'll rain.

Warming up fast here, it means business, and regards the 35c max as a challenge. 27c already pased. Nothing promising happening in the sky, either.

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#1162647 - 22/01/2013 22:05 Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - July 2006 to December 2018 [Archive] [Re: ant]
Updrafts Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 20/11/2010
Posts: 185
Loc: Southern Sydney
Whats with the portable weather station obs showing up on the Wollongong radar, off the coast of Point Perpendicular??
Strange..

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#1162899 - 23/01/2013 07:17 Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - July 2006 to December 2018 [Archive] [Re: Updrafts]
GrizzlyBear Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 23/06/2011
Posts: 2359
Loc: Yetholme [1180m] Central Table...
Here we go, crap weather coming up just in time for the long weekend.
EC has quite an ECL coming down the NSW coast by Monday too.

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#1163010 - 23/01/2013 09:30 Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - July 2006 to December 2018 [Archive] [Re: GrizzlyBear]
DaveM Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 21/05/2001
Posts: 10186
Loc: Bathurst NSW about 700 m asl
That funny loop radar return is back on the Wollongong radar.

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#1163037 - 23/01/2013 10:01 Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - July 2006 to December 2018 [Archive] [Re: DaveM]
MC Thomas Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 06/12/2004
Posts: 1119
Loc: Melbourne
Originally Posted By: DaveM
That funny loop radar return is back on the Wollongong radar.


Any ideas about what this is? The really strange thing is that this "feature" can also be seen on the Sydney Terrey Hills 256 km radar (I'm pretty sure the 256 km radar display is not a composite?).

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#1163050 - 23/01/2013 10:16 Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - July 2006 to December 2018 [Archive] [Re: GrizzlyBear]
Steve777 Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 20/10/2011
Posts: 5027
Loc: Artarmon (Sydney North Shore)
Originally Posted By: PeterDuke
Here we go, crap weather coming up just in time for the long weekend.
EC has quite an ECL coming down the NSW coast by Monday too.


It looks as if EC has ex-cyclone Oswald moving out into the Coral Sea (but staying below TC strength), moving down the coast, intensifying off the Gold Coast and then moving into the Tasman Sea about 150 km off the coast, with a pressure below 984 MB off Seal Rocks on Monday night. That would be an extraordinary event if it came off, hopefully it won't. But I remember from last Summer and Autumn that EC was always spinning up impressive ECL's which didn't eventuate.

But yes I wouldn't be making any outdoor plans for the Australia Day weekend without an indoor Plan B.

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#1163052 - 23/01/2013 10:19 Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - July 2006 to December 2018 [Archive] [Re: MC Thomas]
HumphreyBear Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 31/01/2008
Posts: 4167
Loc: Southern Sydney
Originally Posted By: MC Thomas
Originally Posted By: DaveM
That funny loop radar return is back on the Wollongong radar.


Any ideas about what this is? The really strange thing is that this "feature" can also be seen on the Sydney Terrey Hills 256 km radar (I'm pretty sure the 256 km radar display is not a composite?).

The most likely explanation is vapour trails from HMAS Albatross aircraft training exercises. It always appears in the same spot off Point Perpendicular, and the patterns are circular or sometimes loopy.

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#1163099 - 23/01/2013 11:05 Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - July 2006 to December 2018 [Archive] [Re: HumphreyBear]
MC Thomas Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 06/12/2004
Posts: 1119
Loc: Melbourne
Originally Posted By: Southerly_Buster
Originally Posted By: MC Thomas
Originally Posted By: DaveM
That funny loop radar return is back on the Wollongong radar.


Any ideas about what this is? The really strange thing is that this "feature" can also be seen on the Sydney Terrey Hills 256 km radar (I'm pretty sure the 256 km radar display is not a composite?).

The most likely explanation is vapour trails from HMAS Albatross aircraft training exercises. It always appears in the same spot off Point Perpendicular, and the patterns are circular or sometimes loopy.


Thanks for that. That makes sense I suppose. It did appear to be a real echo as opposed to some random "radar artifact."

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#1163791 - 23/01/2013 20:49 Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - July 2006 to December 2018 [Archive] [Re: MC Thomas]
ant Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 05/10/2002
Posts: 9063
Loc: Overlooking ACT at 848m
Rip-roaring SE wind battering us here. There's been a lively easterly going all day, but a few hours back it really went into overdrive, pummeling the house. Lots of damp coastal cloud coming over the range.

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#1163936 - 23/01/2013 22:13 Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - July 2006 to December 2018 [Archive] [Re: ant]
ant Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 05/10/2002
Posts: 9063
Loc: Overlooking ACT at 848m
BTW, the storms that never hit us got captured by some Canberra photographers here: http://the-riotact.com/storm-pictures-in-the-distance/92916#comment-455541

some very pretty shots.

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#1164426 - 24/01/2013 11:15 Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - July 2006 to December 2018 [Archive] [Re: ant]
davidm Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 08/08/2011
Posts: 1555
Loc: Orange, NSW
Some showers are blowing towards the coast here, have a feeling that will be increasing over the next few days.


s20130124_110936 by davebassjunkie, on Flickr
_________________________
Wunderground | davidm.com.au

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#1164437 - 24/01/2013 11:34 Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - July 2006 to December 2018 [Archive] [Re: davidm]
HumphreyBear Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 31/01/2008
Posts: 4167
Loc: Southern Sydney
Yeah davidm, can see that instability from here also. A nice distant anvil in the mix as well, but a long long way out. A bit like Darwin as they look at Hector and ponder the arrival of the Wet.

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#1164474 - 24/01/2013 12:14 Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - July 2006 to December 2018 [Archive] [Re: HumphreyBear]
CoastalStorm22 Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 10/07/2006
Posts: 2984
Loc: Lane Cove, Sydney, NSW
UHI is out of control at Obs Hill today, sad to think that it will be recorded as a legitimate max.
_________________________
My WX Stations

Lane Cove PWS - Dee Why PWS

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#1164493 - 24/01/2013 12:36 Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - July 2006 to December 2018 [Archive] [Re: CoastalStorm22]
HumphreyBear Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 31/01/2008
Posts: 4167
Loc: Southern Sydney
Yes, some UHI, but Albion Park has maxed at 29C to date as well. This is a fairly warm airmass for the prevailing southerlies.

With those sky high SSTs off Sydney (probably caused by warmer than average airmasses off the continent and decreased cloudiness), Obs Hill will struggle to fall below 20C until March imo. Even if the rain comes off, temps will still be steady in the low to mid 20s. The only thing that might bring it below 20 is a cold downdraft in a storm.

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#1164503 - 24/01/2013 12:46 Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - July 2006 to December 2018 [Archive] [Re: HumphreyBear]
Storm Hunter Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 31/08/2004
Posts: 1216
Loc: Ellalong.10kms SW of Cessnock ...
Very humid here, sun is out on and off,cloud patches moving in from east,light E NE wind,some showers possible small storm cells as well have developed out to sea, moving on shore in some areas north of Newcastle.I think by this afternoon we will see some showers come inland as well,here in the Hunter.

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#1164532 - 24/01/2013 13:22 Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - July 2006 to December 2018 [Archive] [Re: CoastalStorm22]
kizz Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 11/02/2002
Posts: 2202
Loc: Beacon Hill, Sydney 152m asl
Originally Posted By: CoastalStorm22
UHI is out of control at Obs Hill today, sad to think that it will be recorded as a legitimate max.


I often think that it is sad to see a legit max when the ENE is going nuts on a hot day; the streets on the CBD feel way hotter than Obs Hill on many of those days. So it is just a balancing out for me.
Those SST may be high out to sea but inshore they are pretty cool. The MHL bouy off Sydney is steadfastly stuck to 22 degrees whilst Byron Bay and Coffs Harbour keep swinging into the 26-27 range as the core of the current wiggles east and west.
_________________________
PWS
AWEKAS
WOW

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#1164539 - 24/01/2013 13:26 Re: NSW Day to Day Weather - July 2006 to December 2018 [Archive] [Re: Storm Hunter]
Ocean Thunder Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 01/03/2011
Posts: 310
Loc: Dee Why
Something unrelated to NSW.... That distinct line of cloud from the ex tropical cyclone cutting through QLD looks awesome... must look great from the ground on the edge of it.

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