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#1381272 - 04/07/2016 21:57 Re: 2016 Australian Snow & Winter Storm Season [Re: aussiestormfreak]
Homer Online   content
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 16/06/2007
Posts: 4990
Loc: Dural
Reports of snow on Mt Lofty earlier this evening.
Temps and precip at the time support the claim.

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#1381325 - 05/07/2016 12:46 Re: 2016 Australian Snow & Winter Storm Season [Re: aussiestormfreak]
Chris Stumer Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 28/01/2010
Posts: 1493
Loc: Kingaroy
The current ACCESS G model runs are insane for next week.

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#1381326 - 05/07/2016 13:03 Re: 2016 Australian Snow & Winter Storm Season [Re: aussiestormfreak]
Homer Online   content
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 16/06/2007
Posts: 4990
Loc: Dural
Yes, I've seen that Chris.
Models are in some sort of alignment too. Not a bad thing this far out.

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#1381466 - 06/07/2016 10:05 Re: 2016 Australian Snow & Winter Storm Season [Re: aussiestormfreak]
orangeroughy Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 14/08/2012
Posts: 640
Loc: Orange, NSW
The next low and cold front looks to be peaking across SWWA and it will be a decent cold/wet outbreak right across the SW land division.

Good chances of a few cms of settled snow on the higher parts of the Stirlings.
_________________________
NW Orange NSW 860m asl

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#1381781 - 09/07/2016 18:27 Re: 2016 Australian Snow & Winter Storm Season [Re: orangeroughy]
snowbooby Offline
Cloud Gazer

Registered: 11/05/2016
Posts: 34
Originally Posted By: orangeroughy

Good chances of a few cms of settled snow on the higher parts of the Stirlings.


Might have been a little about. Cant confirm at this time. Remarkable thing about the system that passed through was the very meagre rainfall totals in the stirling range region -well spotted a day or so prior by the bom.

Still very cold air aloft which will persist for a day or so yet but without much prospect of ppn in the right places.


Edited by snowbooby (09/07/2016 18:28)

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#1382825 - 19/07/2016 20:02 Re: 2016 Australian Snow & Winter Storm Season [Re: aussiestormfreak]
MOUNTAIN h2o Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 23/03/2012
Posts: 659
Loc: Hobart Lenah Valley Tas 198 as...
Hi all , it seems very quiet on here . What's happening on the snow season front so far ? Has it been any good so far ?

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#1382827 - 19/07/2016 20:17 Re: 2016 Australian Snow & Winter Storm Season [Re: MOUNTAIN h2o]
Wave Rider Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 27/01/2014
Posts: 5628
Loc: Wollongong NSW
Originally Posted By: MOUNTAIN h2o
Hi all , it seems very quiet on here . What's happening on the snow season front so far ? Has it been any good so far ?


It was pretty good when I was up at Mt Selwyn last Thursday and Friday. Snowed in the afternoon on Thursday and heaps of snow on the ground. Friday was heaps warm with snow melting rapidly unfortunately, but conditions couldn't be better with clear sunshine all day.
_________________________
2016-17 season storm total for here= 15

Oct- 21st
Nov- 9th, 28th
Jan- 24th
Feb- 11th, 12th, 17th, 18th(2)
Mar- 13th, 16th, 22nd
Apr- 9th, 26th
May- 24th

The longer you wait for things, the more you appreciate them.

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#1382828 - 19/07/2016 20:47 Re: 2016 Australian Snow & Winter Storm Season [Re: aussiestormfreak]
MOUNTAIN h2o Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 23/03/2012
Posts: 659
Loc: Hobart Lenah Valley Tas 198 as...
Thanks W R , hopefully after this warm spell there will be another blast.

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#1383014 - 22/07/2016 14:29 Re: 2016 Australian Snow & Winter Storm Season [Re: aussiestormfreak]
yep Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 04/07/2013
Posts: 310
Loc: Hobart
Snowy Mountains on track to reach its average winter snow peak depth I think. It's been a struggle to reach the 60 year average in the last few years.

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#1383018 - 22/07/2016 14:53 Re: 2016 Australian Snow & Winter Storm Season [Re: aussiestormfreak]
MOUNTAIN h2o Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 23/03/2012
Posts: 659
Loc: Hobart Lenah Valley Tas 198 as...
Yes it really had been a case of hot then cold. The climate is becoming more intense and certainly allot more random these days. Maybe the days at looking at averages are over ? In the future we may gauge events by peaks and lows ?

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#1383020 - 22/07/2016 14:55 Re: 2016 Australian Snow & Winter Storm Season [Re: aussiestormfreak]
SGB Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 04/04/2010
Posts: 221
Loc: Canberra
What is the average winter snow peak anyway? There's been a lot of damage over the past few days due to this unseasonal warmth and rain. Hopefully the next 4 days of snow will make up for it though.
_________________________
Chinese proverb: “Only he who has travelled the road knows where the holes are deep”

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#1383022 - 22/07/2016 15:14 Re: 2016 Australian Snow & Winter Storm Season [Re: aussiestormfreak]
yep Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 04/07/2013
Posts: 310
Loc: Hobart
The average peak is about 172cm. I can't remember the exact figure. The weekly readings are by Snowy Hydro at Spencers Creek, I understand it gives a reasonable guide to Alpine snow conditions. There has been a lot of melt this week you are right, down to 95cm, but maybe another 50cm on top of that from tomorrow thru until the next measurement at the end of next week.

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#1383062 - 22/07/2016 20:11 Re: 2016 Australian Snow & Winter Storm Season [Re: aussiestormfreak]
SGB Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 04/04/2010
Posts: 221
Loc: Canberra
Well, looks like SAM index is forecast to go relatively strongly negative towards the end of the month, that coupled with the continuing negative IOD and hopefully the snow season will end with a bang.
_________________________
Chinese proverb: “Only he who has travelled the road knows where the holes are deep”

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#1383078 - 22/07/2016 22:24 Re: 2016 Australian Snow & Winter Storm Season [Re: SGB]
kizz Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 11/02/2002
Posts: 1823
Loc: Beacon Hill, Sydney 152m asl
Snow depths analysed to the nth degree by http://gergs.net/gallery/.

Total carnage up in the resorts now. Rain, floods and wind damage. A lot of people will be hoping the season finishes with a bang.

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#1383255 - 25/07/2016 11:34 Re: 2016 Australian Snow & Winter Storm Season [Re: kizz]
SGB Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 04/04/2010
Posts: 221
Loc: Canberra
Does anyone know how long the lag is between when SAM goes negative and South East Australia begins to feel the affects of the westerly belt shifting further north?

It looks like SAM is forecast to go the most negative it's been in winter so far. SAM (AAO)
_________________________
Chinese proverb: “Only he who has travelled the road knows where the holes are deep”

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#1383261 - 25/07/2016 13:06 Re: 2016 Australian Snow & Winter Storm Season [Re: aussiestormfreak]
Bello Weather Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 10/07/2012
Posts: 354
Loc: Bellingen NSW 2454
Been watchig that SAM through the winter with interest. From my perspective you can already see the result of the swing in SAM with the two week dry forecast across much of Aus....read before that there is a delay of a week or so with cold fronts...but then you will also need the LWT to play ball with SE Aus to see a good result.
_________________________
www.bellingenweather.org

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#1383471 - 28/07/2016 10:45 Re: 2016 Australian Snow & Winter Storm Season [Re: Bello Weather]
SGB Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 04/04/2010
Posts: 221
Loc: Canberra
Wow at the SAM forecast right now! History says the lowest index was -2.5 in late 2002 and the current forecast looks like it could go even lower, perhaps reaching very close to -4, which should do wonders for our ski fields. Just need the LWT to play ball and we could get smashed.

SAM history
SAM forecast
_________________________
Chinese proverb: “Only he who has travelled the road knows where the holes are deep”

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#1383473 - 28/07/2016 12:23 Re: 2016 Australian Snow & Winter Storm Season [Re: aussiestormfreak]
DaveM Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 21/05/2001
Posts: 9392
Loc: Bathurst NSW about 700 m asl
Excellent information there SGB smile

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#1383488 - 28/07/2016 16:19 Re: 2016 Australian Snow & Winter Storm Season [Re: aussiestormfreak]
WarrenTheSnowMan Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 18/04/2016
Posts: 278
Loc: Penrith, NSW
Impressive data there SGB! Perhaps we'll actually have a storm season this Summer... Last year was absolutely bonkers lol... My area got one hailstorm which covered the ground in 5-6cm of hail but ever since then... Nothing

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#1383634 - 31/07/2016 14:09 Re: 2016 Australian Snow & Winter Storm Season [Re: aussiestormfreak]
Hector Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 26/01/2001
Posts: 1845
Loc: Melbourne
Maybe a little snow on the Stirling Ranges or even the Porongorups today? Albany's temp dropped to 5.6°C at 10:49am with a band of showers and storms, which moved NE towards Porongorups and Stirlings.

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