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#1380850 - 27/06/2016 20:03 Period 30/6 - 6/7 cold snowy changes with hail/sleet/rain and possible low level snow
doogasnow Online   content
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 07/12/2014
Posts: 1017
Loc: traf/moe south 410m asl/west &...
Hey guys,

I thought I'd kick off this next period of cold snowy weather ahead😃

Gfs especially looking initially cold with a front on Thursday/Friday this week with rain and snow looking like lowering to about 1000m.

Then proceeding this, gfs tonight hinting at a very severe low level snow event with the snow line falling to that similar to what we endured last friday😀
Of course this will all cop and change a fair bit as the models do 😃

Enjoy the ride everyone!

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#1380911 - 28/06/2016 18:06 Re: Period 30/6 - 6/7 cold snowy changes with hail/sleet/rain and possible low level snow [Re: doogasnow]
doogasnow Online   content
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 07/12/2014
Posts: 1017
Loc: traf/moe south 410m asl/west &...
Thursday/Friday period still holding but as the models do, gfs has done a 360 on the Monday event lol

I'd say plenty still to play out between now and then

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#1380914 - 28/06/2016 18:50 Re: Period 30/6 - 6/7 cold snowy changes with hail/sleet/rain and possible low level snow [Re: doogasnow]
Petros Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 30/12/2002
Posts: 6593
Loc: Maffra, Central Gippsland, Vi...
Yep DG - Thursday looks to be another significant snow top up for the resorts almost cementing a "good season" pending?

Here's AccR's take on late Thursday (snow to lower than 1000M?):



The cut-off progged to form in the bight overnight Sunday looks to stay out W of Vic then fizzle before getting to us?? - time will tell, but NSW snowfields will be all over this (even "fizzled" can mean snow from NW for them).



Edited by Petros (28/06/2016 18:51)

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#1380919 - 28/06/2016 19:28 Re: Period 30/6 - 6/7 cold snowy changes with hail/sleet/rain and possible low level snow [Re: doogasnow]
doogasnow Online   content
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 07/12/2014
Posts: 1017
Loc: traf/moe south 410m asl/west &...
Yeah p - that above access r chart like u say I think idicates snow down to at least 1000m? Maybe even 800m? Looks pretty cold😃
Perfect top up for the alps maybe 10-15cm ?


Interesting scenario the front next Monday! Yesterday gfs showed a classic sw icy blast, now it's gone cut off lol ??

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#1380984 - 29/06/2016 23:24 Re: Period 30/6 - 6/7 cold snowy changes with hail/sleet/rain and possible low level snow [Re: doogasnow]
aussiestormfreak Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 02/02/2011
Posts: 5821
Loc: Melbourne (Belgrave); Corryong...
Interesting weather ahead that's for sure! smile

I came home from Lilydale an hour ago. The temperature out at Coldstream in the Yarra Valley was 10-11C while I was there. Relatively mild evening, minus the wind chill; it's been getting quite blustery out there. A partly cloudy, gusty 10C here in Belgrave right now. poke

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#1381010 - 30/06/2016 10:14 Re: Period 30/6 - 6/7 cold snowy changes with hail/sleet/rain and possible low level snow [Re: doogasnow]
aussiestormfreak Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 02/02/2011
Posts: 5821
Loc: Melbourne (Belgrave); Corryong...
Overnight low of 8.8C, currently around 10C. A cold, mostly cloudy, very blustery, stormy start to the day. poke

Only had a few sprinkling showers so far. Most of the rain is missing us, as is typically the case in weather like this; it seems the only time my area gets any significant heavy rainfall with strong northerly winds is during thunderstorm activity. poke

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#1381014 - 30/06/2016 11:26 Re: Period 30/6 - 6/7 cold snowy changes with hail/sleet/rain and possible low level snow [Re: doogasnow]
chasers addict Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 11/12/2007
Posts: 2287
Loc: Bendigo/ Kangaroo Flat, Vic Ra...
By 11.15am temperature only reach to 7.1c clam with few showers from first weak band and wait see how strong second band from West.

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#1381016 - 30/06/2016 12:33 Re: Period 30/6 - 6/7 cold snowy changes with hail/sleet/rain and possible low level snow [Re: doogasnow]
aussiestormfreak Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 02/02/2011
Posts: 5821
Loc: Melbourne (Belgrave); Corryong...
Reached a high of 12.9C earlier, currently around 11C. Mostly sunny right now, but northerlies are still strengthening, with gusts clocked at up to 37km/h. The next lot of showers are coming into Melbourne now.

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#1381020 - 30/06/2016 14:29 Re: Period 30/6 - 6/7 cold snowy changes with hail/sleet/rain and possible low level snow [Re: doogasnow]
chasers addict Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 11/12/2007
Posts: 2287
Loc: Bendigo/ Kangaroo Flat, Vic Ra...
Looks like cold thunderstorm firing up in my west can see lighting on radar.

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#1381024 - 30/06/2016 15:41 Re: Period 30/6 - 6/7 cold snowy changes with hail/sleet/rain and possible low level snow [Re: doogasnow]
chasers addict Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 11/12/2007
Posts: 2287
Loc: Bendigo/ Kangaroo Flat, Vic Ra...
Wind change arrived at 3.45pm

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#1381032 - 30/06/2016 17:43 Re: Period 30/6 - 6/7 cold snowy changes with hail/sleet/rain and possible low level snow [Re: doogasnow]
chasers addict Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 11/12/2007
Posts: 2287
Loc: Bendigo/ Kangaroo Flat, Vic Ra...
Rain band has pasted dumped 9mm rain to bring over average June
to 87mm out of of 61mm is wonderful.

Also now its over average from January 1st to June 30th totals to 268mm out of 261.4. Never seen this for long time since 1990s.

Over average Month is March, May and June bring 67.7mm more rain.

One Farmer in NW of Bendigo 15km away never seen wettest since 1970s bring 170mm on his property from May to June.

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#1381035 - 30/06/2016 18:24 Re: Period 30/6 - 6/7 cold snowy changes with hail/sleet/rain and possible low level snow [Re: doogasnow]
Petros Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 30/12/2002
Posts: 6593
Loc: Maffra, Central Gippsland, Vi...
Was black as a dogs guts late arvo out this way, baro dropped from 1023 to 1005 hPa over past 24H, light spitting rain has arrived here.

.....but none of the wind that was predicted - a calm day.

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#1381040 - 30/06/2016 19:45 Re: Period 30/6 - 6/7 cold snowy changes with hail/sleet/rain and possible low level snow [Re: doogasnow]
aussiestormfreak Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 02/02/2011
Posts: 5821
Loc: Melbourne (Belgrave); Corryong...
The main front came through Belgrave around 4:30pm. Despite the radar, we didn't have too much wind or rain (and no thunderstorms or hail either); the rain was fairly at heavy at times though. Collected 4.2mm in total, a nice start for July 2016. smile

Currently around 6C. Next wave of bad weather heading towards Melbourne from the Southwest coast. smile

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#1381051 - 01/07/2016 01:38 Re: Period 30/6 - 6/7 cold snowy changes with hail/sleet/rain and possible low level snow [Re: doogasnow]
aussiestormfreak Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 02/02/2011
Posts: 5821
Loc: Melbourne (Belgrave); Corryong...
I came home nearly 2 hours ago from Melbourne Airport. My fiancee has arrived from Fiji btw. smile

It's been a cold night out. My family and I left Belgrave around 8:30pm; it was about 7C with clear skies and fairly gentle winds.

Cloud began increasing from the west and the winds kicked up after 9pm as we drove along the M1 Monash Freeway towards the City around 9pm. The first light showers arrived just after passing the M80 Western Ring Road while driving north up the Tullamarine Freeway approximately 30 minutes later; it was around 8C at Essendon. The wind was very harsh at the Airport! eek

Seems the heaviest rainfall stayed to the north amd northwest, mainly along and north of the Central Highlands and Macedon Ranges at the time.

An hour later we headed home. It was still a raw 8C at Essendon as we were leaving, and the rain was coming down a little more heavily while travelling south along the Tulla and CityLink. The rain eased back to drizzle along the Monash after 11pm.

At the last check it was around 7C here in Belgrave.

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#1381058 - 01/07/2016 08:39 Re: Period 30/6 - 6/7 cold snowy changes with hail/sleet/rain and possible low level snow [Re: doogasnow]
samboz Offline
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 16/11/2014
Posts: 1834
Loc: Between Maffra & the Mountains...
0.5mm since 0900 y'day, might get a bit today laugh

Tuesday - Thursday next week looking wet with all the models I've looked at giving some good rainfall the thumbs up.

Cool cloudy morning here, clearing from the W, no wind.
_________________________
Rain 2016-753.5mm.J-173mmF-5mmM-66mmA-32.5mmM-24mmJ-88mmJ-143mmA-17.5mmS-89.5mmO-53.5mmNov-61.5mmDec-26mmTOTAL 2016 - 779.5MM Rain 2017.Jan-9.5mmFeb-23mmMarch-49mmApril-40mmMay-12mmJune-12mmJuly-15mm Aug-36.5mm Sept-26mm Oct-87mm Nov-19.5mm to 0800 19th

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#1381096 - 01/07/2016 19:35 Re: Period 30/6 - 6/7 cold snowy changes with hail/sleet/rain and possible low level snow [Re: doogasnow]
doogasnow Online   content
Weatherzone Addict

Registered: 07/12/2014
Posts: 1017
Loc: traf/moe south 410m asl/west &...
We received 5mm out of the change last night 😀

Temp dropped to 4c by 9pm last night and sat on that until morning.

Max today of 9c

See what the next change has in store for early next week??
Still a lot of divergence between the models by the look of it

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#1381121 - 02/07/2016 15:11 Re: Period 30/6 - 6/7 cold snowy changes with hail/sleet/rain and possible low level snow [Re: doogasnow]
aussiestormfreak Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 02/02/2011
Posts: 5821
Loc: Melbourne (Belgrave); Corryong...
I've been a bit pre-occupied lately. Time I caught up on my posts. poke

Yesterday we had an overnight low of 5.7C and an afternoon top of 14.5C. A mostly cloudy day with showers, mainly light. Collected 9.5mm of rain in the 24 hours to 9am yesterday morning. smile

As for today we had an overnight low of 9.3C and an afternoon top of 15.4C. Still mostly cloudy, but with only the odd light shower. Otherwise, more sunshine than yesterday! smile

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#1381148 - 03/07/2016 09:20 Re: Period 30/6 - 6/7 cold snowy changes with hail/sleet/rain and possible low level snow [Re: doogasnow]
aussiestormfreak Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 02/02/2011
Posts: 5821
Loc: Melbourne (Belgrave); Corryong...
Overnight low of 10.2C, currently around 12C and mostly cloudy.

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#1381151 - 03/07/2016 10:18 Re: Period 30/6 - 6/7 cold snowy changes with hail/sleet/rain and possible low level snow [Re: doogasnow]
Petros Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 30/12/2002
Posts: 6593
Loc: Maffra, Central Gippsland, Vi...
Models seem to be converging on an ECL Dooga - well called!


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#1381155 - 03/07/2016 12:44 Re: Period 30/6 - 6/7 cold snowy changes with hail/sleet/rain and possible low level snow [Re: doogasnow]
Petros Offline
Meteorological Motor Mouth

Registered: 30/12/2002
Posts: 6593
Loc: Maffra, Central Gippsland, Vi...
Mild, clear and blustery NW'ly here today.

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