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#1375681 - 14/05/2016 10:59 Top End NT Dry Season - May 2016
Popeye Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 30/12/2006
Posts: 7918
Loc: Cable Beach - Broome WA
May as well get this thread up and going. From what I can see the next weekend isn't going to be all that dry up in the East Kimberley and Western side of the NT/Darwin region. Big falls possible with a system traversing the top end and dropping down. Again will be interesting to see if it eventuates.
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#1375703 - 14/05/2016 17:49 Re: Top End NT Dry Season - May 2016 [Re: Popeye]
JimmyGray Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 29/08/2008
Posts: 1579
Loc: Palmerston NT
Originally Posted By: Popeye
May as well get this thread up and going. From what I can see the next weekend isn't going to be all that dry up in the East Kimberley and Western side of the NT/Darwin region. Big falls possible with a system traversing the top end and dropping down. Again will be interesting to see if it eventuates.

Yeh Popeye its been an interesting month thus far with more rain in May already than we had in April and with this forecast I am not sure what to expect. Longer term looks quite damp for you guys and us wink

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#1375710 - 14/05/2016 20:46 Re: Top End NT Dry Season - May 2016 [Re: Popeye]
Popeye Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 30/12/2006
Posts: 7918
Loc: Cable Beach - Broome WA
Latest Pilko says more in the GOC and pushing towards NQld. Oh well maybe it wil change back to what it said yesterday. Typical models swapping and changing all over the place.
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#1375728 - 14/05/2016 22:26 Re: Top End NT Dry Season - May 2016 [Re: Popeye]
JimmyGray Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 29/08/2008
Posts: 1579
Loc: Palmerston NT
Yeh Popeye. Cray scenario for this time of year. Hopefully as you say it comes back this way smile

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#1376248 - 22/05/2016 04:19 Re: Top End NT Dry Season - May 2016 [Re: Popeye]
MillnerNT Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 09/01/2010
Posts: 324
Loc: Millner NT
Some heavy showers around the Darwin area at the moment. Some sparks around midnight near Mary River bridge. Will keep the lawn green for a while longer.

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#1376281 - 22/05/2016 09:49 Re: Top End NT Dry Season - May 2016 [Re: Popeye]
JimmyGray Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 29/08/2008
Posts: 1579
Loc: Palmerston NT
Yeh 5mm here at Palmerston Millner although 200 metres up the road 11mm fell.
Pretty measly compared to Cape Wessell 190mm in 48 hours and Groote Eylandt 138mm in last 24

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#1378139 - 04/06/2016 19:28 Re: Top End NT Dry Season - May 2016 [Re: Popeye]
Vinnie Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 17/05/2006
Posts: 6814
Loc: Mulambin , Yeppoon Central Qld
Wow high dew points in Darwin for June. Temps well above the average. Must be getting sick of the never ending humidity up there.
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#1378346 - 05/06/2016 14:28 Re: Top End NT Dry Season - May 2016 [Re: Vinnie]
JimmyGray Offline
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Registered: 29/08/2008
Posts: 1579
Loc: Palmerston NT
Originally Posted By: Vinnie
Wow high dew points in Darwin for June. Temps well above the average. Must be getting sick of the never ending humidity up there.

Gday Vinnie. Yeh mate, miserable, lol. Its sad isn't it but we look forward to the dry season as it gives us a respite from the heat and humidity. That has NOT happened this season and its getting quite concerning. Still seeing showers on the radar each morning and we are yet to see a morning below 20 degrees. Cannot see a change in sight at this stage with some showers still on the forecast over the next few weeks.
After the hottest May on record after the worst wet season on record we are due for a break frown

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#1378399 - 05/06/2016 18:48 Re: Top End NT Dry Season - May 2016 [Re: Popeye]
Popeye Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 30/12/2006
Posts: 7918
Loc: Cable Beach - Broome WA
Pretty amazing weather right across the country. Has to be a ripper wet season coming up for sure. Still very humid here in Broome. That seems to be going to change this week coming with a big SE surge. Maybe Winter finally will arrive.
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#1378401 - 05/06/2016 18:52 Re: Top End NT Dry Season - May 2016 [Re: Popeye]
Brett Guy Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 05/10/2010
Posts: 5159
Loc: Bently Park, Cairns
It certainly seems to have finally made it in Cairns mate. As a matter of fact i think i will finally need more than a single sheet to sleep tonight. So you might be next with a bit of luck.

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#1378492 - 06/06/2016 06:17 Re: Top End NT Dry Season - May 2016 [Re: Popeye]
tropicbreeze Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 14/01/2011
Posts: 140
Loc: Noonamah
"Its sad isn't it but we look forward to the dry season as it gives us a respite from the heat and humidity."

Not everyone. Guess for those that are in aircon most of the time going outside gets a bit daunting. Over the weekend I was lighting fires (and putting some out), I'll take this sort of a dry season over one with constant dry surges any time. Humidity dampens fires and light winds provide just the right amount of impetus to keep them going, the perfect combination. Unfortunately though, I'd say in a weeks time we might see a change in the weather pattern.

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#1378869 - 10/06/2016 09:38 Re: Top End NT Dry Season - May 2016 [Re: Popeye]
JimmyGray Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 29/08/2008
Posts: 1579
Loc: Palmerston NT
Well I work outdoors tropic and I can assure you that a cooler, drier respite is very welcome. I understand regarding fires, I used to be in the CFS in SA but sometimes moisture can be a pain in the butt when trying to do hazard reduction burns, or more so conduct back burning as a large fire burns towards you. The way this weather is going you may need to do some more hazard reduction in August LOL
Remarkable to see lightning out to sea going into work this morning. 9mm at Dundee so most falls have been off the coast or clear of measuring stations. This season has lost its marbles but reading other posts the NT Top End is not alone.
Looks like a brief dry spell is going to reach us from today but looks reasonably brief at this stage with humidity set to return from mid next week.
One has to wonder what sort of season we are looking at when the wet gets to our doorstep smile

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#1378878 - 10/06/2016 10:37 Re: Top End NT Dry Season - May 2016 [Re: Popeye]
Vinnie Offline
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Registered: 17/05/2006
Posts: 6814
Loc: Mulambin , Yeppoon Central Qld
Isn't the humidity meant to be lower at this time of year?
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#1378885 - 10/06/2016 12:04 Re: Top End NT Dry Season - May 2016 [Re: Vinnie]
JimmyGray Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 29/08/2008
Posts: 1579
Loc: Palmerston NT
Originally Posted By: Vinnie
Isn't the humidity meant to be lower at this time of year?

Sure is Vinnie but I think I can count on one hand how many times its dipped below 50% this season.
Also as a comparison, this season we are yet to see Darwin's night temp dip below 20 degrees. This time last year I think we had seen 38 or more nights below 20.

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#1378897 - 10/06/2016 14:19 Re: Top End NT Dry Season - May 2016 [Re: Popeye]
Vinnie Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 17/05/2006
Posts: 6814
Loc: Mulambin , Yeppoon Central Qld
Warmer sea surface temperatures I'm guessing as the cause.
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#1378910 - 10/06/2016 21:15 Re: Top End NT Dry Season - May 2016 [Re: Popeye]
tropicbreeze Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 14/01/2011
Posts: 140
Loc: Noonamah
This is BOM's take on it:

Weekly Tropical Climate Note

7 June 2016 Next issue 14 June 2016
Unusually warm start to northern Australia dry season

Northern Australia has experienced significantly above-average daytime and overnight temperatures since the start of the dry season (1 May). Several factors are contributing to the unseasonable warmth, including the atmospheric heat associated with the dissipating El Niño in the Pacific Ocean, near-record sea surface temperatures off the northern Australia coast, below-average soil moisture and the delayed onset of more typical winter-time pressure patterns across southern Australia. The lack of strong high-pressure systems across southern Australia at this time of the year has prevented the intrusion of the drier and cooler southerly winds which are typically a feature of northern Australia during the dry season.

At Darwin Airport, Australia, this wind regime leads to an average of approximately 50 nights each dry season with a minimum temperature below 20 °C - something that hasn’t happened once this year. In 75 years of record at Darwin, there have only been 10 dry seasons when the first overnight temperature below 20 °C occurred after 7 June. The latest on record occurred on 20 June, 1980.

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#1379341 - 17/06/2016 09:00 Re: Top End NT Dry Season - May 2016 [Re: Popeye]
Vinnie Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 17/05/2006
Posts: 6814
Loc: Mulambin , Yeppoon Central Qld
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#1381078 - 01/07/2016 13:50 Re: Top End NT Dry Season - May 2016 [Re: Popeye]
Jacci Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 26/04/2008
Posts: 683
Loc: Top End, Storm Capital of Aus ...
Already the mid dry season and it looks like models haven't finished their forecasts of humid spells around the far north of the NT. Impressive forecasts for this time of year with a fair amount of instability expected to linger around the coastal areas late next week. Grain of salt stuff but interesting none the less.

Before we know it, the build-up will return.
Looking forward to returning to Darwin around the beginning of October to contribute more pics! smile

Enjoy your firecracker night! I'll sadly be missing out this year as I am in Canberra with all it's crispy -4C mornings. Brrrr!!


Edited by Jacci (01/07/2016 13:50)
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#1381891 - 10/07/2016 23:33 Re: Top End NT Dry Season - May 2016 [Re: Popeye]
gecko Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 01/11/2007
Posts: 417
Loc: Coconut Grove, Darwin, NT.
Forecasts holding up for a July ranfall event this week.

Even includes Darwin now with a Wed forecast of 22-28 C with "possible rain".

Gove has rain forecast from Tues-Friday.

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#1382062 - 12/07/2016 14:34 Re: Top End NT Dry Season - May 2016 [Re: Popeye]
Jacci Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 26/04/2008
Posts: 683
Loc: Top End, Storm Capital of Aus ...
Lightning was detected to the NE of Darwin this morning and currently there are patches of light rain about. Our dry season is drunk. smile
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