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#1381385 - 05/07/2016 18:57 Re: Period 30/6 - 6/7 cold snowy changes with hail/sleet/rain and possible low level snow [Re: doogasnow]
Petros Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 30/12/2002
Posts: 6593
Loc: Maffra, Central Gippsland, Vi...
..... and thats still a lot of rain for you to deal with Samboz!

Heavy showers pulsing in and out here atm.

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#1381390 - 05/07/2016 19:28 Re: Period 30/6 - 6/7 cold snowy changes with hail/sleet/rain and possible low level snow [Re: doogasnow]
samboz Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 16/11/2014
Posts: 1834
Loc: Between Maffra & the Mountains...
Light rain here Petros, just outside and saw lightning to the S, earlier thunder clap from Bundalaguah frightened family in Sale, must have been a good one!

Certainly is plenty of rain P, country needs it but in smaller doses would be good....however take it when you can get it grin
_________________________
Rain 2016-753.5mm.J-173mmF-5mmM-66mmA-32.5mmM-24mmJ-88mmJ-143mmA-17.5mmS-89.5mmO-53.5mmNov-61.5mmDec-26mmTOTAL 2016 - 779.5MM Rain 2017.Jan-9.5mmFeb-23mmMarch-49mmApril-40mmMay-12mmJune-12mmJuly-15mm Aug-36.5mm Sept-26mm Oct-87mm Nov-19.5mm to 0800 19th

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#1381395 - 05/07/2016 19:59 Re: Period 30/6 - 6/7 cold snowy changes with hail/sleet/rain and possible low level snow [Re: doogasnow]
Ruckle Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 03/08/2005
Posts: 6134
Loc: Woodend VIC 579m ASL - where w...
24.7mm here in the inner west before this evenings healthy sounding follow up
_________________________
Check out my Youtube channel http://www.youtube.com/user/Ruckle18?feature=mhum for more storms and even some snow

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#1381399 - 05/07/2016 20:17 Re: Period 30/6 - 6/7 cold snowy changes with hail/sleet/rain and possible low level snow [Re: doogasnow]
Weather_Viewer Offline
Weather Freak

Registered: 12/09/2012
Posts: 266
Loc: Tarneit, VIC
Good evening all, great system indeed. Torrential rain in spots on the way home from the City to Wyndham Vale at around 7:00PM. I even saw a few flashes of lightning across the bay.

I have recorded 25.2mm here in Wyndham Vale, thats pretty amazing for this end of town. I'm excited!
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Wunderground

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#1381400 - 05/07/2016 20:18 Re: Period 30/6 - 6/7 cold snowy changes with hail/sleet/rain and possible low level snow [Re: doogasnow]
doogasnow Online   content
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 07/12/2014
Posts: 1017
Loc: traf/moe south 410m asl/west &...
Can def confirm lightning and thunder embedded in this very heavy rain band that's currently absolutely soaking us atm😃
What an event the next couple of days are shaping up to be!!
Since the rain started this morning we have had 30mm and the rain is still teeming down 😀
West and south gippsland are on flood watch but I'm not sure what sort of figures we could see through this part of the strezleckis ??

This thing is really cranking up so especially for everyone up east gipps way batten down the hatch and stay safe!!

Petros/ samboz - u guys look right in the sweet spot for this one, after recent big falls up your way I'm fairly concerned about your area and east😨

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#1381404 - 05/07/2016 20:32 Re: Period 30/6 - 6/7 cold snowy changes with hail/sleet/rain and possible low level snow [Re: doogasnow]
Petros Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 30/12/2002
Posts: 6593
Loc: Maffra, Central Gippsland, Vi...
Lucky here do far. Bugger all rain yet. Dissapointed if we didnt get an inch from looming days. But concerned if we got 2 inches or more. Would take weeks to dry out the mud at this time of the year.

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#1381406 - 05/07/2016 21:09 Re: Period 30/6 - 6/7 cold snowy changes with hail/sleet/rain and possible low level snow [Re: doogasnow]
aussiestormfreak Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 02/02/2011
Posts: 5821
Loc: Melbourne (Belgrave); Corryong...
Reached a top of only 10.9C today here in Belgrave. Humid, hazy, overcast and damp with little wind... if any. poke

I was down in Boronia between 9:30am and 3:30pm. We had a few sprinkling showers and drizzly periods as the low's wrap-around skirted by just to the south, mainly late-morning/lunchtime. The clouds were so low and thick that the Dandenong Ranges were almost-completely shrouded, and yet at brief intervals I caught glimpses of the TV antennas up on Mount Dandenong. Plus we had a brief burst of sunshine around 2pm! smile

Showers began returning in earnest during the drive home, and soon after 5pm the main wrap-around finally arrived from Gippsland! The rain has been heavy at times, but no thunder or lightning so far. poke

Collected 11.6mm at the last check and more rain to come. Currently around 9C. smile

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#1381407 - 05/07/2016 21:15 Re: Period 30/6 - 6/7 cold snowy changes with hail/sleet/rain and possible low level snow [Re: doogasnow]
Petros Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 30/12/2002
Posts: 6593
Loc: Maffra, Central Gippsland, Vi...
Steady rain has just returned here after several hours break.

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#1381412 - 05/07/2016 21:29 Re: Period 30/6 - 6/7 cold snowy changes with hail/sleet/rain and possible low level snow [Re: doogasnow]
samboz Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 16/11/2014
Posts: 1834
Loc: Between Maffra & the Mountains...
Wow, handy falls in suburbia and the L/Valley, good to see.

Sweet spot has dropped 1mm here so far dooga' lol - leave some for us ! Very light rain and no wind, pleasant enough.

Radar showing us on the edge, it will get here soon enough.

It has to rain after we drained rain harvest tanks, got up several days of wood, mowed the grass, fed pellets to new lamb mothers and got a mountain bike ride in !

As I finish typing the rain is picking up.
_________________________
Rain 2016-753.5mm.J-173mmF-5mmM-66mmA-32.5mmM-24mmJ-88mmJ-143mmA-17.5mmS-89.5mmO-53.5mmNov-61.5mmDec-26mmTOTAL 2016 - 779.5MM Rain 2017.Jan-9.5mmFeb-23mmMarch-49mmApril-40mmMay-12mmJune-12mmJuly-15mm Aug-36.5mm Sept-26mm Oct-87mm Nov-19.5mm to 0800 19th

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#1381424 - 05/07/2016 23:52 Re: Period 30/6 - 6/7 cold snowy changes with hail/sleet/rain and possible low level snow [Re: doogasnow]
samboz Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 16/11/2014
Posts: 1834
Loc: Between Maffra & the Mountains...
Yarram 43mm and Mallacoota 34mm came to notice, here the rain is a moderate steady fall and is now - 9mm neat.

No wind.
_________________________
Rain 2016-753.5mm.J-173mmF-5mmM-66mmA-32.5mmM-24mmJ-88mmJ-143mmA-17.5mmS-89.5mmO-53.5mmNov-61.5mmDec-26mmTOTAL 2016 - 779.5MM Rain 2017.Jan-9.5mmFeb-23mmMarch-49mmApril-40mmMay-12mmJune-12mmJuly-15mm Aug-36.5mm Sept-26mm Oct-87mm Nov-19.5mm to 0800 19th

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#1381435 - 06/07/2016 07:23 Re: Period 30/6 - 6/7 cold snowy changes with hail/sleet/rain and possible low level snow [Re: doogasnow]
aussiestormfreak Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 02/02/2011
Posts: 5821
Loc: Melbourne (Belgrave); Corryong...
Not sure what my overnight low was because I hadn't reset my weather station properly, but it was 8.8C when I went to bed last night. Currently around 11C and overcast.

Collected 16.9mm in total to 7am this morning. The rainband cleared off around midnight, with showers to follow. smile

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#1381436 - 06/07/2016 07:48 Re: Period 30/6 - 6/7 cold snowy changes with hail/sleet/rain and possible low level snow [Re: doogasnow]
samboz Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 16/11/2014
Posts: 1834
Loc: Between Maffra & the Mountains...
Funny enough, we have had the odd drop of rain o/night, the nylex tube (25mm) is overflowed, guessing 40mm +, to heavy to go out in until 0900 when it'll get read.

First bit of wind rattling thru' here now, otherwise calm o/night.

Devon, down south talking 114mm on local ABC.

Quite concerning was the"Incidents & Warnings" EMERGENCY VIC site this morning with a flooding icon at Boisdale and the only notation being 'FLOODING, COMPLETE ONE HOUR AGO' IE issued 0628hrs this morn. I read that site regularly and can't decipher exactly what that means, had there been flooding and the job is now complete there? OR is it a warning for Avon River inundation of township and farming land. No INCIDENT was written up for a job there.

The icon has disappeared now, too many people ringing up in panic I'm guessing. Glad we're not on the flood plain after seeing 1m of water thru' the township in the past.

http://emergency.vic.gov.au/respond/#

If our catchment area to the north keeps receiving rain at this rate for another 12 hours there is a chance of widespread flooding, into the flood plain from the Avon ???, I'll make some phone calls later.

Mt Moornapa has 70mm already, Briagolong 50mm, Sale 25mm, Yarram 51mm, Reeves Knob 54mm, Mt Well. maybe U/s, Licola 47mm .. etc.

More later, its shaping up to be a big one !



Edited by samboz (06/07/2016 07:50)
_________________________
Rain 2016-753.5mm.J-173mmF-5mmM-66mmA-32.5mmM-24mmJ-88mmJ-143mmA-17.5mmS-89.5mmO-53.5mmNov-61.5mmDec-26mmTOTAL 2016 - 779.5MM Rain 2017.Jan-9.5mmFeb-23mmMarch-49mmApril-40mmMay-12mmJune-12mmJuly-15mm Aug-36.5mm Sept-26mm Oct-87mm Nov-19.5mm to 0800 19th

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#1381438 - 06/07/2016 08:02 Re: Period 30/6 - 6/7 cold snowy changes with hail/sleet/rain and possible low level snow [Re: doogasnow]
Petros Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 30/12/2002
Posts: 6593
Loc: Maffra, Central Gippsland, Vi...
Mate report's 55mm at Stockdale onite.
Only one lull in onite rain for an hour predawn. Reckon circa 35mm by guess.
All models show 12orr hrs of this.
Here comes da mud!
GFS most accurate for Gippy again.

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#1381439 - 06/07/2016 08:03 Re: Period 30/6 - 6/7 cold snowy changes with hail/sleet/rain and possible low level snow [Re: doogasnow]
samboz Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 16/11/2014
Posts: 1834
Loc: Between Maffra & the Mountains...
Avon River, 1.6m & rising at 0545hrs this morn. @ The Channels.

This is the one to watch, along with Valencia Creek and Freestone Creek, which was 1.4m & rising @ 0545hrs.

Macalister River @ Licola 1.95m & rising (same time).


Edited by samboz (06/07/2016 08:08)
_________________________
Rain 2016-753.5mm.J-173mmF-5mmM-66mmA-32.5mmM-24mmJ-88mmJ-143mmA-17.5mmS-89.5mmO-53.5mmNov-61.5mmDec-26mmTOTAL 2016 - 779.5MM Rain 2017.Jan-9.5mmFeb-23mmMarch-49mmApril-40mmMay-12mmJune-12mmJuly-15mm Aug-36.5mm Sept-26mm Oct-87mm Nov-19.5mm to 0800 19th

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#1381446 - 06/07/2016 08:36 Re: Period 30/6 - 6/7 cold snowy changes with hail/sleet/rain and possible low level snow [Re: doogasnow]
samboz Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 16/11/2014
Posts: 1834
Loc: Between Maffra & the Mountains...
Ventured out to grab the gauge in a lull round 0825hrs P, 49.5mm.

Thought rain gauge (4.6mm) at Mt Wellington u/s, but on reflection if it's falling as snow !


Edited by samboz (06/07/2016 08:38)
_________________________
Rain 2016-753.5mm.J-173mmF-5mmM-66mmA-32.5mmM-24mmJ-88mmJ-143mmA-17.5mmS-89.5mmO-53.5mmNov-61.5mmDec-26mmTOTAL 2016 - 779.5MM Rain 2017.Jan-9.5mmFeb-23mmMarch-49mmApril-40mmMay-12mmJune-12mmJuly-15mm Aug-36.5mm Sept-26mm Oct-87mm Nov-19.5mm to 0800 19th

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#1381461 - 06/07/2016 09:09 Re: Period 30/6 - 6/7 cold snowy changes with hail/sleet/rain and possible low level snow [Re: doogasnow]
Petros Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 30/12/2002
Posts: 6593
Loc: Maffra, Central Gippsland, Vi...
Just emptied out 34.5mm.

With Maffra in the lee of NE Tassie - maybe a round of golf at midday is possible???

Re GFS accuracy - I based that on expectation of 40+mm in the gauge per Stockdale.

So I was wrong, for rain to this stage here, AccR, EC and GFS were all as accurate to each other for this past 12 hour period.

It would take the low pressure system to edge a little more north up NSW coast (allowing a more SE'ly incoming cloud band and baro to rise into the 1014-1018 hPa band) at Maffra over coming hours for GFS to be correct by 10pm.

Great to see the Gippy rivers are to get a pulse!

[edit] - current synoptic:



Edited by Petros (06/07/2016 09:12)

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#1381464 - 06/07/2016 09:37 Re: Period 30/6 - 6/7 cold snowy changes with hail/sleet/rain and possible low level snow [Re: doogasnow]
samboz Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 16/11/2014
Posts: 1834
Loc: Between Maffra & the Mountains...
51.5mm to 0900, still steady rain, bit of moderate gusty wind, plenty of run off.
_________________________
Rain 2016-753.5mm.J-173mmF-5mmM-66mmA-32.5mmM-24mmJ-88mmJ-143mmA-17.5mmS-89.5mmO-53.5mmNov-61.5mmDec-26mmTOTAL 2016 - 779.5MM Rain 2017.Jan-9.5mmFeb-23mmMarch-49mmApril-40mmMay-12mmJune-12mmJuly-15mm Aug-36.5mm Sept-26mm Oct-87mm Nov-19.5mm to 0800 19th

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#1381465 - 06/07/2016 10:04 Re: Period 30/6 - 6/7 cold snowy changes with hail/sleet/rain and possible low level snow [Re: doogasnow]
samboz Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 16/11/2014
Posts: 1834
Loc: Between Maffra & the Mountains...
Golf....the 19th hole is perfect today !
_________________________
Rain 2016-753.5mm.J-173mmF-5mmM-66mmA-32.5mmM-24mmJ-88mmJ-143mmA-17.5mmS-89.5mmO-53.5mmNov-61.5mmDec-26mmTOTAL 2016 - 779.5MM Rain 2017.Jan-9.5mmFeb-23mmMarch-49mmApril-40mmMay-12mmJune-12mmJuly-15mm Aug-36.5mm Sept-26mm Oct-87mm Nov-19.5mm to 0800 19th

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#1381486 - 06/07/2016 12:45 Re: Period 30/6 - 6/7 cold snowy changes with hail/sleet/rain and possible low level snow [Re: doogasnow]
Petros Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 30/12/2002
Posts: 6593
Loc: Maffra, Central Gippsland, Vi...
Rain rate has picked up markedly over past 30 mins.

Another 10mm since 9am takes Maffra to 44.5mm for this ECL.

For Samboz - the present view from Royal Maffra's 19th!:


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#1381487 - 06/07/2016 13:12 Re: Period 30/6 - 6/7 cold snowy changes with hail/sleet/rain and possible low level snow [Re: doogasnow]
samboz Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 16/11/2014
Posts: 1834
Loc: Between Maffra & the Mountains...
smile Thanks for the pic P, taken from the 19th hole environ, or close thereto, wise man! lol

In Boisdale earlier, could just see a vague outline of Fosters Hilldue to heavy rain (usually distinct trees easily seen) from the Main Street. They have 32mm all up.

Avon & Valencia Ck not moving much out here but the Freestone has a muddy fresh getting a move along, 100mm @ Moornapa will lift that further.

At home 70mm, heavier now than couple of hours back, lot of water over roads everywhere and run off filling dams flat out.

Reeves Knob 115mm. Licola 64mm +


Edited by samboz (06/07/2016 13:15)
_________________________
Rain 2016-753.5mm.J-173mmF-5mmM-66mmA-32.5mmM-24mmJ-88mmJ-143mmA-17.5mmS-89.5mmO-53.5mmNov-61.5mmDec-26mmTOTAL 2016 - 779.5MM Rain 2017.Jan-9.5mmFeb-23mmMarch-49mmApril-40mmMay-12mmJune-12mmJuly-15mm Aug-36.5mm Sept-26mm Oct-87mm Nov-19.5mm to 0800 19th

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