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#1384912 - 19/08/2016 17:54 Re: 2016 Australian Snow & Winter Storm Season [Re: aussiestormfreak]
WarrenTheSnowMan Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 18/04/2016
Posts: 317
Loc: Frosty, Kemp's Creek
Oh jeez, I kicked the 7 days a week a few months ago... Best choice of my life poke.

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#1384940 - 20/08/2016 10:05 Re: 2016 Australian Snow & Winter Storm Season [Re: aussiestormfreak]
DaveM Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 21/05/2001
Posts: 9568
Loc: Bathurst NSW about 700 m asl
Yes I would love to be just 5 days!! smile

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#1385071 - 22/08/2016 14:28 Re: 2016 Australian Snow & Winter Storm Season [Re: aussiestormfreak]
allbeef Offline
Cloud Gazer

Registered: 15/07/2015
Posts: 18
What a surprise to look out side now and see that it is snowing, a little settling on the back deck. I still love a surprise.

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#1385081 - 22/08/2016 15:47 Re: 2016 Australian Snow & Winter Storm Season [Re: aussiestormfreak]
orangeroughy Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 14/08/2012
Posts: 652
Loc: Orange, NSW
Whereabouts cobber?
_________________________
NW Orange NSW 860m asl

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#1385083 - 22/08/2016 16:22 Re: 2016 Australian Snow & Winter Storm Season [Re: aussiestormfreak]
DaveM Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 21/05/2001
Posts: 9568
Loc: Bathurst NSW about 700 m asl
Cheers allbeef smile For memory (probably faulty) I think AB might be Katoomba ??

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#1385091 - 22/08/2016 17:46 Re: 2016 Australian Snow & Winter Storm Season [Re: aussiestormfreak]
Finners Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 28/06/2002
Posts: 102
Loc: Sydney/Hampton
I think allbeef is at Hampton, which sounds right. We left there today at 2.30pm, when it started to snow. If I had known it was likely, would have delayed our departure a bit!

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#1385111 - 22/08/2016 22:19 Re: 2016 Australian Snow & Winter Storm Season [Re: aussiestormfreak]
orangeroughy Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 14/08/2012
Posts: 652
Loc: Orange, NSW
Ta Finners. Fits with one or two other reports of patchy light snowfalls elsewhere in the central ranges.

Wet snow was falling at the Summit of Mt Canobolas mid to late arvo today. Thin, patchy settling right at the summit and not much lower. A non-forecasted event, so the summit gate wasn't closed. Temp was abt 2deg. Will see if I can post a video later if I can figure out how.
_________________________
NW Orange NSW 860m asl

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#1385113 - 22/08/2016 22:57 Re: 2016 Australian Snow & Winter Storm Season [Re: aussiestormfreak]
WarrenTheSnowMan Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 18/04/2016
Posts: 317
Loc: Frosty, Kemp's Creek
Light snow showers this afternoon at Shooters Hill it was absolutely bliss, no wind and not a sound in earshot!

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=7TIgTozWFck

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#1385129 - 23/08/2016 09:14 Re: 2016 Australian Snow & Winter Storm Season [Re: aussiestormfreak]
DaveM Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 21/05/2001
Posts: 9568
Loc: Bathurst NSW about 700 m asl
Cheers Finners - thought my memory could be faulty as usual smile

No wind up at Shooters is always a good start smile Well done Wazza smile

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#1385130 - 23/08/2016 09:18 Re: 2016 Australian Snow & Winter Storm Season [Re: aussiestormfreak]
DaveM Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 21/05/2001
Posts: 9568
Loc: Bathurst NSW about 700 m asl
Snow on the ground is always lovely BUT falling snow is the best!! The view up the road looked nice with the clear "whiteness" as the road recedes.

Nice effort Warren smile

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#1385300 - 24/08/2016 16:38 Re: 2016 Australian Snow & Winter Storm Season [Re: aussiestormfreak]
snowforus Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 05/07/2012
Posts: 363
Loc: Lithgow 945m a.s.l. (Central T...
Snow is now back in BOM's forecast for the CT's Thursday/Friday.
_________________________
It's a long time between snowfalls these days, but I'm always optimistic.
New England Minerals Blog: http://johnsnewenglandminerals.blogspot.com.au
Blue Mountains Blog: http://johnsbluemountainsblog.blogspot.com.au

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#1385312 - 24/08/2016 17:18 Re: 2016 Australian Snow & Winter Storm Season [Re: aussiestormfreak]
allbeef Offline
Cloud Gazer

Registered: 15/07/2015
Posts: 18
Could see some snow on the Central Tablelands from about 2am to 3am in the morning 25 Aug to start and it might go for a few hours hoping.
The charts state 850hpa is at 1 deg, 700hpa is at -7.5 and at 500hpa it is predicted to be -25.
I'm optimistic but the volume is any bodys guess, my model states 13kg/msq but that my only be 2mm.
Fingers crossed though.

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#1385322 - 24/08/2016 18:13 Re: 2016 Australian Snow & Winter Storm Season [Re: aussiestormfreak]
Wave Rider Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 27/01/2014
Posts: 5965
Loc: Wollongong NSW
Some decent cold air with the southerly, Goulburn and Nerriga are on 5C. There may already be snow falling in the higher parts around Taralga and Crookwell.
Oh boy there's going to be massive amount of snow somewhere.

Already reports of snow at Black Springs about 1200m ASL.

Allbeef, 925mb charts are ones to watch with temps about 4 or 5C at that elevation on GFS. 850 and 700 aren't that impressive.


Edited by Wave Rider (24/08/2016 18:21)
_________________________
2016-17 season storm total for here= 15

Oct- 21st
Nov- 9th, 28th
Jan- 24th
Feb- 11th, 12th, 17th, 18th(2)
Mar- 13th, 16th, 22nd
Apr- 9th, 26th
May- 24th

The longer you wait for things, the more you appreciate them.

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#1385331 - 24/08/2016 20:06 Re: 2016 Australian Snow & Winter Storm Season [Re: aussiestormfreak]
snowforus Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 05/07/2012
Posts: 363
Loc: Lithgow 945m a.s.l. (Central T...
It's just over 3C here with rain continuing, though the radar suggests it may stop soon.
_________________________
It's a long time between snowfalls these days, but I'm always optimistic.
New England Minerals Blog: http://johnsnewenglandminerals.blogspot.com.au
Blue Mountains Blog: http://johnsbluemountainsblog.blogspot.com.au

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#1385344 - 24/08/2016 21:05 Re: 2016 Australian Snow & Winter Storm Season [Re: aussiestormfreak]
WarrenTheSnowMan Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 18/04/2016
Posts: 317
Loc: Frosty, Kemp's Creek
Heavy snow, Shooters Hill, Trickett, Porters Retreat.

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#1387363 - 15/09/2016 09:22 Re: 2016 Australian Snow & Winter Storm Season [Re: aussiestormfreak]
kizz Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 11/02/2002
Posts: 1832
Loc: Beacon Hill, Sydney 152m asl
Might be a few last minute bookings for accommodation in the resorts today. Weekend plans shuffled and cars packed.

Cams look epic.

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#1387371 - 15/09/2016 09:50 Re: 2016 Australian Snow & Winter Storm Season [Re: aussiestormfreak]
Homer Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 16/06/2007
Posts: 5082
Loc: Dural
And there's more to come kizz spinning up and around that low.


Edited by Homer (15/09/2016 09:51)

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#1387396 - 15/09/2016 12:07 Re: 2016 Australian Snow & Winter Storm Season [Re: aussiestormfreak]
DaveM Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 21/05/2001
Posts: 9568
Loc: Bathurst NSW about 700 m asl
Even poor old Selwyn has a nice cover of snow today. Closed now but it looks pretty. Smiggins similar.

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#1387433 - 15/09/2016 17:28 Re: 2016 Australian Snow & Winter Storm Season [Re: aussiestormfreak]
Homer Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 16/06/2007
Posts: 5082
Loc: Dural
Perisher has reported 50 cm's in the past 24 hours. That's a great fall!!
Stats appear to support this.

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#1387440 - 15/09/2016 18:07 Re: 2016 Australian Snow & Winter Storm Season [Re: aussiestormfreak]
Steve777 Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 20/10/2011
Posts: 3335
Loc: Artarmon (Sydney North Shore)
My inexpert thoughs:

Winter 2016 has generally been warm and wet, with Spring starting off in a similar vein.

If it's wet, it will be snowing if you go high enough, but lower / marginal areas will tend to get more rain and less snow, with what little snow that settles being soon washed away. In fact, if we had ski resorts at 2,500 metres, they might be having a bumper season, but places like Selwyn and Lake Mountain don't fare so well.

This is what seems to be happening this year. Higher places like Spencer's Creek are doing quite well (relative to the last 20 years or so anyway), while lower levels are struggling to retain cover: http://www.snowyhydro.com.au/waterenvironment/snow-depths-calculator/

Meanwhile, outside the Alpine areas, Snow Season 2016 seems to have mostly fizzled out after early August except in a few high spots like Shooters Hill.

Big snow events are possible up to about mid October, but that would involve a big break from the current pattern of warm wet troughs dipping down from the tropics followed by weak cold fronts from the West.

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