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#1372559 - 07/04/2016 14:16 Re: What's happening in Tassie? [Re: duckweather]
DaveM Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 21/05/2001
Posts: 9201
Loc: Bathurst NSW about 700 m asl
Wow that's pretty fresh there Dan!!

We are still weeks away from those sort of minimums!!

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#1372582 - 07/04/2016 17:39 Re: What's happening in Tassie? [Re: duckweather]
MOUNTAIN h2o Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 23/03/2012
Posts: 640
Loc: Hobart Lenah Valley Tas 198 as...
Hi Zoners,
Hobart got down about 7c last night so that was great and 18.3c max today so still no prize there. Tomorrow and Saturday looking like the low 20's again . Currently a cloudy 16c so probably another warm night ahead as compared to last night. I was just looking at the NAEFS and the heat is on again from the 15th to 22nd unfortunately .

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#1372585 - 07/04/2016 18:57 Re: What's happening in Tassie? [Re: duckweather]
Snowies Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 16/10/2001
Posts: 1777
Loc: Westbury
Probably headed for frost again tonight, albeit lighter than this mornings, maybe a min around 2. Certainly have to get used to the colder nights, going to be some well below zero when we actually get a serious cold change.

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#1372623 - 08/04/2016 09:28 Re: What's happening in Tassie? [Re: duckweather]
DaveM Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 21/05/2001
Posts: 9201
Loc: Bathurst NSW about 700 m asl
Frost already is just showing off!!

We supposed to have 22 today - might need a jumper!!! grin NOT. smile

MH - at least it's finally sub 20's, maybe still above average but sub 20 is a start. smile

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#1372629 - 08/04/2016 10:07 Re: What's happening in Tassie? [Re: duckweather]
payshense Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 06/03/2013
Posts: 870
Loc: West Coast, TAS, 310m ASL / Bu...
Hi all

Been wet wet wet over here on the West Coast.

122mm for the first week of this month at my place. Mount Read nearby had 122.2mm. How close is that to my figures! Not surprising considering how close I am to Mount Read.

No frost here as yet.

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#1372631 - 08/04/2016 10:23 Re: What's happening in Tassie? [Re: payshense]
payshense Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 06/03/2013
Posts: 870
Loc: West Coast, TAS, 310m ASL / Bu...
Strahan as close to me as Mount Read, had just 47.8mm.

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#1372632 - 08/04/2016 10:25 Re: What's happening in Tassie? [Re: duckweather]
DaveM Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 21/05/2001
Posts: 9201
Loc: Bathurst NSW about 700 m asl
Your site on the hills should always attract more precip I reckon. That's a lot of rain. smile

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#1372652 - 08/04/2016 17:15 Re: What's happening in Tassie? [Re: duckweather]
MOUNTAIN h2o Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 23/03/2012
Posts: 640
Loc: Hobart Lenah Valley Tas 198 as...
24c here today in Hobart +7c over , the heat and Summer just rolls on.

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#1372656 - 08/04/2016 18:32 Re: What's happening in Tassie? [Re: MOUNTAIN h2o]
PVW Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 28/12/2010
Posts: 2372
Loc: Thuringowa, Townsville QLD
Originally Posted By: MOUNTAIN h2o
24c here today in Hobart +7c over , the heat and Summer just rolls on.


It's insane isn't it.
It's not as much above average, but even here in Townsville the maximum temps are currently sitting at the hottest average April maximums on record.

I've been keeping a detailed analysis of individual computer model performance for Hobart over the last 3 weeks now to help me get a bit of a better idea on how well they work down there.

I've just finished looking through the models and I'd say the unseasonable above average temps will continue.

Here's my predicition and the BOM's side-by-side for comparison for Hobart.

Tomorrow: 14 / 22 (BOM: 13 / 20)
Sunday: 15 / 20 (BOM: 13 / 18)
Monday: 10 / 17 (BOM: 10 / 16)
Tuesday: 10 / 17 (BOM: 10 / 17)
Wednesday: 6 / 17 (BOM: 7 / 18)
Thursday: 7 / 21 (BOM: 9 / 20)
Friday: 12 / 25 (BOM: 11 / 22)
Saturday: 13 / 20

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#1372664 - 08/04/2016 20:20 Re: What's happening in Tassie? [Re: duckweather]
MOUNTAIN h2o Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 23/03/2012
Posts: 640
Loc: Hobart Lenah Valley Tas 198 as...
Thanks PVW for your efforts , I certainly see that your forecast is closer to what I thought as well. I was also looking at next Thurs and Friday being very much like today. In the big scheme of things a 25c day is very pleasant weather , and it is . However it's the gap between long term average and the actual daytime max that is crazy.
In other Tassie news Hydro is expecting basically no rainfall of significance for the rest of April , they are saying the prospects look better in May. Hydro are saying that in the first time in Tasmanian cloud seeding history they plan to cover the whole state . Normally the just seed the West Coast but things are so drastic they are planning to cover every catchment in the State.

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#1372666 - 08/04/2016 20:57 Re: What's happening in Tassie? [Re: duckweather]
MOUNTAIN h2o Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 23/03/2012
Posts: 640
Loc: Hobart Lenah Valley Tas 198 as...
9:00 pm Hobart at it's still 17c outside ! which is the daytime max for April. Hobart currently sitting way warmer than Melb , Adel and a fraction cooler than Sydney. Not a breath of wind either , so a very sultry evening.


Edited by MOUNTAIN h2o (08/04/2016 20:57)

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#1372667 - 08/04/2016 21:44 Re: What's happening in Tassie? [Re: duckweather]
Snowies Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 16/10/2001
Posts: 1777
Loc: Westbury
Forecasts that Sea Surface Temps will move toward a La Nina set up toward the 2nd half of the year, just have to get there first...likely the 2nd half of the year will be much wetter than the first - maybe similar to 2010, although the SOI had swung to positive at this point of 2010, took until August for the rains to arrive.



Edited by Snowies (08/04/2016 21:45)

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#1372670 - 08/04/2016 22:58 Re: What's happening in Tassie? [Re: MOUNTAIN h2o]
PVW Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 28/12/2010
Posts: 2372
Loc: Thuringowa, Townsville QLD
Originally Posted By: MOUNTAIN h2o
Thanks PVW for your efforts , I certainly see that your forecast is closer to what I thought as well. I was also looking at next Thurs and Friday being very much like today.

No worries. I'm hoping to live in Hobart one day in the future, so I'm trying to learn early how the models perform.
I'd definitely be expecting warmer weather at the end of next week than the current BOM forecast.
All models I've been checking show next Friday being a degree or two higher than their predictions for today, under pretty similar conditions, so I'd definitely be more inclined to expect 25 at this stage.

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#1372681 - 09/04/2016 09:33 Re: What's happening in Tassie? [Re: duckweather]
DaveM Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 21/05/2001
Posts: 9201
Loc: Bathurst NSW about 700 m asl
The change looks like keeping it's colder air to your south today/tonight.

Yes the constant above average temps there and much of Australia are a pain. Like you, we are well behind on averages as are most places in eastern Oz.

We need a very long winter somewhere to make up for it.

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#1372713 - 09/04/2016 20:18 Re: What's happening in Tassie? [Re: duckweather]
Stale fish Online   content
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 23/06/2001
Posts: 1983
Loc: Leslie vale 310m asl
Hi all,

Up at Bronte Lagoon at the fishing club shack this weekend. Caught 2 Brown Trout today.

It's so dry up here, managed to do a HR Burn yesterday and the stumps are still burning into and under ground.

Big rabbit like burrows where the fire has burnt in the dry ground.
I have never had a fire do that up here in the last 17 years of coming here!!!!

Looks likes a few showers tomorrow, with plenty of wind.

Possible good falls in 9 days

Snowies sounds like positive news re La Nina!

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#1372739 - 11/04/2016 09:48 Re: What's happening in Tassie? [Re: duckweather]
DaveM Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 21/05/2001
Posts: 9201
Loc: Bathurst NSW about 700 m asl
Yes let's hope we hear you all whining about too much rain soon. smile

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#1372744 - 11/04/2016 10:13 Re: What's happening in Tassie? [Re: DaveM]
payshense Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 06/03/2013
Posts: 870
Loc: West Coast, TAS, 310m ASL / Bu...
Originally Posted By: DaveM
Yes let's hope we hear you all whining about too much rain soon. smile


Another 65mm here in the 72 hours since my last report on Friday.

When will it stop Dave...enough of the wet stuff, where's the white stuff! grin

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#1372752 - 11/04/2016 11:14 Re: What's happening in Tassie? [Re: duckweather]
DaveM Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 21/05/2001
Posts: 9201
Loc: Bathurst NSW about 700 m asl
Just push some of it to the SE, MH and plenty others would love some wet stuff over the dry side smile

You will have to find the track to top of Mt Read (is it accessible?) Get some white up there sooner than many places. grin

I was shattered when they closed off Mt Tim Shea near Maydena/Florentine, stunning views up there now locked off. frown

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#1372759 - 11/04/2016 12:57 Re: What's happening in Tassie? [Re: duckweather]
rainiac Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 10/10/2015
Posts: 542
Loc: NENSW-Wet Subtropics
Weather has been lovely so far. Rather a lot colder than I am used to but no rain and not extremely cold. And I am trying my best to tempt rain, I forgot my rain jacket.
There is currently some low cloud around and it's been pretty windy the last couple of days. Up to 40 kph plus at times.


Edited by rainiac (11/04/2016 12:58)

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#1372760 - 11/04/2016 13:05 Re: What's happening in Tassie? [Re: duckweather]
DaveM Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 21/05/2001
Posts: 9201
Loc: Bathurst NSW about 700 m asl
Hello Rainiac it would certainly feel quite fresh for you.

A great effort re the rain jacket, it seems to be working for the west of the state but not the east. smile

Hope you have heaps of good fun down there. Make sure you catch some of the waterfalls, Russell Falls about an hour north west of Hobart are very good although possibly a little low on moisture at the moment. Maybe check Nelson Falls over on the way from Hobart to Queenstown. Not as big but still an excellent waterfall. smile

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